{"title":"Micro-level dynamics in hidden action situations with limited information","authors":"Stephan Leitner, F. Wall","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3885656","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3885656","url":null,"abstract":"The hidden-action model provides an optimal sharing rule for situations in which a principal assigns a task to an agent who makes an effort to carry out the task assigned to him. However, the principal can only observe the task outcome but not the agent's actual action. The hidden-action model builds on somewhat idealized assumptions about the principal's and the agent's capabilities related to information access. We propose an agent-based model that relaxes some of these assumptions. Our analysis lays particular focus on the micro-level dynamics triggered by limited information access. For the principal's sphere, we identify the so-called Sisyphus effect that explains why the optimal sharing rule can generally not be achieved if the information is limited, and we identify factors that moderate this effect. In addition, we analyze the behavioral dynamics in the agent's sphere. We show that the agent might make even more of an effort than optimal under unlimited information, which we refer to as excess effort. Interestingly, the principal can control the probability of making an excess effort via the incentive mechanism. However, how much excess effort the agent finally makes is out of the principal's direct control.","PeriodicalId":129448,"journal":{"name":"Cognitive Psychology eJournal","volume":"16 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122020573","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Stress and Risk - Preferences versus Noise","authors":"Elle Parslow, Julia Elisabeth Rose","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3733379","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3733379","url":null,"abstract":"We analyze the impact of acute stress on risky choice in a pre-registered laboratory experiment with 194 participants. We test the causal impact of stress on the stability of risk preferences by separating noise in decision-making from an actual shift in preferences. We find no significant differences in risk attitudes across conditions on the aggregate, using both descriptive analyses as well as structural estimations for risk aversion and different noise structures. Additionally, in line with the previous literature, we find statistically significant evidence for lower cognitive abilities being correlated with more noise in decision-making in general. We do not find a significant interaction effect between cognitive abilities and stress on noise levels.","PeriodicalId":129448,"journal":{"name":"Cognitive Psychology eJournal","volume":"24 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125147403","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Pure Wage Rent: The Theory","authors":"James E. Annable","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3870752","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3870752","url":null,"abstract":"Pure wage rent, defined as labor pricing that chronically exceeds market-opportunity cost, is an outcome of rational employer-employee interaction in information-challenged workplaces. It is an essential concept, integral to the analysis of important economic phenomena, consistent with available evidence, and rooted in neoclassical tenets of optimization and equilibrium. That PWR is absent from textbooks is indicative of a damaging gap in economic theory, which this paper remedies. The task was daunting, requiring the generalization of rational price-mediated exchange from the marketplace to workplaces restricted by costly, asymmetric information. Rigorous modeling of the second venue was expedited by earlier economic accounts of intra-firm behavior. Most notably, a detailed description of what goes on inside complex, bureaucratic workplaces was provided in the middle 20th century by a school of labor economists that Clark Kerr named “Neoclassical Revisionists”. (For background, see Kerr (1988), Lloyd Reynolds (1949), and Richard Lester (1951).) What follows translates the revisionists’ narrative into a rigorous theory rooted in optimizing behavior organized by general decision-rule equilibrium. The exercise microfounds pure wage rent, opening an exceptionally productive research frontier.","PeriodicalId":129448,"journal":{"name":"Cognitive Psychology eJournal","volume":"97 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126488767","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Lucas W. Goodman, Anit Mukherjee, Shanthi P. Ramnath
{"title":"Abandoned Retirement Savings","authors":"Lucas W. Goodman, Anit Mukherjee, Shanthi P. Ramnath","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3864530","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3864530","url":null,"abstract":"Retirement savings abandonment is a rising concern connected to defined contribution systems and default enrollment. We use tax data on Individual Retirement Accounts (IRAs) to establish that in 2017, 2.7% of 72.5 year-old account-holders in total abandoned $790 million; the median abandoned account held $5,400. Nearly all of these funds remain with plans and are not sent to state unclaimed property. Regression discontinuity estimates show that abandonment is 10 times higher in automatic rollover IRAs, a type of default account. We nest our findings in a model of retirement savings featuring forgetting to derive implications for passive and active savers.","PeriodicalId":129448,"journal":{"name":"Cognitive Psychology eJournal","volume":"51 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128670771","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Regulatory Fit and Non-Fit: How They Work & What They Do","authors":"T. Avnet, E. Higgins","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3824009","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3824009","url":null,"abstract":"This chapter provides a general overview of the theory of regulatory fit and non fit. It first provides a definition of what regulatory fit is, followed by a demonstration of regulatory fit within different regulatory orientations such as regulatory focus, and locomotion mode. The chapter than discusses the processes behind regulatory fit, and its consequences on decision outcomes, monetary value and personal value. The chapter ends with an overview of the uniqueness of regulatory non-fit and suggests future paths to studying regulatory fit and non-fit theory.","PeriodicalId":129448,"journal":{"name":"Cognitive Psychology eJournal","volume":"194 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-04-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121625777","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Sönke Ehret, Sonja Vogt, A. Hefti, Charles Efferson
{"title":"Leading with the (Recently) Successful? Performance Visibility and the Evolution of Risk Taking","authors":"Sönke Ehret, Sonja Vogt, A. Hefti, Charles Efferson","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3823176","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3823176","url":null,"abstract":"The popular practice of “leading by the successful” is viewed as a hallmark of motivational leadership. A central rationale for leaders to make successful team members salient is that it may induce social learning, where followers strive to adopt a favorable behavior. The reliance of a leader on such success-biased social learning presumes that imitation by followers occurs only to the extent as outstanding success was caused by a superior ability or knowledge of the respective peer. In this article, we conduct a laboratory experiment to study whether imitation of the successful may occur even if imitation necessarily fails to be an effective way of improving one’s performance. The experimental approach establishes the necessary control to assure that success-biased learning cannot systematically improve the decisions made, and allows us to isolate the behavior of the followers from possible feedback effects of the leader. The data show that a substantial amount of imitation occurs, which in our setting leads to a sizeable and persistent increase of the average risk taken in the teams. Our finding thus indicates a limitation of the practice to lead with the successful.","PeriodicalId":129448,"journal":{"name":"Cognitive Psychology eJournal","volume":"36 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134599099","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Exaggerated Likelihoods","authors":"S. Santosh","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3520802","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3520802","url":null,"abstract":"We present a portable model of distorted learning which embodies Tversky and Kahneman’s (1971) “belief in the law of small numbers.” When adjusting beliefs in response to new information the decision maker overweights the sample, updating as if the sample size were inflated. The degree of distortion is embodied in a single parameter specific to the agent and not to the particular stochastic setting. We show that the beliefs of such an agent preserve many dynamic properties of fully rational Bayesian beliefs. Though exaggerated likelihood delivers similar predictions to diagnostic expectations in a static setting, the models imply dramatically different belief dynamics. We present examples of distorted Kalman filtering in a Gaussian environment as well as a non-linear setting with stochastic volatility.","PeriodicalId":129448,"journal":{"name":"Cognitive Psychology eJournal","volume":"26 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124320104","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Exploratory Learning Environments for Responsible Management Education Using Lego Serious Play","authors":"Vasilis Gkogkidis, Nicholas Dacre","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3813349","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3813349","url":null,"abstract":"Research into responsible management education has largely focused on the merits, attributes, and transformation opportunities to enhance responsible business school education aims. As such, a prominent part of the literature has occupied itself with examining if responsible management modules are inherently considered a non-crucial element of the curriculum and determining the extent to which business schools have introduced such learning content into their curriculum. However, there has been scant research into how to apply novel teaching approaches to engage students and promote responsible management education endeavours. As such, this paper seeks to address this gap through the development of a teaching framework to support educators in designing effective learning environments focused on responsible management education. We will draw on constructivist learning theories and Lego Serious Play (LSP) as a learning enhancement approach to develop a pedagogical framework. LSP is selected due to its increasing application in learning environments to help promote critical discourse, and engage with highly complex problems, whether these are social, economic, environmental, or organisational.","PeriodicalId":129448,"journal":{"name":"Cognitive Psychology eJournal","volume":"8 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-02-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114426334","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Monetary Incentives and the Contagion of Unethical Behavior","authors":"Benoît Le Maux, David Masclet, Sarah Necker","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3805628","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3805628","url":null,"abstract":"We analyze both theoretically and empirically how monetary incentives and information about others’ behavior affect dishonesty. We run a laboratory experiment with 560 participants, each of whom observes a number from one to six with there being a payoff associated with each number. They can either truthfully report the number they see or lie about it in order to increase their payoff. We vary both the size of the payoff (Low, High, and Very High) and the amount of information about others’ dishonesty (With and Without Information). We first find that dishonesty falls in the Very High treatment. Second, while social information has on average at most a weak positive effect, there is a strong effect if the accuracy of individuals’ beliefs is accounted for. Third, social information and payoffs do not interact with each other.","PeriodicalId":129448,"journal":{"name":"Cognitive Psychology eJournal","volume":"18 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121308260","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Eliciting Individuals’ Financial Decision-Making Approaches with Verbal Protocols","authors":"Thomas Post, W. Bruine de Bruin","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3763784","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3763784","url":null,"abstract":"How do individuals approach financial decisions? Do they apply sophisticated formulas, 'back of the envelope'-math, do they guess, or something completely different? We show that the verbal protocol method – i.e., having individuals explain their approaches – generates new insights to answer these questions. Our findings on approaches discovered are reliable within sample and have predictive power out of sample. Among other things, we find that when assessing the value of an annuity, 40% of individuals use some math, and some even use formulas similar to actuaries; the other 60% seem to guess. Valuation approaches used predict valuation outcomes and valuation precision, explain puzzling findings reported in earlier literature, and predict a behavioral reaction to an anchoring intervention designed to match one of the approaches discovered. The verbal protocol method opens new pathways to understand financial decision-making as well as to design effective policy interventions.","PeriodicalId":129448,"journal":{"name":"Cognitive Psychology eJournal","volume":"16 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116190905","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}