Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy最新文献

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State-society relations and the “re-industrialization” of the developed world: Power relations, coordination and growth paths 国家-社会关系与发达国家的 "再工业化":权力关系、协调和增长路径
Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2024-04-18 DOI: 10.1108/frep-10-2023-0039
M. Sabry
{"title":"State-society relations and the “re-industrialization” of the developed world: Power relations, coordination and growth paths","authors":"M. Sabry","doi":"10.1108/frep-10-2023-0039","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/frep-10-2023-0039","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThis paper investigates the effect of state-society relations on the industrially-related growth paths of developed countries.Design/methodology/approachIt introduces a novel theoretical framework, the state-business-labor relations (SBLR) framework, where four main actors are identified: the state, big businesspersons or tycoons, owners and managers of small and medium enterprises (SMEs) or Entrepreneurs and labor. Different SBLR categories or modes are introduced depending on levels of coordination and power relations between the studied actors. The paper then investigates how these SBLR modes, through adopting various policies targeting the industrial sector, lead to different growth paths. Rather than focusing only on economic growth, this research regards a growth path as a matrix of the performance in long-run growth and equality of distribution.FindingsUsing regression analysis and statistical data, the results suggest that the Co-Balanced mode, having higher levels of coordination and lower favoritism, leads to the best growth path among the four introduced modes, especially with its emphasis on high levels of venture capital availability and easiness of starting business. while the Lib-Capture mode, characterized by lower coordination and higher favoritism, seems to have the worst growth path and the best implemented policy for this mode is suggested to be high profit taxes that seem to counter the negative impact of the existing high levels of favoritism.Research limitations/implicationsDespite the important findings that this research has reached, this paper is mainly meant to open a further investigation into this topic and open this dimension that the research on VoC and political economy have under-researched. A deeper investigation of SBLR typologies that could only be possible by having richer datasets with more data on coordination for the whole world, rather than only the advanced economies, would further our understanding of the dynamics that shape the growth paths of different countries of the world.Practical implicationsTo realize the best industrial growth path, fighting favoritism should be an important objective. The negative impact of favoritism on innovation could not be disregarded in the eve of the fourth industrial revolution, where innovation is increasingly pivotal to future industrial development. Actively engaging societal groups in the policymaking process is important in addressing their concerns and balancing them at the same time. This should lead to the double benefit of formulating better policies that should foster growth as well as provide better distribution of this growth. High levels of coordination should help in realizing this objective. Yet, this could only be possible if societal groups are free to associate and aggregate their power and when there are means of preventing one actor from gaining more favorite treatment and exclusive influence over policymakers. The presence of both powerful an","PeriodicalId":122241,"journal":{"name":"Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy","volume":" 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140689309","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Symmetry-breaking and trade in neoclassical economies with domestic policies having diminishing effect to production scale 国内政策对生产规模影响递减的新古典经济中的对称性破缺与贸易
Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.1108/frep-04-2023-0016
Tsuyoshi Shinozaki, M. Tawada, Mitsuyoshi Yanagihara
{"title":"Symmetry-breaking and trade in neoclassical economies with domestic policies having diminishing effect to production scale","authors":"Tsuyoshi Shinozaki, M. Tawada, Mitsuyoshi Yanagihara","doi":"10.1108/frep-04-2023-0016","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/frep-04-2023-0016","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThe aim of this paper is to investigate whether a Nash equilibrium of a two-country trading economy is symmetry-breaking or not.Design/methodology/approachThe approach to tackle this topic is a theoretical treatment by the general equilibrium trade theory and game theory.FindingsIf each government's domestic policy serving private production is diminishing to the private production scale, the Nash equilibrium is not symmetry-breaking.Originality/valueIn the existing study of Chatterjee (2017), a similar result is derived by focusing on the properties of each country's GDP function. The authors, however, consider an economy where each country's PPF is strictly concave and show that the Nash equilibrium uniquely exists and this equilibrium is symmetry.","PeriodicalId":122241,"journal":{"name":"Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy","volume":"24 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126859596","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Standards compliance, participation in the global value chain and the value-added of labour: evidence from Vietnam’s small-and-medium-sized enterprises 遵守标准、参与全球价值链和劳动力增值:来自越南中小企业的证据
Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2023-08-14 DOI: 10.1108/frep-04-2023-0014
M. N. Le, Hoang Long Chu
{"title":"Standards compliance, participation in the global value chain and the value-added of labour: evidence from Vietnam’s small-and-medium-sized enterprises","authors":"M. N. Le, Hoang Long Chu","doi":"10.1108/frep-04-2023-0014","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/frep-04-2023-0014","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThe authors investigate the impact of standards compliance on the participation in the global value chain and labour value-added of Vietnam’s small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs).Design/methodology/approachThe authors use a three-period panel dataset of SMEs combined with Vietnam’s Provincial Competitiveness Index. The authors also use multiple econometric models; and with each model, the authors include all independent variables that are available from the study's data and that are suggested by the literature.FindingsThe authors find that standards compliance by Vietnam’s SMEs improved their participation in the global value chain via subcontracts with FDI multinational firms. The authors also find that standards compliance improved the value-added of labour in Vietnam’s SMEs, which is robust to the choice of econometric models.Practical implicationsThe study's results suggest that better outcomes for firms and society will be possible if standards are recognised and respected.Originality/valueThis paper complements scant literature on the impact of standards compliance on global value chain participation via subcontracting work and labour value-added, especially in developing countries.","PeriodicalId":122241,"journal":{"name":"Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy","volume":"7 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122393365","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Using green and ESG assets to achieve post-COVID-19 environmental sustainability 利用绿色和ESG资产实现后covid -19环境可持续性
Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2023-05-04 DOI: 10.1108/frep-04-2022-0026
Md. Bokhtiar Hasan, PhD, M. Rashid, Md. Naiem Hossain, Md. Mirajur Rahman, Md. Ruhul Amin
{"title":"Using green and ESG assets to achieve post-COVID-19 environmental sustainability","authors":"Md. Bokhtiar Hasan, PhD, M. Rashid, Md. Naiem Hossain, Md. Mirajur Rahman, Md. Ruhul Amin","doi":"10.1108/frep-04-2022-0026","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/frep-04-2022-0026","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThis research explores the spillovers and portfolio implications for green bonds and environmental, social and governance (ESG) assets in the context of the rapidly expanding trend in green finance investments and the need for a green recovery in the post-COVID-19 era.Design/methodology/approachThis study utilizes Diebold and Yilmaz’s (2014) spillover method and portfolio strategies (hedge ratio, optimal weights and hedging effectiveness) for the data starting from February 29, 2012, to March 14, 2022.FindingsThe study’s findings reveal that the lower volatility spillover is evidenced between the green bonds and ESG stocks during tranquil and turbulent periods (e.g. COVID-19 and Russia-Ukraine War). Furthermore, hedging costs are lower both in normal times and during economic slumps. Investing the bulk of the funds in green bonds makes it possible to achieve maximum hedging effectiveness between the S&P green bond (GB) and the S&P 500 ESG.Practical implicationsBoth investors and policymakers may use these findings to make wise investment and policy choices to achieve post-COVID environmental sustainability.Originality/valueUnlike previous research, this is the first to explore the interconnectedness among the major global and country-specific green bonds and ESG assets. The major findings of this study about the lower volatility spillovers and hedging costs between green bonds and ESG assets during the tranquil and turbulent periods may contribute to the post-COVID investment portfolio for environmental sustainability.","PeriodicalId":122241,"journal":{"name":"Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy","volume":"38 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"120927154","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Green finance, sustainability disclosure and economic implications 绿色金融、可持续性信息披露及其经济影响
Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2023-04-19 DOI: 10.1108/frep-03-2022-0021
Chen Liu, S. Wu
{"title":"Green finance, sustainability disclosure and economic implications","authors":"Chen Liu, S. Wu","doi":"10.1108/frep-03-2022-0021","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/frep-03-2022-0021","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeIn this study, the authors provide a systematic literature review of articles in the emerging areas of green finance and discuss the status and challenges in sustainability disclosure, which is crucial for the efficiency of green financial instruments. The authors then review the literature on the economic implications of green finance and outline future research directions.Design/methodology/approachThe authors use the analytical framework – Search, Appraisal, Synthesis, and Analysis (SALSA) to conduct the systematic review of the literature.FindingsIncreasing public attention to the environment motivates the use of green finance to fund environmentally sustainable projects, and the rise of green finance intensifies the demand for environmental disclosure. Literature has documented tremendous growth in sustainability reporting over time and around the globe, as well as raised concerns about how such reporting lack consistency, comparability, and assurance. Despite these challenges, the authors find that in general, the literature agrees that a firm’s green practice is positively associated with its financial performance and negatively related to a firm’s cost of capital. Green finance is also found to bring about enhanced risk management and economic development.Originality/valueThe authors provide one of the first reviews of green finance, sustainability disclosure and the impact of green finance on financial performance, capital market and economic development.","PeriodicalId":122241,"journal":{"name":"Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy","volume":"19 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115721578","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 8
Hedging potentials of green investments against climate and oil market risks 绿色投资对气候和石油市场风险的对冲潜力
Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2023-04-11 DOI: 10.1108/frep-04-2022-0030
I. Adediran, R. Swaray, Aminat O. Orekoya, Balikis A. Kabir
{"title":"Hedging potentials of green investments against climate and oil market risks","authors":"I. Adediran, R. Swaray, Aminat O. Orekoya, Balikis A. Kabir","doi":"10.1108/frep-04-2022-0030","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/frep-04-2022-0030","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThis study aims to examine the ability of clean energy stocks to provide cover for investors against market risks related to climate change and disturbances in the oil market.Design/methodology/approachThe study adopts the feasible quasi generalized least squares technique to estimate a predictive model based on Westerlund and Narayan’s (2015) approach to evaluating the hedging effectiveness of clean energy stocks. The out-of-sample forecast evaluations of the oil risk-based and climate risk-based clean energy predictive models are explored using Clark and West’s model (2007) and a modified Diebold & Mariano forecast evaluation test for nested and non-nested models, respectively.FindingsThe study finds ample evidence that clean energy stocks may hedge against oil market risks. This result is robust to alternative measures of oil risk and holds when applied to data from the COVID-19 pandemic. In contrast, the hedging effectiveness of clean energy against climate risks is limited to 4 of the 6 clean energy indices and restricted to climate risk measured with climate policy uncertainty.Originality/valueThe study contributes to the literature by providing extensive analysis of hedging effectiveness of several clean energy indices (global, the United States (US), Europe and Asia) and sectoral clean energy indices (solar and wind) against oil market and climate risks using various measures of oil risk (WTI (West Texas intermediate) and Brent volatility) and climate risk (climate policy uncertainty and energy and environmental regulation) as predictors. It also conducts forecast evaluations of the clean energy predictive models for nested and non-nested models.","PeriodicalId":122241,"journal":{"name":"Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132029199","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Connectedness of green investments and uncertainties: new evidence from emerging markets 绿色投资的关联性和不确定性:来自新兴市场的新证据
Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2022-11-25 DOI: 10.1108/frep-04-2022-0028
A. E. Ogbonna, O. Olubusoye
{"title":"Connectedness of green investments and uncertainties: new evidence from emerging markets","authors":"A. E. Ogbonna, O. Olubusoye","doi":"10.1108/frep-04-2022-0028","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/frep-04-2022-0028","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThis study aims to investigate the response of green investments of emerging countries to own-market uncertainty, oil-market uncertainty and COVID-19 effect/geo-political risks (GPRs), using the tail risks of corresponding markets as measures of uncertainty.Design/methodology/approachThis study employs Westerlund and Narayan (2015) (WN)-type distributed lag model that simultaneously accounts for persistence, endogeneity and conditional heteroscedasticity, within a single model framework. The tail risks are obtained using conditional standard deviation of the residuals from an asymmetric autoregressive moving average – ARMA(1,1) – generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity – GARCH(1,1) model framework with Gaussian innovation. For out-of-sample forecast evaluation, the study employs root mean square error (RMSE), and Clark and West (2007) (CW) test for pairwise comparison of nested models, under three forecast horizons; providing statistical justification for incorporating oil tail risks and COVID-19 effects or GPRs in the predictive model.FindingsGreen returns responds significantly to own-market uncertainty (mostly positively), oil-market uncertainty (mostly positively) as well as the COVID-19 effect (mostly negatively), with some evidence of hedging potential against uncertainties that are external to the green investments market. Also, incorporating external uncertainties improves the in-sample predictability and out-of-sample forecasts, and yields some economic gains.Originality/valueThis study contributes originally to the green market-uncertainty literature in four ways. First, it generates daily tail risks (a more realistic measure of uncertainty) for emerging countries’ green returns and global oil prices. Second, it employs WN-type distributed lag model that is well suited to account for conditional heteroscedasticity, endogeneity and persistence effects; which characterizes financial series. Third, it presents both in-sample predictability and out-of-sample forecast performances. Fourth, it provides the economic gains of incorporating own-market, oil-market and COVID-19 uncertainty.","PeriodicalId":122241,"journal":{"name":"Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy","volume":"96 11","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-11-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"120924501","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
The institutional origins of state–society relations 国家-社会关系的制度起源
Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2022-10-10 DOI: 10.1108/frep-05-2022-0032
M. Sabry
{"title":"The institutional origins of state–society relations","authors":"M. Sabry","doi":"10.1108/frep-05-2022-0032","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/frep-05-2022-0032","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThis paper investigates the factors responsible for the emergence of different arrangements of state–society relations. Being concerned with the relations related to the industrial sector, this study focuses more on state–business–labor relations (SBLRs), especially on power dynamics between the main actors in these relations, namely, the state, tycoons, entrepreneurs and labor.Design/methodology/approachBased on power dynamics, four SBLR modes are identified and differentiated according to state power vis-à-vis non-state actors and tycoon power vis-à-vis the other non-state actors. The balanced mode is characterized by balanced power relations among the four considered actors. In the capture mode, tycoons are more powerful than other actors, including the state, although other nonsocial actors have organizational rights. The crony mode has powerful state, subservient tycoons who enjoy high levels of favoritism and low organizational power for the other social actors. Finally, the state-dominance mode has powerful state, low levels of favoritism to tycoons and low organizational power for all social actors. The paper then explores the factors responsible for the emergence of each of these modes by investigating the factors’ effects on state power and favoritism to tycoons. The investigated factors include historical political–economic, geographical, legal and cultural factors. The hypothesized effects of these factors are then tested using a random-effects probit regression model, investigating how the different factors affect the probability of the existence of the studied SBLR modes.FindingsThe results support much of the hypothesized relations and place more emphasis on some of the investigated factors. Earlier development is clearly responsible for the emergence of either the balanced or the state-capture SBLR mode. Geographical conditions favorable for development, such as latitude and metal richness, also lead to the emergence of either mode. The communist heritage, and more accurately the post-communist economic and incomplete political liberalism of the transition stage, contributed to the emergence of the state-capture SBLR mode. The British legal system, with the power it provides to non-state actors through the independence of judges and other measures, contributes to the emergence of the balanced SBLR mode. Cultural factors are largely responsible for the emergence of the crony SBLR mode, especially hierarchical and collectivist cultures, as well as ethnic fractionalization. On the other hand, the culture of Confucians has the strongest influence on the emergence of state dominance, while other cultures play a marginal role in its rise, and ethnic fractionalization marginally defuses the ability of the state to dominate without resorting to favoritism. Finally, access to rich natural resources, by enriching the state independently from social actors’ financial resources (e.g. taxation), marginally increases the probability of t","PeriodicalId":122241,"journal":{"name":"Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy","volume":"9 4 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128796356","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Do subnational performance assessments lead to improved governance? Evidence from a field experiment in Vietnam 地方绩效评估能改善治理吗?证据来自越南的实地实验
Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2022-09-09 DOI: 10.1108/frep-02-2022-0006
Edmund J. Malesky, Tuan-Ngoc Phan, A. Q. Le
{"title":"Do subnational performance assessments lead to improved governance? Evidence from a field experiment in Vietnam","authors":"Edmund J. Malesky, Tuan-Ngoc Phan, A. Q. Le","doi":"10.1108/frep-02-2022-0006","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/frep-02-2022-0006","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeSingle-party regimes increasingly use Subnational Performance Assessments (SPAs) – rankings of provinces and districts – to improve governance outcomes. SPAs assemble and publicize information on local government performance to facilitate monitoring and generate competition among officials. However, the evidence are sparse on their effects in this context. The authors argue that built-in incentive structures in centralized single-party regimes distort the positive impact of SPAs.Design/methodology/approachThe staggered rollout of the Vietnam Provincial Governance and Public Administration Performance Index (PAPI) created a natural experiment. Due to 2010 budget constraints, the first iteration of the PAPI survey covered only 30 of Vietnam’s 63 provinces before covering all in 2011. The PAPI team used matching procedures to identify a statistical twin for each province before randomly selecting one from each pair. The authors use randomization inference to compare the outcomes of these control and treatment groups in 2011.FindingsExposure to PAPI helped improve almost all aspects of governance; however, significant evidence of prioritization bias exist. The positive effects only persisted for the dimension of administrative procedures, which was the one area of governance that was prioritized by the central government at the time. Other dimensions only registered short-term effects.Originality/valueOur study provides an examination of the impact of SPAs in a single-party regime context. In addition, the authors leverage the natural experiment to identify information effects causally. The authors also look past short-term effects to compare outcomes for five years after the treatment occurred.","PeriodicalId":122241,"journal":{"name":"Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy","volume":"233 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116173592","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Asymmetric effects of global uncertainty: the socioeconomic and environmental vulnerability of developing countries 全球不确定性的不对称效应:发展中国家的社会经济和环境脆弱性
Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy Pub Date : 2022-06-14 DOI: 10.1108/frep-01-2022-0004
C. Nguyen, C. Schinckus, Thanh Dinh Su
{"title":"Asymmetric effects of global uncertainty: the socioeconomic and environmental vulnerability of developing countries","authors":"C. Nguyen, C. Schinckus, Thanh Dinh Su","doi":"10.1108/frep-01-2022-0004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/frep-01-2022-0004","url":null,"abstract":"PurposeThis study aims to investigate the influences of global uncertainty indicators volatility on the domestic socioeconomic and environmental vulnerability in a sample of 54 developing countries.Design/methodology/approachThe two-step system generalized method of moments estimator is recruited to deal with autoregression and endogeneity matter in our dynamic panel data. Seven different global uncertainty indicators (US trade uncertainty; world trade uncertainty; economic policy uncertainty; world commodities and oil prices; the geopolitical risk index and the world uncertainty index) have been mobilized and compared for their empirical impact on the economic (growth and GDP), social (the misery index and income inequality) and environmental (CO2 emissions) vulnerabilities of nations.FindingsOur empirical estimations suggest that the socioeconomic and environmental vulnerability cannot be solved through the same pattern: all decrease of a particular aspect will necessarily have a cost and an opposite influence on at least one of the other aspects of the nations' vulnerability.Originality/valueThe originality of this article is to combine these three dimensions of vulnerability in the same investigation. To our knowledge, our research is one of the few providing a joint analysis of the influence of global uncertainty on the economic and socioenvironmental countries' vulnerabilities – given the fact social, economic and environmental aspects are at the heart of the UN sustainable goals, our study can be seen as an investigation of the nations' capabilities to work proactively on meaningful sustainable goals in an increasingly uncertain world.","PeriodicalId":122241,"journal":{"name":"Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy","volume":"65 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-06-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133048773","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
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