Climatic Change最新文献_第3页

Government participation in virtual negotiations: evidence from IPCC approval sessions 政府参与虚拟谈判：政府间气候变化专门委员会审批会议的证据

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climatic Change Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1007/s10584-024-03790-7

Patrick Bayer, Lorenzo Crippa, Hannah Hughes, Erlend Hermansen

{"title":"Government participation in virtual negotiations: evidence from IPCC approval sessions","authors":"Patrick Bayer, Lorenzo Crippa, Hannah Hughes, Erlend Hermansen","doi":"10.1007/s10584-024-03790-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03790-7","url":null,"abstract":"The Covid-19 pandemic challenged global governance in unprecedented ways by requiring intergovernmental meetings to be held online. For the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), this meant that the intergovernmental approval of the key findings of the Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) had to be conducted virtually. In this paper, we assess how the move away from face-to-face meetings affected country participation in IPCC approval sessions. Our findings demonstrate that virtual meetings increased the size of member governments’ delegations, but this did not necessarily translate into a greater number of interventions during the approval of the Summary for Policymakers (SPM) as time zone differences reduced engagement levels significantly—particularly for countries from the Pacific, East Asian, and Latin American regions whose delegations often found themselves in IPCC meetings late at night and early in the morning. These results offer initial, empirically robust evidence about what online meetings can and cannot achieve for promoting more inclusive global governance at a time when the IPCC and other organizations reflect on the future use of virtual and hybrid meeting formats.","PeriodicalId":10372,"journal":{"name":"Climatic Change","volume":"104 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142195105","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Evaluating warming trend over the tibetan plateau based on remotely sensed air temperature from 2001 to 2020 基于 2001 至 2020 年遥感气温评估西藏高原变暖趋势

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climatic Change Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1007/s10584-024-03791-6

Yan Xin, Yongming Xu, Xudong Tong, Yaping Mo, Yonghong Liu, Shanyou Zhu

{"title":"Evaluating warming trend over the tibetan plateau based on remotely sensed air temperature from 2001 to 2020","authors":"Yan Xin, Yongming Xu, Xudong Tong, Yaping Mo, Yonghong Liu, Shanyou Zhu","doi":"10.1007/s10584-024-03791-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03791-6","url":null,"abstract":"The Tibetan Plateau (TP), the Third Pole of the world, has experienced significant warming over the past several decades. Previous studies have mostly relied on station-observed air temperature (Ta), reanalysis data, and remotely sensed land surface temperature (LST) to analyze the warming trend over the TP. However, the uneven distribution of stations, the poor spatial resolution of reanalysis data, and the differences between LST and Ta may lead to biased warming rates. This paper first maps Ta over the TP from 2001 to 2020 based on multi-source remote sensing data, and then quantifies the spatio-temporal variations of remotely sensed Ta and elevation dependent warming (EDW) of this region. The monthly mean Ta is estimated using machine learning (ML) method year by year, and its accuracy is validated based on station-observed Ta. The coefficient of determination (R2 ranges from 0.97 to 0.98 and the mean absolute error (MAE) ranges from 1.01 to1.04 °C. The remotely sensed Ta is used to analysis warming trend and EDW over the TP. The overall warming trend of the TP during 2001–2020 is 0.17 ℃/10a, and warming mainly distributed in the eastern TP, central TP and western Kunlun Mountains. Among the four seasons, autumn shows the most significant warming, tripling the annual warming rate. Winter shows a significant cooling trend, with the warming rate of -0.18 ℃/10a. The study also reveales the existence of EDW at both the annual and seasonal scales. This paper suggests the potential of remotely sensed Ta in global warming study, and also provides an improved understanding of climate warming over the TP.","PeriodicalId":10372,"journal":{"name":"Climatic Change","volume":"40 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142195104","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Should we change the term we use for “climate change”? Evidence from a national U.S. terminology experiment 我们是否应该改变 "气候变化 "一词？来自美国全国术语实验的证据

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climatic Change Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1007/s10584-024-03786-3

Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Laurel Kruke, Gale M. Sinatra, Norbert Schwarz

{"title":"Should we change the term we use for “climate change”? Evidence from a national U.S. terminology experiment","authors":"Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Laurel Kruke, Gale M. Sinatra, Norbert Schwarz","doi":"10.1007/s10584-024-03786-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03786-3","url":null,"abstract":"The terms “global warming,” “climate crisis,” “climate emergency,” and “climate justice” each draw attention to different aspects of climate change. Psychological theories of attitude formation suggest that people’s attitudes can be influenced by such variations in terminology. In a national experiment, we randomly assigned a national sample of 5,137 U.S. residents to “climate change,” “global warming,” “climate crisis,” “climate emergency,” or “climate justice” and examined their responses. Overall, “climate change” and “global warming” were rated as most familiar and most concerning, and “climate justice” the least, with ratings for “climate crisis” and “climate emergency” falling in between. Moreover, we find no evidence for “climate crisis” or “climate emergency” eliciting more perceived urgency than “climate change” or “global warming.” Rated willingness to support climate-friendly policies and eat less red meat were less affected by presented terms, but they were lowest for “climate justice.” Although effects of terms on rated familiarity, concern, and perceived urgency varied by political leaning, “climate justice” generally received the lowest ratings on these variables among Democrats, Republicans, and Independent/others. Auxiliary analyses found that when terms were unfamiliar, participants were generally less likely to express concern, urgency, policy support, or willingness to eat less red meat. We therefore recommend sticking with familiar terms, conclude that changing terminology is likely not the key solution for promoting climate action, and suggest alternative communication strategies.","PeriodicalId":10372,"journal":{"name":"Climatic Change","volume":"71 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141943634","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Agricultural soils in climate change mitigation: comparing action-based and results-based programmes for carbon sequestration 减缓气候变化中的农业土壤：比较基于行动和基于成果的固碳计划

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climatic Change Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1007/s10584-024-03787-2

Julia B. Block, Daniel Hermann, Oliver Mußhoff

{"title":"Agricultural soils in climate change mitigation: comparing action-based and results-based programmes for carbon sequestration","authors":"Julia B. Block, Daniel Hermann, Oliver Mußhoff","doi":"10.1007/s10584-024-03787-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03787-2","url":null,"abstract":"Removing greenhouse gases from the atmosphere is a major challenge for today’s society. A great source of potential for greenhouse gas sequestration is beneath our feet: agricultural soil. By accumulating soil organic carbon in soil, farmers can sequester carbon dioxide and simultaneously reach soils more resilient to extreme weather events. To encourage farmers to build up humus and thus sequester carbon, some humus programmes have been developed by non-governmental organisations. In this regard, action-based reward systems are on their way to challenging the established results-based approaches. Against this background, we analyse how action-based and results-based approaches, as well as other crucial features of humus programmes, affect farmers’ willingness to participate in a humus programme. We conducted a Discrete-Choice-Experiment and analysed it using a mixed logit model. The results show that farmers have a statistically significant preference for action-based humus programmes, shorter programme durations, higher incentives, and an annual and government-funded payment. More specifically, farmer participation is twice as likely if humus formation is rewarded for action rather than results. The willingness-to-accept calculation indicates that a results-based humus programme would cost the funding agency about €20 more per ton of carbon dioxide sequestered in the soil. Above all, humus programmes with an action-based approach and annual payments would increase farmers’ willingness to participate. Our results contribute to the development of targeted humus programmes and policies to increase carbon sequestration in agricultural soils.","PeriodicalId":10372,"journal":{"name":"Climatic Change","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141943632","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Climate justice, forests, and Indigenous Peoples: toward an alternative to REDD + for the Amazon 气候正义、森林和土著人民：亚马逊地区 REDD + 的替代方案

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climatic Change Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.1007/s10584-024-03774-7

Tracey Osborne, Sylvia Cifuentes, Laura Dev, Seánna Howard, Elisa Marchi, Lauren Withey, Marcelo Santos Rocha da Silva

引用次数: 0

Climate change distress, entrapment, and suicidal ideation 气候变化带来的困扰、禁锢和自杀意念

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climatic Change Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1007/s10584-024-03784-5

Julia Brailovskaia, Tobias Teismann

{"title":"Climate change distress, entrapment, and suicidal ideation","authors":"Julia Brailovskaia, Tobias Teismann","doi":"10.1007/s10584-024-03784-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03784-5","url":null,"abstract":"Climate change distress has been shown to be associated with markers of negative mental health. However, it is unclear whether climate change distress is also associated with suicidal ideation and whether this association might be mediated by perceptions of entrapment. On this background, the purpose of the present study was to investigate the association between climate change distress/impairment, entrapment, and suicidal ideation. Participants were recruited at a university in the Ruhr region in Germany. Overall, 323 participants (68.4% female; Mage=26.14, SDage=8.35, range: 18–63 years) filled out self-report questionnaires on climate change distress/impairment, entrapment, and suicidal ideation online. Climate change distress/impairment was significantly positively associated with suicidal ideation. Entrapment completely mediated the association between climate change distress/impairment and suicidal ideation. Results underlines how stressful and existential climate change is experienced by many young persons. Findings underscore the need to develop and evaluate interventions to target climate change distress/impairment.","PeriodicalId":10372,"journal":{"name":"Climatic Change","volume":"68 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-07-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141775234","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Detection and Attribution of Meteorological Drought to Anthropogenic Climate Change (Case Study: Ajichay basin, Iran) 气象干旱的检测和人为气候变化的归因（案例研究：伊朗阿吉恰伊盆地）

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climatic Change Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1007/s10584-024-03779-2

Fatemeh Firoozi, Ahmad Fakheri Fard, Esmaeil Asadi

{"title":"Detection and Attribution of Meteorological Drought to Anthropogenic Climate Change (Case Study: Ajichay basin, Iran)","authors":"Fatemeh Firoozi, Ahmad Fakheri Fard, Esmaeil Asadi","doi":"10.1007/s10584-024-03779-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03779-2","url":null,"abstract":"It is not clear to what extent anthropogenic activities increase meteorological drought based on regional-scale observations. This study provides a detection and attribution (D&A) analysis of external forcing on meteorological drought using the standard precipitation index for a 12-month time scale (SPI-12) on a regional scale, particularly in the Ajichay basin, from 1972 to 2020, based on models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). The Regularized Optimal Fingerprinting (ROF) method is performed for D&A analyses on two SPI-12 time series (inter-annual/decadal and long-term), which are decomposed by the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD). Observed annual precipitation, greenhouse gas (GHG) forcing, and anthropogenic-plus-natural (ALL) forcing show 62%, 33%, and 17% upward trends, respectively, based on the Mann-Kendall test. Additionally, the EEMD method reveals that the long-term trends of observed SPI-12, GHG, and ALL forcings exhibit nonlinear trends that have 7%, 3.5%, and 4.5% variance contribution rates of components, respectively. The scaling factor (β) presents the responses SPI-12 to external forcing using total least squares regression estimates in the ROF method. External forcing is detectable and attributable should β and an uncertainty range be greater than zero and spanning unity. The results show that for inter-annual/decadal SPI-12, greenhouse gas can be detected and separated from natural (NAT) and other anthropogenic forcings ((:beta:) =0.96 with 95% confidence interval of 0.64–1.2) in single, two, and three-signal analyses. In long-term evaluations, greenhouse gas forcing ((:beta:) =1.27 with a 95% confidence interval of 0.95–1.59) can be detected and separated from natural and other anthropogenic forcing in single, two, and three-signal analyses.","PeriodicalId":10372,"journal":{"name":"Climatic Change","volume":"60 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-07-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141775233","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Addressing non-economic loss and damage: learning from autonomous responses in Bangladesh 应对非经济损失和损害：从孟加拉国的自主应对措施中学习

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climatic Change Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.1007/s10584-024-03782-7

Douwe van Schie, Guy Jackson, Rawnak Jahan Khan Ranon, Afsara Binte Mirza, Md Fahad Hossain, Inès Bakthaoui, Simon Anderson

{"title":"Addressing non-economic loss and damage: learning from autonomous responses in Bangladesh","authors":"Douwe van Schie, Guy Jackson, Rawnak Jahan Khan Ranon, Afsara Binte Mirza, Md Fahad Hossain, Inès Bakthaoui, Simon Anderson","doi":"10.1007/s10584-024-03782-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03782-7","url":null,"abstract":"People in the Majority World disproportionately experience Loss and Damage (L&D) related to climate change. Policymakers and researchers are exploring ways to address L&D. However, significant knowledge gaps remain, including how to address what has been termed Non-Economic Loss and Damage (NELD). We contribute to filling this knowledge gap by analysing the NELD people are experiencing and by exploring autonomous responses to these impacts. This study took place in two regions of Bangladesh: the southwestern Shyamnagar Upazila and the northcentral Durgapur Upazila. We find that people autonomously formulate responses to various NELD from different climate-related hazards (e.g., droughts, floods, and heatwaves). In doing so, people rely on various factors, such as financial assets and social relationships, to respond to NELD. However, because marginalised groups and individuals have little capacity to respond, they are forced to adopt certain responses that further erode their well-being. Moving forward, interventions responding to NELD can identify, build on, support and complement some of these existing responses. We argue that strengthening the capacity of affected people will better enable people to formulate non-erosive responses to NELD.","PeriodicalId":10372,"journal":{"name":"Climatic Change","volume":"21 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-07-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141745901","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Patterns of climate-change coping among late adolescents: Differences in emotions concerning the future, moral responsibility, and climate-change engagement 晚期青少年应对气候变化的模式：关于未来、道德责任和气候变化参与的情感差异

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climatic Change Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.1007/s10584-024-03778-3

Amanda Rikner Martinsson, Maria Ojala

{"title":"Patterns of climate-change coping among late adolescents: Differences in emotions concerning the future, moral responsibility, and climate-change engagement","authors":"Amanda Rikner Martinsson, Maria Ojala","doi":"10.1007/s10584-024-03778-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03778-3","url":null,"abstract":"Young people both are and will be greatly affected by climate change, an insight which can trigger a range of stressful emotions concerning the future. How young people cope with climate change as a stressor can be of importance for both moral responsibility and climate-change engagement. People often use a combination of coping strategies; however, the focus thus far has merely been on isolated coping strategies. Using a person-centered approach, the aim of this study was to examine: (1) patterns of climate-change coping among late adolescents and (2) if late adolescents characterized by unique patterns of coping differ regarding emotions concerning the future (worry, pessimism, optimism), moral responsibility, and climate-change engagement (outcome expectancy and climate-friendly food choices). A questionnaire study was conducted with 474 Swedish senior high-school students (16–22 years old, mean age: 17.91). A cluster analysis revealed three unique patterns of coping: The solution-oriented group (43%, high on problem- and meaning-focused coping), the avoidant group (33%, high on de-emphasizing and meaning-focused coping), and the uninvolved group (24%, low on all coping strategies). The solution-oriented group differed from the other two groups in reporting more climate-change worry, moral responsibility, outcome expectancy, and climate-friendly food choices. The uninvolved group reported more climate-change worry, moral responsibility, and climate-friendly food choices than the avoidant group, and the least optimism. The avoidant group was the least pessimistic. Our results reveal the importance of exploring patterns of climate-change coping to understand young people’s engagement concerning this global threat.","PeriodicalId":10372,"journal":{"name":"Climatic Change","volume":"62 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-07-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141740882","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Blue rings in Bristlecone pine as a high resolution indicator of past cooling events 作为过去冷却事件高分辨率指标的刺柏蓝环

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climatic Change Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: 10.1007/s10584-024-03773-8

Liliana Siekacz, Charlotte Pearson, Matthew Salzer, Natalia Soja-Kukieła, Marcin Koprowski

{"title":"Blue rings in Bristlecone pine as a high resolution indicator of past cooling events","authors":"Liliana Siekacz, Charlotte Pearson, Matthew Salzer, Natalia Soja-Kukieła, Marcin Koprowski","doi":"10.1007/s10584-024-03773-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03773-8","url":null,"abstract":"This study develops the use of ‘blue rings’ (BR), reflecting incomplete cell wall lignification, as a sensitive thermal indicator in bristlecone pine (Pinus longaeva D.K. Bailey). Using double-stained anatomical thin-sections, we explore the climatic and topographical constraints governing BR formation by developing a time-series from 83 cores and comparing BR occurrence with the full temporal span of available climatic data (1895–2008 CE). Lignification is temperature-dependent and continues at a cellular level post-radial growth completion. As BRs reflect incomplete lignification, they can serve as a higher resolution and more sensitive proxy for past cooling than previously established tree-growth indicators. Results indicate that blue ring formation is primarily induced by low September temperatures and responds more sensitively to cooling than the well-established frost-ring record. Additionally, the occurrence and intensity of blue rings decreases gradually below the upper tree line. Bristlecone pine BRs are demonstrated to have significant capacity to enhance the reconstruction of past cooling events in North America connected with both localized and hemispheric scale forcing over multi-millennial timescales. Given its unmatched longevity, the species offers an unparalleled potential for Holocene length climate reconstruction. Findings also highlight the potential for blue rings to provide a more nuanced understanding of past temperature fluctuations across multi-millennial timescales.","PeriodicalId":10372,"journal":{"name":"Climatic Change","volume":"45 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-07-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141740695","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0