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PREDICTING HIGH-GROWTH FIRMS IN KAZAKHSTAN WITH MACHINE LEARNING METHODS 用机器学习方法预测哈萨克斯坦的高增长公司
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI: 10.52123/1994-2370-2022-668
Yelzhas Kadyr, A. Aituar, S. Kemelbayeva
{"title":"PREDICTING HIGH-GROWTH FIRMS IN KAZAKHSTAN WITH MACHINE LEARNING METHODS","authors":"Yelzhas Kadyr, A. Aituar, S. Kemelbayeva","doi":"10.52123/1994-2370-2022-668","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.52123/1994-2370-2022-668","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, we study the effectiveness of popular machine learning methods for predicting high-growth firms in Kazakhstan and analyze this question with a set of 2012-2018 panel datasets. Moreover, we study the most important variables for the prediction of high-growth firms out of 50 variables included in the analysis. We develop a predictive design, where the past values are used to train classifiers that are applied in predicting future outcomes. Hereto, a test sample was used to evaluate the predictive performance of the classifiers. The results indicate that the best performing classifier increases the area under the curve equal to 0.8746. In terms of the variable importance, the firm’s past growth in size, past growth in employment, past growth in revenue, and second derivative of the growth of financial variables contributed the most to predicting high-growth firms.","PeriodicalId":101499,"journal":{"name":"PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE","volume":"31 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114282266","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
CYBERSECURITY AND CURRENT GLOBAL THREATS IN CENTRAL ASIA 网络安全和中亚当前的全球威胁
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI: 10.52123/1994-2370-2022-657
Marzhan Orumbayeva, A. Kurmangali
{"title":"CYBERSECURITY AND CURRENT GLOBAL THREATS IN CENTRAL ASIA","authors":"Marzhan Orumbayeva, A. Kurmangali","doi":"10.52123/1994-2370-2022-657","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.52123/1994-2370-2022-657","url":null,"abstract":"Cybersecurity issues have become the main feature for internal security in Central Asia, since today everything is subject to digitization processes: personal documents, video surveillance, electronic dossiers on suspects, interception of cellular communications, forecasting and information collection, etc. Cyber defense, like nuclear deterrence, began to be implemented through deterrence, so here the fundamental strategic balance may be disrupted with relatively modest resources. One of the significant topics associated with the regulation of numerical space is represented as a guarantee of cybersecurity. Against the background of increasing extremism, this problem is extremely topical for CA. Even if the Central Asian states have not yet achieved the level of a high-tech community, the subject of cybersecurity has takeover the regional media in an ambivalent context.","PeriodicalId":101499,"journal":{"name":"PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE","volume":"133 2 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132186601","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
FEATURES OF INTERACTION BETWEEN STATE BODIES AND THE POPULATION 国家机关与民众互动的特点
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI: 10.52123/1994-2370-2022-649
Indira BOPINA-OMAROVA
{"title":"FEATURES OF INTERACTION BETWEEN STATE BODIES AND THE POPULATION","authors":"Indira BOPINA-OMAROVA","doi":"10.52123/1994-2370-2022-649","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.52123/1994-2370-2022-649","url":null,"abstract":"Within the framework of the study, the essence of the interaction of state bodies and the population is considered. The definition of the system of interaction between state bodies and the population is given. The interrelation of the development of ICT, e-government in the communications of the authorities and the population in a general sense and on the example of the OECD is presented. Conclusions and proposals for improving the interaction of the population and state bodies are also formulated.","PeriodicalId":101499,"journal":{"name":"PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130287740","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
MIGRATION POLICY IN THE CONTEXT OF GLOBAL CHALLENGES: ANALYSIS OF THE CAUSES OF INTELLECTUAL MIGRATION IN KAZAKHSTAN 全球挑战背景下的移民政策:对哈萨克斯坦智力移民原因的分析
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI: 10.52123/1994-2370-2022-825
B. Bokayev, Azat Kaimoldiyev, Zhuldyz Davletbayeva, Bauyrzhan Urazymbetov
{"title":"MIGRATION POLICY IN THE CONTEXT OF GLOBAL CHALLENGES: ANALYSIS OF THE CAUSES OF INTELLECTUAL MIGRATION IN KAZAKHSTAN","authors":"B. Bokayev, Azat Kaimoldiyev, Zhuldyz Davletbayeva, Bauyrzhan Urazymbetov","doi":"10.52123/1994-2370-2022-825","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.52123/1994-2370-2022-825","url":null,"abstract":"This article discusses the intellectual migration of Kazakhstanis who completed their studies at foreign universities. Based on the results of in-depth interviews with 22 Kazakh graduates of foreign universities living abroad, the motives and reasons for their moving to other countries are analyzed, the process of transforming educational migration into intellectual migration is studied, and the factors affecting the willingness of Kazakhstanis to return to their homeland are considered. The results of the study showed that the main reasons for migrating abroad are: family circumstances, the possibility of fully applying competencies and acquired knowledge, gaining professional experience, as well as a high level of economic development, comfort and security, transparency in employment process and satisfactory wages in recipient countries. Meanwhile, according to the study, the factors that push out highly qualified specialists from Kazakhstan are: lack of career prospects, low wages, disagreement with the current political system and climatic conditions.","PeriodicalId":101499,"journal":{"name":"PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE","volume":"350 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123186833","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT THROUGH TAKING “100 CONCRETE STEPS”: AN OUTSIDER’S ASSESSMENT 通过“100个具体步骤”实现经济发展:一个局外人的评估
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI: 10.52123/1994-2370-2022-743
H. Yeung
{"title":"ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT THROUGH TAKING “100 CONCRETE STEPS”: AN OUTSIDER’S ASSESSMENT","authors":"H. Yeung","doi":"10.52123/1994-2370-2022-743","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.52123/1994-2370-2022-743","url":null,"abstract":"In this article, the author seeks to examine the economic development in Kazakhstan through the lens of his prior research about the Middle East and East/Southeast Asia. This article has a two-fold objective. Firstly, it will reflect on the wider economic reform plans in the country and considers if those fit into some existing economic theories on growth. Secondly, it will use two specific reforms as put forward by the “100 Concrete Steps” as examples of further reflection, namely establishing the Astana International Financial Center and tackling corruption. In this research, the author will employ mainly a comparative method but also supplemented by other methods such as historical approach, induction reasoning and use of pre-existing empirical evidence. In its comparison, the article will consider the experiences of other financial centers which have transplanted common law such as the Dubai International Financial Center and the lessons of Hong Kong and Singapore in successfully tackling corruption. This article contends that together with other ongoing reforms, the path of Kazakhstan seems to now prompt along the lines of a Western model of growth in which democracy, low corruption and rule of law are the emphasis, but with an understanding that it is not necessarily the only path Kazakhstan can undertake.","PeriodicalId":101499,"journal":{"name":"PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE","volume":"11 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125858815","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
THE ARCTIC DIRECTION OF NORWAY'S POLICY: A DOCTRINAL BASIS 挪威政策的北极方向:理论基础
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI: 10.52123/1994-2370-2022-658
Yermek Chukubaev, D. Kalibekuly, A. Yermekbayev
{"title":"THE ARCTIC DIRECTION OF NORWAY'S POLICY: A DOCTRINAL BASIS","authors":"Yermek Chukubaev, D. Kalibekuly, A. Yermekbayev","doi":"10.52123/1994-2370-2022-658","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.52123/1994-2370-2022-658","url":null,"abstract":"The article examines the features of the doctrinal basis of the Norwegian policy in the Arctic, as well as the military-political strategy to ensure the security of the region. The doctrinal framework of Norwegian policy will put Arctic strategy at the forefront. It has been established that Norway owns the systemic regulation of the legal issues of the Arctic region among the Scandinavian countries, serving at the same time as a kind of model for working out mechanisms to defend interests at the regional and international levels. At the same time, it is Norway that owns an innovative approach to the development of hydrocarbons in the Arctic, to the development of a green economy, which are based on environmental protection, the introduction of science-intensive technologies, incl. alternative energy sources. The doctrinal basis of Norwegian policy towards the Arctic region is characterized by specific directions, where the priority is mainly international cooperation, business development, knowledge development, infrastructure, environmental protection and emergency preparedness. The conceptual basis of Norway's doctrines in the field of Arctic region policy consists of the integration of knowledge, science and business, with the aim of sustainable development of the Arctic. In the doctrinal basis of Norway, security issues and the military-political strategy in relation to the Arctic region play an important role. These issues are regulated by such international relations as NORDAC (Nordic Armaments Cooperation), NATO and the maintenance of bilateral relations and partnership with Russia. In Norway's security policy, the main role is played by the NATO strategy, which is based on systemic exercises of practicing military action in the Arctic and the fulfillment of certain missions by Norway due to the recent Crimean events.","PeriodicalId":101499,"journal":{"name":"PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE","volume":"26 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121817647","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The digitalization and its influence on combating corruption 数字化及其对反腐败的影响
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE Pub Date : 2022-03-30 DOI: 10.52123/1994-2370-2022-570
Darwish Alaa, O. Misko
{"title":"The digitalization and its influence on combating corruption","authors":"Darwish Alaa, O. Misko","doi":"10.52123/1994-2370-2022-570","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.52123/1994-2370-2022-570","url":null,"abstract":"In last years, many governments in all over the world have made a lot of efforts to improve the level of disclosure and transparency in their actions by using the information and communication technology (ICT) which includes: the internet, mobile applications and the social media. And the main target for this transformation is not only to improve the disclosure and transparency, but also to combat corruption. In this paper we are defining the digitalization and corruption and analyzing from the available resources the influence of digitalization on combating and eliminating the corruption.","PeriodicalId":101499,"journal":{"name":"PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE","volume":"409 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124348073","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Kazakhstani foreign policy elite: conceptual approach and practical activity 哈萨克斯坦外交政策精英:概念方法与实践活动
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE Pub Date : 2022-03-30 DOI: 10.52123/1994-2370-2022-621
L. Abdrazakova, Zhansaya Zhabina
{"title":"Kazakhstani foreign policy elite: conceptual approach and practical activity","authors":"L. Abdrazakova, Zhansaya Zhabina","doi":"10.52123/1994-2370-2022-621","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.52123/1994-2370-2022-621","url":null,"abstract":"The article analyzes the influence of the Kazakhstani foreign policy elite in the context of the geopolitical challenges of the present time. The article reflects a specific case of a geopolitical challenge as a military conflict between Ukraine and Russia, the position and consequences for Kazakhstan. Relying on the idea of neo-Eurasianism since the formation of our country and, accordingly, the priority tasks of the concept of foreign policy, Kazakhstan invariably continues to move along the path of a multi-vector policy. Experts and analysts actively criticized and supported the multi-vector policy in making foreign policy decisions. It is worth noting that the principles formed over 30 years in the country's foreign policy give fruitful results and solutions, but there are difficulties in the foreign economic sphere, while having a huge arsenal for stable implementation, but since our country is an integral part of the system of international relations, any challenge in the international arena affects both our country and all countries of the world. The conclusions and recommendations in this article fully reveal the advantages of Kazakhstan over geopolitical threats and challenges, in no way inferior to the great powers.","PeriodicalId":101499,"journal":{"name":"PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE","volume":"5 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128178232","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Sinophobia: the history of its formation and manifestation 恐华症:其形成与表现的历史
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE Pub Date : 2022-03-30 DOI: 10.52123/1994-2370-2022-655
Erlan Jurynbayev
{"title":"Sinophobia: the history of its formation and manifestation","authors":"Erlan Jurynbayev","doi":"10.52123/1994-2370-2022-655","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.52123/1994-2370-2022-655","url":null,"abstract":"Despite the fact that the history of mankind has entered a new stage of development, it should be noted the existence of various national phobias, known as a symbol of archaism. I would like to focus on the problem of sinophobia, which can be noted as one of the trends that have taken place in modern world politics. We know that there are many issues of pre-confessional or negative assessment of a particular nation in history, but among the phobias that are becoming increasingly relevant in modern political science, there is every reason to believe that sinophobia is relevant for our political science. We can say that the coronavirus pandemic, which is still not slowing down in the world, has become one of the reasons for the strengthening of these sinophobic tendencies. Of course, sinophobia is known to be one of the long-standing trends. In this article we will try to analyze the emergence of sinophobia, its specifics and historical evolution. I would also like to focus on the trend in the development of sinophobia and its impact on the problem of national security.","PeriodicalId":101499,"journal":{"name":"PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130000408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Development of bilateral cooperation between Russia and the United States in space exploration 发展俄罗斯和美国在空间探索方面的双边合作
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE Pub Date : 2022-03-30 DOI: 10.52123/1994-2370-2022-623
А.Е. Ibrayeva, А.М. Kussainova, H. Sadri
{"title":"Development of bilateral cooperation between Russia and the United States in space exploration","authors":"А.Е. Ibrayeva, А.М. Kussainova, H. Sadri","doi":"10.52123/1994-2370-2022-623","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.52123/1994-2370-2022-623","url":null,"abstract":"The article considers the formation and development of bilateral international cooperation between Russia and the United States in the space sector. Russia and the United States began to cooperate in space exploration at the very beginning of their manned programs, because it was space that turned out to be a very practical area of interaction, far from general political problems. Since both states are susceptible to certain encroachments on their positions in space explorations, outer space is a domain where the concerns of Russia and the United States mirror each other. At the same time, both parties are quite strongly interdependent on each other in this area. The participation of both states is necessary to ensure one of the most high-priority and expensive projects in astronautics - the International Space Station (ISS). However, the ISS is scheduled to be decommissioned in 2031 and no real replacement exists yet (with only the planning stage underway). According to researchers, this is not enough to maintain peaceful relations in space between Russia and the United States. Therefore, any statement affecting this area immediately becomes the object of close political and public attention.","PeriodicalId":101499,"journal":{"name":"PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION AND CIVIL SERVICE","volume":"18 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134618502","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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