{"title":"U.S. Unemployment insurance through the Covid-19 crisis","authors":"Francesco Spadafora","doi":"10.1016/j.jge.2023.100069","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jge.2023.100069","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The Unemployment Insurance (UI) system in the United States has played a decisive lifeline role in effectively mitigating the economic and social impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, which prompted the largest expansion of UI programs in history, one that is unprecedented in scope, scale and cost. However, the crisis has once again exposed some well-known challenges of the program, perhaps best epitomized by the steady decline since the 1980s of both the recipiency rate and the wage replacement rate, which is partly related to the UI system's funding structure. As a result, on the eve of the pandemic less than one in three unemployed workers used to collect UI benefits – of lower amounts and often for shorter periods of time than before – despite that the average duration of unemployment had almost doubled in the aftermath of the Great Recession. The pandemic has also laid bare additional shortcomings – most notably in the effectiveness of the UI delivery infrastructure to provide timely and accurate payments – which have prompted further calls for modernizing the UI system. The objective of this paper is threefold: first, after a brief description of the main structural characteristics of the UI system, it compares the role played by UI in mitigating the impact of the 2008–09 Great Recession and the 2020 Covid-19 pandemic; second, it reviews the empirical evidence from the pandemic on potential demand-side (countercyclical stabilization) and supply-side (job-search disincentives) effects of emergency extensions of UI programs. Finally, it discusses the main lessons that the expansion of UI programs to respond to the pandemic can offer to inform – and enrich – the debate on whether and how to reform the UI system. The experience with the UI system provides fundamental lessons that can usefully inform the debate on whether and how to introduce – for example in Europe – a common unemployment insurance scheme for macroeconomic stabilization.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100785,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Government and Economics","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100069"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50184143","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Active labor market as an instrument to reduce unemployment","authors":"Manuchehr Irandoust","doi":"10.1016/j.jge.2023.100065","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jge.2023.100065","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In order to have an impact on the labor market, welfare states must implement active labor market policies (ALMPs). The effectiveness of ALMPs has only been the subject of a few numbers of studies, the majority of which only take into account the short-term effects of ALMPs and use aggregate data. We examine the impact of public spending on female and male unemployment rates by disaggregating data on unemployment for nine OECD countries and focusing on long-term effects of ALMPs, primarily to determine whether there is evidence of causation between the variables. Based on the bootstrap panel Granger causality test, the estimates account for cross-sectional dependence, slope heterogeneity, and structural breaks. Although the causality direction varies by country, our study demonstrates that ALMPs are helpful at lowering unemployment. It's interesting to notice that these policies appear to have the most positive effects for women. Policymakers must provide appropriate support for ALMPs in order to effectively lower unemployment.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100785,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Government and Economics","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100065"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50184146","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Erratum regarding missing Declaration of competing interest in previously published articles","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.jge.2023.100066","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jge.2023.100066","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100785,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Government and Economics","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100066"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50184148","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The background of political leaders and capital flight: Evidence from Africa,","authors":"Ajoumessi Houmpe Donal","doi":"10.1016/j.jge.2023.100068","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jge.2023.100068","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In studies of government and economics, an important issue is the relationship between the background of political leaders and economic performance. The aim of this paper is to empirically study the relationship between the background of political leaders and capital flight in Africa. Using a sample of 38 African countries from 2008 to 2018, we find that political horizon, the age and the profession of the political leaders stimulate capital flight, using Driscoll-Kraay methods, 2SLS and MLLI. Oil rent and corruption are the transmission channels that amplify the nature of the tenure-capital flight relationship. The results also highlight the existence of an inverted U-shaped relationship between political tenure and capital flight. On the other hand, high educated leaders, i.e. those with a master's degree and/or doctorate (HEL), contain the malaise; especially in oil-producing countries. It follows that in order to curb capital flight, it would be advisable to set up electoral laws that would perpetuate the accession to power of high educated leaders.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100785,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Government and Economics","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100068"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50184145","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Aria Ardalan , Sebastian G. Kessing , Salmai Qari , Malte Zoubek
{"title":"Does capital bear the burden of local corporate taxes? Evidence from Germany","authors":"Aria Ardalan , Sebastian G. Kessing , Salmai Qari , Malte Zoubek","doi":"10.1016/j.jge.2023.100067","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jge.2023.100067","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Exploiting the German 2008 tax reform we employ an event study design to assess the effects of local corporate taxes on stock prices. We match firms to the local tax rates at their respective headquarters and analyze the differential stock market responses to the reform decision. We find that firms which are located in high tax jurisdictions and therefore face a possible high tax reduction significantly outperform firms in low tax jurisdictions during the decision-making process. The results indicate that firm owners partially bear the burden of local corporate taxes.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100785,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Government and Economics","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100067"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50184144","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The nature of the market: The roads from taking to trading","authors":"Yi-Jiang Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.jge.2023.100061","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jge.2023.100061","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>A Hobbesian society is modeled to study how the market emerges from violence. From a Cournot military contest for wealth, primitive markets emerge when Rousseau's Garden of Eden or an arms race is the equilibrium rather than war. Politically-dominated (<em>e.g.</em>, socialist) or Smithian markets with a government results from war or an arms race. The study reveals the roads to diverse political-market systems (<em>e.g.</em>, the market economy), explains the integrated political and economic nature of the market, and demonstrates the value of viewing violence as an industry. It enlightens issues such as the classic Hobbesian-Rousseau debate, the causes of wealth, and the Coasian bargain.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100785,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Government and Economics","volume":"8 ","pages":"Article 100061"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667319323000046/pdfft?md5=575dd9e609438f026ccfd3de05cb38f5&pid=1-s2.0-S2667319323000046-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"86354563","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
M. Emranul Haque , Paul Middleditch , Shuonan Zhang
{"title":"Mitigating economic volatility: When building efficient financial markets should supersede conventional economic policy","authors":"M. Emranul Haque , Paul Middleditch , Shuonan Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.jge.2023.100059","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jge.2023.100059","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The choice of instruments for mitigating economic volatility is a serious consideration for policymakers and important question in government and economics. Using a DSGE model with endogenous technology creation, we show that efficient financial markets are more effective than conventional economic policies, such as fiscal interventions, in reducing economic volatility. Our findings are consistent with data from the Chinese and the US economies who contrast in structure perfectly for the purpose of our comparison. The implication is that rather than focusing on conventional economic policies, a government should help establish efficient financial markets to allow producers a hedge into equity finance during times of financial stress.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100785,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Government and Economics","volume":"8 ","pages":"Article 100059"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667319323000022/pdfft?md5=19539db90563f2d49ada19d981262016&pid=1-s2.0-S2667319323000022-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"75439333","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The origin of market and government, national policies towards globalization, compliance of fiscal rules, trade shocks and corruption, and effectiveness of government policies in smoothing economic volatility","authors":"Zhangkai Huang, David Daokui Li","doi":"10.1016/j.jge.2023.100062","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jge.2023.100062","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100785,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Government and Economics","volume":"8 ","pages":"Article 100062"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667319323000058/pdfft?md5=2a420c60c17fc6db471df2c3e23ee2ea&pid=1-s2.0-S2667319323000058-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"81608612","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Do governments stick to their announced fiscal rules? A study of Latin American and the Caribbean countries","authors":"Carolina Ulloa-Suarez , Oscar Valencia","doi":"10.1016/j.jge.2023.100058","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jge.2023.100058","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper introduces a dataset that gathers information on whether and how Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) have complied with or deviated from implemented fiscal rules. It provides annual data on fiscal rules for 14 LAC countries from 2000 to 2020, and it considers the design features of the rules and information about numerical compliance. It provides descriptive statistics reflecting the panorama of the fiscal rules implemented in LAC countries. Additionally, it calculates compliance rates across countries, years, and rules. On average, this study finds that compliance with rules aiming to constrain debt ratios and structural balances is the highest, while compliance with fiscal balance and expenditure rules is the lowest. Furthermore, the data collection process revealed that LAC countries still have room for discretion even when they subject their fiscal policy to rules. To address this problem, the paper proposes an adjusted compliance index that considers different elements that add degrees of discretion to the rule. The study finds that the numerical compliance rates of each country are likely to be over-estimated once discretionary actions are accounted for.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100785,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Government and Economics","volume":"8 ","pages":"Article 100058"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667319323000010/pdfft?md5=bd82062f9e0d22deea7de4de818589b4&pid=1-s2.0-S2667319323000010-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"84252863","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Understanding national-government policies regarding globalization: A trade-finance analysis","authors":"Assaf Razin","doi":"10.1016/j.jge.2023.100060","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jge.2023.100060","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Why different national governments have different policies regarding globalization? This is an important research topic of government and economics. In the paper, I analyze how different income groups have different attitudes towards globalization; and how such attitudes shape government policy. A standard example is that more openness in trade benefits the owners of a country's abundant factor, while reducing the income of the owners of the scarce factor. Welfare-state policy depends on which income group is politically dominant. The paper adopts the framework of a small open economy trading in goods and financial securities with the rest of the world, to provide a general-equilibrium analysis of income-based globalization attitudes for national welfare-state government policies. The analysis shows that different income groups have varied attitudes towards globalization, depending on trade-related and macro-related fundamentals. They are: (i) the degree of trade border frictions, (ii) the degree of international finance frictions, (iii) the relative factor abundance that determines the capital intensity of the country's exports; and, (iv) the domestic saving propensity on one hand, and the productivity of domestic investment, on the other hand-determining whether the country is a financial capital exporter or importer.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100785,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Government and Economics","volume":"8 ","pages":"Article 100060"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667319323000034/pdfft?md5=1665689d59becdd65d7e856d8639bd5a&pid=1-s2.0-S2667319323000034-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78459571","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}