Jinhao Liao, Linjie Wang, Lian Duan, Fengying Gong, Huijuan Zhu, Hui Pan, Hongbo Yang
{"title":"Association between estimated glucose disposal rate and cardiovascular diseases in patients with diabetes or prediabetes: a cross-sectional study.","authors":"Jinhao Liao, Linjie Wang, Lian Duan, Fengying Gong, Huijuan Zhu, Hui Pan, Hongbo Yang","doi":"10.1186/s12933-024-02570-y","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12933-024-02570-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Insulin resistance proxy indicators are significantly associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and diabetes. However, the correlations between the estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR) index and CVD and its subtypes have yet to be thoroughly researched.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>10,690 respondents with diabetes and prediabetes from the NHANES 1999-2016 were enrolled in the study. Three machine learning methods (SVM-RFE, XGBoost, and Boruta algorithms) were employed to select the most critical variables. Logistic regression models were established to evaluate the association between eGDR and CVD. We applied ROC curves, C-statistics, NRI, IDI, calibration curves, and DCA curves to assess model performance. Subgroup analyses were conducted to investigate the association among different subgroups.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Participants in the higher quartile showed a decreased prevalence of CVD. Multivariate logistic regression models and RCS curves demonstrated that eGDR had an independently negative linear correlation with the likelihood of CVD[Q4 vs. Q1: OR 0.24(0.18,0.32)], CAD[OR 0.81(0.78,0.85)], CHF[OR 0.81(0.76,0.86)], and stroke[0.85(0.80,0.90)]. Model evaluation showed better performance in fully adjusted models than basic models[C-statistics(Model 3 vs. Model 1): CVD(0.683 vs. 0.814), CAD(0.672 vs. 0.807), CHF(0.714 vs. 0.839) and stroke(0.660 vs. 0.790)]. The AUCs of eGDR were significantly higher than the values of other IR surrogates in the unadjusted models, and slightly higher in the fully adjusted models. Subgroup analyses indicated that the results were robust.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>A lower eGDR was significantly associated with a heightened likelihood of CVD and its subtypes in diabetic and prediabetic populations. And eGDR exhibited better performance in evaluating the associations compared to other IR proxies encompassing TyG, HOMA-IR, QCUIKI, METS-IR, etc.</p>","PeriodicalId":9374,"journal":{"name":"Cardiovascular Diabetology","volume":"24 1","pages":"13"},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142977779","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Teresa M Linares-Pineda, Alfonso Lendínez-Jurado, Alberto Piserra-López, María Suárez-Arana, María Pozo, María Molina-Vega, María José Picón-César, Sonsoles Morcillo
{"title":"Longitudinal DNA methylation profiles in saliva of offspring from mothers with gestational diabetes: associations with early childhood growth patterns.","authors":"Teresa M Linares-Pineda, Alfonso Lendínez-Jurado, Alberto Piserra-López, María Suárez-Arana, María Pozo, María Molina-Vega, María José Picón-César, Sonsoles Morcillo","doi":"10.1186/s12933-024-02568-6","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12933-024-02568-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The prevalence of obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is rising globally, particularly among children exposed to adverse intrauterine environments, such as those associated with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). Epigenetic modifications, specifically DNA methylation, have emerged as mechanisms by which early environmental exposures can predispose offspring to metabolic diseases. This study aimed to investigate DNA methylation differences in children born to mothers with GDM compared to non-GDM mothers, using saliva samples, and to assess the association of these epigenetic patterns with early growth measurements.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This study analyzed saliva DNA methylation patterns in 30 children (15 born to GDM mothers and 15 to non-GDM mothers) from the EPIDG cohort. Samples were collected at two time points: 8-10 weeks postpartum and at one year of age. Epigenome-wide analysis of over 850,000 CpG sites was conducted using the Illumina Methylation EPIC Bead Chip. Differential methylation positions (DMPs) were identified with the limma package, using a significance threshold of p < 0.01 and delta β ≥ 5%. Correlation analysis examined associations between methylation and growth variables (weight, height, BMI and annual growth) using Spearman tests.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We identified 6,968 DMPs at the postpartum stage and 5,132 after one year, with 50 sites remaining differentially methylated over time, 16 of which maintained consistent methylation directionality. Functional analysis linked several of these DMPs to genes involved in inflammation and metabolic processes, including CYTH3 and FARP2, both implicated in growth and metabolic pathways. Significant correlations were found between specific CpG sites and growth-related variables such as weight, head circumference, height, and BMI.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>This study's longitudinal design reveals stable DNA methylation patterns in saliva samples that differentiate GDM-exposed children from controls across the first year of life, highlighting the feasibility of saliva as a minimally invasive biomarker source. The persistence of these epigenetic signatures underscores their potential as early indicators of metabolic risk, offering valuable insights into the long-term impact of maternal GDM on child health. Although the use of saliva offers a practical and non-invasive tool for pediatric epigenetic research, further studies are necessary to validate these findings in larger populations.</p>","PeriodicalId":9374,"journal":{"name":"Cardiovascular Diabetology","volume":"24 1","pages":"15"},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142977797","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Association between triglyceride-glucose (TyG) related indices and cardiovascular diseases and mortality among individuals with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: a cohort study of UK Biobank.","authors":"Yanan Qiao, Yue Wang, Cheng Chen, Yueqing Huang, Chunhua Zhao","doi":"10.1186/s12933-024-02572-w","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12933-024-02572-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) related indices, which serve as simple markers for insulin resistance, have been closely linked to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), cardiovascular disease (CVD), and mortality. However, the prognostic utility of TyG-related indices in predicting the risk of CVD and mortality among patients with MASLD remains unclear.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data of 97,331 MASLD patients, with a median age of 58.0 years and free of CVD at baseline, were obtained from the UK Biobank. The TyG index, along with its combination with adiposity parameters (i.e. body mass index [BMI], waist circumference [WC], and waist-to-height ratio [WHtR]), were calculated. Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline (RCS) were performed to evaluate the associations between TyG-related indices and the risk of overall CVD, coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, all-cause mortality, and cardiovascular mortality. Additionally, Harrell's C-index, net reclassification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement index (IDI) were used to assess the predictive performance of these indices.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Over a median follow-up of 13.56 years, we identified 13,256 cases of overall CVD, 10,980 CHD, 2,926 stroke, 8,809 all-cause mortality, and 1,796 cardiovascular mortality. Compared with the lowest quartile of TyG-related indices, participants with MASLD in the high quartile of TyG-related indices had a significantly increased risk of incident overall CVD, CHD, stroke, and mortality. Specifically, the hazard ratios of occurring overall CVD in the fourth versus the first quartiles were 1.19 (95% confidence interval: 1.13-1.25) for TyG, 1.35 (1.28-1.42) for TyG-BMI, 1.33 (1.26-1.40) for TyG-WC, and 1.39 (1.32-1.46) for TyG-WHtR. RCS analyses indicated a nonlinear association of TyG with CVD outcomes (all P values for nonlinearity < 0.05), whereas there exhibited linear trends in TyG-BMI, TyG-WC, and TyG-WHtR with CVD outcomes (all P values for nonlinearity > 0.05, except for TyG-WC with stroke). Furthermore, TyG-WC and TyG-WHtR demonstrated the significantly higher C-index, NRI, and IDI in predicting risk of CVD and mortality in MASLD patients.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>TyG-related indices, especially TyG-WC and TyG-WHtR, had significant predictive values for the risk of incident CVD and mortality in individuals with MASLD. TyG-related indices may serve as effective surrogate predictors of CVD and mortality in MASLD patients.</p>","PeriodicalId":9374,"journal":{"name":"Cardiovascular Diabetology","volume":"24 1","pages":"12"},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142977780","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Chiara Pavanello, Massimiliano Ruscica, Sofia Castiglione, Giuliana Germana Mombelli, Antonia Alberti, Laura Calabresi, Cesare Riccardo Sirtori
{"title":"Triglyceride-glucose index: carotid intima-media thickness and cardiovascular risk in a European population.","authors":"Chiara Pavanello, Massimiliano Ruscica, Sofia Castiglione, Giuliana Germana Mombelli, Antonia Alberti, Laura Calabresi, Cesare Riccardo Sirtori","doi":"10.1186/s12933-025-02574-2","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12933-025-02574-2","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is now widely recognized as a marker of insulin resistance and has been linked to the development and prognosis of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVD) in numerous populations, particularly in the Eastern world. Although there are fewer reports from the Western world, and they are sometimes contradictory, the absence of definitive data on the relationship between a raised TyG index and cardiovascular risk suggested the opportunity of testing this biochemical marker against a well-established vascular marker such as the carotid intima media thickness (c-IMT).</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Primary prevention patients were selected from a cohort of individuals who underwent c-IMT measurement between 1984 and 2018 at the Dyslipidemia Center at the ASST Grande Ospedale Metropolitano Niguarda in Milan, Italy. The TyG index was calculated as the Ln [fasting TG (mg/dL)×fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]. Carotid ultrasonography was performed using echographic measurements of the far walls of the left and right common, internal carotids, and bifurcations. Patients were followed for up to 20 years with periodic evaluation of biochemical parameters. ASCVD events were monitored through hospital records, where all patients were regularly examined.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The analysis included 3108 individuals with a mean age of 54.9 ± 13.1 years. Participants were generally non-obese, with an average BMI of 24.6 ± 3.5 Kg/m<sup>2</sup>. Among the women, 83.1% were postmenopausal. The mean TyG index was 8.65 ± 0.59. There was a significant association between the TyG index and all c-IMT measurements. Those in the highest TyG index quartiles had significantly higher IMT<sub>mean</sub> and IMT<sub>max</sub> compared to those in the lower quartiles. These associations were consistent across all vascular sites examined and remained significant after adjusting for all potential confounders. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed an increased incidence of ASCVD events in the two highest TyG index quartiles.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>TyG index is a sensitive marker of risk in a European population with moderate ASCVD risk, as assessed by c-IMT measurements, in a large cohort of Lipid Clinic patients.</p>","PeriodicalId":9374,"journal":{"name":"Cardiovascular Diabetology","volume":"24 1","pages":"17"},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142977843","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Thomas H Marwick, Carolyn Lam, Yuxi Liu, Stefano Del Prato, Julio Rosenstock, Javed Butler, Justin Ezekowitz, Nasrien E Ibrahim, W H Wilson Tang, Faiez Zannad, Riccardo Perfetti, James L Januzzi
{"title":"Echocardiographic phenotypes of diabetic myocardial disorder: evolution over 15 months follow-up in the ARISE-HF trial.","authors":"Thomas H Marwick, Carolyn Lam, Yuxi Liu, Stefano Del Prato, Julio Rosenstock, Javed Butler, Justin Ezekowitz, Nasrien E Ibrahim, W H Wilson Tang, Faiez Zannad, Riccardo Perfetti, James L Januzzi","doi":"10.1186/s12933-024-02554-y","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12933-024-02554-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Diabetic myocardial disorder (DbMD, evidenced by abnormal echocardiography or cardiac biomarkers) is a form of stage B heart failure (SBHF) at high risk for progression to overt HF. SBHF is defined by abnormal LV morphology and function and/or abnormal cardiac biomarker concentrations.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>To compare the evolution of four DbMD groups based on biomarkers alone, systolic and diastolic dysfunction alone, or their combination.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The Aldose Reductase Inhibition for Stabilization of Exercise Capacity in Heart Failure (ARISE-HF) trial was a Phase 3 randomised trial of an aldose reductase inhibitor in patients with well-controlled type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). The 1858 potential participants (age 67 ± 7 years; 50% women) were screened for SBHF based on abnormal echocardiography or biomarkers (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide ≥ 40 ng/L or high sensitivity cardiac troponin T ≥ 10 ng/L [women] and ≥ 16 ng/L [men]). Exercise capacity (peak VO<sub>2</sub>) was reduced in 669 with DbMD (age 68 ± 7, 50% women), and peak VO<sub>2</sub> was reassessed at 15 months.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The 1463 (79%) participants with DbMD were allocated to four clusters; 907 (49%) showed isolated elevation of cardiac biomarkers, 301 (16%) with systolic dysfunction/hypertrophy, 162 (9%) with diastolic dysfunction and 93 (5%) comprised an overlap cluster (combined diastolic, systolic or LV geometric abnormalities). Reduced VO<sub>2</sub> (< 75% predicted) was present in 669 (46%); 72% of those with both systolic and diastolic dysfunction, 56% of those with systolic dysfunction and LVH, 53% of those with diastolic dysfunction and 38% with biomarkers alone (p < 0.0001). In 669 patients followed over 15 months, there was a similar small decrement in VO<sub>2</sub> in all groups.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Among individuals with T2DM and SBHF, reduced functional capacity is most prevalent in those with multiple physiological disturbances. However, there was no difference between phenogroups in the evolution of exercise intolerance.</p><p><strong>Trial registration: </strong>ARISE-HF, NCT04083339.</p>","PeriodicalId":9374,"journal":{"name":"Cardiovascular Diabetology","volume":"24 1","pages":"16"},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142977782","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ruijie Xie, Teresa Seum, Sha Sha, Kira Trares, Bernd Holleczek, Hermann Brenner, Ben Schöttker
{"title":"Improving 10-year cardiovascular risk prediction in patients with type 2 diabetes with metabolomics.","authors":"Ruijie Xie, Teresa Seum, Sha Sha, Kira Trares, Bernd Holleczek, Hermann Brenner, Ben Schöttker","doi":"10.1186/s12933-025-02581-3","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12933-025-02581-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Existing cardiovascular risk prediction models still have room for improvement in patients with type 2 diabetes who represent a high-risk population. This study evaluated whether adding metabolomic biomarkers could enhance the 10-year prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in these patients.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data from 10,257 to 1,039 patients with type 2 diabetes from the UK Biobank (UKB) and the German ESTHER cohort, respectively, were used for model derivation, internal and external validation. A total of 249 metabolites were measured with nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy. Sex-specific LASSO regression with bootstrapping identified significant metabolites. The enhanced model's predictive performance was evaluated using Harrell's C-index.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Seven metabolomic biomarkers were selected by LASSO regression for enhanced MACE risk prediction (three for both sexes, three male- and one female-specific metabolite(s)). Especially albumin and the omega-3-fatty-acids-to-total-fatty-acids-percentage among males and lactate among females improved the C-index. In internal validation with 30% of the UKB, adding the selected metabolites to the SCORE2-Diabetes model increased the C-index statistically significantly (P = 0.037) from 0.660 to 0.678 in the total sample. In external validation with ESTHER, the C-index increase was higher (+ 0.043) and remained statistically significant (P = 0.011).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Incorporating seven metabolomic biomarkers in the SCORE2-Diabetes model enhanced its ability to predict MACE in patients with type 2 diabetes. Given the latest cost reduction and standardization efforts, NMR metabolomics has the potential for translation into the clinical routine.</p>","PeriodicalId":9374,"journal":{"name":"Cardiovascular Diabetology","volume":"24 1","pages":"18"},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142977792","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Triglyceride-independent associations between circulating levels of apolipoprotein C-III and biomarkers of inflammation.","authors":"Dídac Llop, Pere Rehues, Silvia Paredes, Montse Guardiola, Josefa Girona, Roser Rosales, Yaiza Esteban, Lluís Masana, Daiana Ibarretxe, Joan-Carles Vallvé, Josep Ribalta","doi":"10.1186/s12933-024-02553-z","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12933-024-02553-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Backgrounds and aims: </strong>Preclinical studies suggest that a triglyceride (TG)-independent proinflammatory action of apolipoprotein C-III (apoCIII) exists. We aimed to investigate the relationship between circulating apoCIII levels and subclinical inflammation markers across different cohorts with distinctive inflammatory patterns: patients with metabolic disorders (MDs), patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA), and controls. Specifically, we assessed the associations of apoCIII with acute inflammation biomarkers (e.g., high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP)) and novel systemic inflammation biomarkers (e.g., glycosylated proteins: Glyc-A, Glyc-B, Glyc-F), aiming to understand the role of apoCIII beyond its traditional function in TG metabolism.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This cross-sectional study involved 1242 participants: 906 patients with MD (metabolic syndrome, type 2 diabetes (T2DM) and/or obesity), 192 patients with RA, and 144 controls. ApoCIII and hsCRP levels were measured via immunoturbidimetric assays, and glycosylated proteins were quantified via 1 H-NMR spectroscopy. Correlation and multivariate linear regression analyses were conducted.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>ApoCIII levels were significantly and positively associated with Glyc-A, Glyc-B, and Glyc-F levels across all cohorts. Most of these associations remained significant in the MD group after adjusting for TG levels. Conversely, negative associations were detected between apoCIII and hsCRP patients with MD and RA, which were maintained after including TG in the models.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>In patients with MD and RA, circulating apoCIII levels were positively associated with glycoproteins and negatively with hsCRP, in a TG-independent manner. Our results suggest that apoCIII is associated with the low-grade inflammatory profile represented by glycoproteins, independent of triglyceride levels. Additionally, we observed a negative association with hsCRP, which, while seemingly paradoxical, has been reported in previous studies.</p>","PeriodicalId":9374,"journal":{"name":"Cardiovascular Diabetology","volume":"24 1","pages":"9"},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11715487/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142943814","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yanqiu Huang, Yi Zhou, Yadan Xu, Xiaoyu Wang, Ziyi Zhou, Kang Wu, Qiqi Meng, Liao Wang, Yang Yang, Hong Gao, Juan Ji, Xu Jiang, Yang Yang, Lipeng Hao, Hui Wang
{"title":"Inflammatory markers link triglyceride-glucose index and obesity indicators with adverse cardiovascular events in patients with hypertension: insights from three cohorts.","authors":"Yanqiu Huang, Yi Zhou, Yadan Xu, Xiaoyu Wang, Ziyi Zhou, Kang Wu, Qiqi Meng, Liao Wang, Yang Yang, Hong Gao, Juan Ji, Xu Jiang, Yang Yang, Lipeng Hao, Hui Wang","doi":"10.1186/s12933-024-02571-x","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12933-024-02571-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Among hypertensive cohorts across different nations, the relationship between the triglyceride-glucose index (TyG) and its conjunction with obesity metrics in relation to cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence and mortality remains to be elucidated.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This study enrolled 9,283, 164,357, and 5,334 hypertensives from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), UK Biobank (UKBB), and Shanghai Pudong cohort. The related outcomes for CVD were defined by multivariate Cox proportional hazards models, Generalized Additive Models and Mendelian randomization analysis. Mediation analysis explored the mediating role of inflammatory markers in the above relationships.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Five measures of insulin resistance were linked to CVD and related death in a U-shaped pattern, with the highest group having different risk increases. Higher glucose triglyceride-waist height ratio (TyG-WHTR) was linked to higher all-cause mortality (UKBB: HR 1.21, 95%CI 1.16-1.26, NHANES: HR 1.17, 95%CI 1.00-1.36), CVD mortality (UKBB: HR 1.36, 95%CI 1.23-1.49, NHANES: HR 1.32, 95%CI 1.00-1.72) risks. In the China Pudong cohort, higher triglyceride/high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (TG/HDL_C) ratio was associated with higher risks of CVD and stroke (HR 1.31, 95%CI 1.00-1.73 and 1.67, 1.06-2.63). Inflammation markers like systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) and C-reactive protein (CRP) partially explained these links, with CRP having a stronger effect. Genetically predicted TyG was also linked to stroke (OR 1.26, 95%CI 1.10-1.45) risk.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>An elevated TyG index and its related indices are significantly correlated with an increased risk of CVD and related mortality across three national cohorts. These indices are anticipated to serve as valid predictors of incident CVD and mortality in individuals with hypertension.</p>","PeriodicalId":9374,"journal":{"name":"Cardiovascular Diabetology","volume":"24 1","pages":"11"},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11716003/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142945002","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Predicting 28-day all-cause mortality in patients admitted to intensive care units with pre-existing chronic heart failure using the stress hyperglycemia ratio: a machine learning-driven retrospective cohort analysis.","authors":"Xiao-Han Li, Xing-Long Yang, Bin-Bin Dong, Qi Liu","doi":"10.1186/s12933-025-02577-z","DOIUrl":"10.1186/s12933-025-02577-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Chronic heart failure (CHF) poses a significant threat to human health. The stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) is a novel metric for accurately assessing stress hyperglycemia, which has been correlated with adverse outcomes in various major diseases. However, it remains unclear whether SHR is associated with 28-day mortality in patients with pre-existing CHF who were admitted to intensive care units (ICUs). This study retrospectively recruited patients who were admitted to ICUs with both acute critical illness and pre-existing CHF from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) database. Characteristics were compared between the survival and non-survival groups. The relationship between SHR and 28-day all-cause mortality was analyzed using restricted cubic splines, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. The importance of the potential risk factors was assessed using the Boruta algorithm. Prediction models were constructed using machine learning algorithms. A total of 913 patients were enrolled. The risk of 28-day mortality increased with higher SHR levels (P < 0.001). SHR was independently associated with 28-day all-cause mortality, with an unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.45 (P < 0.001) and an adjusted HR of 1.43 (P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis found that none of the potential risk factors, such as demographics, comorbidities, and drugs, affected the relationship (P for interaction > 0.05). The area under the ROC (AUC) curve for SHR was larger than those for admission blood glucose and HbA1c; the cut-off for SHR was 0.57. Patients with SHR higher than the cut-off had a significantly lower 28-day survival probability (P < 0.001). SHR was identified as one of the key factors for 28-day mortality by the Boruta algorithm. The predictive performance was verified through four machine learning algorithms, with the neural network algorithm being the best (AUC 0.801). For patients with both acute critical illness and pre-existing CHF, SHR was an independent predictor of 28-day all-cause mortality. Its prognostic performance surpasses those of HbA1c and blood glucose, and prognostic models based on SHR provide clinicians with an effective tool to make therapeutic decisions.</p>","PeriodicalId":9374,"journal":{"name":"Cardiovascular Diabetology","volume":"24 1","pages":"10"},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2025-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11714879/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142945005","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}