Health data sciencePub Date : 2021-06-18eCollection Date: 2021-01-01DOI: 10.34133/2021/9796431
Xin Lu, Jing Tan, Ziqiang Cao, Yiquan Xiong, Shuo Qin, Tong Wang, Chunrong Liu, Shiyao Huang, Wei Zhang, Laurie B Marczak, Simon I Hay, Lehana Thabane, Gordon H Guyatt, Xin Sun
{"title":"Mobile Phone-Based Population Flow Data for the COVID-19 Outbreak in Mainland China.","authors":"Xin Lu, Jing Tan, Ziqiang Cao, Yiquan Xiong, Shuo Qin, Tong Wang, Chunrong Liu, Shiyao Huang, Wei Zhang, Laurie B Marczak, Simon I Hay, Lehana Thabane, Gordon H Guyatt, Xin Sun","doi":"10.34133/2021/9796431","DOIUrl":"10.34133/2021/9796431","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Human migration is one of the driving forces for amplifying localized infectious disease outbreaks into widespread epidemics. During the outbreak of COVID-19 in China, the travels of the population from Wuhan have furthered the spread of the virus as the period coincided with the world's largest population movement to celebrate the Chinese New Year.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We have collected and made public an anonymous and aggregated mobility dataset extracted from mobile phones at the national level, describing the outflows of population travel from Wuhan. We evaluated the correlation between population movements and the virus spread by the dates when the number of diagnosed cases was documented.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>From Jan 1 to Jan 22 of 2020, a total of 20.2 million movements of at-risk population occurred from Wuhan to other regions in China. A large proportion of these movements occurred within Hubei province (84.5%), and a substantial increase of travels was observed even before the beginning of the official Chinese Spring Festival Travel. The outbound flows from Wuhan before the lockdown were found strongly correlated with the number of diagnosed cases in the destination cities (log-transformed).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The regions with the highest volume of receiving at-risk populations were identified. The movements of the at-risk population were strongly associated with the virus spread. These results together with province-by-province reports have been provided to governmental authorities to aid policy decisions at both the state and provincial levels. We believe that the effort in making this data available is extremely important for COVID-19 modelling and prediction.</p>","PeriodicalId":73207,"journal":{"name":"Health data science","volume":"2021 ","pages":"9796431"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9629681/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"40477809","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Health data sciencePub Date : 2021-06-16eCollection Date: 2021-01-01DOI: 10.34133/2021/7574903
He S Yang, Yu Hou, Hao Zhang, Amy Chadburn, Lars F Westblade, Richard Fedeli, Peter A D Steel, Sabrina E Racine-Brzostek, Priya Velu, Jorge L Sepulveda, Michael J Satlin, Melissa M Cushing, Rainu Kaushal, Zhen Zhao, Fei Wang
{"title":"Machine Learning Highlights Downtrending of COVID-19 Patients with a Distinct Laboratory Profile.","authors":"He S Yang, Yu Hou, Hao Zhang, Amy Chadburn, Lars F Westblade, Richard Fedeli, Peter A D Steel, Sabrina E Racine-Brzostek, Priya Velu, Jorge L Sepulveda, Michael J Satlin, Melissa M Cushing, Rainu Kaushal, Zhen Zhao, Fei Wang","doi":"10.34133/2021/7574903","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.34133/2021/7574903","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>New York City (NYC) experienced an initial surge and gradual decline in the number of SARS-CoV-2-confirmed cases in 2020. A change in the pattern of laboratory test results in COVID-19 patients over this time has not been reported or correlated with patient outcome.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We performed a retrospective study of routine laboratory and SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test results from 5,785 patients evaluated in a NYC hospital emergency department from March to June employing machine learning analysis.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A COVID-19 high-risk laboratory test result profile (COVID19-HRP), consisting of 21 routine blood tests, was identified to characterize the SARS-CoV-2 patients. Approximately half of the SARS-CoV-2 positive patients had the distinct COVID19-HRP that separated them from SARS-CoV-2 negative patients. SARS-CoV-2 patients with the COVID19-HRP had higher SARS-CoV-2 viral loads, determined by cycle threshold values from the RT-PCR, and poorer clinical outcome compared to other positive patients without the COVID12-HRP. Furthermore, the percentage of SARS-CoV-2 patients with the COVID19-HRP has significantly decreased from March/April to May/June. Notably, viral load in the SARS-CoV-2 patients declined, and their laboratory profile became less distinguishable from SARS-CoV-2 negative patients in the later phase.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Our longitudinal analysis illustrates the temporal change of laboratory test result profile in SARS-CoV-2 patients and the COVID-19 evolvement in a US epicenter. This analysis could become an important tool in COVID-19 population disease severity tracking and prediction. In addition, this analysis may play an important role in prioritizing high-risk patients, assisting in patient triaging and optimizing the usage of resources.</p>","PeriodicalId":73207,"journal":{"name":"Health data science","volume":"2021 ","pages":"7574903"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9629663/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"40477810","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Health data sciencePub Date : 2021-06-09eCollection Date: 2021-01-01DOI: 10.34133/2021/9843140
Qimin Zhan
{"title":"Health Data Science - A New Science Partner Journal Dedicated to Promoting Data for Better Health.","authors":"Qimin Zhan","doi":"10.34133/2021/9843140","DOIUrl":"10.34133/2021/9843140","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":73207,"journal":{"name":"Health data science","volume":" ","pages":"9843140"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10880157/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48321304","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Advances in Deep Learning-Based Medical Image Analysis.","authors":"Xiaoqing Liu, Kunlun Gao, Bo Liu, Chengwei Pan, Kongming Liang, Lifeng Yan, Jiechao Ma, Fujin He, Shu Zhang, Siyuan Pan, Yizhou Yu","doi":"10.34133/2021/8786793","DOIUrl":"10.34133/2021/8786793","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p><i>Importance</i>. With the booming growth of artificial intelligence (AI), especially the recent advancements of deep learning, utilizing advanced deep learning-based methods for medical image analysis has become an active research area both in medical industry and academia. This paper reviewed the recent progress of deep learning research in medical image analysis and clinical applications. It also discussed the existing problems in the field and provided possible solutions and future directions.<i>Highlights</i>. This paper reviewed the advancement of convolutional neural network-based techniques in clinical applications. More specifically, state-of-the-art clinical applications include four major human body systems: the nervous system, the cardiovascular system, the digestive system, and the skeletal system. Overall, according to the best available evidence, deep learning models performed well in medical image analysis, but what cannot be ignored are the algorithms derived from small-scale medical datasets impeding the clinical applicability. Future direction could include federated learning, benchmark dataset collection, and utilizing domain subject knowledge as priors.<i>Conclusion</i>. Recent advanced deep learning technologies have achieved great success in medical image analysis with high accuracy, efficiency, stability, and scalability. Technological advancements that can alleviate the high demands on high-quality large-scale datasets could be one of the future developments in this area.</p>","PeriodicalId":73207,"journal":{"name":"Health data science","volume":" ","pages":"8786793"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10880179/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47962962","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Raj Dandekar, Emma Wang, G. Barbastathis, Chris Rackauckas
{"title":"Implications of Delayed Reopening in Controlling the COVID-19 Surge in Southern and West-Central USA","authors":"Raj Dandekar, Emma Wang, G. Barbastathis, Chris Rackauckas","doi":"10.1101/2020.12.01.20242172","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.12.01.20242172","url":null,"abstract":"In the wake of the rapid surge in the Covid-19 infected cases seen in Southern and West-Central USA in the period of June-July 2020, there is an urgent need to develop robust, data-driven models to quantify the effect which early reopening had on the infected case count increase. In particular, it is imperative to address the question: How many infected cases could have been prevented, had the worst affected states not reopened early? To address this question, we have developed a novel Covid-19 model by augmenting the classical SIR epidemiological model with a neural network module. The model decomposes the contribution of quarantine strength to the infection timeseries, allowing us to quantify the role of quarantine control and the associated reopening policies in the US states which showed a major surge in infections. We show that the upsurge in the infected cases seen in these states is strongly co-related with a drop in the quarantine/lockdown strength diagnosed by our model. Further, our results demonstrate that in the event of a stricter lockdown without early reopening, the number of active infected cases recorded on 14 July could have been reduced by more than 40% in all states considered, with the actual number of infections reduced being more than 100,000 for the states of Florida and Texas. As we continue our fight against Covid-19, our proposed model can be used as a valuable asset to simulate the effect of several reopening strategies on the infected count evolution; for any region under consideration.","PeriodicalId":73207,"journal":{"name":"Health data science","volume":"2021 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-12-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45768128","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}