Katarzyna Adamczyk-Chauvat, Mouna Kassa, Julien Papaïx, Kiên Kiêu, Radu S. Stoica
{"title":"Statistical inference for random T-tessellations models. Application to agricultural landscape modeling","authors":"Katarzyna Adamczyk-Chauvat, Mouna Kassa, Julien Papaïx, Kiên Kiêu, Radu S. Stoica","doi":"10.1007/s10463-023-00893-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10463-023-00893-3","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The Gibbsian T-tessellation models allow the representation of a wide range of spatial patterns. This paper proposes an integrated approach for statistical inference. Model parameters are estimated via Monte Carlo maximum likelihood. The simulations needed for likelihood computation are produced using an adapted Metropolis-Hastings-Green dynamics. In order to reduce the computational costs, a pseudolikelihood estimate is derived and then used for the initialization of the likelihood optimization. Model assessment is based on global envelope tests applied to the set of functional statistics of tessellation. Finally, a real data application is presented. This application analyzes three French agricultural landscapes. The Gibbs T-tessellation models simultaneously provide a morphological and statistical characterization of these data.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55511,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics","volume":"76 3","pages":"447 - 479"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2024-04-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140565954","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Using the growth curve model in classification of repeated measurements","authors":"Dietrich von Rosen, Martin Singull","doi":"10.1007/s10463-024-00900-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10463-024-00900-1","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this paper, discrimination between two populations following the growth curve model is considered. A likelihood-based classification procedure is established, in the sense that we compare the two likelihoods given that the new observation belongs to respective population. The possibility to classify the new observation as belonging to an unknown population is discussed, which is shown to be natural when considering growth curves. Several examples and simulations are given to emphasize this possibility.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55511,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics","volume":"76 3","pages":"511 - 534"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2024-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140367528","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Multi-sample hypothesis testing of high-dimensional mean vectors under covariance heterogeneity","authors":"Lixiu Wu, Jiang Hu","doi":"10.1007/s10463-024-00896-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10463-024-00896-8","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this paper, we focus on the hypothesis testing problem of the mean vectors of high-dimensional data in the multi-sample case. We propose two maximum-type statistics and apply a parametric bootstrap technique to compute the critical values. Unlike previous hypothesis testing methods that heavily depend on the structural assumptions of the unknown covariance matrix, the proposed methods accommodate a general covariance structure. Additionally, we introduce screening-based testing procedures to enhance the power of our tests. These test procedures do not require the use of approximate limiting distributions for the test statistics. Finally, we obtain and verify the theoretical properties through simulation studies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55511,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics","volume":"76 4","pages":"579 - 615"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2024-03-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140204420","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Data segmentation for time series based on a general moving sum approach","authors":"Claudia Kirch, Kerstin Reckruehm","doi":"10.1007/s10463-023-00892-4","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10463-023-00892-4","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We consider the multiple change point problem in a general framework based on estimating equations. This extends classical sample mean-based methodology to include robust methods but also different types of changes such as changes in linear regression or changes in count data including Poisson autoregressive time series. In this framework, we derive a general theory proving consistency for the number of change points and rates of convergence for the estimators of the locations of the change points. More precisely, two different types of MOSUM (moving sum) statistics are considered: A MOSUM-Wald statistic based on differences of local estimators and a MOSUM-score statistic based on a global inspection parameter. The latter is usually computationally less involved in particular in nonlinear problems where no closed form of the estimator is known such that numerical methods are required. Finally, we evaluate the methodology by some simulations as well as using geophysical well-log data.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55511,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics","volume":"76 3","pages":"393 - 421"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2024-03-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140124482","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Testing against ordered alternatives in one-way ANOVA model with exponential errors","authors":"Anjana Mondal, Markus Pauly, Somesh Kumar","doi":"10.1007/s10463-024-00897-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10463-024-00897-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this paper, a one-way heteroscedastic ANOVA model is considered with exponentially distributed errors. The likelihood ratio test (LRT) and two multiple comparison tests are developed for testing against ordered alternatives. A parametric bootstrap (PB) approach is proposed for implementation of tests and its asymptotic accuracy is proved. An extensive simulation study shows that all the proposed tests are accurate in terms of achieving the nominal size value, even for small samples. The proposed simultaneous confidence intervals are also seen to maintain the preassigned coverage probability. The powers of these tests are compared with a recently proposed test, which is quite conservative. Finally, the proposed tests are illustrated with the help of three data sets related to medical studies. We have developed an ‘R’ package for implementing our test procedures and shared it on the open platform ‘GitHub.’</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55511,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics","volume":"76 4","pages":"649 - 678"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2024-03-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140124447","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Regularized nonlinear regression with dependent errors and its application to a biomechanical model","authors":"Hojun You, Kyubaek Yoon, Wei-Ying Wu, Jongeun Choi, Chae Young Lim","doi":"10.1007/s10463-023-00895-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10463-023-00895-1","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>A biomechanical model often requires parameter estimation and selection in a known but complicated nonlinear function. Motivated by observing that the data from a head-neck position tracking system, one of biomechanical models, show multiplicative time-dependent errors, we develop a modified penalized weighted least squares estimator. The proposed method can be also applied to a model with possible non-zero mean time-dependent additive errors. Asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator are investigated under mild conditions on a weight matrix and the error process. A simulation study demonstrates that the proposed estimation works well in both parameter estimation and selection with time-dependent error. The analysis and comparison with an existing method for head-neck position tracking data show better performance of the proposed method in terms of the variance accounted for.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55511,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics","volume":"76 3","pages":"481 - 510"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2024-02-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139753353","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Multivariate Hawkes processes with spatial covariates for spatiotemporal event data analysis","authors":"Chenlong Li, Kaiyan Cui","doi":"10.1007/s10463-023-00894-2","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10463-023-00894-2","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Spatiotemporal events occur in many disciplines, including economics, sociology, criminology, and seismology, with different patterns in space and time related to environmental characteristics, policing, and human behavior. In this paper, we propose a class of multivariate Hawkes processes with spatial covariates to consider the influence structure of spatial features in spatiotemporal events and the spatiotemporal patterns such as clustering. Baseline intensities are assumed to be a spatial Poisson regression model to explain spatial feature influence. The transfer functions are considered unknown but smooth and decreasing to explain the clustering phenomena. A semiparametric estimation method based on time discretization and local constant approximation is introduced. Transfer function estimators are shown to be consistent, and baseline intensity estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal. We examine the numerical performance of the proposed estimators with extensive simulation and illustrate the application of the proposed model to crime data obtained from Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55511,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics","volume":"76 4","pages":"535 - 578"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2024-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139587932","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Gradual change-point analysis based on Spearman matrices for multivariate time series","authors":"Jean-François Quessy","doi":"10.1007/s10463-023-00891-5","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10463-023-00891-5","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>It may happen that the behavior of a multivariate time series is such that the underlying joint distribution is gradually moving from one distribution to another between unknown times of change. Under this context of a possible gradual-change, tests of change-point detection in the dependence structure of multivariate series are developed around the associated sequence of Spearman matrices. It is formally established that the proposed test statistics for that purpose are asymptotically marginal-free under a general strong-mixing assumption, and written as functions of integrated Brownian bridges. Consistent estimators of the pair of times of change, as well as of the before-the-change and after-the-change Spearman matrices, are also proposed. A simulation study examines the sampling properties of the introduced tools, and the methodologies are illustrated on a synthetic dataset.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55511,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics","volume":"76 3","pages":"423 - 446"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2024-01-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139374266","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Non-parametric adaptive bandwidth selection for kernel estimators of spatial intensity functions","authors":"M. N. M. van Lieshout","doi":"10.1007/s10463-023-00890-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10463-023-00890-6","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We introduce a new fully non-parametric two-step adaptive bandwidth selection method for kernel estimators of spatial point process intensity functions based on the Campbell–Mecke formula and Abramson’s square root law. We present a simulation study to assess its performance relative to other adaptive and global bandwidth selectors, investigate the influence of the pilot estimator and apply the technique to two data sets: A pattern of trees and an earthquake catalogue.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55511,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics","volume":"76 2","pages":"313 - 331"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2023-12-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138946514","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Test for conditional quantile change in general conditional heteroscedastic time series models","authors":"Sangyeol Lee, Chang Kyeom Kim","doi":"10.1007/s10463-023-00889-z","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10463-023-00889-z","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study aims to test for detecting a change point in the conditional quantile of general location-scale time series models. This issue is quite important in risk management because the conditional quantile is utilized to measure the value-at-risk or expected shortfall of financial assets. In this paper, we design two types of cumulative sum tests based on the conditional quantiles. Their limiting null distributions are derived under regularity conditions, together with consistency of the proposed tests under the alternative. Monte Carlo simulations demonstrate the good performance of the proposed tests in terms of both stability and power for various time series settings. A real data analysis using the daily returns of the Brent Oil futures also confirms the validity of the tests in real-world applications.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55511,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics","volume":"76 2","pages":"333 - 359"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2023-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138692078","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}