基于一般移动总和方法的时间序列数据分割

IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
Claudia Kirch, Kerstin Reckruehm
{"title":"基于一般移动总和方法的时间序列数据分割","authors":"Claudia Kirch,&nbsp;Kerstin Reckruehm","doi":"10.1007/s10463-023-00892-4","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We consider the multiple change point problem in a general framework based on estimating equations. This extends classical sample mean-based methodology to include robust methods but also different types of changes such as changes in linear regression or changes in count data including Poisson autoregressive time series. In this framework, we derive a general theory proving consistency for the number of change points and rates of convergence for the estimators of the locations of the change points. More precisely, two different types of MOSUM (moving sum) statistics are considered: A MOSUM-Wald statistic based on differences of local estimators and a MOSUM-score statistic based on a global inspection parameter. The latter is usually computationally less involved in particular in nonlinear problems where no closed form of the estimator is known such that numerical methods are required. Finally, we evaluate the methodology by some simulations as well as using geophysical well-log data.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":55511,"journal":{"name":"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-03-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Data segmentation for time series based on a general moving sum approach\",\"authors\":\"Claudia Kirch,&nbsp;Kerstin Reckruehm\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s10463-023-00892-4\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>We consider the multiple change point problem in a general framework based on estimating equations. This extends classical sample mean-based methodology to include robust methods but also different types of changes such as changes in linear regression or changes in count data including Poisson autoregressive time series. In this framework, we derive a general theory proving consistency for the number of change points and rates of convergence for the estimators of the locations of the change points. More precisely, two different types of MOSUM (moving sum) statistics are considered: A MOSUM-Wald statistic based on differences of local estimators and a MOSUM-score statistic based on a global inspection parameter. The latter is usually computationally less involved in particular in nonlinear problems where no closed form of the estimator is known such that numerical methods are required. Finally, we evaluate the methodology by some simulations as well as using geophysical well-log data.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":55511,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-03-14\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10463-023-00892-4\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10463-023-00892-4","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

我们在基于估计方程的一般框架中考虑了多变化点问题。这扩展了基于样本平均数的经典方法,不仅包括稳健方法,还包括不同类型的变化,如线性回归中的变化或包括泊松自回归时间序列在内的计数数据变化。在这一框架下,我们推导出一种一般理论,证明了变化点数量的一致性和变化点位置估计值的收敛率。更确切地说,我们考虑了两种不同类型的 MOSUM(移动总和)统计量:一种是基于局部估计值差异的 MOSUM-Wald 统计量,另一种是基于全局检验参数的 MOSUM-score 统计量。后者的计算量通常较小,尤其是在非线性问题中,由于不知道估计器的封闭形式,因此需要使用数值方法。最后,我们通过一些模拟以及地球物理井记录数据对该方法进行了评估。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Data segmentation for time series based on a general moving sum approach

Data segmentation for time series based on a general moving sum approach

We consider the multiple change point problem in a general framework based on estimating equations. This extends classical sample mean-based methodology to include robust methods but also different types of changes such as changes in linear regression or changes in count data including Poisson autoregressive time series. In this framework, we derive a general theory proving consistency for the number of change points and rates of convergence for the estimators of the locations of the change points. More precisely, two different types of MOSUM (moving sum) statistics are considered: A MOSUM-Wald statistic based on differences of local estimators and a MOSUM-score statistic based on a global inspection parameter. The latter is usually computationally less involved in particular in nonlinear problems where no closed form of the estimator is known such that numerical methods are required. Finally, we evaluate the methodology by some simulations as well as using geophysical well-log data.

求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
39
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics (AISM) aims to provide a forum for open communication among statisticians, and to contribute to the advancement of statistics as a science to enable humans to handle information in order to cope with uncertainties. It publishes high-quality papers that shed new light on the theoretical, computational and/or methodological aspects of statistical science. Emphasis is placed on (a) development of new methodologies motivated by real data, (b) development of unifying theories, and (c) analysis and improvement of existing methodologies and theories.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信