Lidia F. Martins , Gabriel H.O. Caetano , Vitor H.G.L. Cavalcante , Pedro H. Campelo , Luisa Maria Diele-Viegas , Júlio M. Alvarenga , Alan F.S. Oliveira , Deborah I.S. Santos , Gabriela Carvalho , Erik H.L. Choueri , Guarino R. Colli , Fernanda P. Werneck
{"title":"Closely related Amazonian whiptail lizards show contrasting responses to climate change","authors":"Lidia F. Martins , Gabriel H.O. Caetano , Vitor H.G.L. Cavalcante , Pedro H. Campelo , Luisa Maria Diele-Viegas , Júlio M. Alvarenga , Alan F.S. Oliveira , Deborah I.S. Santos , Gabriela Carvalho , Erik H.L. Choueri , Guarino R. Colli , Fernanda P. Werneck","doi":"10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111166","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111166","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Different approaches can be used to forecast species range shifts in future climate change scenarios. Among these, hybrid species distribution models achieve greater accuracy than purely mechanistic or correlative models by incorporating physiological mechanisms into a correlative framework. Despite the observation that tropical ectotherms are among the most threatened organisms by climate change, hybrid modeling was not used to date to infer vulnerability and extinction risks across organisms in open Amazonian ecosystems. Here, we forecast the impacts of climate change on Amazonian whiptail lizards by incorporating estimates of thermal performance and hours of activity on hybrid species distribution models. We estimate local extinction risks for two species, the bisexual <em>Cnemidophorus lemniscatus</em> and the parthenogenetic <em>C. cryptus</em>, for 2060 and 2100 in two carbon emission scenarios and discuss the variation between species and sites (including the congener <em>C.</em> aff. <em>gramivagus</em>) in ecophysiological thermal traits. Our models predicted a 20 % increase in <em>C. lemniscatus</em> range and a 44 % decrease in <em>C. cryptus</em> range under the most severe scenario for the year 2100. Our results suggest that the parthenogenetic species will be more affected by climate change than the bisexual one, likely due to differences in their activity periods, which are shaped by their thermal needs and tolerances. These results show that regions with lower future climatic suitability are at the transition between the Amazonian rainforest and Cerrado savannas, a region highly altered by human land use and climate change, which raises concerns about the survival of populations from the Amazonian <em>C. lemniscatus</em> group. Moreover, the contrasting results between closely related species demonstrate that climate change can cause distinct impacts even within related taxonomic groups. This shows the difficulty of identifying model species to predict responses to current environmental changes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":55375,"journal":{"name":"Biological Conservation","volume":"307 ","pages":"Article 111166"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143859645","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Alba Estrada , Jesús Martínez-Padilla , José María Martínez , José Daniel Anadón , Lydia de la Cruz , Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano , Diego García , Elena Vega , Diego Villanúa , Marta López-Liberal , Antoni Margalida
{"title":"Linking favourability models with breeding output: a modelling approach to improve management and conservation actions for a threatened avian scavenger","authors":"Alba Estrada , Jesús Martínez-Padilla , José María Martínez , José Daniel Anadón , Lydia de la Cruz , Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano , Diego García , Elena Vega , Diego Villanúa , Marta López-Liberal , Antoni Margalida","doi":"10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111165","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111165","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In the current period of unprecedented global change, urgent action is needed to establish proactive management strategies for vulnerable species. The obligate avian scavenger guild is a group that provides important ecosystem services and 80 % of the species within the group are threatened. In this study, we applied species distribution models incorporating the favourability function to the threatened bearded vulture (<em>Gypaetus barbatus</em>), to predict the best areas for this species in NE Spain, the home of nearly 50 % of its European breeding population. The model incorporated various environmental variables, including the sheep stocking rate as a proxy for food availability. We also correlated environmental favourability with breeding performance (productivity, breeding success and mating behaviour) taken from 141 reproductive territories, compiled over the last 10 years. Five variables were supported in the favourability model: steepness of slope, distance to an unpaved road, surrounding human population density, minimum temperature, and sheep stocking rate. Favourability was positively correlated with productivity and breeding success, suggesting that high quality habitats are associated with high breeding performance. Regarding the association between environmental favourability and mating behaviour, we found that environmental favourability was only marginally statistically significantly correlated with the event of polygamous reproductive trios. Considering the prevailing environmental conditions, including topography, land use, and livestock density, our findings suggest that NE Spain still has unused potentially suitable breeding sites for the future geographical expansion of the species. Our results identified specific areas that should be prioritized for future landscape protection, management, and conservation action.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":55375,"journal":{"name":"Biological Conservation","volume":"307 ","pages":"Article 111165"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143855859","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Comparing the writing styles of highly and rarely cited papers in conservation biology","authors":"Mollie Hawkes Hohmann, Sean D. Connell","doi":"10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111125","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111125","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>For the everyday scientist, being published – and henceforth cited – is a major enterprise. An understanding of the components associated with highly-cited conservation papers is therefore of interest to environmental scientists. In this study, we examined common features of scientific writing to examine their relationship with highly-cited conservation papers. We did this by searching the Web of Science database for biodiversity conservation papers and examined the differences between the 500 most-cited papers and the 500 least-cited papers. Highly-cited papers tended to include broad titles, use motivational language, use conceptual images, and included clear explanations of the broader context and relevance of their research. The popularity and reach of the journal also played an important role, as did the proportion of female authors in an authorship team. When writing a paper, environmental scientists can try to ensure their research is both clear and inspiring to a wide range of people using these features so their message is received by a broader readership.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":55375,"journal":{"name":"Biological Conservation","volume":"307 ","pages":"Article 111125"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143855857","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Michaela C. Peterson , Jennifer Bradham , Kristy Ferraro , Max Guillet , Alexine Keuroghlian , Milton Ribeiro , Maria Luisa S.P. Jorge
{"title":"Modeling movement patterns to identify thresholds of functional connectivity in fragmented forest landscapes","authors":"Michaela C. Peterson , Jennifer Bradham , Kristy Ferraro , Max Guillet , Alexine Keuroghlian , Milton Ribeiro , Maria Luisa S.P. Jorge","doi":"10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111177","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111177","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Deforestation and fragmentation are rapidly altering forest ecosystems worldwide. While several studies have identified thresholds at which forest loss and fragmentation lead to species loss, few have explored thresholds at which ecological processes break down prior to biodiversity loss. Here, we present an agent-based model designed to examine the impact of habitat loss and fragmentation on the landscape-use patterns of highly mobile mammals in forest ecosystems. While our model can be easily adapted to a range of species, we provide a case study to identify essential thresholds of forest loss using movement data from the white-lipped peccary (<em>Tayassu pecari</em>), a wide-ranging, keystone species in Neotropical forests. We found that at least 40 % forest cover was required to preserve functional landscape connectivity, and at least 60 % forest cover was required to preserve the movement patterns displayed by this species in fully forested landscapes. We also found that increasing habitat fragmentation exacerbated the effects of forest loss. Our results provide further evidence that key thresholds of forest cover exist for preserving ecological processes and biodiversity in Neotropical forests.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":55375,"journal":{"name":"Biological Conservation","volume":"307 ","pages":"Article 111177"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143855858","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Kelly Forrester , Rachel Bergeron , Simon Coroller-Chouraki , David M. Forsyth , Marco Festa-Bianchet , Wendy J. King
{"title":"Vehicle collisions and visitor disturbance reduce survival and reproductive success of kangaroos in a national park","authors":"Kelly Forrester , Rachel Bergeron , Simon Coroller-Chouraki , David M. Forsyth , Marco Festa-Bianchet , Wendy J. King","doi":"10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111159","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111159","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Many protected areas provide opportunities for people to view wildlife using roads and walking trails. The impacts of roads and trails on wildlife populations, however, have seldom been investigated by examining their consequences on individual animals. We studied the impacts of a road and use of a wildlife viewing trail on eastern grey kangaroos (<em>Macropus giganteus</em>) in Wilsons Promontory National Park, Australia. We analyzed 11 years of data from 433 marked individuals to quantify road mortality, and how distance from the road, where the walking trail started, affected survival, movement, and reproductive success. Kangaroos in the west of the study area, nearer the road and around a popular wildlife viewing trail, showed increased mobility, more vehicle-associated mortality, and decreased weaning success and survival, compared to kangaroos in the east that were exposed to substantially fewer visitors. Mature males, the sex-age class most likely to be killed by vehicles, had a 51 % higher probability of road mortality at the western than at the eastern end, contributing to a 47 % decrease in overall survival. Prime-aged females at the western end of the study area, where they experienced frequent exposure to visitors, had a 45 % lower probability of weaning a young compared to females in the east of the study area. Managers should consider these undesirable impacts when planning how to encourage people to interact with wildlife in protected areas.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":55375,"journal":{"name":"Biological Conservation","volume":"307 ","pages":"Article 111159"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143843939","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ros M.W. Green , Niall H.K. Burton , Aonghais S.C.P. Cook , Samantha E. Franks , Jonathan A. Green
{"title":"Framework for assessing species vulnerability whilst on migration to a spatially explicit anthropogenic pressure","authors":"Ros M.W. Green , Niall H.K. Burton , Aonghais S.C.P. Cook , Samantha E. Franks , Jonathan A. Green","doi":"10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111118","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111118","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Animals are having to adapt to increasing anthropogenic activities and the pressures these create. The impacts experienced when encountering novel pressures on migration may be particularly acute compared to those routinely experienced in other parts of the annual cycle. To mitigate avoidable population declines, stakeholders must rigorously assess which species are vulnerable to these pressures and develop effective management solutions accordingly. However, inconsistent approaches to these assessments often hinder regulatory efficiency and decisions.</div><div>Here we present a consistent assessment framework for quantifying vulnerability to an identified spatially explicit pressure that might impact populations during migration. Standardised terminologies, methods for consistently scoring sensitivity and exposure, and for quantifying and assessing the role of uncertainty on the vulnerability index, are outlined. The framework is demonstrated using the 29 populations of Anatidae that migrate over UK waters annually and may be exposed to collision risk from offshore wind farms. Sawbills and sea ducks were more vulnerable than swans, geese and other ducks. Even with data uncertainty accounted for, the five most vulnerable species remain consistent, indicating future research and conservation could focus on these species.</div><div>This consistent framework makes use of accepted terminologies and can be used to develop vulnerability assessments for any migratory species group to any identified anthropogenic pressure. Outputs can be used to guide research efforts and support the implementation of conservation measures even if uncertainty in data remains. Comparisons between different assessments presented using this framework can be used by regulators to inform strategic planning decisions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":55375,"journal":{"name":"Biological Conservation","volume":"307 ","pages":"Article 111118"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143843942","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Where to replant - prioritising revegetation based on site suitability and ecological outcomes","authors":"Pierre Defourny , Vanessa M. Adams","doi":"10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111142","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111142","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>To achieve target 2 of the Montreal-Kunming global biodiversity framework, to restore 30 % of all degraded ecosystems, there is a pressing need to better understand spatial priorities for restoration at global, regional, and local scales. Using the low rainfall region of the Midlands, Tasmania, this paper demonstrates the utility of participatory planning and multi-criteria analysis (MCA) as tools for systematically planning local and regional revegetation works. Our analysis includes five biophysical factors related to establishment success (rainfall, aspect, topographical exposure, available water capacity, and topographical wetness) and four factors relating to ecological conservation (distance to protected areas, distance to remnant vegetation, riparian zones, and connectivity). In a participatory setting, three planning scenarios were developed and tested (Biophysical only, landscape-scale ecosystem restoration and conservation only, and a mixed approach balancing all factors). The mixed approach (Scenario three) was the stakeholder preferred scenario as it strikes a balance between identifying sites most in need of revegetation for conservation purposes, while maximising chance of planting success. Using scenario 3, we derive a map of the top 30 % priority area for restoration, theoretically illustrating what translating the global restoration target to a local scale might look like. We found that 3189.5 ha are identified as a high or very high priority under all three scenarios, and sites along water courses also consistently exhibit a higher priority. This paper demonstrates how participatory restoration prioritisation using multi criteria analysis can be used to guide local cost-effective restoration action that delivers on national and global targets.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":55375,"journal":{"name":"Biological Conservation","volume":"307 ","pages":"Article 111142"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143834692","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nicholas Carter , John G. White , William Bridgeman , Nick Bradsworth , Raylene Cooke
{"title":"How did the owl cross the road? Movement patterns and behaviour of a threatened apex predator","authors":"Nicholas Carter , John G. White , William Bridgeman , Nick Bradsworth , Raylene Cooke","doi":"10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111157","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111157","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The road network is crucial in facilitating the transportation needs of society; however, its establishment and expansion comes at a significant cost to biodiversity, particularly through habitat loss, fragmentation, movement barriers, vehicle strike and disturbance. Apex predators are highly susceptible to the negative impacts of roads given that they are highly mobile, have large home-ranges and must connect fragmented habitat to obtain resources for survival, where traversing roads is often unavoidable. Here, we utilised GPS tracking data collected from 37 powerful owls (<em>Ninox strenua</em>) occurring throughout an urban-agricultural-forest gradient in Victoria, Australia, to understand how the movement ecology of this threatened apex predator responds to roads. We found that powerful owls from all landscape types are interacting with the road network, however, they are significantly adjusting their movement behaviour in response to roads. Despite urban and urban-forest owls residing in landscapes containing high road densities, all owl landscape types had similar low road densities in their core-ranges, suggesting road avoidance behaviours in critical habitat areas. Powerful owls switched into and stayed, in a faster more directional movement state when interacting with the road network and tended to cross roads more frequently towards the end of the night (>5 am). Owls preferred to cross roads near watercourses and in areas containing high amounts of dense tree cover. To prevent movement constraints and other road-related effects, it is critical that apex predators are considered in road management projects to strengthen effective impact mitigation and conservation management outcomes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":55375,"journal":{"name":"Biological Conservation","volume":"307 ","pages":"Article 111157"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143839762","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Wetlands in mining sites–harbour for threatened species or source of non-native troublemakers?","authors":"Anna Müllerová, Karel Prach, Klára Řehounková","doi":"10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111163","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111163","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The occurrence of threatened plant species on mining sites has been previously nearly exclusively examined in terrestrial habitats, where it was found that such sites often harboured threatened species of plants, especially in younger stages. In this study, we focused on aquatic and littoral habitats only. We collected and analysed vegetation samples from differently aged spontaneous successional stages in sandpits, stone quarries, clay quarries, black coal subsidences, and brown coal spoil heaps across the Czech Republic, Central Europe. The age since mining cessation ranged from 1 to 89 years. We asked what the potential of wetlands on post-mining sites to harbour threatened plant species is and if it varies between individual types of mining sites and successional stages. Altogether we recorded 251 vascular plant species and 7 charophytes, of which nearly 20 % were considered endangered in the national flora. Different types of mining sites did not differ in the proportion of threatened species. However, they differed in their conservation potential which also takes into account the cover of threatened species, not only their presence. The highest conservation potential was found in black and brown coal regions. The proportion of threatened species did not differ between successional stages, however, their cover increased with successional age. On the other hand, the presence and cover of non-native species was generally very low. Spontaneous succession at aquatic and littoral sites can lead to valuable seminatural stages rich in threatened species and can generally be recommended as a passive restoration option in disused mining sites.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":55375,"journal":{"name":"Biological Conservation","volume":"307 ","pages":"Article 111163"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143835327","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}