{"title":"How spatial features affect urban rail transit prediction accuracy: a deep learning based passenger flow prediction method","authors":"Shuang Li , Xiaoxi Liang , Meina Zheng , Junlan Chen , Ting Chen , Xiucheng Guo","doi":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2279633","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2279633","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Urban rail transit is an integral part of public transit, and has been extensive built in China. Previous studies have proved that the spatial features are closely related to rail transit ridership, considering a fundamental role of short-term passenger flow forecast in the urban rail operation, it is meaningful to explore how these factors affect the prediction accuracy. This study aims to find a way to improve prediction accuracy by considering spatial features of stations based on deep learning. Therefore, a CNN-LSTM model capturing the spatial and temporal features was applied and Suzhou (China) was choosing as a case study to explore the influence of three spatial features, namely relative position, location, and land use, on the prediction accuracy. The predict model used can extract spatiotemporal features and accurately predict the citywide stations, and the results show that, for the relative position, the inbound and outbound flow prediction errors of transfer stations and middle stations are the lowest, respectively. As for locational features, the more distant the station is from the city center, the more accurate the results are. For stations where land use is dominated by work and living services, the predictions are more accurate. The error rate is higher for stations whose services are mainly tourism, transportation, and leisure services. This study’s results can help operators predict the short-term passenger flow of target stations based on different demands and optimize their services on this basis.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54792,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems","volume":"28 6","pages":"Pages 1032-1043"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135036902","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Sensor location models with reliable optimal solution for the observation of origin–destination matrix and route flows","authors":"Hessam Arefkhani , Yousef Shafahi","doi":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2247329","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2247329","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Origin–destination matrix (ODM) is a key element in transportation studies. The emergence of new ITS technologies like Automatic Vehicle Identification (AVI) sensors makes the ODM observation problem more interesting in recent decades. However, sensors are subject to failure in reality which highlights the sensor failure phenomenon as a significant issue in real-case problems. This study intends to include the sensor failure phenomenon in AVI Sensor Location Model (SLM) for reliable observation of ODM and route flows. While reliability and cost are usually two conflicting objectives, we try to answer the following question “Is it possible to improve reliability without increasing the cost and only by changing sensor deployment?”. In addressing this study question, first, it is shown that the solution of recent AVI SLMs are not unique. Second, we show that the reliability level of multiple optimal solutions is not the same. Third, two Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) AVI SLMs for reliable observation and parital observation of ODM/route flows are developed considering the sensor failure phenomenon. The models are formulated such that their solutions are selected from the set of multiple optimal solutions. Fourth, a linear surrogate term for reliability is introduced and mathematically proven to be included in the proposed models. Finally, the applicability of the proposed models is examined on several middle-scale networks and a real-size network. Furthermore, a heuristic algorithm is customized to solve the models for the real-size network. The results suggest that there might be alternative sensor deployment strategies with the same number of sensors as in the optimal solution but with higher level of reliability for ODM/route flows observation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54792,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems","volume":"28 6","pages":"Pages 936-955"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89489841","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Zihao Wang , Roger Lloret-Batlle , Jianfeng Zheng , Henry X. Liu
{"title":"Adaptive green split optimization for traffic control with low penetration rate trajectory data","authors":"Zihao Wang , Roger Lloret-Batlle , Jianfeng Zheng , Henry X. Liu","doi":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2227959","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2227959","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Adaptive traffic signal control systems often rely on expensive physical detection infrastructure. However, with the advent of widespread trajectory data, it is now possible to implement adaptive control entirely avoiding such costs. We present two simple adaptive control policies which only require sample delay and number of stops, with the goal to mitigate the presence of oversaturation. The simplicity stems from the necessity of controlling under any trajectory penetration rate. The two policies differ on the possibilities of the control infrastructure to be implemented. The first one minimizes oversaturation by deviating from a reference pre-timed signal plan. This signal plan can be an existing one or an estimated one from aggregating trajectory data. The second policy creates first a set of green split plans to be then selected by a control logic. This second policy is intended to be used in SCATS-like systems where signal plans are limited to a pre-defined discrete set. We propose a plan selection logics or alternatively, the original plan selection policy can be used as well. Both policies are tested in the field, achieving a significant reduction in delay, oversaturation and spillover ratios. Lastly, we test an application of this policy as an enhancement of SCATS systems in the presence of malfunctioning physical detectors.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54792,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems","volume":"28 6","pages":"Pages 830-845"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73973599","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jianli Zhao , Rumeng Zhang , Qiuxia Sun , Jingshi Shi , Futong Zhuo , Qing Li
{"title":"Adaptive graph convolutional network-based short-term passenger flow prediction for metro","authors":"Jianli Zhao , Rumeng Zhang , Qiuxia Sun , Jingshi Shi , Futong Zhuo , Qing Li","doi":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2209913","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2209913","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>With the development and acceleration of urbanization, urban metro traffic is gradually growing up to a large network, and the structure of topology between stations becomes more complex, which makes it increasingly difficult to capture the spatial dependency. The vertical and horizontal interlacing of multiple lines makes the stations distributed topologically, and the traditional graph convolution is implemented on the adjacency matrix generated based on a priori knowledge, which cannot reflect the actual spatial dependence between stations. To address these problems, this paper proposes an adaptive graph convolutional network model (Adapt-GCN), which replaces the fixed adjacency matrix obtained from a priori knowledge in the traditional GCN with a trainable adaptive adjacency matrix. This can not only effectively adjust the weights of correlations between adjacent stations, but also adaptively capture the spatial dependencies between non-adjacent stations. This paper uses the Shanghai Metro dataset to verify the effectiveness of the model in improving prediction accuracy and reducing training time.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54792,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems","volume":"28 6","pages":"Pages 806-815"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73297920","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Sara Respati , Edward Chung , Zuduo Zheng , Ashish Bhaskar
{"title":"ABAFT: an adaptive weight-based fusion technique for travel time estimation using multi-source data with different confidence and spatial coverage","authors":"Sara Respati , Edward Chung , Zuduo Zheng , Ashish Bhaskar","doi":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2228198","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2228198","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The evolution of traffic monitoring systems provides rich traffic data from multiple sensors. Fuzing the data has the potential to enhance the quality of travel time estimation. It also provides better spatial-temporal coverage in traffic observations. However, each sensor’s unique data collection process results in fusion challenges with respect to the coverage and data quality differences between various sources. These factors determine the degree of confidence that should be considered when fuzing different types of data. To this end, this paper proposes an adaptive weight-based fusion technique (ABAFT) that considers data spatial coverage and quality or confidence as the factors constructing the weight. The proposed ABAFT was tested using different scenarios on synthetic GPS and Bluetooth MAC Scanners data from an urban arterial corridor. The results show that the ABAFT can increase the travel time estimation accuracy by over 10%, and reliability by over 8% compared to the single sensor estimators. It also outperforms the simple average and standard-error-based fusion by around 4%. ABAFT is easy to be implemented on multiple sources of information available to transport agencies for a single point of truth.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54792,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems","volume":"28 6","pages":"Pages 867-880"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91337965","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jun Liu , Xing Fu , Alexander Hainen , Chenxuan Yang , Leon Villavicencio , William J. Horrey
{"title":"Evaluating the impacts of vehicle-mounted Variable Message Signs on passing vehicles: implications for protecting roadside incident and service personnel","authors":"Jun Liu , Xing Fu , Alexander Hainen , Chenxuan Yang , Leon Villavicencio , William J. Horrey","doi":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2227968","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2227968","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study aims to evaluate the Variable Message Signs (VMS) mounted over the cab of emergency vehicles as a safety countermeasure to protect roadside incident and service personnel. The research team collaborated with the Alabama Department of Transportation’s Safety Service Patrol (SSP) program, specifically the Alabama Service Assistance Patrol (ASAP) in the West Central Alabama region, to collect video data from their service vehicles. Deep learning techniques were employed to detect vehicles in the recorded videos. A total of 11,338 passing vehicles were detected in 135,946 frames of video footage, and their trajectories were extracted for analysis. The study focused on examining the behaviors and movements of passing vehicles, including their speed and lane change behaviors, and developed statistical models to systematically investigate the impact of VMS on these behaviors. Random intercept models were utilized to account for unobserved factors associated with different stop locations. The modeling results revealed significant relationships between the use of VMS and the behaviors of passing motorists. When the VMS was active, drivers were more likely to change lanes and reduce their speed compared to situations where the VMS was not active. The odds of a vehicle changing lanes were found to be 95% higher when the VMS was in use. These findings suggest that the utilization of VMS can have a positive impact on traffic, particularly for passenger vehicles. The study outcomes imply that the use of VMS could be an effective countermeasure in protecting roadside incidents and ensuring the safety of service personnel.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54792,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems","volume":"28 6","pages":"Pages 846-866"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80711371","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pierre-Antoine Laharotte , Kinjal Bhattacharyya , Jonathan Perun , Nour-Eddin El Faouzi
{"title":"Traffic-sensitive speed advisory system based on Lagrangian traffic indicators","authors":"Pierre-Antoine Laharotte , Kinjal Bhattacharyya , Jonathan Perun , Nour-Eddin El Faouzi","doi":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2236549","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2236549","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Can we elaborate a traffic-sensitive eco-driving or GLOSA (Green Light Optimal Speed Advice) strategy with a frugal amount of data when approaching an intersection? Here is the purpose of this work, which aims to adapt a traffic-theory-based estimation of the expected queue-length within mixed traffic (Connected and non-Connected Vehicles) in the vicinity of a signalized intersection. While the expected queue-length methodology was developed recently and fits natively with Eulerian traffic indicators resulting from loop sensors or cameras, this paper adapts such a methodology to Lagrangian indicators as the traces produced by any Connected Vehicle, including Floating Car or Probe Data. The main interest of the methodology lies in the frugal amount of data and expenses required to perform the traffic-sensitive speed-advisory at any connected road intersection. The full methodology is developed to extend the SPAT messages broadcast to end-users and take advantage of the Cooperative Awareness Messages (CAM) acting as GPS traces for Connected Vehicles. Contrary to Eulerian-based indicators, no supplementary and costly investment is required to collect the input data and compute the queue-length estimation. However, applying strategies based on Lagrangian indicators will affect the direct traffic observation through these indicators. Therefore, it requires to develop an assessment and predictive framework to estimate the traffic conditions. The performance of the introduced methodology is compared to alternative methods, among other Eulerian-based methods. It results from the analysis that the introduced approach performs almost as well as the ones based on exhaustive, but costly data collections.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54792,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems","volume":"28 6","pages":"Pages 881-903"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82040188","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A data-driven traffic shockwave speed detection approach based on vehicle trajectories data","authors":"Kaitai Yang , Hanyi Yang , Lili Du","doi":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2270415","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2270415","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Traffic shockwaves demonstrate the formation and spreading of traffic fluctuation on roads. Existing methods mainly detect the shockwaves and their propagation by estimating traffic density and flow, which presents weaknesses in applications when traffic data is only partially or locally collected. This paper proposed a four-step data-driven approach that integrates machine learning with the traffic features to detect shockwaves and estimate their propagation speeds only using partial vehicle trajectory data. Specifically, we first denoise the speed data derived from trajectory data by the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) to mitigate the effect of spontaneous random speed fluctuation. Next, we identify trajectory curves’ turning points where a vehicle runs into a shockwave and its speed presents a high standard deviation within a short interval. Furthermore, the Density-based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise algorithm (DBSCAN) combined with traffic flow features is adopted to split the turning points into different clusters, each corresponding to a shockwave with constant speed. Last, the one-norm distance regression method is used to estimate the propagation speed of detected shockwaves. The proposed framework was applied to the field data collected from the I-80 and US-101 freeway by the Next Generation Simulation (NGSIM) program. The results show that this four-step data-driven method could efficiently detect the shockwaves and their propagation speeds without estimating the traffic densities and flows nearby. It performs well for both homogenous and nonhomogeneous road segments with trajectory data collected from total or partial traffic flow.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54792,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems","volume":"28 6","pages":"Pages 971-987"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135992970","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Advisory versus automated dynamic eco-driving at signalized intersections: lessons learnt from empirical evidence and simulation experiments","authors":"Evangelos Mintsis , Eleni I. Vlahogianni , Evangelos Mitsakis , Georgia Aifadopoulou","doi":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2289118","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2289118","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Research in the field of dynamic eco-driving has been primarily coupled with connected and automated vehicles which are equipped with automation functions that can accurately execute energy-efficient speed advice. Advisory dynamic eco-driving that entails driver adaptation to energy-efficient speed advice has received lesser attention although mixed traffic is expected to prevail in the forthcoming decades. This study developed a decision tree model based on real-world data collected during the pilot deployment of an advisory speed advice service along an urban arterial corridor to emulate driver adaptation to speed advice. The decision tree model was integrated into the control logic of an enhanced velocity planning algorithm to replicate the behavior of manually driven connected vehicles along dynamic eco-driving service zones in a microscopic traffic simulation environment. The conducted simulation analysis encompassed scenarios with varying penetration rates of advisory dynamic eco-driving technology, automated dynamic eco-driving technology and manually driven unequipped vehicles. Evaluation of simulation scenarios was based on the estimation of several environmental, traffic efficiency and surrogate safety measures. Simulation results indicated that performance of advisory dynamic eco-driving depends on driver adaptation to speed advice and ranges between that of manually driven unequipped vehicles and its automated counterpart. Moreover, geometrical and operational characteristics of intersection approaches comprising dynamic eco-driving service zones can influence driver adaptation to speed advice. Environmental, safety and traffic efficiency benefits are maximized in the case of vehicle fleets fully equipped with automated dynamic eco-driving systems.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54792,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems","volume":"28 6","pages":"Pages 1044-1063"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138520098","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Accurate detection of vehicle, pedestrian, cyclist and wheelchair from roadside light detection and ranging sensors","authors":"Junxuan Zhao , Hao Xu , Zhihui Chen , Hongchao Liu","doi":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2243816","DOIUrl":"10.1080/15472450.2023.2243816","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Accurate detection plays a critical role in improving the safety situation of vulnerable road users. This study extends infrastructure-based LiDAR application to all three major vulnerable road user groups including pedestrians, cyclists, and wheelchair users. Two critical problems for accurate detection of small-sized road users are scanning angle variability and feature fluctuation. To address these issues, a feature-based classification method combined with prior LiDAR trajectory information is developed. Effective dimension-related features are proposed and five classifiers including artificial neural network (ANN), random forest (RF), adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), random under-sampling boosting (RUSBoost), and long short-term memory (LSTM) are tested with a novel feature engineering process. A total of seven features are selected from the point cloud of clusters for vehicle/pedestrian/cyclist/wheelchair classification. By updating these significant features based on prior information of the entire trajectory, the performance of road user classification (imbalanced datasets) has been significantly improved. Experimental study is conducted to examine the recall rate, F1-score, and AUC of vehicles, pedestrians, cyclists, and wheelchairs before and after integration with prior trajectory information. The result shows the trained AdaBoost, RUSBoost, and LSTM classifiers with prior trajectory information can achieve recall/F1-score/AUC: (1) Low traffic volumes – vehicles (100%/99.96%/99.96%), pedestrians (99.96%/99.96%/99.97%), cyclists (99.74%/99.45%/99.67%), and wheelchairs (99.22%/99.68%/99.01%) and (2) Moderate traffic volumes – vehicles (99.39%/99.44%/99.69%), pedestrians (98.33%/97.99%/98.64%), and cyclists (95.41%/94.29%/94.40%), using 32-laser LiDAR sensors (10 Hz).</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54792,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems","volume":"28 6","pages":"Pages 904-920"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77654391","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}