Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change最新文献_第7页

Achieving the 1.5 °C goal with equitable mitigation in Latin American countries 拉丁美洲国家以公平的减缓措施实现 1.5 °C 的目标

IF 4 3区环境科学与生态学

Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change Pub Date : 2024-01-11 DOI: 10.1007/s11027-023-10101-5

Cindy Ramírez-Padilla, Albert Turon, Cristián Retamal, Olga Alcaraz, Bàrbara Sureda

{"title":"Achieving the 1.5 °C goal with equitable mitigation in Latin American countries","authors":"Cindy Ramírez-Padilla, Albert Turon, Cristián Retamal, Olga Alcaraz, Bàrbara Sureda","doi":"10.1007/s11027-023-10101-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-023-10101-5","url":null,"abstract":"During the past years, the impact of climate change in Latin America has become more evident. It is affecting its natural resources and delaying sustainable development. Achieving the 1.5 °C long-term temperature goal of the Paris Agreement while ensuring the right to sustainable development is of particular interest to regions with high vulnerability and low adaptation capacity for climate change, such as Latin America. This article analyzes whether the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) submitted within the Paris Agreement framework by Latin American countries align with achieving the 1.5 °C goal. For this analysis, the global carbon budget from 2020 onwards, compatible with the 1.5 °C global temperature scenario, is distributed among countries using two dimensions of equity (equality and historical responsibility). Then, the carbon budget allocated to Latin American countries is compared with the cumulative emissions implied in two scenarios. The first one is the NDC scenario that assumes the implementation of the NDCs submitted until December 31, 2022. The second scenario adds the goal of ending deforestation by 2030, signed by several countries of this region in the Global Leaders Declaration on Forest. Two main conclusions are obtained from the analysis of the cited scenarios. First, Latin American countries will consume 77% of their carbon budget in 2030 by implementing their NDCs. Second, this percentage could be reduced to 58% if Latin American countries reach zero emissions from the Land Use, Land Use Change, and Forestry sector by 2030. If achieved, the region would be on track to reach the 1.5 °C global goal.","PeriodicalId":54387,"journal":{"name":"Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change","volume":"55 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139464980","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Analysis of production routes for silicon carbide using air as carbon source empowering negative emissions 以空气为碳源、赋予负排放能力的碳化硅生产路线分析

IF 4 3区环境科学与生态学

Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change Pub Date : 2024-01-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11027-023-10100-6

Andreas Mühlbauer, Dominik Keiner, Tansu Galimova, Christian Breyer

{"title":"Analysis of production routes for silicon carbide using air as carbon source empowering negative emissions","authors":"Andreas Mühlbauer, Dominik Keiner, Tansu Galimova, Christian Breyer","doi":"10.1007/s11027-023-10100-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-023-10100-6","url":null,"abstract":"A rapid defossilisation of the industry sector is required to stop further greenhouse gas emissions and to curb global warming. Additionally, to avoid irreversible consequences caused by climate change, the deployment of negative emission technologies is required to reduce the carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration in Earth’s atmosphere to a sustainable level. A novel approach to store gaseous CO2 from direct air capture facilities in solid silicon carbide (SiC) is presented. A chain of established processes to produce SiC from renewable electricity and air is evaluated in terms of energy and mass balances. Furthermore, possible fields of SiC utilisation are considered. Electricity-based SiC (e-SiC) can serve the growing global market for technical ceramics and can possibly be used to tackle increasing construction sand shortages in the construction industry by partially substituting sand. Calculations of the levelised cost of carbon dioxide removal show that storing ambient CO2 in solid SiC that can be subsequently sold on the world market can eventually create profit. In 2050, a net benefit of 259 €/tCO2 or 631 €/tSiC can be realised if the SiC product is sold at the world market with additional carbon compensation. Therefore, the proposed SiC production chain might be able to challenge conventionally produced SiC, while empowering negative emissions. In 2050, the net CO2 emission potential is limited to about 290 MtCO2/a for technical ceramics, but may reach up to 13.6 GtCO2/a for construction sand. Results show that e-SiC production is economically feasible for technical ceramics but not for construction sand without further process cost decrease. Alternative processes to produce e-SiC are described and evaluated. Future research opportunities are discussed.","PeriodicalId":54387,"journal":{"name":"Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change","volume":"6 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139411268","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Long-term effect of different forest thinning intensity on carbon sequestration rates and potential uses in climate change mitigation actions 不同森林疏伐强度对固碳率的长期影响以及在减缓气候变化行动中的潜在用途

IF 4 3区环境科学与生态学

Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change Pub Date : 2024-01-05 DOI: 10.1007/s11027-023-10102-4

Petros Ganatsas, Marianthi Tsakaldimi, Theodoros Karydopoulos, Alexandros Papaemannuil, Sotirios Papadopoulos

{"title":"Long-term effect of different forest thinning intensity on carbon sequestration rates and potential uses in climate change mitigation actions","authors":"Petros Ganatsas, Marianthi Tsakaldimi, Theodoros Karydopoulos, Alexandros Papaemannuil, Sotirios Papadopoulos","doi":"10.1007/s11027-023-10102-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-023-10102-4","url":null,"abstract":"Recent model projections and many research results along the world suggest that forests could be significant carbon sinks or sources in the future, contributing in such a way to global warming mitigation. Conversion of coppice forest to high forest may play an important role towards this direction. However, the most effective way for this to succeed is questionable. This study examines the long-term effect of different intensity thinning (light 10% of the volume removal every 5–10 years, moderate 15%, and heavy 20%) on biomass, and on all the carbon pool categories (according to IPCC), as well as the accumulation rates, in a 77-year-old oak ecosystem, which has been subjected to conversion from coppice to high forest through repeating thinning since 1973. The research included numerous field tree measurements, and a systematic sampling of standing and fallen dead wood, litter, and surface soil up to 50 cm depth. Data analysis shows that heavy and moderate thinning result in a greater accumulation of carbon in the aboveground ecosystem pools, especially in living biomass, with an average annual rate of 1.62 Mg C ha−1 carbon accumulation in living aboveground tree biomass, resulting in a carbon pool of 125.04Mg C ha−1 at the age of 77 years. Dead wood volume was found low in all thinning treatment with significant differences between the thinning intensities. Litter carbon pool was also affected by moderate and heavy thinning, while soil carbon was unaffected by the treatments. The findings could contribute on climate change mitigation actions if they are adopted in forest management plans of similar types of forest ecosystems; a periodical thinning application of removal ca. 20% of wood volume is suggested.","PeriodicalId":54387,"journal":{"name":"Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change","volume":"47 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139103098","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Which factors determine adaptation to drought amongst farmers in Northern Thailand? Investigating farmers’ appraisals of risk and adaptation and their exposure to drought information communications as determinants of their adaptive responses 哪些因素决定泰国北部农民对干旱的适应？调查农民对风险和适应性的评估以及他们对干旱信息传播的接触情况，作为其适应性反应的决定因素

IF 4 3区环境科学与生态学

Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11027-023-10099-w

Chloe Sutcliffe, Ian Holman, Daniel Goodwin, Gloria Salmoral, Liwa Pardthaisong, S. Visessri, C. Ekkawatpanit, Dolores Rey

引用次数: 0

Incremental and transformational adaptation to climate change among Indigenous Peoples and local communities: a global review 土著人民和地方社区对气候变化的渐进式和变革式适应：全球审查

IF 4 3区环境科学与生态学

Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11027-023-10095-0

Marijn Zant, Anna Schlingmann, Victoria Reyes-García, David García-del-Amo

{"title":"Incremental and transformational adaptation to climate change among Indigenous Peoples and local communities: a global review","authors":"Marijn Zant, Anna Schlingmann, Victoria Reyes-García, David García-del-Amo","doi":"10.1007/s11027-023-10095-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-023-10095-0","url":null,"abstract":"Around the world, Indigenous Peoples and local communities are exposed to different climate change impacts to which they respond in a myriad of ways. Despite this diversity, there are few comparative studies assessing the magnitude of livelihood system change resulting from Indigenous Peoples’ and local communities’ responses to climate change impacts. Drawing on the analysis of 210 peer-reviewed publications, we analyze 3292 Indigenous Peoples’ and local communities’ responses to climate change impacts, focusing on the magnitude of change they entail. Globally, Indigenous Peoples and local communities are actively adjusting their livelihood activities, most frequently applying incremental responses. However, in half of the case studies, communities fully or partially transform their livelihoods to respond to climate change impacts. Both incremental and transformational responses can have adverse impacts on Indigenous Peoples’ and local communities’ lives. Trends in the magnitude of livelihood changes are similar across climates and livelihoods except for responses in (semi-)arid climates, where most intermediate and transformational responses take place, and for responses in cultivation, where most incremental changes take place. When transformational adaptation occurs, Indigenous Peoples and local communities often not only give up their livelihood strategy, but also their culture and way of living.","PeriodicalId":54387,"journal":{"name":"Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change","volume":"25 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139082140","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Techno-economic assessment of atmospheric CO2-based carbon fibre production enabling negative emissions 基于大气二氧化碳的碳纤维生产技术经济评估，实现负排放

IF 4 3区环境科学与生态学

Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11027-023-10090-5

Dominik Keiner, Andreas Mühlbauer, Gabriel Lopez, Tuomas Koiranen, Christian Breyer

{"title":"Techno-economic assessment of atmospheric CO2-based carbon fibre production enabling negative emissions","authors":"Dominik Keiner, Andreas Mühlbauer, Gabriel Lopez, Tuomas Koiranen, Christian Breyer","doi":"10.1007/s11027-023-10090-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-023-10090-5","url":null,"abstract":"The fight against global warming requires novel approaches for the defossilisation of industrial processes, and the limitation of global warming requires options for negative carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. The production of carbon fibre (CF) is an energy-intensive chain of processes which cause CO2 emissions. Having in mind the high market growth for CF composite materials, CF production might stand against the fight against global warming. CF also offers a huge mitigation opportunity, as CF contain up to 95–98wt% of pure carbon. This study investigates possible ways to link CF production to atmospheric CO2, enabling negative CO2 emissions through CF manufacturing. Production value chains for CF based on poly(acrylonitrile) (PAN) and pitch, the two most important CF precursor materials, are developed and analysed regarding their energy and mass balances. The PAN value chain is further assessed regarding a first economic estimation of CF production cost with atmospheric CO2 as carbon source. The results show that production costs per ton CO2 removed might be unattractive at 2949 €/tCO2 in 2050. However, from a CF perspective, production cost of 10.3 €/kgCF in 2050 might enable a business case for electricity-based CF production from atmospheric CO2 in the future. Each ton of CF produced can store about 3.5 tCO2 due to a very high carbon share in the final product. With an increasing market for CF, a total negative emission potential of at least 0.7 GtCO2 per year can be enabled by 2050. Further research opportunities are discussed.","PeriodicalId":54387,"journal":{"name":"Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change","volume":"78 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139082726","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Designing for climate change: twenty-five design features to improve sanitation technology resilience in low- and middle- income countries. 为气候变化而设计：提高中低收入国家环卫技术复原力的 25 项设计特征。

IF 2.5 3区环境科学与生态学

Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change Pub Date : 2024-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1007/s11027-024-10177-7

Ian Cunningham, Jeremy Kohlitz, Juliet Willetts

{"title":"Designing for climate change: twenty-five design features to improve sanitation technology resilience in low- and middle- income countries.","authors":"Ian Cunningham, Jeremy Kohlitz, Juliet Willetts","doi":"10.1007/s11027-024-10177-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s11027-024-10177-7","url":null,"abstract":"Climate change is exacerbating events such as floods and droughts, and trends including sea-level rise, leading to failures in sanitation technologies, increased public health risks and environmental pollution. To reduce these risks, it is crucial to incorporate climate resilience into sanitation technology designs. In this study, we reviewed academic and selected grey literature and identified 25 design features that can contribute to the technology's resilience to an increasingly volatile and extreme climate. Design features that were conceptually similar were collated into seven categories. These categories included: (i) avoid exposure to hazards, (ii) withstand exposure to hazards, (iii) enable flexibility, (iv) contain failures, (v) limit consequences of complete failure, (vi) facilitate fast recovery and (vii) features that provide resilience benefits beyond technological resilience. In this paper we define the categories and design features, and provide examples of each feature in practice. We also outline how the resilience design features can support sanitation designers and implementers to critique the climate resilience of sanitation technology, and prompt more resilient designs of sanitation technology.Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11027-024-10177-7.","PeriodicalId":54387,"journal":{"name":"Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change","volume":"29 8","pages":"82"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11561023/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142649720","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The landscape of European policies in the power sector: first-mover advantages 欧洲电力部门的政策格局：先发优势

IF 4 3区环境科学与生态学

Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change Pub Date : 2023-12-31 DOI: 10.1007/s11027-023-10081-6

引用次数: 0

Can green hydrogen production be used to mitigate ocean deoxygenation? A scenario from the Gulf of St. Lawrence 绿色制氢可用于缓解海洋脱氧吗？来自圣劳伦斯湾的设想方案

IF 4 3区环境科学与生态学

Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change Pub Date : 2023-12-31 DOI: 10.1007/s11027-023-10094-1

{"title":"Can green hydrogen production be used to mitigate ocean deoxygenation? A scenario from the Gulf of St. Lawrence","authors":"","doi":"10.1007/s11027-023-10094-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-023-10094-1","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Abstract</h3> Ocean deoxygenation and expansion and intensification of hypoxia in the ocean are a major, growing threat to marine ecosystems. Measures currently used to protect marine biodiversity (e.g., marine protected areas) are ineffective in countering this threat. Here, we highlight the example of the Gulf of St. Lawrence in eastern Canada, where oxygen loss is not only due to eutrophication (which can be mitigated by nutrient controls) but also is a consequence of ocean circulation change and warming. Climate-related loss of oxygen will be an increasingly widespread source of risk to marine biodiversity over this century. Again using the Gulf of St. Lawrence as an example, we show that production of oxygen by the green hydrogen industry can be comparable to the loss rate of dissolved oxygen on large spatial scales, offering new possibilities for mitigation. However, this mitigation approach has rarely been considered for marine environments to date. Given confluence of increasing risk to marine ecosystems from oxygen loss and rapid emergence, worldwide, of industrial sources of pure oxygen, which are likely to be located in coastal regions, we believe this option will be proposed increasingly in coming years, including by the private sector. We argue that it is urgent for ocean scientists, engineers, and policymakers to recognize and address this emerging potential. A coordinated research effort should be established immediately in order to harness the potential of the green hydrogen industry to mitigate major impacts of climate change on marine biodiversity, and avoid any unintended negative consequences.","PeriodicalId":54387,"journal":{"name":"Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change","volume":"54 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139064712","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Examining the effects of climate change adaptation on technical efficiency of rice production 研究适应气候变化对水稻生产技术效率的影响

IF 4 3区环境科学与生态学

Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change Pub Date : 2023-12-31 DOI: 10.1007/s11027-023-10092-3

Yong Liu, Jorge Ruiz-Menjivar, Monica Zavala, Junbiao Zhang

{"title":"Examining the effects of climate change adaptation on technical efficiency of rice production","authors":"Yong Liu, Jorge Ruiz-Menjivar, Monica Zavala, Junbiao Zhang","doi":"10.1007/s11027-023-10092-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-023-10092-3","url":null,"abstract":"This study examined the impact of eight climate change adaptation practices on technical efficiency (TE) among 843 rice farmers in Central China. Data were collected across ten counties in Hubei province in 2019. Given that spatial dependency is present in social and economic systems, we accounted for the spatial autocorrelation of TE. We estimated both a one-step nonspatial stochastic frontier model and a spatial stochastic frontier model. We verified that spatial spillovers were present in the TE of rice farmers, suggesting that the nonspatial stochastic frontier model underestimated TE. Results showed that adopting climate change adaptation strategies significantly affected TE. These effects, however, varied in directionality by the different adaptation measures evaluated in this study. Overall, adjusting preparation dates, improving irrigation systems, and increasing cultivated areas positively affected TE at 1%, 0.1%, and 5% significance levels. In contrast, the coefficients for both using flood-tolerant rice varieties and adjusting sowing dates were negative and significant at 5% and 10% significant levels. Interestingly, the effects of using high-yield rice varieties and adjusting fertilizer use were not significant. Finally, this study did not find any evidence that adaptation intensity affected the TE of rice production. Based on these results, we discussed implications for future climate-smart agriculture programs addressing the adverse effects of climate change on agricultural production in China.","PeriodicalId":54387,"journal":{"name":"Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change","volume":"8 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139065017","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0