研究适应气候变化对水稻生产技术效率的影响

IF 2.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Yong Liu, Jorge Ruiz-Menjivar, Monica Zavala, Junbiao Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究考察了华中地区 843 位水稻种植农户的八种气候变化适应措施对技术效率(TE)的影响。数据收集于 2019 年湖北省的 10 个县。鉴于社会和经济系统中存在空间依赖性,我们考虑了技术效率的空间自相关性。我们同时估计了一步非空间随机前沿模型和空间随机前沿模型。我们验证了稻农的 TE 存在空间溢出效应,表明非空间随机前沿模型低估了 TE。结果表明,采用气候变化适应战略对 TE 有显著影响。然而,这些影响的方向性因本研究评估的不同适应措施而异。总体而言,调整备耕日期、改善灌溉系统和增加耕地面积在 1%、0.1% 和 5%的显著性水平上对 TE 有积极影响。相比之下,使用耐涝水稻品种和调整播种日期的系数均为负,且在 5%和 10%的显著水平上显著。有趣的是,使用高产水稻品种和调整化肥使用量的影响并不显著。最后,本研究没有发现任何证据表明适应强度会影响水稻产量的 TE。基于这些结果,我们讨论了未来气候智能型农业项目的意义,以应对气候变化对中国农业生产的不利影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Examining the effects of climate change adaptation on technical efficiency of rice production

Examining the effects of climate change adaptation on technical efficiency of rice production

This study examined the impact of eight climate change adaptation practices on technical efficiency (TE) among 843 rice farmers in Central China. Data were collected across ten counties in Hubei province in 2019. Given that spatial dependency is present in social and economic systems, we accounted for the spatial autocorrelation of TE. We estimated both a one-step nonspatial stochastic frontier model and a spatial stochastic frontier model. We verified that spatial spillovers were present in the TE of rice farmers, suggesting that the nonspatial stochastic frontier model underestimated TE. Results showed that adopting climate change adaptation strategies significantly affected TE. These effects, however, varied in directionality by the different adaptation measures evaluated in this study. Overall, adjusting preparation dates, improving irrigation systems, and increasing cultivated areas positively affected TE at 1%, 0.1%, and 5% significance levels. In contrast, the coefficients for both using flood-tolerant rice varieties and adjusting sowing dates were negative and significant at 5% and 10% significant levels. Interestingly, the effects of using high-yield rice varieties and adjusting fertilizer use were not significant. Finally, this study did not find any evidence that adaptation intensity affected the TE of rice production. Based on these results, we discussed implications for future climate-smart agriculture programs addressing the adverse effects of climate change on agricultural production in China.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
50
审稿时长
3 months
期刊介绍: The Earth''s biosphere is being transformed by various anthropogenic activities. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change addresses a wide range of environment, economic and energy topics and timely issues including global climate change, stratospheric ozone depletion, acid deposition, eutrophication of terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, species extinction and loss of biological diversity, deforestation and forest degradation, desertification, soil resource degradation, land-use change, sea level rise, destruction of coastal zones, depletion of fresh water and marine fisheries, loss of wetlands and riparian zones and hazardous waste management. Response options to mitigate these threats or to adapt to changing environs are needed to ensure a sustainable biosphere for all forms of life. To that end, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change provides a forum to encourage the conceptualization, critical examination and debate regarding response options. The aim of this journal is to provide a forum to review, analyze and stimulate the development, testing and implementation of mitigation and adaptation strategies at regional, national and global scales. One of the primary goals of this journal is to contribute to real-time policy analysis and development as national and international policies and agreements are discussed and promulgated.
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