Asia-Pacific Financial Markets最新文献_第8页

Credit Scorecards & Forecasting Default Events – A Novel Story of Non-financial Listed Companies in Pakistan 信用记分卡与违约事件预测--巴基斯坦非金融类上市公司的新故事

IF 2.6

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09494-3

Jahanzaib Alvi, Imtiaz Arif

{"title":"Credit Scorecards & Forecasting Default Events – A Novel Story of Non-financial Listed Companies in Pakistan","authors":"Jahanzaib Alvi, Imtiaz Arif","doi":"10.1007/s10690-024-09494-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10690-024-09494-3","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study innovates in credit default prediction in Pakistan by developing, calibrating, and recalibrating machine learning-based credit scorecards for non-financial listed firms, leveraging extensive financial ratio analysis. This study innovates in credit default prediction in Pakistan by developing, calibrating, and recalibrating machine learning-based credit scorecards for non-financial listed firms, leveraging extensive financial ratio analysis. Identifies 12 key financial ratios out of 71 remained vital for default prediction, with Random Forest and Artificial Neural Networks leading in scorecard performance. This marks Pakistan’s first detailed scorecard approach as a potential alternative to traditional banking systems. Offers advanced risk assessment tools (credit scorecards) for improved credit risk management, aiding policymakers and finance professionals in decision-making. This research distinguishes itself through a detailed longitudinal study of non-financial Pakistani firms and a comprehensive evaluation of machine learning algorithms for default prediction. By exploiting various financial ratios to develop scorecards (an alternative of Internal Ratings-based – IRB System), it offers new insights into risk evaluation and significantly advances financial risk management. Acknowledging data limitations and variable exclusions, it sets the stage for further exploration of credit risk environment in context of Pakistan.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54095,"journal":{"name":"Asia-Pacific Financial Markets","volume":"32 4","pages":"1459 - 1485"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-09-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142269509","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Volatility Spillover and Connectedness Between SME and Main Markets of India and China 印度和中国中小企业与主要市场的波动溢出与连通性

IF 2.6

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09492-5

Pradeep Kumar Behera, Naresh Chandra Sahu, Abhisek Mahanta

{"title":"Volatility Spillover and Connectedness Between SME and Main Markets of India and China","authors":"Pradeep Kumar Behera, Naresh Chandra Sahu, Abhisek Mahanta","doi":"10.1007/s10690-024-09492-5","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10690-024-09492-5","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The study aims at investigating the volatility and connectedness aspect of the SME and main market indices of India and China i.e., SENSEX, BSE SME IPO, SZSE Composite and SME 300. GARCH and TARCH models are used to determine the symmetric and asymmetric volatility within the indices respectively using daily data from January 2013 to March 2024. The DCC-GARCH model is applied to analyse the inter-country and intra-country volatility spillover. While, TVP-VAR model measure the connectedness between the indices. The empirical findings reveal that the SME index of India gives higher returns than China. On the volatility front, the SME of India and China have same degree of volatility. In the long term, there is a significant the spread of volatility between the SENSEX and SME index in India. The findings of the study show the high degree of long-term dependence and interconnectedness of SME markets of India and China. Further, it is found that the main market and SME market indexes of India are the net receivers of volatility, and the index of the Chinese market is the net transmitter. The Total volatility spillover index between main and SME is low in India as Compare with China. This study can help to mutually beneficial economic stability, and risk management. Also, it can help investors to take better investment decision.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54095,"journal":{"name":"Asia-Pacific Financial Markets","volume":"32 4","pages":"1407 - 1429"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-09-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145449521","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Cryptocurrency as a Slice in Investment Portfolio: Identifying Critical Antecedents and Building Taxonomy for Emerging Economy 加密货币作为投资组合的一部分：确定关键前因并为新兴经济体建立分类标准

IF 2.6

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09490-7

Sridhar Manohar

{"title":"Cryptocurrency as a Slice in Investment Portfolio: Identifying Critical Antecedents and Building Taxonomy for Emerging Economy","authors":"Sridhar Manohar","doi":"10.1007/s10690-024-09490-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10690-024-09490-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Identifying investment opportunities with high returns is crucial for individuals seeking to generate wealth and accumulate assets. The cryptocurrency market exhibits high volatility and significant price variations compared to the stock market, suggesting that price movements may be influenced by additional factors. Identifying and categorizing these factors helps in making precise forecasts about the increase in investors’ asset. Thus, this study aims to investigate the primary elements influencing cryptocurrency’s’ market performance. The qualitative approach included a literature review, sentimental analysis and in-depth interviews with investors. Non-probability sampling techniques were adopted in identifying the prospective respondents for in-depth interviews. Additionally, the bibliometric analysis helped in the collection of appropriate literature for a systematic literature review. A taxonomy was built, combining all codes received with the help of experts. Distinct determinants were identified and categorized as internal and external factors, which were then further subdivided. Internal variables include fear of missing out, money accumulation, flexibility, and understanding of patterns. External factors such as technological progress, community involvement, airdrops/roadmap, news/speculations, and government laws also have a role. Understanding the determinants helps investors and traders gain appropriate knowledge on investments and profit-making, thereby yielding wealth that could provide financial freedom and a better lifestyle. This study is novel because exploring, understanding, and predicting the cryptocurrency market is one of the latest and most widely spoken topics among researchers in the finance domain. Earlier studies have not emphasized empirically the concepts, strategies and factors impacting price fluctuations and investment behavior in the crypto market.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54095,"journal":{"name":"Asia-Pacific Financial Markets","volume":"32 4","pages":"1357 - 1382"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142224535","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Exploring Herding Instincts Through the Lens of Adaptive Market Hypothesis: Insights from a Frontier Market 通过适应性市场假说的视角探索羊群本能：前沿市场的启示

IF 2.6

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09486-3

Krishnamoorthy Charith, A. A. Azeez

{"title":"Exploring Herding Instincts Through the Lens of Adaptive Market Hypothesis: Insights from a Frontier Market","authors":"Krishnamoorthy Charith, A. A. Azeez","doi":"10.1007/s10690-024-09486-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10690-024-09486-3","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study examines the time-varying nature of investor herd behavior over different market episodes in Sri Lankan stock market, that has been subjected to convulsed periods such as civil war, political instability, terrorist attacks and COVID-19 pandemic. The study employs Cross-Sectional Absolute Deviation methodology, applying quantile regression approach, to detect aggregate level herding using a survivorship-bias-free dataset of daily firm level returns from April 2000 to March 2022. The dataset is subdivided into market episodes corresponding to pre-war, bubble, crash, post-crash, pre-COVID crash, COVID bubble and post-COVID crash periods. Exhibiting an evolutionary herding pattern over market episodes, the results depict that herding appears in pre-war period irrespective of the market directions, persisting in bubble episode in upmarket days, which then, turning into negative herding in down market days in crash episode. Subsequently, herding gradually disappears in post-crash episode, reappears with greater intensity in pre-COVID crash episode and disappears in COVID bubble and post-COVID crash episodes. This study attributes such wax and wane nature of herding in financial markets to a survival action, a rational heuristic, in keeping with Adaptive Market Hypothesis. The study is of peculiar importance to investors, policymakers, regulators and researchers, as presence of herding misprices securities and invalidates the existing asset pricing models constructed on the assumptions of investor rationality.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54095,"journal":{"name":"Asia-Pacific Financial Markets","volume":"32 4","pages":"1211 - 1241"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-09-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142189258","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Does Socially Responsible Investing Outperform Conventional Investing? A Cross-Country Perspective 社会责任投资优于传统投资吗？跨国视角

IF 2.6

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09489-0

Iram Hasan, Shveta Singh, Smita Kashiramka

{"title":"Does Socially Responsible Investing Outperform Conventional Investing? A Cross-Country Perspective","authors":"Iram Hasan, Shveta Singh, Smita Kashiramka","doi":"10.1007/s10690-024-09489-0","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10690-024-09489-0","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Given the growing significance of socially responsible investing (SRI), the study aims to empirically examine the financial performance of socially responsible indices of India, China, the United States (US), and the United Kingdom (UK) vis-à-vis their respective market benchmark indices. The study uses various risk-adjusted performance measures such as Sharpe ratio, Jensen alpha, Treynor ratio, Information ratio, Modified Sharpe ratio, Sortino ratio, and Omega ratio to analyze the performance of SRI indices. The period of analysis extends from January 2018 to December 2021. The study performs various sub-period analyses including a crisis period analysis to assess the impact of the COVID-19 (coronavirus disease) crisis on the performance of select indices. Statistical tests such as the paired t-test and Levene’s F test are applied to examine the homogeneity of means and variances of sample indices. Robustness checks involve calculating performance metrics across varying sample sizes using a growing window procedure. The results highlight the outperformance of SRI indices over market benchmarks in India, the US, and the UK, suggesting that investors do not have to forgo financial performance to address their environmental, social, and governance (ESG) concerns. There is no statistically significant outcome observed for SRI performance in China. Empirical evidence from the crisis period analysis indicates that SRI can offer investors a hedge against market volatility. Overall, the findings suggest that there is no homogenous or universal outcome of SRI but rather varies depending on geographic region, study period, current market conditions, and extent of SRI adoption.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54095,"journal":{"name":"Asia-Pacific Financial Markets","volume":"32 4","pages":"1307 - 1356"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145449455","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

In the Era of 4th Industrial Revolution- Are Technology-Based Assets and Green Equity Index Safe Investments with Developed and Emerging Market Index? 第四次工业革命时代--技术型资产和绿色股票指数与发达市场和新兴市场指数相比是安全的投资吗？

IF 2.6

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09485-4

Sudhi Sharma, Miklesh Prasad Yadav, Indira Bharadwaj, Reepu

{"title":"In the Era of 4th Industrial Revolution- Are Technology-Based Assets and Green Equity Index Safe Investments with Developed and Emerging Market Index?","authors":"Sudhi Sharma, Miklesh Prasad Yadav, Indira Bharadwaj,  Reepu","doi":"10.1007/s10690-024-09485-4","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10690-024-09485-4","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The paper is an extended contribution to the ongoing debate on cryptocurrency as a hedging instrument while investing in developed and emerging markets. At the edge of the 4th industrial revolution, the paper identifies diversification opportunities with technologically based assets and non-conventional assets like Cryptocurrency (BITW), Fintech (FINX), and Green Equity Index (QGREEN) with the Developed market (MSCI World Index) and Emerging market (MSCI Emerging Markets Index). The study is rigorous in methodology, including Granger Causality, Symmetrical and Asymmetrical Dynamic Conditional Correlation models, Diebold Yilmaz Spillover Index, and Network analysis<i>.</i> The study used robust statistical models like Granger Causality, Symmetrical, and Asymmetrical Dynamic Conditional Correlation models, Diebold Yilmaz Spillover Index, and Network analysis for a more accurate assessment of the investment alternatives. The results of the study aim to assist passive portfolio managers in investing in developed and emerging indices and looking for non-conventional investment options. The study assumes relevance for policymakers, as it deciphers the relevance of the cryptocurrency market vis-a-vis other emerging assets.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54095,"journal":{"name":"Asia-Pacific Financial Markets","volume":"32 4","pages":"1189 - 1209"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142224565","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Demystifying the Trade-Off Debate in Financial Sustainability and Social Outreach and Ranking of Indian MFIs: A Bootstrap DEA Framework 揭开印度小额信贷机构在金融可持续性和社会拓展及排名中的权衡辩论的神秘面纱：引导式 DEA 框架

IF 2.6

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09488-1

Asif Khan, Mustafa Raza Rabbani, Rashed Aljalahma, Sabia Tabassum, Ahmad Al-Hiyari

{"title":"Demystifying the Trade-Off Debate in Financial Sustainability and Social Outreach and Ranking of Indian MFIs: A Bootstrap DEA Framework","authors":"Asif Khan, Mustafa Raza Rabbani, Rashed Aljalahma, Sabia Tabassum, Ahmad Al-Hiyari","doi":"10.1007/s10690-024-09488-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10690-024-09488-1","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study aims to demystify the financial sustainability social outreach trade-off debate in the case of Microfinance Institutions (MFIs) operating in India. In particular, the authors estimate the bias-adjusted efficiency of MFIs operating from 2010 to 2019 to scrutinize the mutual exclusivity between their twin aspects. Further, the study deploys bootstrap Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) to estimate the robust efficiency estimate of individual MFIs. Further, the study uses a multi-dimensional approach to examine the trade-off debate between sustainability and outreach. Additionally, the study also ranks the MFIs based on their dual mission. The results suggest that the Indian MFIs are better at handling the financial dimension than the social aspect of MFIs. Moreover, the article claims the absence of a trade-off between the two goals of MFIs in India. Suryoday is the top-performing MFI in terms of financial and social aspects, followed by M-power. Further, the policymakers, top management, and microfinance professionals must redesign the regulatory and operational structure to ensure the maximum social outreach of MFIs without hampering their financial sustainability.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54095,"journal":{"name":"Asia-Pacific Financial Markets","volume":"32 4","pages":"1283 - 1306"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-08-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142189259","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Interdependencies of COVID-19 and Financial Equity Markets: A Case of Five Most Affected COVID-19 Countries—A Wavelet Transformed Coherence Approach COVID-19 与金融股票市场的相互依存关系：受 COVID-19 影响最大的五个国家的案例--小波变换一致性方法

IF 2.6

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets Pub Date : 2024-07-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09484-5

Muhammad Iftikhar ul Husnain, Md Shabbir Alam, Nasrullah Nasrullah, Muhammad Aamir Khan

{"title":"Interdependencies of COVID-19 and Financial Equity Markets: A Case of Five Most Affected COVID-19 Countries—A Wavelet Transformed Coherence Approach","authors":"Muhammad Iftikhar ul Husnain, Md Shabbir Alam, Nasrullah Nasrullah, Muhammad Aamir Khan","doi":"10.1007/s10690-024-09484-5","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10690-024-09484-5","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study applied novel wavelet techniques to daily stock returns and COVID-19 case data from January 22, 2020, to March 31, 2022, for the five most COVID-affected countries (US, India, Brazil, France, and Turkey). We discovered that pandemic cases have a negative effect on stock returns across all nations. All countries except Turkey’s equity market returns and COVID-19 cases exhibit specific short-run and consistent long-run coherence. This study contributes to the existing literature about the financial implications of the pandemic. The current study empirically examine the positive/negative, long/short-run, and leading/lagging dependence of COVID-19 and financial equity markets of the top 5 COVID-19 affected countries. The current findings reveal particularized short-run and consistent long-run coherence among COVID-19 cases and equity market returns of all the sample countries except Turkey, and specified short-run and consistent long-run coherence of USA COVID-19 cases with Brazil, France, India, and Turkey stock markets returns, respectively. Furthermore, this study will augment the knowledge of the policy maker to ward off crises created by any future pandemic by their understanding of the stock market reaction to such unwarranted situations. This study will also guide the investment professional in making the right decision to mitigate risks arising from the pandemic.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54095,"journal":{"name":"Asia-Pacific Financial Markets","volume":"32 3","pages":"1155 - 1173"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-07-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141871940","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Investors’ Behavioral Intention in Mutual Fund Investments in India: Applicability of Theory of Planned Behavior 印度共同基金投资中的投资者行为意向：计划行为理论的适用性

IF 2.6

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets Pub Date : 2024-07-29 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09477-4

Heena Thanki, Naliniprava Tripathy, Sweety Shah

引用次数: 0

Risk Perception as a Predictor of Heuristic Biases: The Role of Sex and Age 风险认知是启发式偏差的预测因素：性别和年龄的作用

IF 2.6

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets Pub Date : 2024-07-20 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09481-8

Shashank Kathpal, Asif Akhtar, Syed Khusro Chishty, Farrukh Rafiq

{"title":"Risk Perception as a Predictor of Heuristic Biases: The Role of Sex and Age","authors":"Shashank Kathpal, Asif Akhtar, Syed Khusro Chishty, Farrukh Rafiq","doi":"10.1007/s10690-024-09481-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10690-024-09481-8","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper analyzes the relationship between investors’ risk perception, heuristic biases (overconfidence, representativeness, availability bias, and anchoring bias), and the moderating role of sex and age. Since it is evident from the literature that investor risk perceptions affect investors rationally, the study explores the impact of risk perception on mental shortcuts or heuristic decision-making. The authors collected the data from 447 individual investors using a self-administered questionnaire to investigate the proposed phenomenon. After confirming the validity and reliability of the data obtained, we employed structural equation modeling to evaluate the relationship between risk perception and heuristic biases. We used process macro to scrutinize the moderating effect of sex and age in the mentioned constructs. The study demonstrates that risk perception affects three heuristic biases (i.e. anchoring, representativeness, and availability bias). Further, the outcome exhibits that the sex of a person moderates the relationship between risk perception and availability bias. The study could be helpful for individual investors, investment advisors, and policymakers. The investment advisor can gain insights into the different mental shortcuts their customers take to guide them appropriately. Governments and relevant policymakers can gain insights into the roadblocks to rational investment decisions to ensure the correct appraisal of the stock market. The present study fills the necessity to realize the effect of investors’ risk perception on decision-making heuristics and the moderating role of sex and age in the phenomenon.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54095,"journal":{"name":"Asia-Pacific Financial Markets","volume":"32 3","pages":"1077 - 1098"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-07-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141744671","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0