Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management最新文献

筛选
英文 中文
Multilayer-neighbor local binary pattern for facial expression recognition 基于多层邻域局部二值模式的面部表情识别
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2022-08-10 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1520
Wei-Yen Hsu, Hsien-Jen Hsu, Yen-Yao Wang, Tawei Wang
{"title":"Multilayer-neighbor local binary pattern for facial expression recognition","authors":"Wei-Yen Hsu,&nbsp;Hsien-Jen Hsu,&nbsp;Yen-Yao Wang,&nbsp;Tawei Wang","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1520","DOIUrl":"10.1002/isaf.1520","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Facial expression recognition (FER) has drawn the interest of practitioners and researchers due to its potential in opening new business opportunities. One critical aspect of any successful FER system is a feature extraction method that can efficiently find sufficient facial features and characterize facial expressions. This paper proposes an appearance-based feature extraction method by introducing a local feature descriptor, a multilayer-neighbor local binary pattern (LBP), for recognizing facial expressions. This new LBP operator is an extension of the original one-layer-neighbor LBP to two-layer-neighbor and three-layer-neighbor LBPs. We extract features by comparing new center points with neighborhood points. In addition, based on facial landmark locations, we extract active facial blocks during emotional stimulations. These prominent facial blocks utilize facial symmetry to improve the accuracy and speed of expression recognition. After using principal component analysis to reduce the dimensionality of features, we use a support vector machine to assign expressions to seven categories. We evaluate the proposed method by comparing it with other commonly used methods, and the proposed method is more accurate. Implications for business researchers are discussed.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"29 3","pages":"156-168"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115427266","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Commodity price forecasting via neural networks for coffee, corn, cotton, oats, soybeans, soybean oil, sugar, and wheat 通过神经网络预测咖啡、玉米、棉花、燕麦、大豆、大豆油、糖和小麦的商品价格
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2022-08-03 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1519
Xiaojie Xu, Yun Zhang
{"title":"Commodity price forecasting via neural networks for coffee, corn, cotton, oats, soybeans, soybean oil, sugar, and wheat","authors":"Xiaojie Xu,&nbsp;Yun Zhang","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1519","DOIUrl":"10.1002/isaf.1519","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Agricultural commodity price forecasting represents a key concern for market participants. We explore the usefulness of neural network modeling for forecasting problems in datasets of daily prices over periods of greater than 50 years for coffee, corn, cotton, oats, soybeans, soybean oil, sugar, and wheat. By investigating different model settings across the algorithm, delay, hidden neuron, and data-splitting ratio, we arrive at models leading to a decent performance for each commodity, with the overall relative root mean square error ranging from 1.70% to 3.19%. These results have small advantages over no-change models due to particular price adjustments in the prices considered here. Our results can be used on a standalone basis or combined with fundamental forecasts in forming perspectives of commodity price trends and conducting policy analysis. Our empirical framework should not be diffucult to implement, which is a critical consideration for many decision-makers and has the potential to be generalized for price forecasts of more commodities.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"29 3","pages":"169-181"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129521764","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 25
Enhanced financial fraud detection using cost-sensitive cascade forest with missing value imputation 基于缺失价值估算的成本敏感级联森林增强财务欺诈检测
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2022-07-28 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1517
Lukui Huang, Alan Abrahams, Peter Ractham
{"title":"Enhanced financial fraud detection using cost-sensitive cascade forest with missing value imputation","authors":"Lukui Huang,&nbsp;Alan Abrahams,&nbsp;Peter Ractham","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1517","DOIUrl":"10.1002/isaf.1517","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Financial statement fraud is a global problem for investors, audit firms, regulators, and other stakeholders. Fraud detection can be regarded as a binary classification problem with a false negative being more expensive than a false positive. Although existing studies have made great efforts to detect fraud using various data-mining techniques, the difference in misclassification costs is seldom considered. In this study, we propose a cost-sensitive cascade forest (CSCF) for fraud detection, which places heavy penalty on false negative prediction and self-adjusts the depth of a cascade forest according to the classifier’s recall (i.e. the classifier’s sensitivity). As missing values are ubiquitous in fraud research, we also explore the effect of selected missing data treatments on prediction performance, including complete case analysis, three selected classic statistical mechanisms (zero, mean, and modified mean imputation), and two machine learning (K-nearest neighbor [KNN] and random forest [RF]) approaches. The experimental results show that the proposed CSCF significantly improves the fraud prediction in comparison with one of the latest fraud detection models using the RUSBoost algorithm. Comparing different missing value treatments, even though RUSBoost and CSCF perform well when using complete case analysis, we find that the best performance is achieved when CSCF is used with missing data imputed as zero. Such treatment further improves the performance, and results in an area under curve (AUC) score of 0.82 compared to the highest AUC (0.71) from the baseline model. Supplementary analysis further reveals that the low AUC of complete case analysis for the two examined models persists under different training sizes. Thus, our findings shed light on the potential benefits of missing value imputation for the model’s performance for fraud detection.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"29 3","pages":"133-155"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-07-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122885228","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Towards an early warning system for sovereign defaults leveraging on machine learning methodologies 利用机器学习方法建立主权违约预警系统
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2022-06-12 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1516
Anastasios Petropoulos, Vasilis Siakoulis, Evangelos Stavroulakis
{"title":"Towards an early warning system for sovereign defaults leveraging on machine learning methodologies","authors":"Anastasios Petropoulos,&nbsp;Vasilis Siakoulis,&nbsp;Evangelos Stavroulakis","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1516","DOIUrl":"10.1002/isaf.1516","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>In this study, we address the topic of credit risk stemming from central governments from a technical point of view. First, we explore various econometric and machine learning techniques to build an enhanced sovereign rating system that effectively differentiates the risk of default among countries. Our empirical results indicate that the machine learning method of XGBOOST has a superior out-of-sample and out-of-time predictive performance. Then, we use the models developed to calibrate a sovereign rating system and provide useful insights into the set-up of a parsimonious early warning system. Our results provide a more concise view of the most robust method for classifying countries’ default risk with significant regulatory implications, given that the efficient assessment of sovereign debt is crucial for effective proactive risk measurement.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"29 2","pages":"118-129"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-06-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132033582","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Measuring relative volatility in high-frequency data under the directional change approach 在方向变化方法下测量高频数据的相对波动性
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2022-06-02 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1510
Shengnan Li, Edward P. K. Tsang, John O'Hara
{"title":"Measuring relative volatility in high-frequency data under the directional change approach","authors":"Shengnan Li,&nbsp;Edward P. K. Tsang,&nbsp;John O'Hara","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1510","DOIUrl":"10.1002/isaf.1510","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We introduce a new approach in measuring relative volatility between two markets based on the directional change (DC) method. DC is a data-driven approach for sampling financial market data such that the data are recorded when the price changes have reached a significant amplitude rather than recording data under a predetermined timescale. Under the DC framework, we propose a new concept of DC micro-market relative volatility to evaluate relative volatility between two markets. Unlike the time-series method, micro-market relative volatility redefines the timescale based on the frequency of the observed DC data between the two markets. We show that it is useful for measuring the relative volatility in micro-market activities (high-frequency data).</p>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"29 2","pages":"86-102"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-06-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/isaf.1510","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128450432","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Forecasting Commodity Market Returns Volatility: A Hybrid Ensemble Learning GARCH-LSTM based Approach 预测商品市场收益波动:一种基于GARCH-LSTM的混合集成学习方法
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2022-05-31 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1515
Kshitij Kakade, Aswini Kumar Mishra, Kshitish Ghate, Shivang Gupta
{"title":"Forecasting Commodity Market Returns Volatility: A Hybrid Ensemble Learning GARCH-LSTM based Approach","authors":"Kshitij Kakade,&nbsp;Aswini Kumar Mishra,&nbsp;Kshitish Ghate,&nbsp;Shivang Gupta","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1515","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/isaf.1515","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This study investigates the advantage of combining the forecasting abilities of multiple generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH)-type models, such as the standard GARCH (GARCH), exponential GARCH (eGARCH), and threshold GARCH (tGARCH) models with advanced deep learning methods to predict the volatility of five important metals (nickel, copper, tin, lead, and gold) in the Indian commodity market. This paper proposes integrating the forecasts of one to three GARCH-type models into an ensemble learning-based hybrid long short-term memory (LSTM) model to forecast commodity price volatility. We further evaluate the forecasting performance of these models for standalone LSTM and GARCH-type models using the root mean squared error, mean absolute error, and mean fundamental percentage error. The results highlight that combining the information from the forecasts of multiple GARCH types into a hybrid LSTM model leads to superior volatility forecasting capability. The SET-LSTM, which represents the model that combines forecasts of the GARCH, eGARCH, and tGARCH into the LSTM hybrid, has shown the best overall results for all metals, barring a few exceptions. Moreover, the equivalence of forecasting accuracy is tested using the Diebold–Mariano and Wilcoxon signed-rank tests.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"29 2","pages":"103-117"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-05-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"137749873","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Anti-money laundering and financial fraud detection: A systematic literature review 反洗钱与金融欺诈侦查:系统的文献综述
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2022-05-19 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1509
Lucas Schmidt Goecks, André Luis Korzenowski, Platão Gonçalves Terra Neto, Davenilcio Luiz de Souza, Taciana Mareth
{"title":"Anti-money laundering and financial fraud detection: A systematic literature review","authors":"Lucas Schmidt Goecks,&nbsp;André Luis Korzenowski,&nbsp;Platão Gonçalves Terra Neto,&nbsp;Davenilcio Luiz de Souza,&nbsp;Taciana Mareth","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1509","DOIUrl":"10.1002/isaf.1509","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Money laundering has affected the global economy for many years, and there are several methods of solving it presented in the literature. However, when tackling money laundering and financial fraud together there are few methods for solving them. Thus, this study aims to identify methods for anti-money laundering (AML) and financial fraud detection (FFD). A systematic literature review was performed for analysis and research of the methods used, utilizing the SCOPUS and Web of Science databases. Of the 48 articles that aligned with the research theme, 20 used quantitative methods for AML and FFD solution, 13 were literature reviews, 7 used qualitative methods, and 8 used mixed methods. This study contributes by presenting a systematic literature review that fills two research gaps: lack of studies on AML and FFD, and the methods used to solve them. This will assist researchers in identifying gaps and related research.</p>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"29 2","pages":"71-85"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133438268","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Wikipedia pageviews as investors’ attention indicator for Nasdaq 维基百科页面浏览量是投资者关注纳斯达克的指标
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2022-04-17 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1508
Raúl Gómez-Martínez, Carmen Orden-Cruz, Juan Gabriel Martínez-Navalón
{"title":"Wikipedia pageviews as investors’ attention indicator for Nasdaq","authors":"Raúl Gómez-Martínez,&nbsp;Carmen Orden-Cruz,&nbsp;Juan Gabriel Martínez-Navalón","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1508","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/isaf.1508","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The attempt to measure investors’ mood to find an early indicator of financial markets has evolved and developed with the advancement of technology over the years. The first attempts were based on surveys, a long and expensive process. Nowadays, big data has made it possible to measure the investor’s mood accurately and almost entirely online. This paper analyzes the explanatory and predictive capacity of Wikipedia pageviews for the Nasdaq index. For this purpose, two econometric models have been developed. In both models, the explanatory variable is the number of Wikipedia visits, and the endogenous variable is Nasdaq index return. As an alternative to this approach, an algorithmic trading system has been developed. It uses Wikipedia visits as investment signals for long and short positions to check the predictability power of this indicator. It is determined that the volume of queries about Nasdaq companies is a statistically significant variable for expressing the evolution of this index. However, it has no predictive capacity. Keeping in mind the capacity of Wikipedia to exemplify Nasdaq trends, further studies should be conducted to determine how to make this indicator profitable.</p>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"29 1","pages":"41-49"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-04-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/isaf.1508","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"109170445","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Time-varying neural network for stock return prediction 时变神经网络用于股票收益预测
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2022-03-27 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1507
Steven Y. K. Wong, Jennifer S. K. Chan, Lamiae Azizi, Richard Y. D. Xu
{"title":"Time-varying neural network for stock return prediction","authors":"Steven Y. K. Wong,&nbsp;Jennifer S. K. Chan,&nbsp;Lamiae Azizi,&nbsp;Richard Y. D. Xu","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1507","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/isaf.1507","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We consider the problem of neural network training in a time-varying context. Machine learning algorithms have excelled in problems that do not change over time. However, problems encountered in financial markets are often <i>time varying</i>. We propose the <i>online early stopping</i> algorithm and show that a neural network trained using this algorithm can track a function changing with unknown dynamics. We compare the proposed algorithm to current approaches on predicting monthly US stock returns and show its superiority. We also show that prominent factors (such as the size and momentum effects) and industry indicators exhibit time-varying predictive power on stock returns. We find that during market distress, industry indicators experience an increase in importance at the expense of firm level features. This indicates that industries play a role in explaining stock returns during periods of heightened risk.</p>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"29 1","pages":"3-18"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"109177142","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
A textual analysis of the US Securities and Exchange Commission's accounting and auditing enforcement releases relating to the Sarbanes–Oxley Act 对美国证券交易委员会与《萨班斯-奥克斯利法案》有关的会计和审计执法发布的文本分析
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Pub Date : 2022-03-23 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1506
Sergio Davalos, Ehsan H. Feroz
{"title":"A textual analysis of the US Securities and Exchange Commission's accounting and auditing enforcement releases relating to the Sarbanes–Oxley Act","authors":"Sergio Davalos,&nbsp;Ehsan H. Feroz","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1506","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/isaf.1506","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>We focus on textual analysis of the US Securities and Exchange Commission's accounting and auditing enforcement releases (AAERs). Our research question is: Did the Sarbanes–Oxley Act (SOX) 2002 affect the qualitative linguistic content of the AAERs in the post-SOX period? To answer this question, we test the null hypotheses that there will be no differences in the qualitative verbiage and sentiment of AAERs in the time periods that we study related to the enactment of SOX: pre-SOX and post-SOX. To resolve the research question, we applied several text mining methods and classification machine-learning methods. We first used two basic text-mining methods, generating a bag of words and topic modeling, for descriptive analysis of the AAER content before the enactment of SOX and after the enforcement of SOX. We then conducted sentiment analysis using four sentiment dictionaries on the content of the two time periods: before SOX and after SOX. Finally, we developed three different classification models based on well-known supervised learning algorithms and determined that SOX-related AAERs could be distinguished from non-SOX-related AAERs. Based on the results, we conclude that there were significant linguistic differences in the AAER content of the post-SOX period compared with the pre-SOX period. In other words, post-SOX-related AAERs are qualitatively different in terms of linguistic contents and sentiment values compared with the non-SOX-related AAERs.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"29 1","pages":"19-40"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"109173501","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
相关产品
×
本文献相关产品
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信