Yoann Morin , Martin Regnaud , Marie-Laure Breuillé , Julie Le Gallo
{"title":"PARIS2019: The impact of rent control on the Parisian rental market","authors":"Yoann Morin , Martin Regnaud , Marie-Laure Breuillé , Julie Le Gallo","doi":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102101","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102101","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We evaluate the impact of the rent control regulation implemented by the city of Paris in July 2019 on the Parisian rental market. We take advantage of the large amount of real-time data available on the SeLoger platform containing the ads published by professional realtors. Using a database of 559,300 observations from January 2018 to June 2023, we apply a difference-in-differences model, where control units are located in eight major French cities in which the rental market is particularly tense but not regulated during the analysis period. We show that the rent control policy decreased rents by 3.7% to 4.2% in Paris on average. Yet, the effect of the policy is heterogeneous depending on dwelling characteristics, with a stronger effect on small apartments. We also estimate the upper bound of the effectiveness of the policy and show that if every dwelling respected the rent control, rents would have decreased by 8.2% to 8.7%. We confirm the effectiveness of the rent control policy by extending the analysis to five additional regulated cities using a staggered difference-in-differences strategy, which reinforces the external validity of our findings. Finally, we examine whether the policy affected the supply of rental housing, proxied by the number of new listings published by agencies. We find no evidence of a decline in supply attributable to the rent control.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51490,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Housing Economics","volume":"70 ","pages":"Article 102101"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-09-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145227063","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Andreas Benedictow , Erling Røed Larsen , Dag Martin Sundelius
{"title":"Estimating a housing Phillips curve: Evidence from Norway","authors":"Andreas Benedictow , Erling Røed Larsen , Dag Martin Sundelius","doi":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102091","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102091","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We examine the relationship between price changes and unsold rates in the Norwegian housing market within a Phillips curve framework. We find clear evidence of the existence of a Phillips curve in Oslo and three other Norwegian cities since price changes and unsold rates are negatively associated. There are some indications that price changes may lead the unsold rate in Oslo, although this is not consistent across the other three cities. We present a skeleton model in which house price changes may, or may not, move before the unsold rate, depending upon the appreciation rate. Data on individual sellers and buyers support the hypothesis that the propensity to hold two houses is pro-cyclical in Oslo.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51490,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Housing Economics","volume":"70 ","pages":"Article 102091"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145020214","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Syed M. Hasan , Adeel Tariq , Rabia Saeed , Abubakar Memon
{"title":"Inclusive growth or displacement? Examining upzoning and gentrification in Lahore, Pakistan","authors":"Syed M. Hasan , Adeel Tariq , Rabia Saeed , Abubakar Memon","doi":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102087","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102087","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper presents the first impact evaluation of recent upzoning reforms in Lahore, Pakistan - a megacity with a population of approximately 13 million. Leveraging data from Pakistan’s largest online property platform and nationally representative labor force surveys, we provide causal evidence that the 2020 policy reform permitting vertical development led to a significant increase in property prices within upzoned areas. Specifically, we find that upzoning increased property prices by at least 8.4 percent after controlling for unobserved heterogeneity within the city and hedonic attributes of properties. We also find compelling evidence of gentrification in upzoned neighborhoods: the likelihood of residents with higher wages, being literate, and having completed higher education increases as a result of upzoning. While upzoning does not affect the probability of working, it does increase the probability of working as a professional/manager or being employed in the tertiary sector. These patterns point to a marked shift in the socioeconomic composition of upzoned areas, aligning with the broader literature on gentrification as an unintended consequence of relaxation in land-use regulations. The effects of upzoning appear to be geographically contained, with no evidence of spillovers into adjacent areas. Owing to the inelastic nature of housing supply and data constraints, the study does not evaluate the policy’s effect on housing stock expansion. Nevertheless, this study offers novel evidence from a developing country context, where empirical research on upzoning remains scarce. The findings have important implications for housing affordability policy and the design of complementary public infrastructure to support upzoning reforms.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51490,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Housing Economics","volume":"70 ","pages":"Article 102087"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-08-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144989980","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Time to build: Rules-based planning and construction project duration in Dublin","authors":"Ronan C. Lyons , Éamonn Sweeney","doi":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102089","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102089","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Housing is one of the most politically salient issues in high-income countries, with an increasing focus on the determinants and responsiveness of supply and on policy options such as upzoning and use-by-right. This paper examines the determinants of the duration between receiving planning consent and commencing construction (activation), and between commencing construction and completion of new housing units (build-out). A simple economic model, incorporating uncertainty around planning decisions as well as capital costs and payment structures, generates four propositions. These are then taken to a new and detailed database of 83,000 residential units across 5,300 proposed developments in Dublin, Ireland for the period 2018–2023, with rich information on project, site and firm characteristics. The setting includes a baseline discretionary planning system and two more rules-based planning codes for certain projects. We find empirical support for all four propositions from theory, including clear evidence that, where systems of land use regulation are more certain, activation times are shorter. These findings have considerable relevance for policies that seek to increase housing supply.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51490,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Housing Economics","volume":"70 ","pages":"Article 102089"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-08-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145106346","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jens von Bergmann , Thomas Davidoff , Nathan Lauster , Tsur Somerville
{"title":"Upzoning and redevelopment: The details matter","authors":"Jens von Bergmann , Thomas Davidoff , Nathan Lauster , Tsur Somerville","doi":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102078","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102078","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Facing worsening housing affordability, policymakers in a growing number of jurisdictions have heeded economists’ calls for increases in supply through relaxing land use restrictions, particularly on maximum allowed density and increases in the number of units allowed on a single lot. While floor space or floor area ratios (FSR or FAR) and unit count per lot are indicators of the potential for density, local governments have many levers to control the volume, type, and pace of new construction. In this paper, we compare changes in land prices and the pace of redevelopment following two similar, moderate density upzonings (up to four units per lot) of single family neighborhoods in the province of British Columbia (Canada). The upzoning in the City of Kelowna resulted in considerable new construction of higher density residential units as well as a significant increase in lot prices in the upzoned area relative to nearby areas with status quo zoning. In contrast, though the changes in allowed density were nearly identical, in Coquitlam there has been minimal uptake of new multiplex options and no discernible land lift in response to upzoning. We highlight the importance of other regulatory levers that are easy for analysts to miss in contributing to these different outcomes. The Kelowna upzoning was matched with an expedited development permit process for as-of-right fourplexes. In contrast, the Coquitlam rezoning did not alter the city’s lengthy development permit process required to build beyond the baseline duplex. Kelowna’s upzoning also required less parking than Coquitlam’s. An assessment of the regulatory environment relying on the presence of the upzoning alone would miss the alteration to process (or absence thereof) that appear to have had a significant effect across the two municipalities in whether zoning changes led to actual new construction.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51490,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Housing Economics","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 102078"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144907097","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Navigating shifting tides: Time-varying monetary policy spillovers in core-peripheral housing markets in the Euro area","authors":"Shu-hen Chiang , Sandy Suardi , Chien-Fu Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102090","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102090","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the spillover effects of a unified monetary policy on core and peripheral housing markets in the Euro Area, utilizing augmented spillover accounting techniques developed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2009). Our estimation results reveal significant core-peripheral differences: core countries experience stronger and more immediate spillovers from monetary policy, especially during the unconventional period following the 2008 global financial crisis and events such as the Russian invasion of Ukraine. In contrast, peripheral countries exhibit a slower, more moderate response, thereby remaining relatively insulated from policy-driven systemic risks. This underscores the varying impacts of monetary policy on housing stability across the Euro Area, highlighting the need for tailored policy responses.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51490,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Housing Economics","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 102090"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-08-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144886207","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Transactions tax change during the pandemic: A study of the UK housing market","authors":"Qiulin Ke , Bing Zhu , Michael White , Bin Chi","doi":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102088","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102088","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>During the Covid-19 pandemic, the UK government reduced the transaction tax on house sales, i.e., the Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT) rate, to stimulate the housing market. Based on a difference-in-difference framework and over 400,000 repeat sale transactions, we find a significantly positive impact of the tax holiday on both home prices and trading volumes. On a national scale, on average, 79.92 % of the surplus generated by the holiday accrued to buyers, accompanied by a noticeable level (10.27 %) of welfare loss. Regional analysis validates the leverage channel, revealing that transaction prices and volumes respond significantly more in areas with severe liquidity constraints. This finding underscores the effectiveness of tax reductions in easing down-payment constraints, thereby enabling more households to become homeowners. However, the resulting upward pressure on prices reduces the net benefit for buyers and exacerbates market inefficiencies. The potential downsides should not be overlooked, particularly in areas with tighter liquidity constraints and lower housing affordability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51490,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Housing Economics","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 102088"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144852139","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Relisting, agent switching, and sale outcomes in the housing market","authors":"Darren K. Hayunga , William Swymer","doi":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102086","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102086","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Single-family homes do not always sell during their initial listing contract. This study investigates how relisting a home–whether with the same or a different agent–affects transaction prices and marketing durations, using over 670,000 sales from 2000 to 2019, including nearly 45,000 relistings. We find that outcomes are shaped by the housing market phase, off-market gap between listings, and relisting type (expired vs. canceled). Relistings during the Peak phase (May 2005–March 2006) yield positive price effects, while other periods exhibit largely discounts. Short off-market gaps (0–7 days) lead to longer total marketing periods, suggesting market skepticism of superficial resets. In contrast, longer gaps (31–180 days) reduce total marketing durations, consistent with a new buyer pool or home renovations. Representation changes following expirations generate modest price gains, contrasting prior findings. Overall, relisting should not be viewed as a uniform signal of failure but as a strategic action shaped by timing and listing history.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51490,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Housing Economics","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 102086"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144779568","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Simon Büchler , Vera Götze , Lukas Hauck , Nicola Stalder
{"title":"The amplifying effect of spatial planning restrictions on house prices and rents","authors":"Simon Büchler , Vera Götze , Lukas Hauck , Nicola Stalder","doi":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102085","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102085","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines how spatial planning restrictions shape housing cost responses to demand shocks. Using a detailed micro-level dataset from Switzerland, we analyze the effects of land reserves, density limits, refusal rates, and overall regulatory constraints. Our dynamic model shows that stricter planning regulations significantly amplify housing cost growth, with stronger effects on house prices than rents. We validate these findings using a Bartik-style instrumental variable strategy. The paper contributes to the literature by jointly analyzing prices and rents and identifying amplification effects across distinct regulatory tools. While based on Swiss data, the underlying institutional features, local control, and strong demand are common elsewhere, making the findings broadly relevant.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51490,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Housing Economics","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 102085"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144771574","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Nominal loss aversion and equity constraints in house price determination: Empirical evidence in the absence of down-payment constraints","authors":"Joep Steegmans , Wolter Hassink","doi":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102084","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102084","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The paper investigates the effects of nominal loss aversion and equity constraints on house prices in a market without down-payment constraints or strategic defaults. Using extensive house transaction data of owner-occupied family homes from the Netherlands in combination with administrative microdata, the results show that the price effect of nominal loss aversion is about twice the size of the effect of negative equity. List price regressions provide evidence that higher transaction prices are obtained by setting higher list prices. Thereby the paper presents new evidence that nominal loss aversion and equity constraints lead to market premiums.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51490,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Housing Economics","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 102084"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-07-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144771573","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}