{"title":"Political power shifts, varying tax policy, and economic outcomes in a creative region","authors":"Amitrajeet A. Batabyal , Hamid Beladi","doi":"10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100065","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100065","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We analyze how a permanent shift in political power in a region that is creative <em>a la</em> Richard Florida affects tax policy and economic outcomes. There are three groups of individuals in our region: laborers or workers, creative class members or entrepreneurs, and the elites. The elites initially hold political power but then they lose it to the creative class. We describe the Markov perfect equilibrium of the political game between the above three groups. Specifically, we first derive the optimal taxes that are levied on the elites and on the creative class, by the creative class. Next, we compute the discounted utility of the elites when the creative class holds political power and compare this to their utility when they are in control of politics.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51458,"journal":{"name":"Papers in Regional Science","volume":"104 1","pages":"Article 100065"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2024-11-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142659365","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Italian regional econometric model","authors":"Simone Lombardini","doi":"10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100060","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100060","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper shifts studies on macroeconomic models from a national to a regional scope. Regions, indeed, often follow growth trajectories that dif- fer greatly from others within the same country. In this study we propose a macroeconometric model for 20 economies corresponding to the Italian administrative Regions. We called it: IREM (Italian Regional Econometric Model). We illustrate the general structure and properties of IREM, especially with regard to the economy’s response to changes in regional fiscal policy, technological advances and other dimensions of the economic environment. One of the model’s key features is the joint representation of the economy on both the demand and the supply side with a multiple estimating equations system calibrated at regional level. Public finance is designed in great detail, with multiple specific equations for local government expenses and revenues, using the Italian database CPT (Conti Pubblici Territoriali). After documenting the model structure and the estimation results with an in-sample simulation, we turn to illustrate the model properties through the study of its response functions to multiple shocks.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51458,"journal":{"name":"Papers in Regional Science","volume":"103 6","pages":"Article 100060"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2024-11-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142663160","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Navigating the precarious path: Understanding the dualisation of the Italian labour market through the lens of involuntary part-time employment","authors":"Liliana Cuccu , Vicente Royuela , Sergio Scicchitano","doi":"10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100061","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100061","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This article investigates the surge in Involuntary Part-Time (IPT) employment in Italy from 2004 to 2019, exploring its impact on various socio-economic groups and adopting a spatial perspective. The study tests the hypothesis that technological shifts, specifically routine biased technological change (RBTC), and the expansion of household substitution services contribute to IPT growth. There is a widening negative gap in IPT prevalence among marginalized groups - women, young, and less skilled workers. After controlling for sector and occupation, the higher IPT propensity diminishes but remains significant, hinting at persistent discrimination. Additionally, segregation into more exposed occupations and sectors intensifies over time. Leveraging province-level indicators, and using a Partial Adjustment model, there is statistical support for RBTC’s correlation with IPT, especially among women. The impact of household substitution services is notably pronounced for women, highlighting sector segregation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51458,"journal":{"name":"Papers in Regional Science","volume":"103 6","pages":"Article 100061"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2024-11-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142663159","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Maria Candelaria Barrios González , Maja Jandrić , Dejan Molnar , Svetozar Tanasković
{"title":"The effects of internal migration on regional convergence: Evidence from Serbia","authors":"Maria Candelaria Barrios González , Maja Jandrić , Dejan Molnar , Svetozar Tanasković","doi":"10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100062","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100062","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The paper investigates the effects of internal migration flows on regional convergence in Serbia, a country with large regional disparities, during the period 2000–2018. For this purpose, we implement both the net and the gross (in- and out-) migration approaches. We undertake separate analyses for different categories of the migrant population to explore the impact of migrations involving different levels of human capital. The results show that internal migration flows between NUTS3 units in the observed period mainly fostered divergence, thus contradicting the neoclassical theory. This effect is especially pronounced when considering migrations of the active population and prime-age specialists.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51458,"journal":{"name":"Papers in Regional Science","volume":"103 6","pages":"Article 100062"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2024-11-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142592922","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A longitudinal study of evolving polycentric pattern in Shanghai","authors":"Shijia Lin , Xinyi Niu","doi":"10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100059","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100059","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In the context of technological progress and economic transition, the urban spatial structure has consistently undergone dynamic evolution. However, the trajectories of polycentric patterns display significant national and regional variations. It is crucial to examine the dynamic evolution of spatial structures within Chinese metropolitan areas amidst economic transitions. Focusing on the Shanghai Metropolitan Area (SMA), this study investigates the temporal dynamics of job distribution and employment centres and considers industry differentiation to understand the evolution of polycentric patterns. Additionally, spatial regression models are utilized to probe the intrinsic mechanisms through which adjustments in industrial structure influence spatial evolution. The findings indicate that both the service and manufacturing sectors have the potential to concentrate employment and form subcentres in the SMA. Nevertheless, within the economic transition context, the downtown area, dominated by the service sector, underwent specialized development, fostering continuous prosperity and the emergence of employment subcentres in the periphery. In contrast, employment centres in suburban areas, dominated by the manufacturing sector, experienced a declining trend. Consequently, the locations of employment clusters in the SMA shifted, concurrently reshaping the relationships between the main centre and subcentres and leading to a transformation from a weaker separated polycentric pattern to a stronger continuous polycentric pattern. This paper elucidates the underlying mechanisms through which industrial transition influences urban spatial structure, offering insights into the evolution of polycentric patterns in the postindustrial era from a local Chinese perspective.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51458,"journal":{"name":"Papers in Regional Science","volume":"103 6","pages":"Article 100059"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2024-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142578124","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Giovanni Baiocchetti , Francesco Scotti , Pasquale Lelio Iapadre
{"title":"The impact of natural disasters: How the 2009 earthquake transformed the economy of L’Aquila’s labour market area","authors":"Giovanni Baiocchetti , Francesco Scotti , Pasquale Lelio Iapadre","doi":"10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100058","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100058","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We investigate the economic impact of the 2009 earthquake in the L’Aquila labour market area (Italy) through a synthetic difference-in-differences method applied to the 2004–2013 period. The shock immediately disrupted the local economy with a 27.3 % and 38.2 % reduction in employment and the number of firms. However, these effects are not statistically significant when measured 5 years after the earthquake, suggesting that a rebound process affected both dimensions. Such findings are the result of heterogeneous dynamics across the manufacturing and service sectors: the former showed a prolonged contraction in the number of employees and firms, whereas the latter experienced a strong recovery after a short-term negative effect. These dynamics have induced an increase in L’Aquila’s sector dissimilarity from other local labour market areas in Italy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51458,"journal":{"name":"Papers in Regional Science","volume":"103 6","pages":"Article 100058"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2024-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142578125","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Spyros Niavis, Dimitris Kallioras, George Petrakos
{"title":"The distributional characteristics of Interreg Transnational Programmes and their role in promoting regional cohesion","authors":"Spyros Niavis, Dimitris Kallioras, George Petrakos","doi":"10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100057","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100057","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Interreg is an instrument of Cohesion Policy promoting cooperation among different organizations of Europe to tackle common challenges. Project funding within Interreg could become competitive, given the strong interest from numerous institutions in participating. This, in turn, may lead to disparities in the number of projects implemented across European regions. If participation is driven by factors such as the economic development level of regions, then the fundamental aim of Cohesion Policy—to reduce the gaps between developed and lagging regions—may not be well served by Interreg, as existing gaps may be exacerbated. Given this issue, the paper focuses on the 12 Interreg transnational programmes, which bring together regions from many different countries. The paper examines the distributional characteristics of these programmes using conventional statistical and network measures with data from the 2014–2020 programming period. It then develops a novel indicator of regional participation levels and constructs and empirically tests a framework for measuring the effect of various socioeconomic, geographical, and demographic factors on the participation levels of EU regions. The analysis reveals differences in the allocation patterns of projects among the programmes and shows that different types of networks are formed. Additionally, the instrument appears to benefit smaller and wealthier regions, which results in counteracting demographic inequalities but simultaneously augmenting economic ones. To address this challenge, the paper provides recommendations for management authorities to make the formation of partnerships more equitable.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51458,"journal":{"name":"Papers in Regional Science","volume":"103 6","pages":"Article 100057"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142530910","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Building back greener, levelling-up or both? An assessment of the economic and environmental efficiency transition of UK regions","authors":"Giorgio Fazio , Sara Maioli , Nirat Rujimora","doi":"10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100053","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100053","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper assesses the transition of UK regions towards the policy ambitions of “building back greener” and “levelling-up” the UK economy. We use data envelopment analysis (DEA) methods to calculate regional economic and environmental efficiency for 41 UK ITL2 regions between 2005 and 2020, and then assess their “unconditional” and “spatial” transition probabilities of improving one of the two efficiencies or both. We find evidence of a trade-off between the two for more than half of the regions and that the costs of transition are unequally distributed. We also find that regions are more likely to become efficient in both directions if they are already environmentally efficient; less economically efficient regions are more likely to become economically efficient than environmentally efficient. Economic efficiency improvements are easier to achieve than environmental efficiency improvements, requiring stronger policy support for the latter. The high inertia of regions requires central and local authorities’ intervention to reduce regional inequalities and improve both types of efficiency. Whilst we do not find evidence of spatial spillovers for environmental transitions, space (negatively) matters for regional economic efficiency. Without a combination of place-based and national policies, there is no natural regional convergence nor levelling up, whilst the transition to net zero will remain too slow.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51458,"journal":{"name":"Papers in Regional Science","volume":"103 6","pages":"Article 100053"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2024-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142358197","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Francesco Cappellano , Anabela M. Santos , Nicola Francesco Dotti
{"title":"Regional R&I ventures to tackle climate change: A new geography of challenge-oriented innovation landscape","authors":"Francesco Cappellano , Anabela M. Santos , Nicola Francesco Dotti","doi":"10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100052","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pirs.2024.100052","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper analyses how EU regions have aligned their innovation and policy endeavours to tackle exposure to the effects of Climate Change at regional level. Scholars hailed the need to orienting efforts and resources to tackle societal challenges. However, we have little empirical evidence on the alignment of R&I ecosystems and policy endeavours towards tackling Climate Change. Using regression analysis, we assess the relationship between such directionality and the exposure to risk of disasters (i.e., coastal floods, river floods, and landslides) that each region faces in the short, medium, and long term due to Climate Change. Results show a positive relationship between risk projection and climate change preparedness. However, a more in-depth analysis demonstrates the complexity of such geographical \"problem-solution convergence\": investigating whether the EU regions most at risk of being affected by climate change are also the ones most ready to target climate change through an aligned combination of R&I and policy efforts. Findings show that more developed regions appear more ready to tackle climate change effects compared to transition and less developed regions. These findings suggest that more support is needed for less developed regions facing major Climate Change-related risks.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51458,"journal":{"name":"Papers in Regional Science","volume":"103 5","pages":"Article 100052"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2024-09-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1056819024000721/pdfft?md5=07906f3a5552d50f21232b153f69e2d8&pid=1-s2.0-S1056819024000721-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142311654","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}