{"title":"The impact of territories on the salaries of young individuals","authors":"P. Caro , A. Checcaglini , J.-P. Guironnet","doi":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100098","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100098","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>What influence do the past and present locations of young workers have on their professional careers? To answer this question, Céreq's Génération 2010 survey was used to examine the impact of Employment Zone (EZ) characteristics on wages, particularly through interviews conducted three and seven years after these individuals left the school system. An estimate based on a multi-level model confirms that individual characteristics largely determine the level of pay. However, the characteristics of the EZ also significantly influence pay trends, with the effect of the area being much greater for mobile individuals. In addition, individuals’ career paths within territories leave a lasting impact on their salary progression: the characteristics of the EZ in which they resided in 2013 still exert influence on their salaries in 2017. The proposed analysis also reveals distinct effects based on qualifications and mobility. Territorial inequalities are more pronounced for less mobile graduates, whereas the most mobile graduates can leverage these differences to maximise the returns on their education. However, using data spanning 7 years, it becomes evident that this effect diminishes with repeated territorial mobility. The uniqueness of this article is further underscored by the presentation of results through the cartographic transposition of econometric findings.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51458,"journal":{"name":"Papers in Regional Science","volume":"104 3","pages":"Article 100098"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-04-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143934831","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Brazilian demographic dividend: A spatial analysis of the role of savings","authors":"Marianne Zwilling Stampe , Gabrielito Rauter Menezes , Fernando Pozzobon , Eduardo Grando Sirtoli","doi":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100097","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100097","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the role of savings as a channel for the second demographic dividend in minimum comparable areas (MCA) in Brazil between 2000 and 2010. Using spatial econometric models, the research analyzed the effects of per capita savings, education, and labor force participation on income growth. The results reveal that, in addition to the first demographic dividend – evidenced by the contribution of working-age population relative to the total population to economic growth – the second dividend, driven by savings and education, has a significant impact on regional economic growth. Savings, treated as an endogenous variable, proved to be crucial in mitigating the effects of population aging and promoting sustainable development. The study also highlights the importance of local spatial interactions between MCAs, suggesting that public policies aimed at promoting savings, human capital formation, and productive inclusion are essential to maximize the benefits of demographic dividends. These findings provide valuable insights for policymakers seeking to reduce regional disparities in Brazil.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51458,"journal":{"name":"Papers in Regional Science","volume":"104 3","pages":"Article 100097"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-04-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144068201","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Saverio Barabuffi , Jacopo Cricchio , Alberto Di Minin
{"title":"The 'picking the fittest' approach and spatial dynamics in China’s artificial intelligence regional development","authors":"Saverio Barabuffi , Jacopo Cricchio , Alberto Di Minin","doi":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100096","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100096","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the role of regional specialization in ICT in fostering AI patenting performance and inter-regional spatial spillovers across China’s provincial-level regions. Using panel fixed effects estimators, a Spatial Autoregressive Regression model and by adapting the technological frontier IV strategy on a comprehensive database covering 2006–2021, we find that positively selecting areas where regional ICT specialization is leveraged – the “picking the fittest” approach – can increase AI patenting performance while exacerbating regional disparities. Furthermore, we find that geographical proximity to developed AI regions impedes AI patenting progress in neighboring areas. The findings highlight the need for collaborative regional strategies and urge policy-makers to achieve a balance between strengthening regional specialization and promoting cooperation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51458,"journal":{"name":"Papers in Regional Science","volume":"104 3","pages":"Article 100096"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143934839","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Invention volatility and urban systems dynamics","authors":"Breandán Ó hUallacháin, Jacob Douma","doi":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100095","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100095","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Large firms generate most American inventions. We know that cities are host to organizations of varying size and prevalence, but are these conditions important to urban system dynamics? This article presents volatility in patenting as a novel instrument for distinguishing between cities reliant on many or few organizations. Volatility is the standard deviation of a city’s inter-annual patenting growth rate over a period. We attest an inverse-size hypothesis between volatility and metropolitan size -- as metropolitan size increases volatility decays. This hypothesis belongs to a family of urban scaling power laws, but our approach is distinctive in linking invention volatility, city size, and the organization of technological progress. A focus on volatility facilitates an unraveling of intertwined place attributes and organizational characteristic. Place attributes include the level of engagement in invention and the growth rate of patenting by resident inventors. Organizational characteristics pertain to patentee type with an emphasis on the proportion of grants in a city to corporate champions, individual inventors, universities, and Federal agencies. Results show that while place attributes are influential beyond the largest metropolitan areas, organizational characteristics are key to understanding volatility in big cities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51458,"journal":{"name":"Papers in Regional Science","volume":"104 3","pages":"Article 100095"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143948605","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Andrew G. Ross , Marko Raseta , Matthias Grajewski , Andreas Kleefeld
{"title":"Resilience and recovery in networked economic systems: An ex-ante analysis of susceptibility to aspects of a potential China–Taiwan conflict","authors":"Andrew G. Ross , Marko Raseta , Matthias Grajewski , Andreas Kleefeld","doi":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100094","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100094","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The global economy's interconnectedness and the potential for supply chain disruptions were highlighted recently during Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine and the COVID-19 pandemic. Similarly, a possible future conflict between China and Taiwan could lead to substantial disruptions in the availability of high-tech components and other goods produced by Taiwan that are widely used in manufacturing worldwide. It is necessary to understand and proactively address such potential supply chain vulnerabilities for critical goods and services. This paper applies a dynamic nonequilibrium model to identify the forward and backward dependencies of individual industrial, manufacturing, service, and energy sectors in a multi-regional context. The model tracks the macroeconomic variables of economies from their initial equilibrium state into a nonequilibrium stationary state, and quantifies their susceptibility, resilience, and recovery to shocks in the networked economic system. Through this analysis, the paper examines the impact of excluding Taiwan from global economic networks, revealing substantial impacts on major economies and sectors essential to the operating of the global economy. The approach presented and empirically tested enables policymakers and stakeholders to proactively use data-driven insights to anticipate future outcomes and reduce disruption risks.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51458,"journal":{"name":"Papers in Regional Science","volume":"104 3","pages":"Article 100094"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-04-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143816444","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Morakinyo O. Adetutu , Anthony J. Glass , Karligash Kenjegalieva , Kayode A. Odusanya
{"title":"Product level market power spillovers among U.S. banks","authors":"Morakinyo O. Adetutu , Anthony J. Glass , Karligash Kenjegalieva , Kayode A. Odusanya","doi":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100093","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100093","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Bank market power has far-reaching effects as, among other things, it affects the price of credit. Even though it is well-known that banks are spatially interdependent due to rival banks having branches in the same geographical areas, the literature on bank market power overlooks this. To measure market power spillovers, we set out an approach to calculate spill-in and spill-out Lerner indices for firms and their products. To account for the marked consolidation over the sample, we use unbalanced panel data comprising over 45,000 observations for large commercial U.S. banks. From spatial stochastic frontier models, we obtain estimates of these indices (with and without adjustment for inefficiency spill-ins and spill-outs). We observe high spill-in Lerner indices for some banks, which is consistent with consolidation in the industry leading to concerns about bank market power. In line with larger agglomeration effects being conducive to higher spillovers, banks with high spillover Lerner indices tend to have branches in major cities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51458,"journal":{"name":"Papers in Regional Science","volume":"104 3","pages":"Article 100093"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143822397","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Polycentricity and regional economic resilience: A ridge regression approach","authors":"Burcu Değerli Çifçi, Hasan Engin Duran","doi":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100089","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100089","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>“Resilience” and “polycentricity” have surged as popular concepts over the recent decades, although the link between the two has not yet been investigated empirically. Identification of this relationship and its theoretical justification are politically crucial to shed light on prospective policies for urbanization and regionalization. Thus, the aim of this study is to investigate the impact of polycentricity/monocentricity on the regional resilience of Turkish (Nuts-2) regions against the global financial crisis in 2008/09. This paper also identifies the channels through which it can influence resilience. Through the application of a rich set of empirical tools, including computation of monocentricity degree, resistance, recovery, and adaptability indexes based on national and regional business cycle turning points, LOESS, RIDGE regressions, and inferential mediation tests, three main conclusions were obtained. First, polycentric regions were evidently more resistant to the crisis compared to monocentric morphologies; the later were more industrialized and open to trade, which made them more vulnerable to the crisis. Second, polycentric spatial structures were found to recover more quickly compared to monocentric regions. Third, monocentric regions clearly adapt better to long-term trajectories. In sum, the well-known strategy of the European Union rooted in “polycentric development” can still be valid for the purposes such as resisting to and recovering from economic disruptions. However, in the long-run, polycentrilization can hardly be seen as an optimal strategy, particularly in the context of adapting to the future trajectories.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51458,"journal":{"name":"Papers in Regional Science","volume":"104 3","pages":"Article 100089"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-03-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143807493","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"","authors":"Ricardo Carvalho Bruno Ferreira","doi":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100088","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100088","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51458,"journal":{"name":"Papers in Regional Science","volume":"104 2","pages":"Article 100088"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-02-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143619257","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Special economic zones and land misallocation: Evidence from Chinese cities","authors":"Yi Cui","doi":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100084","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100084","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the impact of China’s special economic zones (SEZs) on land misallocation, primarily using city-level data for China from 2003 to 2018. The findings indicate that establishing SEZs exacerbates land misallocation by over-allocating land to cities, resulting in an average annual loss of 0.22% of real urban GDP. After establishing SEZs, local governments change their land supply strategies by adjusting supply mode, object, and preference, reducing land allocation efficiency. Thus, the bundling of SEZs and government intervention is an essential cause of land misallocation. Furthermore, the geographical location of SEZs affects land allocation efficiency through the spatial form of cities. Its spatial separation from the core urban area is an essential cause of land misallocation. This study has important implications for more effective planning and implementation of SEZs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51458,"journal":{"name":"Papers in Regional Science","volume":"104 2","pages":"Article 100084"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-02-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143387058","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Fernanda Gutiérrez Amaros , Andrea Ascani , Alessandra Faggian , Wessel N. Vermeulen
{"title":"Labour demand in the wake of a shock: A dose–response approach","authors":"Fernanda Gutiérrez Amaros , Andrea Ascani , Alessandra Faggian , Wessel N. Vermeulen","doi":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100083","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100083","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the impact of varying COVID-19 exposure levels on local labour demand in Italy during the first years of the pandemic. Using a dose–response framework and province-level monthly data on online job postings (NUTS3), we find a predominantly non-linear, negative relationship between COVID-19 exposure — measured by the contagion rate — and labour demand growth. However, at high exposure levels, a positive effect emerges, driven by increased demand for essential roles in Northern Italy. Our findings reveal significant regional disparities. Southern provinces experienced sharper declines in labour demand, despite lower exposure levels, reflecting their weaker economic structures and reliance on non-essential jobs. Conversely, Northern provinces with high exposure levels sustained a higher ratio of essential-to-non-essential vacancies, demonstrating greater economic resilience during the crisis. This study contributes to the literature by examining the underexplored effects of COVID-19 on labour demand in a European context, positioning Italy as a critical case study. It emphasises the pivotal role of essential jobs in mitigating economic disruption and highlights the Italian labour market’s non-linear responses to shocks and regional inequalities, offering insights into how sudden crises shape labour dynamics.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51458,"journal":{"name":"Papers in Regional Science","volume":"104 2","pages":"Article 100083"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143402999","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}