Population and Development Review最新文献_第2页

The End of an Era: The Vanishing Negative Effect of Women's Employment on Fertility 一个时代的终结：女性就业对生育率的负面影响正在消失

IF 2.5 2区社会学

Population and Development Review Pub Date : 2026-03-08 DOI: 10.1111/padr.70053

Anna Matysiak, Daniele Vignoli

{"title":"The End of an Era: The Vanishing Negative Effect of Women's Employment on Fertility","authors":"Anna Matysiak, Daniele Vignoli","doi":"10.1111/padr.70053","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.70053","url":null,"abstract":"This paper examines whether women's employment in the 21st century remains a barrier to family formation, as it was in the 1980s and 1990s, or—similar to men's—it has become a prerequisite for childbearing. We address this question through a systematic quantitative review (meta‐analysis) of empirical studies conducted in Europe, North America, and Australia. We selected 94 studies published between 1990 and 2023 ( N = 572 effect sizes). Our analysis uncovers a fundamental shift in the relationship between women's employment and fertility. What was once a strongly negative association has become statistically insignificant in the 2000s and 2010s—and even turned positive in the Nordic countries, parts of Western Europe (France, Belgium, and the Netherlands), and Central and Eastern Europe. This shift is evident both among childless women and mothers and has occurred across all analyzed country clusters, except for the German/Southern European group, where the relationship has remained negative. These findings challenge longstanding assumptions about work–family trade‐offs and suggest a reconfiguration of the economic and social conditions underpinning fertility decisions in contemporary high‐income societies. The paper calls for a reconceptualization of the employment–fertility relationship and development of a new theoretical framework that better captures these evolving dynamics in contemporary high‐income societies.","PeriodicalId":51372,"journal":{"name":"Population and Development Review","volume":"47 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2026-03-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147380787","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Editors' Note on the March 2026 Issue 2026年3月刊编者注

IF 2.5 2区社会学

Population and Development Review Pub Date : 2026-03-08 DOI: 10.1111/padr.70056

Joshua Wilde, Raya Muttarak

引用次数: 0

Acknowledgment of Reviewers 审稿人致谢

IF 2.5 2区社会学

Population and Development Review Pub Date : 2026-03-08 DOI: 10.1111/padr.70054

引用次数: 0

Weaponizing Kinship: A Demographic Analysis of Bereavement in the Colombian Conflict 武器化亲属关系：哥伦比亚冲突中丧亲之痛的人口统计学分析

IF 2.5 2区社会学

Population and Development Review Pub Date : 2026-03-06 DOI: 10.1111/padr.70048

Enrique Acosta, Diego Alburez‐Gutierrez, Maria Gargiulo, Catalina Torres

{"title":"Weaponizing Kinship: A Demographic Analysis of Bereavement in the Colombian Conflict","authors":"Enrique Acosta, Diego Alburez‐Gutierrez, Maria Gargiulo, Catalina Torres","doi":"10.1111/padr.70048","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.70048","url":null,"abstract":"The ongoing Colombian armed conflict has produced widespread homicides and enforced disappearances, as armed actors used violence to terrorize communities and consolidate power. Family bereavement—one of the most pervasive and enduring consequences of this violence—remains critically understudied from a quantitative perspective. We quantify the population burden of bereavement—ever having lost a family member to conflict—using kinship demographic models applied to 1985–2018 data compiled by the Truth Commission and the Special Jurisdiction for Peace, corrected for under‐registration. By 2018, an estimated 7.5% of Colombians had lost a close relative and about 40% had lost at least one family member to conflict. Even assuming an over‐optimistic scenario with no post‐2018 violence, demographic projections indicate that conflict‐related bereavement will remain visible well into the 2080s. Results are robust to subnational heterogeneity and alternative “bereavement memory” specifications. Reading these estimates alongside the Commission's qualitative record underscores bereavement as a strategic mechanism of repression aimed at fracturing kin networks and community cohesion rather than a collateral by‐product. Our demographic profiling of the bereaved informs population‐health and psychosocial responses, including support for relatives of the disappeared, and can guide reparations and community‐based programs that rebuild kin and neighborhood ties while strengthening guarantees of non‐repetition.","PeriodicalId":51372,"journal":{"name":"Population and Development Review","volume":"32 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2026-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147358796","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

National Identity and Fertility Intentions: Evidence from Hungary 民族认同与生育意向：来自匈牙利的证据

IF 2.5 2区社会学

Population and Development Review Pub Date : 2026-02-20 DOI: 10.1111/padr.70051

Dávid Erát

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Beyond Usual Suspects: Revisiting Barriers to Childbearing Decisions in a Low Fertility Setting 超越通常的怀疑：重新审视低生育率环境下生育决策的障碍

IF 2.5 2区社会学

Population and Development Review Pub Date : 2026-02-20 DOI: 10.1111/padr.70046

Anna Kurowska, Anna Matysiak, Magdalena Grabowska

{"title":"Beyond Usual Suspects: Revisiting Barriers to Childbearing Decisions in a Low Fertility Setting","authors":"Anna Kurowska, Anna Matysiak, Magdalena Grabowska","doi":"10.1111/padr.70046","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.70046","url":null,"abstract":"Fertility rates in developed countries have declined to historically low levels, yet the reasons remain incompletely understood. This study examines the relative importance of diverse macro contextual constraints on childbearing intentions among young adults (aged 20–35) in Poland, a country emblematic of Europe's fertility decline. Using a factorial survey design ( N = 1,337), we compare how the availability of stable and gainful employment, opportunities to purchase a dwelling, access to childcare, the overall level of men's involvement in domestic work, climate change prospects, and access to abortion shape the decision to have a first or second child. Results confirm the enduring salience of economic security—both employment and housing—for fertility intentions across gender and parenthood status. Access to abortion rights emerges as the most influential factor for childless women and a significant consideration for mothers and partnered men. Access to childcare and overall men's involvement in the domestic sphere positively influence women's intentions but matter less for men, particularly those single and childless. Climate concerns are comparatively less influential. Men's intentions appear less responsive overall. Findings highlight the interplay of institutions and gender norms, and the limits of pro‐natalist policies that neglect reproductive autonomy and gender equality.","PeriodicalId":51372,"journal":{"name":"Population and Development Review","volume":"6 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2026-02-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146261030","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Infertility and Unrealized Ideal Family Size 不孕和未实现的理想家庭规模

IF 2.5 2区社会学

Population and Development Review Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1111/padr.70043

Ester Lazzari, Eva Beaujouan

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School Enrollment and Living Arrangements of Children in Sub‐Saharan Africa 撒哈拉以南非洲儿童的入学和生活安排

IF 2.5 2区社会学

Population and Development Review Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1111/padr.70045

Maria Pohl, Ewa Batyra, Albert Esteve

{"title":"School Enrollment and Living Arrangements of Children in Sub‐Saharan Africa","authors":"Maria Pohl, Ewa Batyra, Albert Esteve","doi":"10.1111/padr.70045","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.70045","url":null,"abstract":"School enrollment has increased in many sub‐Saharan African countries over recent decades, alongside substantial socioeconomic and demographic transitions. However, gains in educational enrollment have not been equal, raising questions about the determinants of access to and variability in school enrollment. The living arrangements of children constitute one possible factor associated with this variability. We leverage 60 census samples, provided by IPUMS International, to analyze links between living arrangements and school enrollment for 24 African countries between 1976 and 2019, and explore how these associations have changed across countries and over time. The results suggest that school enrollment among children aged 7–14 increased in all countries, but variability in enrollment by children's living arrangement persists. Children living in households without both of their parents or without their mother face a disadvantage compared to those in households with both parents. Among recent samples, living in households with a mother only is associated with higher school enrollment in around two‐thirds of countries, even when controlling for individual and household characteristics. The persistent heterogeneity in children's school enrollment across households demands further attention to better understand the links between family and developmental processes, and to inform policies aiming to increase children's school enrollment.","PeriodicalId":51372,"journal":{"name":"Population and Development Review","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2026-01-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145955077","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Nutritional Inequality and Policy Targeting in South Asia 南亚的营养不平等和政策目标

IF 2.5 2区社会学

Population and Development Review Pub Date : 2025-12-13 DOI: 10.1111/padr.70035

Caitlin Brown, Eeshani Kandpal, Jean Lee, Anaise Williams

{"title":"Nutritional Inequality and Policy Targeting in South Asia","authors":"Caitlin Brown, Eeshani Kandpal, Jean Lee, Anaise Williams","doi":"10.1111/padr.70035","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.70035","url":null,"abstract":"How much intra‐household inequality is there in nutritional outcomes, and what does this mean for policy targeting? Using Demographic and Health Survey data for the South Asia region, we show that two‐thirds of undernourished individuals live in households with others who are not undernourished. Within‐household inequality contributes almost as much to overall nutritional inequality as between‐household inequality. While wealth is significantly correlated with undernourishment, only half of all undernourished individuals are found in the poorest 40 percent of households. Even in the wealthiest households, 10 percent of adults and 15 percent of children are undernourished. Adding additional covariates, such as birth order, adult education, and those related to household sanitation infrastructure, does little to improve the predictive power of individual nutritional status. As a result, accurately targeting undernourished individuals using household‐ or community‐level observables is likely to be difficult. We find that straightforward outcomes such as age or access to sanitation infrastructure do as well as household wealth at targeting undernourishment; yet all the targeting methods we consider yield large inclusion and exclusion errors, raising questions as to whether nutrition interventions should be targeted.","PeriodicalId":51372,"journal":{"name":"Population and Development Review","volume":"13 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-12-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145732692","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

A Concentration of Reproduction to Later Ages? A Worldwide Assessment of Trends in Fertility Timing 生育集中到后期？生育时间趋势的全球评估

IF 2.5 2区社会学

Population and Development Review Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1111/padr.70036

Thomas Spoorenberg, Vegard Skirbekk

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