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Journal of Conflict Resolution最新文献

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Is Ethnic Violence Self-Perpetuating? Quasi-Experimental Evidence From Hindu-Muslim Riots in India 种族暴力是自我延续吗？来自印度印度教-穆斯林暴乱的准实验证据
IF 3.1 1区 社会学
Journal of Conflict Resolution Pub Date : 2025-10-04 DOI: 10.1177/00220027251383563
Sam van Noort, Tanushree Goyal
{"title":"Is Ethnic Violence Self-Perpetuating? Quasi-Experimental Evidence From Hindu-Muslim Riots in India","authors":"Sam van Noort, Tanushree Goyal","doi":"10.1177/00220027251383563","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00220027251383563","url":null,"abstract":"Ethnic riots tend to occur in the same places over time. We study whether this serial correlation exists because ethnic riots tend to be self-perpetuating or because both past and future riots are caused by the same underlying factors that persist through time. To answer this question, we leverage the fact that the timing of major Hindu festivals in India is exogenously determined by the lunar calendar and that when a major Hindu festival happens to fall on a Friday—the principal day Muslims attend mosque—the likelihood of a Hindu-Muslim riot increases significantly. Using this instrument, we find that the well-documented serial correlation in Hindu-Muslim riots disappears entirely (T = 1950–2006). This suggests that the observed recurrence of riots is not driven by the riots themselves, but by underlying conditions that remain unaddressed. Once these confounding factors are accounted for, we find no “additional” effect of past riots on future riots.","PeriodicalId":51363,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Conflict Resolution","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-10-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145246402","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Armed Conflict and the Location of Extractive Foreign Direct Investment 武装冲突与采掘性外国直接投资的区位
IF 3.1 1区 社会学
Journal of Conflict Resolution Pub Date : 2025-09-30 DOI: 10.1177/00220027251383439
Gyu Sang Shim
{"title":"Armed Conflict and the Location of Extractive Foreign Direct Investment","authors":"Gyu Sang Shim","doi":"10.1177/00220027251383439","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00220027251383439","url":null,"abstract":"Despite the link between resource wealth and conflict, some mining regions experience intense violence while others remain relatively peaceful. This paper argues that foreign ownership of mines restrains armed conflict near mining facilities. The potential for intervention by the home governments of foreign miners discourages rebel attacks. Using a staggered difference-in-differences design with georeferenced conflict and mining facility data from 1998 to 2010, the analysis shows a reduction in armed conflict following the entry of foreign miners. The military expenditure of the foreign miner’s home country further strengthens this restraining effect, highlighting the protective role of foreign ownership.","PeriodicalId":51363,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Conflict Resolution","volume":"2 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145254629","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Bruce Russett Award for Article of the Year in JCR for 2024 Bruce Russett获得2024年JCR年度文章奖
IF 3.1 1区 社会学
Journal of Conflict Resolution Pub Date : 2025-09-29 DOI: 10.1177/00220027251386938
{"title":"Bruce Russett Award for Article of the Year in JCR for 2024","authors":"","doi":"10.1177/00220027251386938","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00220027251386938","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51363,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Conflict Resolution","volume":"21 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-09-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145183000","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Imams and Patrons: Service Provision by Islamist Non-State Actors 伊玛目和赞助人：伊斯兰非国家行为者提供的服务
IF 3.1 1区 社会学
Journal of Conflict Resolution Pub Date : 2025-09-19 DOI: 10.1177/00220027251374830
Tugba Bozcaga, Fotini Christia
{"title":"Imams and Patrons: Service Provision by Islamist Non-State Actors","authors":"Tugba Bozcaga, Fotini Christia","doi":"10.1177/00220027251374830","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00220027251374830","url":null,"abstract":"Whether armed or unarmed, Islamist non-state actors have a reputation for winning over citizens’ support and spreading their ideas through service delivery, reflecting a worldwide trend in non-state service provision. While existing research attributes the notable variation in service provision to strategic targeting, we argue that service allocation is also highly dependent on a non-state actor’s ability to marshal resources through local economic elites. Our findings demonstrate that service provision by religious non-state actors is more likely in areas and periods where there is associational involvement among elite supporters at the local level. For our inferences, we examine the spatial and temporal variation in the service delivery of a major Islamist group in Turkey. We use original data on non-state service infrastructure, local business associations, charitable endowments, and economic development, as proxied by average nightlight density, along with data on public service infrastructure and historical state-building institutions.","PeriodicalId":51363,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Conflict Resolution","volume":"44 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145093619","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Call to Arms: How Rebel Groups Choose Their Recruitment Appeals 武装号召：反叛组织如何选择招募诉求
IF 3.1 1区 社会学
Journal of Conflict Resolution Pub Date : 2025-09-08 DOI: 10.1177/00220027251375624
Michael J. Soules, Mark Berlin
{"title":"A Call to Arms: How Rebel Groups Choose Their Recruitment Appeals","authors":"Michael J. Soules, Mark Berlin","doi":"10.1177/00220027251375624","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00220027251375624","url":null,"abstract":"Why do some rebel groups mobilize around diverse grievances, while others organize around a narrow set of issues? Rebels can widen their recruitment pool by appealing to broader segments of society. However, groups that represent multiple interests are often plagued by infighting and low cohesion, as members disagree about which issues to prioritize. We contend that radical Islamist groups are more likely to recruit with more diverse claims than other rebel organizations. This is because radical Islamist organizations attempt to unite diverse interests through a shared religious identity and use disparate grievances to promote the idea that Islam is under threat. Moreover, the frequent adoption of transnational identities by radical Islamist groups often places them in conflict with local, regional, and international actors, widening the scope of organizational grievances. We find support for these arguments by leveraging novel data on the recruitment practices of 232 rebel movements across the world.","PeriodicalId":51363,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Conflict Resolution","volume":"55 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145017157","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Paper Tigers: Assessing the Role of Corruption in Shaping Conflict Outcomes 纸老虎：评估腐败在形成冲突结果中的作用
IF 3.1 1区 社会学
Journal of Conflict Resolution Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/00220027251374195
Eric Keels, J. Michael Greig
{"title":"Paper Tigers: Assessing the Role of Corruption in Shaping Conflict Outcomes","authors":"Eric Keels, J. Michael Greig","doi":"10.1177/00220027251374195","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00220027251374195","url":null,"abstract":"While government corruption is often cited as a reason for poor military performance, little empirical attention has been devoted to understanding how governance structures influence corruption’s impact. To address this gap, we introduce a theory of how corruption undermines military efficacy in armed conflicts, arguing that regime type plays a critical role in shaping the impact of corruption on military performance. We focus specifically on public sector theft and embezzlement on fighting effectiveness. This type of corruption brings especially pernicious effects as it stokes morale problems among military personnel and weakens oversight of fighting effectiveness. To test our theory, we examine the outcomes of all lethal military interstate disputes (MIDS) and intrastate armed conflicts through 2014. Bridging the comparative politics and military effectiveness literatures, our results offer greater insight into how autocratic policies hinder armed forces as well as the need for stronger civilian oversight to ensure battlefield efficacy.","PeriodicalId":51363,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Conflict Resolution","volume":"14 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144927829","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Spoiling the Broth? The Impact of Militia Violence on Peace Negotiations 破坏汤？民兵暴力对和平谈判的影响
IF 3.1 1区 社会学
Journal of Conflict Resolution Pub Date : 2025-08-30 DOI: 10.1177/00220027251366585
Barış Arı, Luke Abbs, Phillip Nelson
{"title":"Spoiling the Broth? The Impact of Militia Violence on Peace Negotiations","authors":"Barış Arı, Luke Abbs, Phillip Nelson","doi":"10.1177/00220027251366585","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00220027251366585","url":null,"abstract":"Political militias are active in most civil wars, yet their impact on peace processes is largely overlooked. Building on principal-agent logic, we argue that the incentives to delegate violence to political militias have downstream consequences for the likelihood of peace negotiations. On one hand, battlefield violence by militias can complicate the bargaining. On the other hand, the higher use of civilian victimization by political militias may backfire, eventually bringing international pressure on the unwilling parties to agree to talks. We combine data on peace negotiations between government-rebel dyads with data on militia activities in Africa. We find that militia violence against government and rebel forces is associated with a decrease in the likelihood of negotiations. When militias target civilians, however, mediated peace talks with third-party involvement become more likely. We complement these findings using fine-grained data in a focused case analysis of Sudan and South Sudan.","PeriodicalId":51363,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Conflict Resolution","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-08-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144919319","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Determinants of Post-Sanctions Economic Recovery 制裁后经济复苏的决定因素
IF 3.1 1区 社会学
Journal of Conflict Resolution Pub Date : 2025-08-27 DOI: 10.1177/00220027251372059
Dongan Tan, Hoan La
{"title":"The Determinants of Post-Sanctions Economic Recovery","authors":"Dongan Tan, Hoan La","doi":"10.1177/00220027251372059","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00220027251372059","url":null,"abstract":"Why do some countries recover swiftly after economic sanctions are lifted, while others face prolonged stagnation? Despite extensive research on the initiation and effectiveness of sanctions, their aftermath remains understudied. This study develops a theoretical framework to explain post-sanctions economic recovery, focusing on three key determinants: domestic institutional quality, international investment, and sanctions characteristics. Using duration analysis on data from 1960 to 2023, we find that government effectiveness accelerates long-term recovery, while foreign direct investment drives short-term rebounds. Sanctions characteristics yield mixed results: sanction costs show no significant effect, while success and duration are associated with slower recovery. These findings contribute to a broader understanding of how states rebuild after economic disruption, highlighting the role of institutional resilience and external economic reintegration. By bridging the gap between sanctions and economic resilience research, this study provides insights for policymakers seeking to mitigate long-term economic costs and design more effective recovery strategies.","PeriodicalId":51363,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Conflict Resolution","volume":"24 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-08-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144905759","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Military Experience and Casualty Sensitivity in Elite Discourse: Evidence From the U.S. Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan 精英话语中的军事经验和伤亡敏感性：来自美国伊拉克和阿富汗战争的证据
IF 3.1 1区 社会学
Journal of Conflict Resolution Pub Date : 2025-08-27 DOI: 10.1177/00220027251365535
Michael R. Kenwick, Sumin Lee, Burcu Kolcak
{"title":"Military Experience and Casualty Sensitivity in Elite Discourse: Evidence From the U.S. Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan","authors":"Michael R. Kenwick, Sumin Lee, Burcu Kolcak","doi":"10.1177/00220027251365535","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00220027251365535","url":null,"abstract":"Veterans are disproportionately represented among political elites, and the question of whether military experience shapes their behavior is a central puzzle in the study of international relations. Existing theories link military experience with hawkish or dovish foreign policy preferences. Rather than determining their positions on the use of force ex ante, we argue that domain-specific knowledge and their elevated social status will make veterans less likely to change their expressed positions, especially in response to wartime casualties. We test our argument by analyzing Congressional speeches referencing the American wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, finding strong support for our expectations. Our core insight is that veteran politicians are partisans first and veterans second, and that military experience may say more about how they update, rather than establish, their political positions.","PeriodicalId":51363,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Conflict Resolution","volume":"82 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-08-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144910691","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Criminal Conflicts and the Killing of Law Enforcement Officers in Mexico 墨西哥的犯罪冲突和对执法人员的杀害
IF 3.1 1区 社会学
Journal of Conflict Resolution Pub Date : 2025-08-20 DOI: 10.1177/00220027251370091
Marco Alcocer
{"title":"Criminal Conflicts and the Killing of Law Enforcement Officers in Mexico","authors":"Marco Alcocer","doi":"10.1177/00220027251370091","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00220027251370091","url":null,"abstract":"Violence against law enforcement by criminal organizations is pervasive in Latin America yet largely unexplored. What explains why and where law enforcement is violently attacked, who is targeted, and how they are killed? This article contends that conflicts between criminal organizations incentivize warring organizations to attack law enforcement, particularly local officers, with more brazen violence. Two original datasets on killings of law enforcement in Mexico show that killings are overwhelmingly of local officers and most frequently perpetrated through coordinated attacks, not confrontations, executions, or kidnappings. Using data on cartels, I first document a strong association between criminal conflicts and the killing of law enforcement officers, and find that the association is driven by killings of state and municipal officers rather than federal officers enforcing the government crackdown. I further show that criminal conflicts increase brazen killings and killings of officers while off duty.","PeriodicalId":51363,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Conflict Resolution","volume":"38 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-08-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144898811","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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