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How Priming Fairness and Priming Constitutionality Impact the Effect of Partisan Self-Interest on Citizen Support for Election Reforms 启动公平与启动合宪性如何影响党派自身利益对公民选举改革支持的影响
1区 社会学
Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfad010
Daniel R Biggers, Shaun Bowler
{"title":"How Priming Fairness and Priming Constitutionality Impact the Effect of Partisan Self-Interest on Citizen Support for Election Reforms","authors":"Daniel R Biggers, Shaun Bowler","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfad010","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfad010","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Prior research suggests that citizen attitudes toward electoral laws and reforms derive from how individuals weigh two competing considerations: the rule’s procedural fairness and one’s partisan self-interest (or how they perceive the policy affects their party’s electoral prospects). Recent experimental work shows that despite a role for fairness concerns, policy support levels shift (at least to a degree) based on its anticipated impact on who votes. We examine how the presentation of the trade-off between fairness and partisan advantage influences election reform opinions. Using two sets of survey experiments, we find that priming fairness reduces, but does not eliminate, the effect of partisan self-interest in shaping policy evaluations. Priming a reform’s constitutionality so as to provide cover to infringe upon fairness considerations, however, does not exacerbate the impact of partisan self-interest on support for adoption. These results expand our understanding of how citizens weigh different factors when assessing electoral policies.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"22 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134977611","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Before the Party Hijacks: The Limited Role of Party Cues in Appraisal of Low-Salience Policies—Experimental Evidence 党的劫机前:党的线索在低突出政策评价中的有限作用——实验证据
IF 3.4 1区 社会学
Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2023-01-31 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfac044
Clareta Treger
{"title":"Before the Party Hijacks: The Limited Role of Party Cues in Appraisal of Low-Salience Policies—Experimental Evidence","authors":"Clareta Treger","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfac044","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfac044","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 What shapes Americans’ policy preferences: partisanship or policy content? While previous studies have addressed this question, many of them focused on high-salience policies. This raises an identification challenge because the content of such policies contains party cues. The current study employs a diverse set of low-salience policies to discern the unique effects of party cues and policy content, before the issues are “hijacked” by the parties. These policies are embedded in an original conjoint experiment administered among a national US sample. The design enables me to assess the effects of policy content and partisan sponsorship orthogonally. Contrary to previous studies, I find that respondents are attentive to policy content on low-salience issues, and it influences their policy preferences similarly or even more than party cues, across policy domains. Moreover, the support patterns and levels of Democrats and Republicans for many low-salience policies are similar. Party cues, by contrast, polarize partisans’ preferences across domains.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2023-01-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45188514","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Lying for Trump? Elite Cue-Taking and Expressive Responding on Vote Method 为特朗普撒谎?精英对投票方式的暗示与表达性回应
IF 3.4 1区 社会学
Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2023-01-31 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfac045
Enrijeta Shino, Daniel A. Smith, Laura Uribe
{"title":"Lying for Trump? Elite Cue-Taking and Expressive Responding on Vote Method","authors":"Enrijeta Shino, Daniel A. Smith, Laura Uribe","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfac045","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfac045","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Might elite cues affect how we vote? Extant literature focuses on effects of elite cues on candidate evaluation or policy preference, but we know little about how they might affect vote method preferences. Drawing on a large survey of validated Florida voters, including those who regularly vote by mail, we find that retrospective and prospective misreporting of vote method prior to the 2020 General Election was driven primarily by support for Trump. The president’s supporters who were most politically aware were most likely to disavow their own voting by mail and misreport their anticipated vote method in the November election. Understanding the effects—and limits—of elite cues on the politicization of self-reported political behavior has important implications for pollsters and campaigns, election administrators, voters, and the broader democratic electoral process.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2023-01-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44374993","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Does Social Desirability Bias Distort Survey Analyses of Ideology and Self-Interest? Evidence from a List Experiment on Progressive Taxation 社会期望偏差是否扭曲了意识形态和自我利益的调查分析?累进税清单实验的证据
IF 3.4 1区 社会学
Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2023-01-31 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfac050
Tobias Heide-Jørgensen
{"title":"Does Social Desirability Bias Distort Survey Analyses of Ideology and Self-Interest? Evidence from a List Experiment on Progressive Taxation","authors":"Tobias Heide-Jørgensen","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfac050","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfac050","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 The relative importance of ideological orientations and material self-interest as determinants of political attitudes is still discussed. Using a novel list experiment on opposition to progressive taxation embedded in a large representative Danish online survey (N = 2,010), I study how social desirability concerns bias the conclusions survey researchers draw regarding the influence of self-interest (gauged by income) and ideology (measured by left-right self-identifications) on public opinion. I find that right-wingers are much less opposed to progressive taxation when attitudes are measured indirectly and unobtrusively by means of the list experiment relative to asking directly about their opinions. In fact, rightists are no more against progressive taxation than leftists and centrists. Furthermore, opposition to tax progressivity is considerably lower among low-income individuals when social desirability bias is addressed, thereby increasing the attitudinal gap between low- and high-income individuals. The implications of the findings are that survey research risks exaggerating the importance of ideological orientations and underestimating how much political views reflect material self-interest.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2023-01-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45297533","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Strategic Discrimination in the 2020 Democratic Primary 2020年民主党初选中的战略歧视
IF 3.4 1区 社会学
Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2023-01-31 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfac051
Jon Green, Brian F. Schaffner, Sam Luks
{"title":"Strategic Discrimination in the 2020 Democratic Primary","authors":"Jon Green, Brian F. Schaffner, Sam Luks","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfac051","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfac051","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Primary voters frequently support the candidates they think have a greater chance of winning the general election over the candidates who most closely reflect their policy preferences—a perception referred to as “electability.” While electability is typically taken to mean ideological moderation, recent research highlights the potential for candidates’ demographic characteristics to affect such perceptions. Using a conjoint experiment conducted with a sample of nearly 3,000 likely Democratic primary voters in June 2019, we show that women and candidates of color were seen as less electable than their white, male counterparts despite being preferred more frequently, holding policy stances and general election strategies constant. These effects were independent of respondents’ hostile sexism and racial resentment, and mediation analysis indicates that electability concerns reduced overall support for women and candidates of color. The results replicate and extend recent findings related to “strategic discrimination” in the US electorate.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2023-01-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41380943","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Updating amidst Disagreement: New Experimental Evidence on Partisan Cues 分歧中的更新:党派线索的新实验证据
IF 3.4 1区 社会学
Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2023-01-31 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfac053
Anthony Fowler, William G. Howell
{"title":"Updating amidst Disagreement: New Experimental Evidence on Partisan Cues","authors":"Anthony Fowler, William G. Howell","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfac053","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfac053","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 In this era of hyper-polarization and partisan animosity, do people incorporate the viewpoints of their political opponents? Perhaps not. An important body of research, in fact, finds that the provision of information about opponents’ policy views leads survey respondents to reflexively adopt the opposite position. In this paper, we demonstrate that such findings arise from incomplete experimental designs and a particular measurement strategy. In a series of experiments that vary information about both parties’ positions simultaneously and that solicit continuous, rather than discrete, policy positions, we find that partisans update their beliefs in accordance with the positions of Republican and Democratic leaders alike. Partisans are not perennially determined to disagree. Rather, they are often willing to incorporate opposing viewpoints about a wide range of policy issues.","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2023-01-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47326963","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Increasing the Acceptance of Smartphone-Based Data Collection. 提高智能手机数据收集的接受度。
IF 3.4 1区 社会学
Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfad019
Alexander Wenz, Florian Keusch
{"title":"Increasing the Acceptance of Smartphone-Based Data Collection.","authors":"Alexander Wenz,&nbsp;Florian Keusch","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfad019","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfad019","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>To study human behavior, social scientists are increasingly collecting data from mobile apps and sensors embedded in smartphones. A major challenge of studies implemented on general population samples, however, is that participation rates are rather low. While previous research has started to investigate the factors affecting individuals' decision to participate in such studies, less is known about features of the study design which are under the researcher's control and can increase the acceptance of smartphone-based data collection methods. Guided by the Technology Acceptance Model, we varied study characteristics in a vignette experiment to examine their effect on individuals' willingness to download a research app on their smartphone. Data were collected from 1,876 members of the NORC AmeriSpeak Panel, a probability-based panel of the general population aged 18+ in the United States. Respondents were randomly assigned to eight vignettes and, after each vignette, were asked to rate their willingness to participate in the described hypothetical study. The results show that individuals are more willing to participate in smartphone-based studies where they have some control over the data collection process, by having the option either to temporarily switch off the data collection or to review the data before submission. Furthermore, they are more willing to participate in research to which they are invited via postal letter rather than receiving a postal letter plus a phone call from an interviewer who walks them through the app installation. Finally, unconditional incentives increase their willingness to engage with smartphone-based data collection over conditional incentives.</p>","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"87 2","pages":"357-388"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ftp.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pub/pmc/oa_pdf/35/22/nfad019.PMC10339101.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9823636","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Income Source Confusion Using the SILC. 使用SILC混淆收入来源。
IF 3.4 1区 社会学
Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfad025
Christopher Robert Bollinger, Iva Valentinova Tasseva
{"title":"Income Source Confusion Using the SILC.","authors":"Christopher Robert Bollinger,&nbsp;Iva Valentinova Tasseva","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfad025","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfad025","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>We use a unique panel of household survey data-the Austrian version of the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (SILC) for 2008-2011-which have been linked to individual administrative records on both state unemployment benefits and earnings. We assess the extent and structure of misreporting across similar benefits and between benefits and earnings. We document that many respondents fail to report participation in one or more of the unemployment programs. Moreover, they inflate earnings for periods when they are unemployed but receiving unemployment compensation. To demonstrate the impact of income source confusion on estimators, we estimate standard Mincer wage equations. Since unemployment is associated with lower education, the reports of unemployment benefits as earnings bias downward the returns to education. Failure to report unemployment benefits also leads to substantial sample bias when selecting on these benefits, as one might in estimating the returns to job training.</p>","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"87 Suppl 1","pages":"542-574"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10496567/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10252680","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Public Opinion and Cyberterrorism. 舆论与网络恐怖主义。
IF 3.4 1区 社会学
Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfad006
Ryan Shandler, Nadiya Kostyuk, Harry Oppenheimer
{"title":"Public Opinion and Cyberterrorism.","authors":"Ryan Shandler,&nbsp;Nadiya Kostyuk,&nbsp;Harry Oppenheimer","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfad006","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfad006","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Research into cyber-conflict, public opinion, and international security is burgeoning, yet the field suffers from an absence of conceptual agreement about key terms. For instance, every time a cyberattack takes place, a public debate erupts as to whether it constitutes <i>cyberterrorism</i>. This debate bears significant consequences, seeing as the ascription of a \"terrorism\" label enables the application of heavy-handed counterterrorism powers and heightens the level of perceived threat among the public. In light of widespread conceptual disagreement in cyberspace, we assert that public opinion plays a heightened role in understanding the nature of cyber threats. We construct a typological framework to illuminate the attributes that drive the public classification of an attack as cyberterrorism, which we test through a ratings-based conjoint experiment in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Israel (N = 21,238 observations). We find that the public (1) refrains from labeling attacks by unknown actors or hacker collectives as cyberterrorism; and (2) classifies attacks that disseminate sensitive data as terrorism to a greater extent even than physically explosive attacks. Importantly, the uniform public perspectives across the three countries challenge a foundational tenet of public opinion and international relations scholarship that divided views among elites on foreign policy matters will be reflected by a divided public. This study concludes by providing a definitive conceptual baseline to support future research on the topic.</p>","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"87 1","pages":"92-119"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10127534/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9363802","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Affective Polarization in Comparative and Longitudinal Perspective. 比较与纵向视角下的情感极化。
IF 3.4 1区 社会学
Public Opinion Quarterly Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1093/poq/nfad004
Diego Garzia, Frederico Ferreira da Silva, Simon Maye
{"title":"Affective Polarization in Comparative and Longitudinal Perspective.","authors":"Diego Garzia,&nbsp;Frederico Ferreira da Silva,&nbsp;Simon Maye","doi":"10.1093/poq/nfad004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfad004","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Existent research shows that affective polarization has been intensifying in some publics, diminishing in others, and remaining stable in most. We contribute to this debate by providing the most encompassing comparative and longitudinal account of affective polarization so far. We resort to a newly assembled dataset able to track partisan affect, with varying time series, in eighteen democracies over the last six decades. We present results based on two different operational measures of affective polarization: Reiljan's Affective Polarization Index, based on reported partisans only, and Wagner's weighted distance from the most liked party, based on the whole electorate. Our reassessment of affective polarization among partisans confirms that an intensifying trend is observable in a number of countries but it is, by no means, generalizable to all established democracies. Regarding the longitudinal assessment of affective polarization among the electorate, we confirm that US citizens have become more affectively polarized over time.</p>","PeriodicalId":51359,"journal":{"name":"Public Opinion Quarterly","volume":"87 1","pages":"219-231"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10127533/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9718987","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
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