{"title":"Effects of predator novelty on intraguild predation communities with adaptive prey defense","authors":"Kurt E. Ingeman, M. Novak","doi":"10.1007/s12080-022-00534-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-022-00534-0","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"15 1","pages":"147 - 163"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-04-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45075459","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Diverse perspectives from diverse scholars are vital for theoretical biology","authors":"Allison K. Shaw","doi":"10.1007/s12080-022-00533-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-022-00533-1","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"15 1","pages":"143 - 146"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-03-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45229682","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Effects of noise correlation and imperfect data sampling on indicators of critical slowing down","authors":"T. Kaur, P. Dutta","doi":"10.1007/s12080-022-00532-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-022-00532-2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"15 1","pages":"129 - 142"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-02-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42547260","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
W. Fagan, Cole Saborio, T. Hoffman, E. Gurarie, R. S. Cantrell, C. Cosner
{"title":"What’s in a resource gradient? Comparing alternative cues for foraging in dynamic environments via movement, perception, and memory","authors":"W. Fagan, Cole Saborio, T. Hoffman, E. Gurarie, R. S. Cantrell, C. Cosner","doi":"10.1007/s12080-022-00542-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-022-00542-0","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"15 1","pages":"267-282"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-02-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46327373","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Suppressing evolution of antibiotic resistance through environmental switching","authors":"Bryce Morsky, Dervis Can Vural","doi":"10.1007/s12080-022-00530-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-022-00530-4","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Ecology and evolution under changing environments are important in many subfields of biology with implications for medicine. Here, we explore an example: the consequences of fluctuating environments on the emergence of antibiotic resistance, which is an immense and growing problem. Typically, high doses of antibiotics are employed to eliminate the infection quickly and minimize the time under which resistance may emerge. However, this strategy may not be optimal. Since competition can reduce fitness and resistance typically has a reproductive cost, resistant mutants’ fitness can depend on their environment. Here we show conditions under which environmental varying fitness can be exploited to prevent the emergence of resistance. We develop a stochastic Lotka-Volterra model of a microbial system with competing phenotypes: a wild strain susceptible to the antibiotic, and a mutant strain that is resistant. We investigate the impact of various pulsed applications of antibiotics on population suppression. Leveraging competition, we show how a strategy of environmental switching can suppress the infection while avoiding resistant mutants. We discuss limitations of the procedure depending on the microbe and pharmacodynamics and methods to ameliorate them.</p>","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"69 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-02-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138539858","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Climate warming and dispersal strategies determine species persistence in a metacommunity","authors":"Arzoo Narang, Partha Sharathi Dutta","doi":"10.1007/s12080-022-00531-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-022-00531-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Dispersal is crucial in governing species response toward climate warming. Previous studies suggest that intermediate and density-dependent dispersal enables the functioning of a metacommunity, stabilizing populations at local and regional scales. Here, we consider a spatial ecological model with temperature-dependent traits to elucidate dispersal effects in stabilizing population dynamics under climate warming. Specifically, we analyze the effect of species temperature-dependent life-history traits on a metacommunity dynamics with diverse dispersal strategies (i.e., constant and density-dependent dispersal), tracked along with different dispersal rates of species (relative dispersal). At low and intermediate temperatures, different dispersal strategies synchronize or desynchronize the population dynamics depending upon dispersal rates. However, high temperatures completely synchronize the population trailing constant dispersal, weakening the stabilizing dynamics. Furthermore, density-dependent dispersal strongly affects the stability of metacommunity at high temperatures by increasing or decreasing spatial synchrony depending on dispersal rates. In metacommunities with many patches, conditional upon temperature, species abundance exhibits coexistence of synchronous and asynchronous oscillations, namely the chimera state. Overall, our results show that rising temperature may destabilize the dynamics by synchronizing populations; however, some dispersal mechanisms might impede the adverse outcomes.</p>","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"42 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138539869","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
E. J. Moran, M. Martignoni, N. Lecomte, P. Leighton, A. Hurford
{"title":"When host populations move north, but disease moves south: Counter-intuitive impacts of climate change on disease spread","authors":"E. J. Moran, M. Martignoni, N. Lecomte, P. Leighton, A. Hurford","doi":"10.1007/s12080-022-00551-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-022-00551-z","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"1 1","pages":"1-7"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-01-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49324872","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Analysis of the invasion of a city by Aedes aegypti via mathematical models and Bayesian statistics","authors":"Octavio Augusto Bruzzone, María Eugenia Utgés","doi":"10.1007/s12080-022-00528-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-022-00528-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We analysed data from the invasion of a city by <i>Aedes aegypti</i> by using a series of models based on Fisher’s reaction–diffusion equation with Richard’s growth model and Bayesian statistics. The model that best explains the invasion of the city was defined through a step-by-step process of model selection based on a series of candidate models. As explanatory variables, we used the effect of urbanization type and climate variables on the parameters of Fisher’s equation: carrying capacity (<i>K</i>), population growth rate (<i>r</i>), and the diffusion coefficient (<i>D</i>). The resulting model is a reaction–diffusion equation with a near-zero shape parameter, similar to a Gompertz-type growth. The population advance rate of 60.19 m/day allowed <i>Aedes aegypti</i> to fully occupy a medium-sized city in 5 months from the estimated date of colonization. We found that the carrying capacity was dependent on temperature and urbanization type. While the results are coherent with existing literature on this species, most of the theory on population dynamics of <i>Aedes aegypti</i> usually assumes a logistic growth instead of Gompertz population dynamics. This type of growth is faster than logistic at densities lower than the inflexion point but slower at higher densities. Therefore, it is possible that in a regime in which the <i>K</i> depends on the climate, Gompertz dynamics could stabilize the population of this species of mosquito faster than assumed by the existing theory.</p>","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"62 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-01-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138539860","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Correction to: Every variance function, including Taylor's power law of fluctuation scaling, can be produced by any location-scale family of distributions with positive mean and variance","authors":"Joel E. Cohen","doi":"10.1007/s12080-021-00525-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-021-00525-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"50 1","pages":"93-94"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138539850","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Coexistence in spatiotemporally fluctuating environments","authors":"Evan C. Johnson, A. Hastings","doi":"10.1007/s12080-022-00549-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-022-00549-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"16 1","pages":"59 - 92"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42480545","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}