{"title":"Potential ecosystem regime shift resulting from elevated CO2 and inhibition of macroalgal recruitment by turf algae","authors":"M. Seto, Ben P. Harvey, S. Wada, S. Agostini","doi":"10.1007/s12080-022-00550-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-022-00550-0","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"1 1","pages":"1-12"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2023-01-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46533903","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Theoretical EcologyPub Date : 2023-01-01Epub Date: 2023-04-25DOI: 10.1007/s12080-023-00557-1
Mahir Demir, Ibrahim H Aslan, Suzanne Lenhart
{"title":"Analyzing the effect of restrictions on the COVID-19 outbreak for some US states.","authors":"Mahir Demir, Ibrahim H Aslan, Suzanne Lenhart","doi":"10.1007/s12080-023-00557-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12080-023-00557-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The ongoing pandemic disease COVID‑19 has caused worldwide social and financial disruption. As many countries are engaged in designing vaccines, the harmful second and third waves of COVID‑19 have already appeared in many countries. To investigate changes in transmission rates and the effect of social distancing in the USA, we formulate a system of ordinary differential equations using data of confirmed cases and deaths in these states: California, Texas, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Louisiana, Michigan, and Missouri. Our models and their parameter estimations show social distancing can reduce the transmission of COVID‑19 by 60% to 90%. Thus, obeying the movement restriction rules is crucial in reducing the magnitude of the outbreak waves. This study also estimates the percentage of people who were not social distancing ranges between 10% and 18% in these states. Our analysis shows the management restrictions taken by these states do not slow the disease progression enough to contain the outbreak.</p>","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"16 2","pages":"117-129"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10126528/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9595248","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Sea-level rise can reverse the conditions that promote the spread of ecosystem engineers","authors":"R. Decker, A. Hastings","doi":"10.1007/s12080-022-00548-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-022-00548-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-12-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47102064","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Comments on: “Every variance function ... can be produced by any location-scale family ...”","authors":"E. Mallmin","doi":"10.1007/s12080-022-00547-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-022-00547-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"15 1","pages":"283 - 284"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44330078","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Nonspreading solutions and patch formation in an integro-difference model with a strong Allee effect and overcompensation","authors":"Garrett Otto, William F. Fagan, Bingtuan Li","doi":"10.1007/s12080-022-00544-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-022-00544-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Previous work involving integro-difference equations of a single species in a homogenous environment has emphasized spreading behavior in unbounded habitats. We show that, under suitable conditions, a simple scalar integro-difference equation incorporating a strong Allee effect and overcompensation can produce solutions where the population persists in an essentially bounded domain without spread despite the homogeneity of the environment. These solutions are robust in that they occupy a region of full measure in parameter space. We develop orbit diagrams showing various patterns of nonspreading solutions from stable equilibria, period-two, to higher periodicity. We show that from a relatively uniform initial density with small stochastic perturbations, a population consisting of multiple isolated patches can emerge. In ecological terms, this work suggests a novel endogenous mechanism for the creation of patch boundaries.</p>","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"51 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138539864","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"When growing pains and sick days collide: infectious disease can stabilize host population oscillations caused by stage structure","authors":"Margaret W. Simon, M. Barfield, R. Holt","doi":"10.1007/s12080-022-00543-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-022-00543-z","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"15 1","pages":"285 - 309"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43336307","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ariel Greiner, Emily S. Darling, M. Fortin, M. Krkošek
{"title":"The combined effects of dispersal and herbivores on stable states in coral reefs","authors":"Ariel Greiner, Emily S. Darling, M. Fortin, M. Krkošek","doi":"10.1007/s12080-022-00546-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-022-00546-w","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"15 1","pages":"321 - 335"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45290329","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"How mutation shapes the rate of population spread in the presence of a mate-finding Allee effect","authors":"F. Lutscher, L. Popovic, Allison K. Shaw","doi":"10.1007/s12080-022-00540-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-022-00540-2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-07-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42141048","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Size-dependent fitness trade-offs of foraging in the presence of predators for prey with different growth patterns","authors":"Kathryn J. Montovan, N. Tigreros, J. Thaler","doi":"10.1007/s12080-022-00535-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-022-00535-z","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"15 1","pages":"177 - 189"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-06-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47605470","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A general mathematical model for coevolutionary dynamics of mutualisms with partner discrimination","authors":"H. Ezoe","doi":"10.1007/s12080-022-00537-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12080-022-00537-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51198,"journal":{"name":"Theoretical Ecology","volume":"15 1","pages":"203 - 211"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-05-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49319522","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}