{"title":"The risk-based environmental footprints and sustainability deficits of nations","authors":"Jianjian He , Pengyan Zhang , Xi Lu","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108501","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108501","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The implementation of environmental sustainability accounting has attracted academic attention; however, methods to accommodate local biophysical limitations remain underexplored. We developed a novel risk–footprint environmental sustainability assessment (Risk–Footprint ESA) framework to measure a country's environmental sustainability with respect to local biophysical capacity to help nations take collective action to stay within a safe operating space. Our findings indicated that the global environmental footprints of water, land, energy, carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus witnessed variable increases of 325 %, 39 %, 36 %, 95 %, 6 %, and 3 % respectively, between 1990 and 2015. China, India, and the United States exhibited the largest footprints across these categories. Excluding water and land use, it appears that the global population is not maintaining lifestyles within the limits of the planet. Furthermore, the most effectively managed resource was land, with nearly 95 % of the countries maintaining sustainable reserves from 1990 to 2015. Conversely, nitrogen presents the greatest challenge in achieving sustainability, with only 25 % of the countries managing a reserve for this indicator. Additionally, there was a correlation between rising affluence and exceeding sustainability limits, suggesting that low income reduces the chances of eradicating poverty and diminishes the ability to maintain environmental sustainability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108501"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143159386","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A natural resource curse: The unintended effects of gold mining on malaria","authors":"Jeffrey Pagel","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108469","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108469","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper studies whether extractive-resource-activities provoke an ecological response on the emergence and proliferation of malaria by altering the reproductive environment of mosquitoes. In January 2004, the government of the Philippines launched the Minerals Action Plan (MAP), which significantly improved the investment climate in the country’s mining sector. I exploit the timing of the reform and the spatial distribution of mineral endowments through a difference-in-differences (DID) approach that compares provinces with and without gold deposits before and after the reform. After the MAP reform, provinces with deposits of gold had 32 percent more malaria cases per 100,000 relative to provinces without gold deposits. I perform several falsification tests as well as investigate other potential mechanisms which further suggest that the main mechanism is through gold mining’s creation of slow-moving bodies of stagnant water, which provide an ideal breeding site for <em>Anopheles</em> mosquitoes, malaria’s main transmission vector, to propagate and reproduce.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108469"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142889292","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jesús Peiró-Palomino , Lisa Gianmoena , Andrés J. Picazo-Tadeo , Vicente Rios
{"title":"Is social capital a driver of the green transition in the European Union?","authors":"Jesús Peiró-Palomino , Lisa Gianmoena , Andrés J. Picazo-Tadeo , Vicente Rios","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108500","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108500","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The green transition is a topic of great interest for European policymakers. It is broadly acknowledged that socio-cultural elements embedded in societies, such as social capital, have a major influence on environmental performance. European regions differ widely in terms of both social capital and environmental behavior. However, there are very few related studies at the sub-national level. Using data on 230 regions of the European Union in 2021, this paper examines the impact of social capital on air quality, which is a key indicator of environmental performance. The results show a positive effect, which is robust to several model specifications and to endogeneity. Some potential transmission mechanisms are also explored, revealing that the positive effects of social capital are channeled through the quality of government and more stringent environmental policy. These insights suggest that regional social capital endowments can be a determinant of a green transition that occurs evenly across European regions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108500"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142889291","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Chi Nguyen , Uwe Latacz-Lohmann , Nick Hanley , Sayed Iftekhar
{"title":"Conservation auctions for landscape-scale environmental management: Does spatial configuration matter for economic and ecological outcomes?","authors":"Chi Nguyen , Uwe Latacz-Lohmann , Nick Hanley , Sayed Iftekhar","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108509","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108509","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>How best to achieve spatially-coordinated environmental outcomes using reverse auctions has become a research question of growing interest. This paper makes a first attempt to systematically investigate the combined effects of the spatial configuration of landscape and landholder-to-landholder communication on auction performance in delivering landscape-scale environmental improvements. We provide novel insights into the importance of the regulator's knowledge about landscape configuration when implementing auctions for landscape-scale environmental management. Using lab experiments, we vary the spatial correlations of opportunity costs and environmental benefits (positive, negative, no correlation) and the availability of costly communication in stylized agricultural landscapes, where the environmental goal is to establish corridors and stepping stones to facilitate the movement of wildlife species. Results show that bidding behaviour, the degree of spatial coordination and cost-effectiveness are significantly different across these three types of landscape configuration. Auctions perform worst in landscapes where opportunity costs and environmental benefits are negatively correlated. Communication promotes spatially-coordinated conservation effort, but its effects on bidding behaviour depend on landscape configuration. The interplay of a positive spatial correlation with communication was found to best promote spatial coordination, although willingness to incur communication costs by landholders varies with landscape configuration.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108509"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142869923","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The rise and fall of neoliberalism: Evidences from an ecological and regulationist analysis of France (1960–2020)","authors":"Alban Pellegris , Victor Court","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108488","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108488","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This article explores the critical role of energy in shaping capitalist modes of development, and their entry into crisis, in France between 1960 and 2020. This analysis challenges traditional views that regard energy primarily as an exogenous shock and instead posits energy as a fundamental metabolic constraint in capitalist accumulation regimes. To demonstrate this, we integrate energy flows into the analysis of capitalists' regimes by crossing two bodies of knowledge: ecological economics and regulation theory. We enrich regulation theory with three key ecological macroeconomics indicators: thermodynamic efficiency, exosomatic metabolic rate and the weight of energy expenditures. Using descriptive statistics, we show that the weight of energy expenditures is the most significant variable: it must be contained if the rate of profit is to be maintained and if capital accumulation is to continue. Neoliberalism responded to the metabolic exhaustion of Fordism but eventually encountered its own limits in managing energy constraints. Neoliberal recipes for reconfiguring the metabolism have generated major imbalances likely to call into question the reproduction of this regime (financial crises, trade imbalances). We conclude that neoliberalism's structural crisis is rooted in the exhaustion of past energy management strategies, opening the door to the emergence of post-liberal capitalism.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108488"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142869927","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Economic valuation of groundwater over-exploitation in the Maghreb","authors":"Abderraouf Zaatra , Georgios Kleftodimos , Mélanie Requier-Desjardins , Hatem Belhouchette","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108499","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108499","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The agricultural sector is recognized as particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change. In semi-arid areas, the performance and durability of irrigated systems are often difficult to manage. Understanding agriculture's response to water scarcity, institutional change and policy interventions is important in order to better define the different agricultural development pathways. The purpose of this paper is to carry out an economic assessment of the costs of groundwater over-exploitation in the Maghreb. This was achieved by using bio-economic modeling in three case studies: the Saïss plain (Morocco), El Haouaria plain (Tunisia) and Sétif plain (Algeria). A set of indicators (land use, farm gross margin, the dual value of water and labor requirements) was calculated for each case study in two scenarios (a business-as-usual (S_BAU) scenario and a return-to-equilibrium (S_RtE) scenario) over a period of 15 years, from 2021 to 2035. Our results show that (i) the state of the aquifer and its over-exploitation level determine the extent of future changes; (ii) in the case of significant groundwater over-exploitation, restoration costs are higher than over-exploitation costs (Saïss plain); on the other hand, in the case where the over-exploitation rate is lower (El Haouaria and Sétif plains), the over-exploitation and restoration costs are close; (iii) both scenarios show significant structural and social changes, and without the effective implementation of environmental and social policies, they lead to high economic losses.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108499"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142869924","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
David Álvarez-Antelo , Paola López-Muñoz , Luis Llases , Arthur Lauer
{"title":"Towards a sustainable mobility lifestyle: Exploring the flight to rail shift through model-based behavioural change scenarios","authors":"David Álvarez-Antelo , Paola López-Muñoz , Luis Llases , Arthur Lauer","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108498","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108498","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Despite the importance of behavioural changes for transitioning to low-carbon societies, quantitative modelling has mainly focused on technological changes, overlooking the complex social dynamics of lifestyle shifts. In this study, we build a coupled system dynamics model linking a passenger transport model with an exploratory endogenous behavioural change model. We use this model and a scenario discovery methodology based on Monte Carlo simulations and multivariate sensitivity analysis to explore pathways for climate mitigation in the transport sector by shifting from flights to trains. Our model reveals several scenarios for mitigation, each requiring different policy combinations and social efforts. We found that personal environmental values significantly impact the speed of behavioural change and its contribution to emissions reduction by 2050, though policy incentives such as educational and economic policies could also help in their absence. Based on four pathways with distinct exogenous drivers, we present four storylines illustrating possible social contexts for a shift from air to train transport: <em>Smart Policy Mix (1)</em>, <em>Fast Adaptation (2)</em>, <em>Luck in Misfortune (3)</em>, and <em>Overcoming the Value-Action Gap (4)</em>. The scenarios reveal different situations for achieving mitigation objectives, varying in efficiency, desirability, and feasibility, while also exposing sociopolitical trade-offs. Our work contributes to the field of social and exploratory modelling, offering new insights into the social dynamics of sustainability transformations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108498"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142869925","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Multiple hazards and residential rents in Switzerland: Who pays the price of extreme natural events?","authors":"F.J. Blok, F. Fuerst","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108485","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108485","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Natural hazard risk is captured in property prices through two principal channels: the risk to the building and the risk to its occupiers. These two effects are typically bundled up in transaction prices, thereby becoming individually unobservable. This study analyses residential rents as those should solely represent the risk to occupiers, who pay for their own losses in the case of a natural hazard event, but not for the owner's potential damage to the asset. Applying a hedonic framework to a sample of 18,339 dwellings across Switzerland, we examine the relationship between residential rents and exposure to five different climate-related natural hazards, some of which have been hitherto understudied. Strong evidence of a small rental discount of 1.4 % is found for dwellings that are subject to moderate flood hazard. Similar, albeit weaker, estimates are found for surface runoff hazard. Gravitational hazards including landslide, debris flow, and hillslope debris flow are not associated with significantly lower rents, possibly due to the small sample size. Our findings imply that not all natural hazard risk is reflected in the cost-side of the profit-equation in commercial residential real estate, but partly manifests itself in the form of reduced income, which is often less apparent.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108485"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142869926","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ruipeng Tan , Zixuan Zhang , Kerui Du , Boqiang Lin
{"title":"Energy rebound effect in China: Measurement based on a variable coefficient production function","authors":"Ruipeng Tan , Zixuan Zhang , Kerui Du , Boqiang Lin","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108496","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108496","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The presence of the energy rebound effect (ERE) creates significant challenges in realizing the goals of energy-saving policies. Current literature measuring ERE based on production function faces two limitations. First, energy intensity is used as the indicator of energy efficiency, but reductions in energy intensity do not necessarily trigger ERE. Second, the assumption that input elasticities remain constant across regions and periods is unrealistic. To make up these defects, we propose a model using total-factor energy productivity as an indicator of energy-augmenting technology and develop a framework to measure ERE driven by advancements in energy-augmenting technology. Moreover, we employ a variable coefficient production function to measure the contribution of energy augmenting technology progress to output growth and further ERE. The findings demonstrate that, firstly, various inputs exhibit significant temporal and regional disparities in output elasticities. Second, the ERE is estimated to be 27.21 % on average in China, while a fixed-coefficient Cobb-Douglas model overestimates the ERE at 30.43 %. Third, regional and temporal disparities are evident in the ERE. Based on these conclusions, pertinent implications are put forward to inform the policymakers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108496"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143159378","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Tommaso Rughi , Jacopo Staccioli , Maria Enrica Virgillito
{"title":"Labour-saving heuristics in green patents: A natural language processing analysis","authors":"Tommaso Rughi , Jacopo Staccioli , Maria Enrica Virgillito","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108497","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108497","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper provides a direct understanding of the labour-saving threats embedded in decarbonisation pathways. It starts with a mapping of the technological innovations characterised by both climate change mitigation/adaptation (green) and labour-saving attributes. To accomplish this, we draw on the universe of patent grants in the USPTO since 1976 to 2021 reporting the Y02-Y04S tagging scheme and we identify those patents embedding an explicit labour-saving heuristic via a dependency parsing algorithm. We characterise their technological, sectoral and time evolution. Finally, after constructing an index of sectoral penetration of LS and non-LS green patents, we explore its correlation with employment share growth at the state level in the US. Our evidence shows that employment shares in sectors characterised by a higher exposure to LS (non-LS) technologies present an overall negative (positive) growth dynamics.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51021,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Economics","volume":"230 ","pages":"Article 108497"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142821082","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}