Population StudiesPub Date : 2022-03-01Epub Date: 2022-02-19DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2022.2034920
Jacek Cypryjański
{"title":"Are the birthdates of our ancestors real? Date of birth misregistration in twentieth-century Poland.","authors":"Jacek Cypryjański","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2022.2034920","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2022.2034920","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study aimed to explore the phenomenon of birthdate misregistration, using birth data from 45,226,875 Polish citizens, that is, all those born 1900-2000 and registered in Poland's Universal Electronic System for Registration of the Population (PESEL). I transformed the data into a daily series of births, detrended by dividing each value by the daily average for the relevant year. Next, I selected the dates with the highest deviations based on the coefficients of the linear regression model with dummy variables. Finally, I estimated the size of the phenomenon in subsequent years by comparing the numbers of births on selected dates to their expected values. This paper is the first to document the specificity, scale, duration, and probable causes of birthdate misregistration in Poland in the twentieth century.</p>","PeriodicalId":501679,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies","volume":" ","pages":"157-168"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2022-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39800287","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Parity disparity: Educational differences in Nordic fertility across parities and number of reproductive partners.","authors":"Marika Jalovaara, Linus Andersson, Anneli Miettinen","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2021.1887506","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2021.1887506","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Most research on trends in socio-economic fertility differences has focused on cohort total fertility and on women. This study aimed to analyse how cohort trends in parity-specific fertility differ across educational segments for men and women and what role multi-partner fertility plays in these trends. We used Finnish and Swedish register data on cohorts born in 1940-73/78. The main analyses used parity progression ratios, comparing ordinary ratios with similar ratios using births to first reproductive partners only. Among the low and medium educated, we observe strengthening parity polarization across cohorts, with increases in both childlessness and births of order three or higher, the latter largely reflecting increases in multi-partner fertility. Highly educated men and women more often have exactly two children. We demonstrate that cohort total fertility can mask significant parity-specific trends across educational groups and that changes in multi-partner fertility can play a part in cohort trends in socio-economic fertility differentials.</p>","PeriodicalId":501679,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies","volume":" ","pages":"119-136"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2022-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/00324728.2021.1887506","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"25454413","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Population StudiesPub Date : 2020-03-01Epub Date: 2019-06-10DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2019.1614651
Jesús-Adrián Alvarez, José Manuel Aburto, Vladimir Canudas-Romo
{"title":"Latin American convergence and divergence towards the mortality profiles of developed countries.","authors":"Jesús-Adrián Alvarez, José Manuel Aburto, Vladimir Canudas-Romo","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2019.1614651","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2019.1614651","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>It is uncertain whether Latin America and Caribbean (LAC) countries are approaching a single mortality regime. Over the last three decades, LAC has experienced major public health interventions and the highest number of homicides in the world. However, these interventions and homicide rates are not evenly shared across countries. This study documents trends in life expectancy and lifespan variability for 20 LAC countries, 2000-14. By extending a previous method, we decompose differences in lifespan variability between LAC and a developed world benchmark into cause-specific effects. For both sexes, dispersion of amenable diseases through the age span makes the largest contribution to the gap between LAC and the benchmark. Additionally, for males, the concentration of homicides, accidents, and suicides in mid-life further impedes mortality convergence. Great disparity exists in the region: while some countries are rapidly approaching the developed regime, others remain far behind and suffer a clear disadvantage in population health.</p>","PeriodicalId":501679,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies","volume":" ","pages":"75-92"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2020-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/00324728.2019.1614651","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"40550808","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Population StudiesPub Date : 2013-01-01DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2013.835859
Michel Guillot, So-Jung Lim, Liudmila Torgasheva, Mikhail Denisenko
{"title":"Infant mortality in Kyrgyzstan before and after the break-up of the Soviet Union.","authors":"Michel Guillot, So-Jung Lim, Liudmila Torgasheva, Mikhail Denisenko","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2013.835859","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2013.835859","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>There is a great deal of uncertainty over the levels of, and trends in, infant mortality in the former Soviet republics of Central Asia. As a result, the impact of the break-up of the Soviet Union on infant mortality in the region is not known, and proper monitoring of mortality levels is impaired. In this paper, a variety of data sources and methods are used to assess levels of infant mortality and their trend over time in one Central Asian republic, Kyrgyzstan, between 1980 and 2010. An abrupt halt to an already established decline in infant mortality was observed to occur during the decade following the break-up of the Soviet Union, contradicting the official statistics based on vital registration. Infants of Central Asian ethnicity and those born in rural areas were also considerably more at risk of mortality than suggested by the official sources. We discuss the implications of these findings, both for health policy in this seldom studied part of the former Soviet Union and for our understanding of the health crisis which it currently faces. </p>","PeriodicalId":501679,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies","volume":" ","pages":"335-52"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2013-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/00324728.2013.835859","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"40252037","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Changes in union status during the transition to parenthood in eleven European countries, 1970s to early 2000s.","authors":"Brienna Perelli-Harris, Michaela Kreyenfeld, Wendy Sigle-Rushton, Renske Keizer, Trude Lappegård, Aiva Jasilioniene, Caroline Berghammer, Paola Di Giulio","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2012.673004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2012.673004","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Couples who have children are increasingly likely to have lived together without being married at some point in their relationship. Some couples begin their unions with cohabitation and marry before first conception, some marry during pregnancy or directly after the first birth, while others remain unmarried 3 years after the first birth. Using union and fertility histories since the 1970s for eleven countries, we examine whether women who have children in unions marry, and if so, at what stage in family formation. We also examine whether women who conceive when cohabiting are more likely to marry or separate. We find that patterns of union formation and childbearing develop along different trajectories across countries. In all countries, however, less than 40 per cent of women remained in cohabitation up to 3 years after the first birth, suggesting that marriage remains the predominant institution for raising children.</p>","PeriodicalId":501679,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies","volume":" ","pages":"167-82"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2012-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/00324728.2012.673004","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"40179864","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Population StudiesPub Date : 2012-03-01Epub Date: 2011-11-08DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2011.628047
Eric Kaufmann, Anne Goujon, Vegard Skirbekk
{"title":"American political affiliation, 2003-43: a cohort component projection.","authors":"Eric Kaufmann, Anne Goujon, Vegard Skirbekk","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2011.628047","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2011.628047","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The recent rise in identification with American political parties has focused interest on the long-term dynamics of party support. Liberal commentators cite immigration and youth as forces that will produce a natural advantage for the Democrats in the future, while conservative writers highlight the importance of high fertility amongst Republicans in securing growth. These opinions are not based on demographic analysis. We addressed this omission by undertaking the first ever cohort component projection (up to 2043) of populations by American party allegiance, based on survey and census data. On current trends, we predict that American partisanship will change much less than the nation's ethnic composition because the parties are similar in age structure. Nevertheless, our projections suggest that the Democrats will gain 2-3 per cent more support than the Republicans by 2043, mainly through immigration, although the higher fertility of Republicans may eventually offset that advantage.</p>","PeriodicalId":501679,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies","volume":" ","pages":"53-67"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2012-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/00324728.2011.628047","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"40133921","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Population StudiesPub Date : 2011-07-01Epub Date: 2011-05-27DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2011.568192
Marc Luy, Paola Di Giulio, Graziella Caselli
{"title":"Differences in life expectancy by education and occupation in Italy, 1980-94: indirect estimates from maternal and paternal orphanhood.","authors":"Marc Luy, Paola Di Giulio, Graziella Caselli","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2011.568192","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2011.568192","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In the present study, we use the modified orphanhood method to analyse mortality differences by socio-economic status in Italy. This technique permits the indirect estimation of adult mortality from survey-based information on parents' survival in developed populations and helps to overcome several limitations of conventional studies on mortality differences by social class. We estimate a time series of life tables by education and occupation and analyse the differences in life expectancy by socio-economic status along with their changes between 1980-84, 1985-89, and 1990-94. Whereas mortality differences between the highest social class and the other socio-economic status groups increased among men, they decreased among women. We speculate about the reasons for these sex-specific trends and evaluate the application of indirect estimation techniques to the populations of developed countries.</p>","PeriodicalId":501679,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies","volume":" ","pages":"137-55"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2011-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/00324728.2011.568192","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"40101763","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Population StudiesPub Date : 2011-07-01Epub Date: 2011-06-15DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2011.572654
Sanna Read, Emily Grundy, Douglas A Wolf
{"title":"Fertility history, health, and health changes in later life: a panel study of British women and men born 1923-49.","authors":"Sanna Read, Emily Grundy, Douglas A Wolf","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2011.572654","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2011.572654","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>We investigated associations between later-life health and fertility history for women and men, using the British Household Panel Survey. We modelled health and its rate of change jointly with sample retention over an 11-year period. For women, childlessness is associated with limitation of activity for health reasons and faster acquisition of the limitation. High parity (four or more children) is associated with poorer health for both women and men. For the parous, this association is also found when age at first birth is controlled. Early parenthood is associated with poorer health. For parents of two or more children, a birth interval of less than 18 months is associated with having a health limitation and an accelerated rate of acquiring it. We conclude that biosocial pathways link parenthood careers and the later-life health of both women and men, and that implications of closely spaced births for parents merit further attention.</p>","PeriodicalId":501679,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies","volume":" ","pages":"201-15"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2011-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/00324728.2011.572654","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"40111676","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Population StudiesPub Date : 2010-11-01DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2010.506243
Karsten Hank
{"title":"Childbearing history, later-life health, and mortality in Germany.","authors":"Karsten Hank","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2010.506243","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2010.506243","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel, we investigated the role of childbearing history in later-life health and mortality, paying particular attention to possible differences by sex and region. Higher parity is associated with better self-rated health in West German mothers and fathers aged 50+, but its relationship with East German women's physical health and survival is negative. Early motherhood is paralleled by poorer physical health in West Germany, whereas late motherhood is associated with lower psychological well-being in Eastern Germany. Moreover, among West German women, having had a non-marital first birth is weakly correlated with poorer physical health. Our findings support the notion of biosocial pathways playing an important role in shaping the fertility-health nexus. Specifically, the West German 'male-breadwinner' model of specialization appears to have buffered the stresses associated with childrearing, whereas fertility off the 'normative' life-course track appears to have had adverse effects on women's health in West Germany.</p>","PeriodicalId":501679,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies","volume":" ","pages":"275-91"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2010-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/00324728.2010.506243","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"40072427","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Population StudiesPub Date : 2010-11-01DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2010.506244
Matthijs Kalmijn, Christiaan Monden
{"title":"Poverty and union formation among never-married single mothers in the Netherlands, 1989-2005.","authors":"Matthijs Kalmijn, Christiaan Monden","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2010.506244","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2010.506244","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Using panel data from Dutch tax records linked to the municipality registry, we investigate how the partner status of never-married single mothers changes in the years after the birth of their first child. To explore a possible accumulation of financial problems, we study the effects of income on the chances of entering a marital or cohabiting union. We also examine the effects of finding a partner on income for never-married single mothers. Finding a partner substantially improves income. We find that about half of the never-married single mothers marry or start cohabiting within 10 years of the first birth, but that these are usually mothers with average and higher incomes. Not only are never-married single mothers more likely to be poor at the time of first birth, the poor are also more likely to remain single. There seems to be an accumulation of disadvantage in this special group in Dutch society.</p>","PeriodicalId":501679,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies","volume":" ","pages":"263-74"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2010-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/00324728.2010.506244","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"40079233","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}