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Cooperation, Correlation and Competition in Ergodic $N$-player Games and Mean-field Games of Singular Controls: A Case Study 奇异控制的N$玩家博弈和平均场博弈中的合作、相关性和竞争:案例研究
arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-23 DOI: arxiv-2404.15079
Federico Cannerozzi, Giorgio Ferrari
{"title":"Cooperation, Correlation and Competition in Ergodic $N$-player Games and Mean-field Games of Singular Controls: A Case Study","authors":"Federico Cannerozzi, Giorgio Ferrari","doi":"arxiv-2404.15079","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2404.15079","url":null,"abstract":"We consider ergodic symmetric $N$-player and mean-field games of singular\u0000control in both cooperative and competitive settings. The state process\u0000dynamics of a representative player follow geometric Brownian motion,\u0000controlled additively through a nondecreasing process. Agents aim to maximize a\u0000long-time average reward functional with instantaneous profit of power type.\u0000The game shows strategic complementarities, in that the marginal profit\u0000function is increasing with respect to the dynamic average of the states of the\u0000other players, when $N<infty$, or with respect to the stationary mean of the\u0000players' distribution, in the mean-field case. In the mean-field formulation,\u0000we explicitly construct the solution to the mean-field control problem\u0000associated with central planner optimization, as well as Nash and coarse\u0000correlated equilibria (with singular and regular recommendations). Among our\u0000findings, we show that coarse correlated equilibria may exist even when Nash\u0000equilibria do not. Additionally, we show that a coarse correlated equilibrium\u0000with a regular (absolutely continuous) recommendation can outperform a Nash\u0000equilibrium where the equilibrium policy is of reflecting type (thus singularly\u0000continuous). Furthermore, we prove that the constructed mean-field control and\u0000mean-field equilibria can approximate the cooperative and competitive\u0000equilibria, respectively, in the corresponding game with $N$ players when $N$\u0000is sufficiently large. To the best of our knowledge, this paper is the first to\u0000characterize coarse correlated equilibria, construct the explicit solution to\u0000an ergodic mean-field control problem, and provide approximation results for\u0000the related $N$-player game in the context of singular control games.","PeriodicalId":501084,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance","volume":"49 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140797839","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Liquidity Pool Design on Automated Market Makers 自动做市商的流动性池设计
arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-20 DOI: arxiv-2404.13291
Xue Dong He, Chen Yang, Yutian Zhou
{"title":"Liquidity Pool Design on Automated Market Makers","authors":"Xue Dong He, Chen Yang, Yutian Zhou","doi":"arxiv-2404.13291","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2404.13291","url":null,"abstract":"Automated market makers are a popular type of decentralized exchange in which\u0000users trade assets with each other directly and automatically through a\u0000liquidity pool and a fixed pricing function. The liquidity provider contributes\u0000to the liquidity pool by supplying assets to the pool and in return they earn\u0000transaction fees from traders who trade through the pool. We propose a model of\u0000optimal liquidity provision in which the risk-averse liquidity provider decides\u0000the investment proportion of wealth she would like to supply to the pool, trade\u0000in a centralized market, and consume in multiple periods. We derive the\u0000liquidity provider's optimal strategy by dynamic programming and numerically\u0000find the optimal liquidity pool that maximizes the liquidity provider's\u0000utility. Our findings indicate that the exchange rate volatility on the\u0000centralized market exerts a positive effect on the optimal transaction fee.\u0000Moreover, the optimal constant mean pricing formula is found to be related to\u0000the relative performance of the underlying assets on the centralized market.","PeriodicalId":501084,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance","volume":"49 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140798010","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
BSDE-based stochastic control for optimal reinsurance in a dynamic contagion model 基于 BSDE 的随机控制,在动态传染模型中实现最优再保险
arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-17 DOI: arxiv-2404.11482
Claudia Ceci, Alessandra Cretarola
{"title":"BSDE-based stochastic control for optimal reinsurance in a dynamic contagion model","authors":"Claudia Ceci, Alessandra Cretarola","doi":"arxiv-2404.11482","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2404.11482","url":null,"abstract":"We investigate the optimal reinsurance problem in the risk model with jump\u0000clustering features introduced in [7]. This modeling framework is inspired by\u0000the concept initially proposed in [15], combining Hawkes and Cox processes with\u0000shot noise intensity models. Specifically, these processes describe\u0000self-exciting and externally excited jumps in the claim arrival intensity,\u0000respectively. The insurer aims to maximize the expected exponential utility of\u0000terminal wealth for general reinsurance contracts and reinsurance premiums. We\u0000discuss two different methodologies: the classical stochastic control approach\u0000based on the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation and a backward stochastic\u0000differential equation (BSDE) approach. In a Markovian setting, differently from\u0000the classical HJB-approach, the BSDE method enables us to solve the problem\u0000without imposing any requirements for regularity on the associated value\u0000function. We provide a Verification Theorem in terms of a suitable BSDE driven\u0000by a two-dimensional marked point process and we prove an existence result\u0000relaying on the theory developed in [27] for stochastic Lipschitz generators.\u0000After discussing the optimal strategy for general reinsurance contracts and\u0000reinsurance premiums, we provide more explicit results in some relevant cases.\u0000Finally, we provide comparison results that highlight the heightened risk\u0000stemming from the self-exciting component in contrast to the externally-excited\u0000counterpart and discuss the monotonicity property of the value function.","PeriodicalId":501084,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance","volume":"20 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140614095","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Factor risk measures 因子风险测量
arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: arxiv-2404.08475
Hirbod Assa, Peng Liu
{"title":"Factor risk measures","authors":"Hirbod Assa, Peng Liu","doi":"arxiv-2404.08475","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2404.08475","url":null,"abstract":"This paper introduces and studies factor risk measures. While risk measures\u0000only rely on the distribution of a loss random variable, in many cases risk\u0000needs to be measured relative to some major factors. In this paper, we\u0000introduce a double-argument mapping as a risk measure to assess the risk\u0000relative to a vector of factors, called factor risk measure. The factor risk\u0000measure only depends on the joint distribution of the risk and the factors. A\u0000set of natural axioms are discussed, and particularly distortion, quantile,\u0000linear and coherent factor risk measures are introduced and characterized.\u0000Moreover, we introduce a large set of concrete factor risk measures and many of\u0000them are new to the literature, which are interpreted in the context of\u0000regulatory capital requirement. Finally, the distortion factor risk measures\u0000are applied in the risk-sharing problem and some numerical examples are\u0000presented to show the difference between the Value-at-Risk and the quantile\u0000factor risk measures.","PeriodicalId":501084,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance","volume":"45 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140571853","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Benchmark-Neutral Pricing 基准中立定价
arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-09 DOI: arxiv-2407.01542
Eckhard Platen
{"title":"Benchmark-Neutral Pricing","authors":"Eckhard Platen","doi":"arxiv-2407.01542","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2407.01542","url":null,"abstract":"The paper introduces benchmark-neutral pricing and hedging for long-term\u0000contingent claims. It employs the growth optimal portfolio of the stocks as\u0000numeraire and the new benchmark-neutral pricing measure for pricing. For a\u0000realistic parsimonious model, this pricing measure turns out to be an\u0000equivalent probability measure, which is not the case for the risk-neutral\u0000pricing measure. Many risk-neutral prices of long-term contracts are more\u0000expensive than necessary. Benchmark-neutral pricing identifies the minimal\u0000possible prices of contingent claims, which is illustrated with remarkable\u0000accuracy for a long-term zero-coupon bond.","PeriodicalId":501084,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance","volume":"20 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141525940","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Non-concave distributionally robust stochastic control in a discrete time finite horizon setting 离散时间有限视距背景下的非凹分布稳健随机控制
arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI: arxiv-2404.05230
Ariel Neufeld, Julian Sester
{"title":"Non-concave distributionally robust stochastic control in a discrete time finite horizon setting","authors":"Ariel Neufeld, Julian Sester","doi":"arxiv-2404.05230","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2404.05230","url":null,"abstract":"In this article we present a general framework for non-concave\u0000distributionally robust stochastic control problems in a discrete time finite\u0000horizon setting. Our framework allows to consider a variety of different\u0000path-dependent ambiguity sets of probability measures comprising, as a natural\u0000example, the ambiguity set defined via Wasserstein-balls around path-dependent\u0000reference measures, as well as parametric classes of probability distributions.\u0000We establish a dynamic programming principle which allows to derive both\u0000optimal control and worst-case measure by solving recursively a sequence of\u0000one-step optimization problems. As a concrete application, we study the robust\u0000hedging problem of a financial derivative under an asymmetric (and non-convex)\u0000loss function accounting for different preferences of sell- and buy side when\u0000it comes to the hedging of financial derivatives. As our entirely data-driven\u0000ambiguity set of probability measures, we consider Wasserstein-balls around the\u0000empirical measure derived from real financial data. We demonstrate that during\u0000adverse scenarios such as a financial crisis, our robust approach outperforms\u0000typical model-based hedging strategies such as the classical Delta-hedging\u0000strategy as well as the hedging strategy obtained in the non-robust setting\u0000with respect to the empirical measure and therefore overcomes the problem of\u0000model misspecification in such critical periods.","PeriodicalId":501084,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance","volume":"212 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140571945","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Generalized measure Black-Scholes equation: Towards option self-similar pricing 广义计量布莱克-斯科尔斯方程:实现期权自相似定价
arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI: arxiv-2404.05214
Nizar Riane, Claire David
{"title":"Generalized measure Black-Scholes equation: Towards option self-similar pricing","authors":"Nizar Riane, Claire David","doi":"arxiv-2404.05214","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2404.05214","url":null,"abstract":"In this work, we give a generalized formulation of the Black-Scholes model.\u0000The novelty resides in considering the Black-Scholes model to be valid on\u0000'average', but such that the pointwise option price dynamics depends on a\u0000measure representing the investors' 'uncertainty'. We make use of the theory of\u0000non-symmetric Dirichlet forms and the abstract theory of partial differential\u0000equations to establish well posedness of the problem. A detailed numerical\u0000analysis is given in the case of self-similar measures.","PeriodicalId":501084,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance","volume":"120 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140571936","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Watanabe's expansion: A Solution for the convexity conundrum 渡边扩展凸性难题的解决方案
arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: arxiv-2404.01522
David García-Lorite, Raul Merino
{"title":"Watanabe's expansion: A Solution for the convexity conundrum","authors":"David García-Lorite, Raul Merino","doi":"arxiv-2404.01522","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2404.01522","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, we present a new method for pricing CMS derivatives. We use\u0000Mallaivin's calculus to establish a model-free connection between the price of\u0000a CMS derivative and a quadratic payoff. Then, we apply Watanabe's expansions\u0000to quadratic payoffs case under local and stochastic local volatility. Our\u0000approximations are generic. To evaluate their accuracy, we will compare the\u0000approximations numerically under the normal SABR model against the market\u0000standards: Hagan's approximation, and a Monte Carlo simulation.","PeriodicalId":501084,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance","volume":"46 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140571847","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
From attention to profit: quantitative trading strategy based on transformer 从关注到盈利:基于变压器的量化交易策略
arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance Pub Date : 2024-03-30 DOI: arxiv-2404.00424
Zhaofeng Zhang, Banghao Chen, Shengxin Zhu, Nicolas Langrené
{"title":"From attention to profit: quantitative trading strategy based on transformer","authors":"Zhaofeng Zhang, Banghao Chen, Shengxin Zhu, Nicolas Langrené","doi":"arxiv-2404.00424","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2404.00424","url":null,"abstract":"In traditional quantitative trading practice, navigating the complicated and\u0000dynamic financial market presents a persistent challenge. Former machine\u0000learning approaches have struggled to fully capture various market variables,\u0000often ignore long-term information and fail to catch up with essential signals\u0000that may lead the profit. This paper introduces an enhanced transformer\u0000architecture and designs a novel factor based on the model. By transfer\u0000learning from sentiment analysis, the proposed model not only exploits its\u0000original inherent advantages in capturing long-range dependencies and modelling\u0000complex data relationships but is also able to solve tasks with numerical\u0000inputs and accurately forecast future returns over a period. This work collects\u0000more than 5,000,000 rolling data of 4,601 stocks in the Chinese capital market\u0000from 2010 to 2019. The results of this study demonstrated the model's superior\u0000performance in predicting stock trends compared with other 100 factor-based\u0000quantitative strategies with lower turnover rates and a more robust half-life\u0000period. Notably, the model's innovative use transformer to establish factors,\u0000in conjunction with market sentiment information, has been shown to enhance the\u0000accuracy of trading signals significantly, thereby offering promising\u0000implications for the future of quantitative trading strategies.","PeriodicalId":501084,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance","volume":"25 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140571944","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Limited Attention Allocation in a Stochastic Linear Quadratic System with Multiplicative Noise 带有乘法噪声的随机线性二次系统中的有限注意力分配
arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance Pub Date : 2024-03-27 DOI: arxiv-2403.18528
Xiangyu Cui, Jianjun Gao, Lingjie Kong
{"title":"Limited Attention Allocation in a Stochastic Linear Quadratic System with Multiplicative Noise","authors":"Xiangyu Cui, Jianjun Gao, Lingjie Kong","doi":"arxiv-2403.18528","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2403.18528","url":null,"abstract":"This study addresses limited attention allocation in a stochastic linear\u0000quadratic system with multiplicative noise. Our approach enables strategic\u0000resource allocation to enhance noise estimation and improve control decisions.\u0000We provide analytical optimal control and propose a numerical method for\u0000optimal attention allocation. Additionally, we apply our ffndings to dynamic\u0000mean-variance portfolio selection, showing effective resource allocation across\u0000time periods and factors, providing valuable insights for investors.","PeriodicalId":501084,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Mathematical Finance","volume":"142 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140311332","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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