TransportmetricaPub Date : 2012-07-01DOI: 10.1080/18128601003752452
B. Schnetzler, Xavier Louis, J. Lebacque
{"title":"A multilane junction model","authors":"B. Schnetzler, Xavier Louis, J. Lebacque","doi":"10.1080/18128601003752452","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/18128601003752452","url":null,"abstract":"Junction modelling is described within the framework of macroscopic traffic flow models. Given previous models, the focus is on the most important factor: first-in first-out (FIFO) effects. According to the number of lanes, current models assume either a perfectly FIFO traffic or a perfectly non-FIFO traffic. Although we assume a single-flow highway traffic model, the improvement takes into account lane changes close to merges and diverges. Thus the traffic is neither perfectly FIFO nor perfectly non-FIFO and so outflows at junctions depend considerably on junction topology, traffic distribution in lanes and driver behaviour. As a consequence, this article suggests a simple improvement of the description of merges and diverges which takes into account some of these factors. With respect to the previous models, the best improvement concerns the outflow forecasting on an uncongested exit of a diverge when the other exit is congested.","PeriodicalId":49416,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica","volume":"8 1","pages":"243 - 260"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/18128601003752452","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"59925274","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
TransportmetricaPub Date : 2012-07-01DOI: 10.1080/18128601003736026
Q. Meng, Zhiyuan Liu
{"title":"Mathematical models and computational algorithms for probit-based asymmetric stochastic user equilibrium problem with elastic demand","authors":"Q. Meng, Zhiyuan Liu","doi":"10.1080/18128601003736026","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/18128601003736026","url":null,"abstract":"This article addresses model development and computational algorithm design for the probit-based asymmetric stochastic user equilibrium (SUE) problem with elastic demand. Two variational inequality (VI) models are first proposed for the SUE problem and then existence and uniqueness of their solutions are examined. These two VI models are, in reality, built by means of a probit-based stochastic network loading (SNL) map. Since there is no computational procedure available for calculating the SNL map, we thus propose a two-stage Monte Carlo simulation-based method to estimate the SNL map. To compromise computational time with accuracy in the estimation, a lower bound of sample size required by the Monte Carlo simulation is also investigated. Based on these two VI models and Monte Carlo simulation-based method, we design two hybrid prediction–correction (PC) — cost averaging (CA) algorithms for solving the SUE problem. Finally, two numerical examples are carried out to assess performance of the proposed algorithms.","PeriodicalId":49416,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica","volume":"8 1","pages":"261 - 290"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/18128601003736026","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"59925263","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
TransportmetricaPub Date : 2012-07-01DOI: 10.1080/18128602.2010.522609
Younshik Chung, Hyun Kim, Minyoung Park
{"title":"Quantifying non-recurrent traffic congestion caused by freeway work zones using archived work zone and ITS traffic data","authors":"Younshik Chung, Hyun Kim, Minyoung Park","doi":"10.1080/18128602.2010.522609","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/18128602.2010.522609","url":null,"abstract":"Non-recurrent traffic congestion has been estimated using the capacity and the number of closed lanes in work zones and the upstream traffic demand of work zones. However, the number of closed lanes may be meaningless due to operational strategies, such as using the shoulder area and composing an additional lane by temporarily reducing the existing lane width to mitigate traffic congestion. The objective of this study is to develop a method to quantify non-recurrent traffic congestion caused by freeway work zones based on traffic flow data and spatio-temporal work zone information. In addition, to demonstrate the efficacy of the developed method, a case study is performed using 1-year historical traffic data and work zone data on major freeways in Korea.","PeriodicalId":49416,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica","volume":"8 1","pages":"307 - 320"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/18128602.2010.522609","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"59925735","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
TransportmetricaPub Date : 2012-05-01DOI: 10.1080/18128602.2010.539413
Ruben G. Mercado, A. Páez, S. Farber, M. Roorda, C. Morency
{"title":"Explaining transport mode use of low-income persons for journey to work in urban areas: a case study of Ontario and Quebec","authors":"Ruben G. Mercado, A. Páez, S. Farber, M. Roorda, C. Morency","doi":"10.1080/18128602.2010.539413","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/18128602.2010.539413","url":null,"abstract":"This article contributes to the growing research and policy interest on the challenges of achieving socially sustainable transportation. It analyses the determinants of transport mode use for journey to work among population groups considered as vulnerable to mobility and accessibility limitations. Using the 2001 Census of Canada, multilevel multinomial logistic regression models were estimated to assess the personal, social and economic factors that affect travel mode use of low-income persons in their journey to work in urban areas in Ontario and Quebec. The findings show important differences in the factors associated with car driving and public transit, between genders, and according to income level, educational achievement, household structure and immigration status. Furthermore, it is found that significant factors affecting travel mode use among low-income people in various urban areas are differentiated by province. The results point towards a geographic-based and balanced promotion of public and private mobility programmes and policies to address transport needs of low-income workers.","PeriodicalId":49416,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica","volume":"21 4 1","pages":"157 - 179"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/18128602.2010.539413","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"59925655","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
TransportmetricaPub Date : 2012-05-01DOI: 10.1080/18128602.2010.539414
M. Chikaraishi, Junyi Zhang, A. Fujiwara
{"title":"Effects of nursing care on time use behaviour: a comparative analysis in Japan","authors":"M. Chikaraishi, Junyi Zhang, A. Fujiwara","doi":"10.1080/18128602.2010.539414","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/18128602.2010.539414","url":null,"abstract":"This study attempts to clarify differences in Japanese time use behaviour for people with/without responsibility for nursing care of family members by comparing the behaviour of three population groups: in-home caregivers, out-of-home caregivers and non-caregivers. The analysis is also conducted with respect to the behaviour on weekdays and weekends. After examining the differences of time use behaviour based on simple statistical tests, we develop a multilevel multiple discrete-continuous extreme value model, which simultaneously represents activity participation and time allocation. In the model, observed variations, unobserved inter-individual variations and unobserved spatial variations are distinguished. Using large-scale national time use data collected in Japan, the analysis confirms various differences of time use behaviour across the three groups, especially between in-home caregivers and non-caregivers.","PeriodicalId":49416,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica","volume":"19 1","pages":"181 - 208"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/18128602.2010.539414","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"59925665","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
TransportmetricaPub Date : 2012-05-01DOI: 10.1080/18128602.2010.539418
E. Hannes, Feng Liu, M. Vanhulsel, D. Janssens, T. Bellemans, K. Vanhoof, G. Wets
{"title":"Tracking household routines using scheduling hypothesis embedded in skeletons","authors":"E. Hannes, Feng Liu, M. Vanhulsel, D. Janssens, T. Bellemans, K. Vanhoof, G. Wets","doi":"10.1080/18128602.2010.539418","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/18128602.2010.539418","url":null,"abstract":"This study addresses complex daily activity-travel routines of households with young children and their proper representation in a computational process model of travel demand using family skeletons expressed as family sequence patterns. Building on qualitative interview research findings, an a priori classification of family types is defined according to the distribution of care and work responsibilities in the household on a typical weekday. Enriched census data are examined to calculate the share of each family type in the region of Flanders in Belgium. Next, individual activity-travel sequence patterns are drawn for children and adults. Finally, these individual sequences are combined to family sequence patterns, yielding a concise representation of skeletal information in activity-travel patterns of household members and their interrelationships. This process is tested and the method offers a promising approach to both household activity-travel analysis and travel demand modelling.","PeriodicalId":49416,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica","volume":"8 1","pages":"225 - 241"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/18128602.2010.539418","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"59925768","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
TransportmetricaPub Date : 2012-05-01DOI: 10.1080/18128602.2010.539415
R. Anggraini, T. Arentze, H. Timmermans
{"title":"Car allocation decisions in car-deficient households: the case of non-work tours","authors":"R. Anggraini, T. Arentze, H. Timmermans","doi":"10.1080/18128602.2010.539415","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/18128602.2010.539415","url":null,"abstract":"This study examines the household interactions in the context of the car allocation choice decision in car-deficient households as part of an activity-scheduling process, focusing on non-work tours. A chi-square automatic interaction detector-based algorithm is applied to derive a decision tree using a large activity diary dataset recently collected in the Netherlands. The results show a satisfactory improvement in the goodness-of-fit of the decision tree model compared to the null model. Gender still plays a role. A descriptive analysis indicates that men, more often than women, get the car for non-work tours for which a car allocation decision needs to be made. Tour-level attributes also influence the household car allocation decision for non-work tours. Overall, men exert more influence on the car allocation decision for non-work tours, as indicated by the number of influential variables that relate to males. The developed models will be incorporated in a refinement of the ALBATROSS model – an existing computational process model of activity-travel choice.","PeriodicalId":49416,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica","volume":"207 1","pages":"209 - 224"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/18128602.2010.539415","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"59925706","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
TransportmetricaPub Date : 2012-03-29DOI: 10.1080/18128602.2010.539412
Junyi Zhang, H. Timmermans
{"title":"Activity-travel behaviour analysis for universal mobility design","authors":"Junyi Zhang, H. Timmermans","doi":"10.1080/18128602.2010.539412","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/18128602.2010.539412","url":null,"abstract":"This special issue provides additional insights into activity-travel behaviour analysis for universal mobility design. Four papers are included, focusing on behavioural issues of elderly who need nursing care, children and parents, low-income persons and car-deficient households. Time use, travel mode usage, car allocation within households and activity scheduling behaviours are analysed in these papers, using large-scale samples. Promising methods about the representation of inter-personal interactions and diverse behavioural variations as well as empirical findings are provided. Methodological challenges and mobility policies in the future are also discussed.","PeriodicalId":49416,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica","volume":"8 1","pages":"149 - 156"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/18128602.2010.539412","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"59926068","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
TransportmetricaPub Date : 2012-03-01DOI: 10.1080/18128600903568570
Zhi-Chun Li, Haijun Huang, W. Lam
{"title":"Modelling heterogeneous drivers’ responses to route guidance and parking information systems in stochastic and time-dependent networks","authors":"Zhi-Chun Li, Haijun Huang, W. Lam","doi":"10.1080/18128600903568570","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/18128600903568570","url":null,"abstract":"Advanced Traveller Information Systems (ATIS) are generally expected to be efficient in reducing travel time and parking search time uncertainties. This article presents a mixed-behaviour multi-class equilibrium model for investigating heterogeneous drivers’ responses to route guidance and parking information systems in stochastic and time-dependent networks. The proposed model simultaneously considers the drivers’ choices of departure time, route and parking location under network uncertainty. All drivers are differentiated by their values of time and values of reliability, and each class of them is further divided into two groups, equipped and unequipped with ATIS, respectively. Suppose that the equipped drivers can predict travel disutility more accurately than the unequipped ones due to the information services provided by ATIS. The model is formulated as a fixed-point problem and is solved by a heuristic solution algorithm via a combination of the Monte Carlo simulation approach and the method of successive averages. The effectiveness of the modelling framework is illustrated by a numerical example and some new insights about the complex travel and parking behaviour under ATIS are obtained.","PeriodicalId":49416,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica","volume":"8 1","pages":"105 - 129"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/18128600903568570","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"59925518","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
TransportmetricaPub Date : 2012-03-01DOI: 10.1080/18128601003680976
Kangwon Shin, S. Washington
{"title":"Empirical Bayes method in the study of traffic safety via heterogeneous negative multinomial model","authors":"Kangwon Shin, S. Washington","doi":"10.1080/18128601003680976","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/18128601003680976","url":null,"abstract":"In the study of traffic safety, expected crash frequencies across sites are generally estimated via the negative binomial model, assuming time invariant safety. Since the time invariant safety assumption may be invalid, Hauer (1997) proposed a modified empirical Bayes (EB) method. Despite the modification, no attempts have been made to examine the generalisable form of the marginal distribution resulting from the modified EB framework. Because the hyper-parameters needed to apply the modified EB method are not readily available, an assessment is lacking on how accurately the modified EB method estimates safety in the presence of the time variant safety and regression-to-the-mean (RTM) effects. This study derives the closed form marginal distribution, and reveals that the marginal distribution in the modified EB method is equivalent to the negative multinomial (NM) distribution, which is essentially the same as the likelihood function used in the random effects Poisson model. As a result, this study shows that the gamma posterior distribution from the multivariate Poisson–gamma mixture can be estimated using the NM model or the random effects Poisson model. This study also shows that the estimation errors from the modified EB method are systematically smaller than those from the comparison group method by simultaneously accounting for the RTM and time variant safety effects. Hence, the modified EB method via the NM model is a generalisable method for estimating safety in the presence of the time variant safety and the RTM effects.","PeriodicalId":49416,"journal":{"name":"Transportmetrica","volume":"8 1","pages":"131 - 147"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/18128601003680976","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"59925190","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}