Ting-Yu Hsu, Chi-Yung Cheng, I-Min Chiu, Chun-Hung Richard Lin, Fu-Jen Cheng, Hsiu-Yung Pan, Yu-Jih Su, Chao-Jui Li
{"title":"Explainable Deep Learning Model for Predicting Serious Adverse Events in Hospitalized Geriatric Patients Within 72 Hours.","authors":"Ting-Yu Hsu, Chi-Yung Cheng, I-Min Chiu, Chun-Hung Richard Lin, Fu-Jen Cheng, Hsiu-Yung Pan, Yu-Jih Su, Chao-Jui Li","doi":"10.2147/CIA.S460562","DOIUrl":"10.2147/CIA.S460562","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The global aging population presents a significant challenge, with older adults experiencing declining physical and cognitive abilities and increased vulnerability to chronic diseases and adverse health outcomes. This study aims to develop an interpretable deep learning (DL) model to predict adverse events in geriatric patients within 72 hours of hospitalization.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The study used retrospective data (2017-2020) from a major medical center in Taiwan. It included non-trauma geriatric patients who visited the emergency department and were admitted to the general ward. Data preprocessing involved collecting prognostic factors like vital signs, lab results, medical history, and clinical management. A deep feedforward neural network was developed, and performance was evaluated using accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Model interpretation utilized the Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) technique.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The analysis included 127,268 patients, with 2.6% experiencing imminent intensive care unit transfer, respiratory failure, or death during hospitalization. The DL model achieved AUCs of 0.86 and 0.84 in the validation and test sets, respectively, outperforming the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score. Sensitivity and specificity values ranged from 0.79 to 0.81. The SHAP technique provided insights into feature importance and interactions.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The developed DL model demonstrated high accuracy in predicting serious adverse events in geriatric patients within 72 hours of hospitalization. It outperformed the SOFA score and provided valuable insights into the model's decision-making process.</p>","PeriodicalId":48841,"journal":{"name":"Clinical Interventions in Aging","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-06-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11180436/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141332328","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Rehabilitation Efficacy of the Novel Metronomic Breathing Technique for Gerontic Patients After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention for Acute Myocardial Infarction-A Pilot Study.","authors":"Zeyu Wang, Zhaoxin Zhu, Yifan Sun, Ting Wang, Yunlan Lu, Wenliang Che, Weijing Liu, Yawei Xu","doi":"10.2147/CIA.S458675","DOIUrl":"10.2147/CIA.S458675","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The respiratory rehabilitation technique is a crucial component of early cardiac recovery in geriatric patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). This study primarily investigated the effectiveness of a novel respiratory rehabilitation technique, metronomic breathing (MB), on geriatric patients after percutaneous coronary intervention for AMI and compliance with home-based rehabilitation compared to traditional respiratory rehabilitation.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>From June 2022 to March 2023, 75 acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients admitted to the Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital Cardiovascular Department were consecutively enrolled. Ultimately, 46 patients completed the follow-up in this study-26 in the MB group and 20 in the control group-who underwent the novel MB technique and conventional abdominal breathing training. The primary endpoint of the study was left ventricular function measured by noninvasive hemodynamics three months after discharge. The secondary endpoints were compliance and quality of life after three months of home rehabilitation.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>After the intervention, several cardiac functional parameters (SV, SVI, CO, CI, LCW, and LCWI), myocardial contractility parameters (VI), and systemic vascular resistance parameters (SVR and SVRI) were significantly greater in the MB group than in the preintervention group (P < 0.05). Furthermore, post-treatment, the MB group exhibited greater SV, SVI, CO, CI, and VI; lower SVR, SVRI, and SBP; and a lower readmission rate three months later than did the control group. The SF-36 scores after three months of MB intervention, PE, BP, GH, VT, SF, RE, and MH, were all significantly greater than those before treatment (P < 0.05). Moreover, the MB group displayed greater compliance with home-based cardiac rehabilitation (P < 0.05).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Compared to conventional respiratory rehabilitation training methods, short-term metronomic respiratory therapy is more effective for reducing systemic vascular resistance, enhancing left ventricular ejection function, enhancing quality of life, and increasing home-based rehabilitation compliance in geriatric patients following AMI with PCI.</p>","PeriodicalId":48841,"journal":{"name":"Clinical Interventions in Aging","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-06-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11166167/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141307227","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Xiangping Cheng, Boyu Chen, Xiaoyan Chen, Zhi Song, Jie Li, Jiacheng Huang, Weilin Kong, Jinglun Li
{"title":"Association of Renal Impairment with Clinical Outcomes Following Endovascular Therapy in Acute Basilar Artery Occlusion.","authors":"Xiangping Cheng, Boyu Chen, Xiaoyan Chen, Zhi Song, Jie Li, Jiacheng Huang, Weilin Kong, Jinglun Li","doi":"10.2147/CIA.S462638","DOIUrl":"10.2147/CIA.S462638","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Purpose: </strong>Renal impairment (RI) is associated with unfavourable outcome after acute ischaemic stroke with anterior circulation large vessel occlusion. We assessed the association of RI with clinical outcomes in patients with acute basilar artery occlusion (ABAO), and the impact of RI on the effects of endovascular therapy (EVT) versus standard medical treatment (SMT).</p><p><strong>Patients and methods: </strong>We used data from the BASILAR registry, an observational, prospective, nationwide study of patients with ABAO in routine clinical practice in China. Baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was recorded at admission. The primary outcome was the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score at 90 days. Secondary outcomes included favourable outcome (mRS score 0-3), mortality, and symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage (sICH). Multivariate logistic regression was used to assess the association of RI with mortality and functional improvement at 90 days.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 829 patients enrolled, 747 patients were analysed. The median baseline eGFR was 89 mL/min/1.73m<sup>2</sup> (IQR, 71-100), and 350 (46.8%), 297 (39.8%), and 100 (13.4%) patients had baseline eGFR values of ≥90, 60-89, and <60 mL/min/1.73m<sup>2</sup>, respectively. RI was associated with increased mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.97; 95% CI, 1.15-3.67) at 90 days and decreased survival probability (aOR 1.74; 95% CI, 1.30-2.33) within 1 year. EVT was associated with better functional improvement (common aOR, 2.50; 95% CI, 1.43-4.35), favourable outcome (aOR 5.42; 95% CI, 1.92-15.29) and lower mortality (aOR 0.47; 95% CI, 0.25-0.88) in ABAO patients with eGFR ≥90 mL/min/1.73m<sup>2</sup>. However, RI was not modified the relationship of EVT with functional improvement (common aOR, 3.03; 95% CI, 0.81-11.11), favourable outcome (aOR 2.10; 95% CI, 0.45-9.79), and mortality (aOR 0.56; 95% CI, 0.15-2.06) by eGFR categories.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>RI is associated with reduced efficacy of EVT and worse functional outcome and higher mortality at 3 months and lower survival probability at 1 year in patients with ABAO.</p>","PeriodicalId":48841,"journal":{"name":"Clinical Interventions in Aging","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.5,"publicationDate":"2024-06-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11164092/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141301901","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hongmei Sun, Chao Lv, Xiaoxue Zhang, Xuan Sun, Siyu Chen, Ke Li, Yazhuo Hu, Yuxin Feng, Tong Yin, Jianjun Jia
{"title":"Association of CHAT Gene Polymorphism rs3793790 and rs2177370 with Donepezil Response and the Risk of Alzheimer’s Disease Continuum","authors":"Hongmei Sun, Chao Lv, Xiaoxue Zhang, Xuan Sun, Siyu Chen, Ke Li, Yazhuo Hu, Yuxin Feng, Tong Yin, Jianjun Jia","doi":"10.2147/cia.s462786","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2147/cia.s462786","url":null,"abstract":"Background: Genetic variation plays an important role in drug response, there are few relevant studies on patients with Alzheimer’s disease continuum (ADC). Objective: This study focused on the associations between two single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) (rs3793790 and rs2177370) located in the CHAT gene and donepezil response in ADC patients, and further evaluated the associations between the two SNPs and ADC. Material and Methods: According to 2018 National Institute on Aging and Alzheimer’s Association (NIA-AA) standard, amyloid β-protein positive (Aβ+) and negative (Aβ-) patients were recruited according to the Aβ-PET/CT standard. rs3793790 and rs2177370 were genotyped in buccal swab samples by using the MassARRAY system. We used the Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE) in Chinese version, caregiver evaluation, and prescribing behavior to assess therapeutic response during the 9-month period. Using logistic regression models, we analyzed the relationship between the two SNPs and donepezil response in 58 Aβ+ patients treated with donepezil alone at the initial diagnosis of ADC. We also explored a probable link between the two SNPs and ADC in 147 Aβ+ and 73 Aβ– patients using a logistic regression analysis. Results: The chance of donepezil response was higher in patients with the G allele of rs3793790 and/or the A allele of rs2177370 than in those without (odds ratio (OR) 6.83, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.64–28.49). Additionally, the rs3793790 variant was not associated with ADC, whereas the A allele in rs2177370 increased 1.51-fold the ADC risk (OR 2.51, 95% CI: 1.28–4.95). Conclusion: The genetic variants of rs3793790 and rs2177370 were associated with the donepezil response, and rs2177370 may have a moderate relationship with the risk of ADC.","PeriodicalId":48841,"journal":{"name":"Clinical Interventions in Aging","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141390794","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Reversal of Soleus Muscle Atrophy in Older Adults: A Non-Volitional Exercise Intervention for a Changing Climate.","authors":"Kenneth J McLeod","doi":"10.2147/CIA.S447665","DOIUrl":"10.2147/CIA.S447665","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The World Health Organization recommends that older adults undertake at least 150 minutes of moderate intensity physical activity over the course of each week in order to maintain physical, mental, and social health. This goal turns out to be very difficult for most community dwelling older adults to achieve, due to both actual and perceived barriers. These barriers include personal health limitations, confinement issues, and self-imposed restrictions such as fear of injury. Climate change exacerbates the confinement issues and injury fears among the elderly. To assist older adults in obtaining the benefits of increased physical activity under increasingly challenging climate conditions, we propose a targeted non-volitional intervention which could serve as a complement to volitional physical activity. Exogenous neuro-muscular stimulation of the soleus muscles is a non-invasive intervention capable of significantly increasing cardiac output in sedentary individuals. Long-term daily use has been shown to improve sleep, reduce bone loss, and reverse age-related cognitive decline, all of which are significant health concerns for older adults. These outcomes support the potential benefit of exogenous neuro-muscular stimulation as a complementary form of physical activity which older adults may find convenient to incorporate into their daily life when traditional forms of exercise are difficult to achieve due to barriers to completing traditional physical activities as a result of in-home or in-bed confinement, perceptual risks, or real environmental risks such as those arising from climate change.</p>","PeriodicalId":48841,"journal":{"name":"Clinical Interventions in Aging","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-05-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11093118/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140922411","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Is There an Association Between Inflammation and Serum-Vitamin D? - Results of a Retrospective Analysis of Hospitalized Geriatric Patients.","authors":"Lukas Funk, Ulrike Sonja Trampisch, Maryam Pourhassan, Rainer Wirth","doi":"10.2147/CIA.S447678","DOIUrl":"10.2147/CIA.S447678","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Purpose: </strong>Vitamin D deficiency is a common finding in geriatric patients. The ESPEN micronutrient guideline states that vitamin D serum levels significantly decrease in the presence of inflammation and should be interpreted with caution. This is of great interest for hospital care and would imply a significant change to the current approach to hospitalized patients with suspected vitamin D deficiency.</p><p><strong>Patients and methods: </strong>To evaluate the association of vitamin D and inflammation, we reanalyzed the data set of serum 25(OH)D-Levels of 687 consecutive geriatric hospitalized patients of a previously published study.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We found that vitamin D deficiency (<20 ng/dl) was prevalent in 78.0% and vitamin D insufficiency (20-30 ng/dl) in 9.9% of patients. Sperman's correlation showed a significant but very weak correlation (R = -0.100, P < 0.01) of serum vitamin D and C-reactive protein. However, linear regression with the inclusion of age and gender revealed no significant association (beta-coefficient -0.070; p=0.067).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>In this study, we could not confirm a significant and clinically relevant association between serum vitamin D levels and inflammation, contrasting with a previous study. However, longitudinal studies need to be performed to draw a final conclusion.</p>","PeriodicalId":48841,"journal":{"name":"Clinical Interventions in Aging","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11090115/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140916662","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Neutrophil Percentage as a Potential Biomarker of Acute Kidney Injury Risk and Short-Term Prognosis in Patients with Acute Myocardial Infarction in the Elderly [Letter].","authors":"Chia-Ter Chao","doi":"10.2147/CIA.S475956","DOIUrl":"10.2147/CIA.S475956","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48841,"journal":{"name":"Clinical Interventions in Aging","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-05-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11088831/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140910747","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Guo Chen, Duoduo Yu, Yichen Wang, Zou Ma, Mengna Bi, Lisha Lu, Shangshang Zhang, Jiaxin Liu, Hu Chen, Hai Shen, Huiwu Zhang, Xiaobing Luo, Yan Si, Peng Zhang
{"title":"A Prospective Randomized Controlled Trial Assessing the Impact of Preoperative Combined with Postoperative Progressive Resistance Training on Muscle Strength, Gait, Balance and Function in Patients Undergoing Total Hip Arthroplasty.","authors":"Guo Chen, Duoduo Yu, Yichen Wang, Zou Ma, Mengna Bi, Lisha Lu, Shangshang Zhang, Jiaxin Liu, Hu Chen, Hai Shen, Huiwu Zhang, Xiaobing Luo, Yan Si, Peng Zhang","doi":"10.2147/CIA.S453117","DOIUrl":"10.2147/CIA.S453117","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Purpose: </strong>The aim of this study is to investigate the effects of a preoperative combined with postoperative moderate-intensity progressive resistance training (PRT) of the operative side in patients with hip osteoarthritis (HOA) who are undergoing total hip arthroplasty (THA). The study seeks to evaluate the impact of this combined intervention on muscle strength, gait, balance, and hip joint function in a controlled, measurable, and objective manner. Additionally, the study aims to compare the outcomes of this combined intervention with those of preoperative or postoperative muscle strength training conducted in isolation.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A total of 90 patients with HOA scheduled for unilateral primary THA were randomly assigned to three groups: Pre group (preoperative PRT), Post group (postoperative PRT), and Pre& Post group (preoperative combined with postoperative PRT) focusing on hip flexion, extension, adduction, and abduction of operated side. Muscle strength, gait parameters, balance, and hip function were assessed at specific time points during a 12-month follow-up period.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>All three groups showed significant improvements in muscle strength, with the Pre& Post group demonstrating the most pronounced and sustained gains. Gait velocity and cadence were significantly improved in the Pre& Post group at 1-month and 3-month postoperative follow-ups compared to the other groups. Similarly, the Pre& Post group exhibited superior balance performance at 3-month and 12-month postoperative follow-ups. The Harris Hip Score also showed better outcomes in the Pre& Post group at all follow-up intervals.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Preoperative combined with postoperative moderate-intensity PRT in HOA patients undergoing THA led to superior improvements in muscle strength, gait, balance, and hip joint function compared to preoperative or postoperative PRT alone. This intervention shows significant promise in optimizing postoperative rehabilitation and enhancing patient outcomes following THA.</p>","PeriodicalId":48841,"journal":{"name":"Clinical Interventions in Aging","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-05-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11088839/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140910745","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ana Marija Masle, Aleksandar Kibel, I. Jukić, Petra Čičak, K. Selthofer-Relatić, A. Stupin, Z. Mihaljević, Petar Šušnjara, Željka Breškić Ćurić, Tatjana Bacun, I. Drenjančević
{"title":"Enhancing Endothelial Function with Nutrient-Enriched Table Hen Eggs: A Randomized Study in Patients Recovering from Acute Coronary Syndrome","authors":"Ana Marija Masle, Aleksandar Kibel, I. Jukić, Petra Čičak, K. Selthofer-Relatić, A. Stupin, Z. Mihaljević, Petar Šušnjara, Željka Breškić Ćurić, Tatjana Bacun, I. Drenjančević","doi":"10.2147/cia.s461821","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2147/cia.s461821","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48841,"journal":{"name":"Clinical Interventions in Aging","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141135433","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Qiuyue Zhang, Qi Zhang, Zhi-juan Duan, Pu Chen, Jing-jing Chen, Ming-xv Li, Jing-jie Zhang, Yan-hong Huo, Wu-xing Zhang, Chen Yang, Yu Zhang, Xiangmei Chen, G. Cai
{"title":"External Validation of the International IgA Nephropathy Prediction Tool in Older Adult Patients","authors":"Qiuyue Zhang, Qi Zhang, Zhi-juan Duan, Pu Chen, Jing-jing Chen, Ming-xv Li, Jing-jie Zhang, Yan-hong Huo, Wu-xing Zhang, Chen Yang, Yu Zhang, Xiangmei Chen, G. Cai","doi":"10.2147/cia.s455115","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2147/cia.s455115","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose: The International IgA Nephropathy Prediction Tool (IIgAN-PT) can predict the risk of End-stage renal disease (ESRD) or estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline ≥ 50% for adult IgAN patients. Considering the differential progression between older adult and adult patients, this study aims to externally validate its performance in the older adult cohort. Patients and Methods: We analyzed 165 IgAN patients aged 60 and above from six medical centers, categorizing them by their predicted risk. The primary outcome was a ≥50% reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or kidney failure. Evaluation of both models involved concordance statistics (C-statistics), time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, Kaplan– Meier survival curves, and calibration plots. Comparative reclassification was conducted using net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). Results: The study included 165 Chinese patients (median age 64, 60% male), with a median follow-up of 5.1 years. Of these, 21% reached the primary outcome. Both models with or without race demonstrated good discrimination (C-statistics 0.788 and 0.790, respectively). Survival curves for risk groups were well-separated. The full model without race more accurately predicted 5-year risks, whereas the full model with race tended to overestimate risks after 3 years. No significant reclassification improvement was noted in the full model without race (NRI 0.09, 95% CI: −0.27 to 0.34; IDI 0.003, 95% CI: −0.009 to 0.019). Conclusion: : Both models exhibited excellent discrimination among older adult IgAN patients. The full model without race demonstrated superior calibration in predicting the 5-year risk.","PeriodicalId":48841,"journal":{"name":"Clinical Interventions in Aging","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141131071","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}