World DevelopmentPub Date : 2024-10-23DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106803
{"title":"Challenges for implementing zero deforestation commitments in a highly forested country: Perspectives from Liberia’s palm oil sector","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106803","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106803","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Halting deforestation is essential to address climate change and biodiversity loss. However, in highly forested, low-income countries like Liberia, “zero deforestation” commitments (ZDCs) adopted by companies may restrict agricultural expansion that has been promoted in national strategies to alleviate poverty. In such situations, examining contrasting perspectives among stakeholders is important to inform ZDCs’ implementation. Here, we applied Critical Systems Heuristics in 94 interviews to explore stakeholders’ perspectives on, and thereby develop a systematic understanding of, ZDCs in Liberia’s concession-based palm oil sector. We found that regulatory, institutional, and political factors that were needed to support commitments’ implementation were missing. Concessions had initially been allocated without communities’ consent being adequately obtained, and oil palm expansion had subsequently been stalled by zero deforestation. This produced a situation where communities that lost farmland to oil palm were reluctant to allow further expansion, while communities in forest areas were frustrated by a lack of promised oil palm expansion. Consequently, although limited oil palm expansion suggests ZDCs were effective after they were adopted, this was perceived to have come at the expense of anticipated improvements in community welfare, with community members in highly forested areas feeling deprived of development. We argue that neither the complete development of Liberia’s oil palm concessions nor limited development with zero deforestation will necessarily improve communities’ welfare without reforming the concession system to promote community-led, deforestation-free agricultural development. This requires public governance reforms, novel mechanisms for agricultural investment, and the localisation of international standards to facilitate zero deforestation in smallholder agriculture.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48463,"journal":{"name":"World Development","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142535372","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
World DevelopmentPub Date : 2024-10-19DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106807
{"title":"Poor health: Credit and blame attribution in India’s multi-level democracy","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106807","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106807","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Lines of accountability for the provision of health services in many federal systems are complex. Institutional structures and political strategies that blur lines of responsibility make it more difficult for voters to claim their rights, to assign responsibility and reward or sanction governments on the basis of their performance. Based on a survey of 1500 voters across five states in India, this paper examines how voters attribute credit and blame for health system performance. In India, central, state and local governments are involved in the delivery and financing of different elements of health care provision from running hospitals, providing health insurance to running vaccination programmes. Contrary to expectations, we find that most voters can broadly attribute responsibility to the relevant level of government for different health services and programmes, however a significant minority consistently misattribute responsibility by holding the local government responsible. We find that perceptions of health system performance matter more than partisanship in explaining when voters hold different levels of government responsible. Those who are less satisfied with the health system are more likely to blame the local government for poor performance, even where it is not constitutionally responsible. This suggests that state and national governments receive credit from voters who perceive services as functioning well but are not punished by those who are dissatisfied. In other words, political leaders are able to capture credit among voters who are more satisfied with health provision while deflecting blame from those who are less satisfied. These findings demonstrate important weaknesses in the chain of electoral accountability for health. The paper suggests possible parallels to authoritarian contexts such as China where recent research has shown that strong centralised political leadership claims credit for public goods provision while deflecting blame for corruption and inefficiency to lower levels of government.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48463,"journal":{"name":"World Development","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142535370","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
World DevelopmentPub Date : 2024-10-19DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106816
{"title":"Revisiting regional governance and regional development: Measurements, linkages and coupling effect","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106816","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106816","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study presents a conceptual framework for the multidimensional aspects of regional governance that influence regional development. In order to test the coupling effect of governance factors on economic growth and welfare improvement, a combination method comprising two-way fixed effects models, systematic GMM models, natural language processing and machine learning has been adopted. The findings underscore the heterogeneous nature of regional governance factors that exert influence on regional economic growth and welfare improvement in China. This study builds upon the preceding conclusion that a singular dimension of governance factor exerts an impact on regional economic growth or welfare improvement. Moreover, the study offers decision-makers a nuanced policy perspective to facilitate regional economic growth and enhance welfare from a coupling governance perspective.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48463,"journal":{"name":"World Development","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142535371","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
World DevelopmentPub Date : 2024-10-18DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106804
{"title":"Economic complexity and deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106804","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106804","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As the Amazon rainforest faces ever-increasing deforestation, finding a balance between conservation and economic progress becomes imperative. This study investigates the relationship between regional economic complexity (ECI-R) and deforestation in municipalities within the Brazilian Amazon between 2006 and 2021. Employing different econometric techniques, we untangle the multifaceted factors determining land use choices while considering variables associated with agriculture, extraction, and livestock activities. Rigorous testing confirms the validity of our findings. The results suggest an “environmental Kuznets curve” at play in the Amazon. This means that a slight increase in regional economic complexity (0.1 unit) initially leads to a significant rise in deforestation (28 %) but is followed by a decrease (8.4 %) in the following year. Interestingly, environmental fines appear to be a powerful tool for controlling deforestation. Further analysis using Probit regressions reinforces the key roles of economic complexity and environmental enforcement. Municipalities with higher regional complexity were 20 % more likely to experience low deforestation and high employment growth between 2006 and 2011. However, this trend reversed in later periods. Ultimately, the results indicate a complex relationship between economic complexity and deforestation. These findings highlight governments’ critical role in promoting sustainable development in the Amazon. There are limits to such an approach but supporting “green” industries and curbing deforestation-related activities can steer the region towards a more prosperous and environmentally responsible future.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48463,"journal":{"name":"World Development","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142535368","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
World DevelopmentPub Date : 2024-10-17DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106799
{"title":"Institutional transition: Social cohesion and demand for land titles in urban Tanzania","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106799","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106799","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In much of urban Africa, demand for statutory property rights remains low even when governments coordinate land titling programmes and reduce the costs of registration. This paper studies the Residential Licence programme of Dar es Salaam (Tanzania), which has had moderate and decreasing uptake since the early 2000 s. It tests hypotheses that social cohesion – measured via neighbourhood homogeneity and individual connectedness (or marginalisation) – affects choices of formalisation and explores two potential channels through social cohesion producing returns from informal systems and social sanctions for exit. Statistical analysis of city-wide administrative data shows that more homogenous neighbourhoods with higher shares of older, male and cooperative landholders have lower individual titling, and marginalised individuals, such as newcomers, female and uncooperative landholders, make more recourse to statutory property rights. However, primary survey data and vignettes suggest that landholders expect substantial returns from formalisation, including gains of tenure security and public goods provision over and above the informal tenure system. Expectations of social sanctions by neighbours are negligeable overall, and neighbours do not provide significant disincentives (nor incentives) for land titling decisions in this context. By showing that dimensions of social cohesion make land title acquisition of higher priority for specific groups and individuals, these results add to a growing literature on the links between social cohesion, tenure security and land titling decisions. They underscore a need for further research on how informal tenure systems produce and distribute public goods (including tenure security) generating heterogenous (dis)incentives for transitioning to alternative land institutions. This knowledge will provide better understandings of demand for land titles in rapidly urbanising developing cities and inform more effective land policies addressing specific shortcomings of informal tenure systems for diverse contexts, communities and individuals.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48463,"journal":{"name":"World Development","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142444769","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
World DevelopmentPub Date : 2024-10-17DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106810
{"title":"Intergenerational effects of education on child mortality: Evidence from the compulsory primary schooling law in Vietnam","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106810","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106810","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We leverage the introduction of Vietnam’s primary compulsory schooling law as a natural experiment to provide new evidence on the effects of parents’ education on child mortality. Employing data from the 2009 Vietnam Population and Housing Census and a regression discontinuity design, we show that the reform increased average schooling duration by approximately half a year. Our key findings reveal that one additional year of maternal schooling induced by the law reduced child mortality by 29.4%, with the majority of improvements concentrated among women residing in rural areas, minor ethnicities, and female children. While increased paternal education also exhibited a negative impact on child mortality, the effect diminished in magnitude and became statistically insignificant when controlling for maternal education. This suggests that neglecting to account for spousal education does not introduce substantial biases in estimates of maternal education’s effect on child mortality but may lead to an upward bias in estimates for fathers’ education. Further, our results indicate that increased maternal education was associated with increasing age at marriage and first birth, reducing total fertility, and engaging more in paid work, all of which could serve as potential pathways for child mortality reduction.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48463,"journal":{"name":"World Development","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142444771","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
World DevelopmentPub Date : 2024-10-17DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106814
{"title":"Does sovereignty help economic growth? A recent reassessment","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106814","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106814","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>There is relevant literature that has found that independence harmed economic growth in some former colonies, but there are few to no systematic and recent empirical analyses on the relationship between sovereignty and economic growth. We follow and enhance the Solow–Swan growth model to measure economic convergence with the United States. This model was estimated through feasible generalized least squares panel regressions and robust regressions. These estimations allow us to capture the experience of recent (since the 1950s) sovereignties vis-à-vis long-existing countries and the economic outcomes of democratic sovereignties. We then stratify economies by region and income level and show propensity score matching estimators of recent former colonies with other countries that share similar growth determinants. On average, our parameter estimates suggest that independence causes countries’ per capita income to converge with that of the United States. Initial democratic and economic conditions appear to be among the modifying factors between sovereignty and economic growth.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48463,"journal":{"name":"World Development","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142444770","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
World DevelopmentPub Date : 2024-10-16DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106808
{"title":"Institutional coalescence and illegal small scale gold mining in Ghana","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106808","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106808","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Across sub-Saharan Africa powerful sites of illegal gold mining challenge and change the workings of a range of statutory and non-statutory institutions, providing rich contexts for investigating institutional complexity. In Ghana, illegal mining contributes an increasing share of gold produced, attracting a large and diverse body of scholarship. This article provides an original and critical analysis of the emerging institutional forms and processes of social accept around the illegal extraction. In so doing it contributes to scholarship on two fronts: By exploring the interconnectedness and changeability of institutions it contributes empirically to understandings and evidence of social processes around the illegal extraction of gold in the Global south, and more broadly about contested sites of resource extraction. Second, it introduces the concept of institutional coalescence to explain and interpret the sociopolitical landscape of shifting power relations at the local level, which successfully meld and change the workings of formal state law, officialdom, and customary norms. In a broader perspective this contributes to understandings of relations between individual agency, organisational behaviour, institutions, and social context.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48463,"journal":{"name":"World Development","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142442009","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
World DevelopmentPub Date : 2024-10-12DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106797
{"title":"Energy Trade Access and Market Monopoly: Evidence from China’s Power Sector","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106797","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106797","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We theoretically and empirically investigate the effect of energy trade access on the monopoly power of China’s power sector. We construct plant-level import and export tariff shocks, and calculate the market power markups through the joint estimation of the restricted cost function and the inverse supply relation. Exploiting the variations in plant-level tariffs, we find that a 1% cut in energy import tariffs leads to a decrease in market power markups by 10.54%. This effect is driven by a combination of a price drop in the product market and reduced marginal cost in the input market. However, the declines in marginal cost are small relative to the falls in prices, due to trade-induced increases in capital demand (and price) partially offsetting the savings in energy cost. By identifying additional potential channels, we validate the presence of the classical Ricardian effect and the Schumpeterian effect. Our results demonstrate that import tariff reductions result in substantial net trade gains.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48463,"journal":{"name":"World Development","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142427538","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
World DevelopmentPub Date : 2024-10-12DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106796
{"title":"Sub-national property tax reform and tax bargaining: Lessons from a quasi-randomized reform program in Sierra Leone","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106796","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106796","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We evaluate the impact of a quasi-randomized property tax reform implemented in Sierra Leone beginning in 2013 in order to provide evidence about the extent to which expanded taxation results in “tax bargaining” and increased responsiveness and accountability. The paper draws on a panel survey conducted in both treatment and control districts immediately prior to the implementation of a large-scale property tax reform program in 2012 and again in early 2017 in order to offer a uniquely direct and holistic tests of theories linking taxation to expanded responsiveness and accountability. The paper first presents evidence that the tax reform program resulted in large and significant improvements in the perceived quality of public services, consistent with theories linking expanded taxation to improvements in governance. It then provides evidence of individual level changes in attitudes and behaviors that can explain those aggregate improvements in service delivery outcomes: a large expansion of political knowledge, increases in important forms of political engagement, and the emergence of more conditional attitudes toward tax compliance.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48463,"journal":{"name":"World Development","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142427599","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}