World Development最新文献

Unequal contributions to CO2 emissions along the income distribution within and between countries 国家内部和国家之间的收入分配对二氧化碳排放的贡献不平等

IF 5.4 1区经济学

World Development Pub Date : 2025-05-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107070

Federica Cappelli

{"title":"Unequal contributions to CO2 emissions along the income distribution within and between countries","authors":"Federica Cappelli","doi":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107070","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107070","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The question of whether changes in income inequality affect CO<sub>2</sub> emissions remains a topic of debate at both theoretical and empirical levels. The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of changes in the full spectrum of income distribution on consumption-based CO<sub>2</sub> emissions per capita. To do so, we estimate a dynamic difference-GMM model and a dynamic threshold regression model allowing for endogeneity on a panel database covering 107 countries between 1990 and 2019. Our analysis shows that different income groups contribute very differently to consumption-based CO<sub>2</sub> emissions. In addition, by accounting for between-country inequalities in the average income of each income group, we uncover non-linearities in the impact on carbon emissions. More specifically, the impact of an increase in the income share of the top 10% on per capita consumption-based carbon emissions varies according to their average income level: it is non-statistically significant at lower income levels and turns positive as their income rises. The contribution of the middle 40% is negative at all income levels, while the CO<sub>2</sub> contribution of the poorest segments is negligible.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48463,"journal":{"name":"World Development","volume":"193 ","pages":"Article 107070"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-05-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144071390","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Solar power play: Uncovering political capture in distributing electricity access 太阳能游戏：揭露电力分配中的政治捕获

IF 5.4 1区经济学

World Development Pub Date : 2025-05-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107019

Rafia Zaman , Stefan Borsky

引用次数: 0

Estimating the spillover economic effects of foreign conflict shocks: Evidence from Boko Haram 估计外国冲突冲击的溢出经济效应：来自博科圣地的证据

IF 5.4 1区经济学

World Development Pub Date : 2025-05-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107016

Remi Jedwab , Brian Blankespoor , Takaaki Masaki , Carlos Rodríguez-Castelán

{"title":"Estimating the spillover economic effects of foreign conflict shocks: Evidence from Boko Haram","authors":"Remi Jedwab , Brian Blankespoor , Takaaki Masaki , Carlos Rodríguez-Castelán","doi":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107016","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107016","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>What are the spillover effects of <em>foreign</em> conflicts on regional economies, and what local factors can help mitigate the impact of such economic shocks? Adopting a difference-in-difference framework leveraging the breakout of the Boko Haram insurgency in Northeastern Nigeria in 2009, we study its effects in <em>neighboring</em> areas in Cameroon, Chad and Niger that were <em>not</em> directly targeted by Boko Haram activities until the mid 2010s. We find strong negative effects on regional economic activities – proxied by reductions in nighttime lights – particularly amongst areas within 200 km from the Boko Haram area. This negative impact is concentrated in urban areas, as trade was impacted and economic uncertainty rose. The rise of Boko Haram also resulted in more agricultural burning. Foreign conflict shocks can thus accentuate pressure on domestic resources. Focusing on the heterogeneity of the impacts, we find smaller resilience effects in those areas with a worse geography, less agricultural development, more limited infrastructure, and weaker markets and institutions. Overall, these findings suggest that conflicts may have larger spillover effects in geographically challenging and/or economically poorer regions, as is the case in various regions of Africa.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48463,"journal":{"name":"World Development","volume":"193 ","pages":"Article 107016"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-05-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143948675","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Catalyzing digital and environmental transformations by institutions in a diverse socio-economic world 在多样化的社会经济世界中，促进各机构的数字和环境转型

IF 5.4 1区经济学

World Development Pub Date : 2025-05-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107052

Ramona Ţigănaşu , Alexandru Bănică , Pui-Hang Wong

{"title":"Catalyzing digital and environmental transformations by institutions in a diverse socio-economic world","authors":"Ramona Ţigănaşu , Alexandru Bănică , Pui-Hang Wong","doi":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107052","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107052","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In a world that urgently needs to tackle the environmental crisis, many policymakers claimed that digitalization and smart technologies have the potential to catalyze green evolution. Given that there is little discussion on the readiness of a country to unlock the opportunity of green transformation via digitalization, we propose to put into question how this aspect is reflected within a sample of heterogeneous nations. The study seeks to spot the preconditions of this widespread concern related to digital and environmental advancements and to explore how institutional and economic features moderate them. To test if, on a broad scale, the dynamics of digital and environmental facets are robustly anchored in the institutional architecture of different categories of states and if, at the global level, their effects and divides evolve under the direct influence of socio-economic circumstances, we constructed a large macro panel data (1996–2021) on over 160 countries, integrating various statistics. Results from our econometric models suggest that the investigated countries are in diverse stages of digital and environmental transitions, with strong asymmetries as regards the Internet access, greenhouse gas emissions per capita, black carbon emissions, recycling, and state capacity. The findings also illustrate that the development is rather tied to digitalization and the human capital is a prerequisite of digitalization. However, a strong state capacity is required to implement relevant policies to expedite digitalization and green transformations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48463,"journal":{"name":"World Development","volume":"193 ","pages":"Article 107052"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143942265","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Performance measurability, local government’s incentives, and regional air pollution reduction 绩效可衡量性、地方政府激励和区域空气污染减少

IF 5.4 1区经济学

World Development Pub Date : 2025-05-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107056

Jianfu Shen , Daoju Peng , Eddie C.M. Hui , Kwok Yuen Fan

引用次数: 0

Contentious cities? Urban growth and electoral violence in Africa 有争议的城市吗?非洲的城市增长和选举暴力

IF 5.4 1区经济学

World Development Pub Date : 2025-05-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107066

Emma Elfversson

{"title":"Contentious cities? Urban growth and electoral violence in Africa","authors":"Emma Elfversson","doi":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107066","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107066","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>How does rapid urban growth affect the risk of electoral violence in African cities? Across the continent, societies have been undergoing simultaneous processes that may affect the risk of violent upheaval: democratic change and urbanization. However, although electoral violence often disproportionally affects cities, we do not know if and how the process of urban growth in itself impacts such violence. Existing research highlights that urbanization holds a strong potential for progress and democracy-enhancement, but also for destructive and violence-inducing dynamics. Drawing on collective action theory, I develop a theoretical argument about the relationship between urban growth and the mobilization of electoral violence. I hypothesize that rapid city growth conditions elites’ strategic incentives to employ electoral violence, and may increase the risk of such violence through two mechanisms: by increasing uncertainty about local election outcomes, and by making it easier for politicians to mobilize violence based on grievances among urban groups. I assess these expectations by using georeferenced data on electoral violence, covering democratic elections in Africa (1990–2012), and matching it with data on the urban growth pace of all cities with at least 50,000 inhabitants. This approach avoids the pitfalls of focusing only on major cities, and enables an analysis of both cross- and within state dynamics. Using this approach, I identify a robust correlation between the pace of urban population growth and the risk of electoral violence in the city. Extended analysis indicates that urban growth is associated with a higher risk of election violence in larger, more established cities (including both major and secondary cities), but not in smaller, emerging cities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48463,"journal":{"name":"World Development","volume":"193 ","pages":"Article 107066"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143937142","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Women’s labour force participation in developing countries: The impact of gendered landownership rights 发展中国家妇女的劳动力参与：性别土地所有权的影响

IF 5.4 1区经济学

World Development Pub Date : 2025-05-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107045

Ece Kocabıçak , Yasemin Dildar

{"title":"Women’s labour force participation in developing countries: The impact of gendered landownership rights","authors":"Ece Kocabıçak , Yasemin Dildar","doi":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107045","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107045","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper challenges widely accepted assumptions regarding gendered patterns of labour: firstly, that capitalist development pulls women into non-agricultural employment and secondly, that women’s unpaid labour largely comprises the production of non-market goods and services within the home. Conventional demand and supply arguments on gender gaps in non-agricultural employment overlook the significance of patriarchal labour relations and the influence of women’s unpaid farm work on their participation in paid employment. Here we use cross-country panel data analysis and a case study from India with a difference-in-differences model to demonstrate that legal discrimination against women in land inheritance curtails female participation in non-agricultural paid employment. This occurs through several mechanisms, by: (1) keeping women in agriculture as unpaid family workers, (2) restricting women’s access to education, and (3) exacerbating the trend of rural women’s marriage migration. The paper thereby contributes an explanation for the apparent paradox observed in developing countries where persistent gender gaps in non-agricultural paid employment coexist with economic growth. It also suggests that tackling barriers to female labour participation by using policies which focus solely on the provision of childcare in urban areas is insufficient; rather, an exit package offering occupational training, guaranteed employment and housing is required to support women’s transition out of unpaid agricultural labour. <span><span>The video abstract can be viewed here</span><svg><path></path></svg></span>.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48463,"journal":{"name":"World Development","volume":"193 ","pages":"Article 107045"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-05-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143935601","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Sterilizations and women health in India 印度的绝育和妇女健康

IF 5.4 1区经济学

World Development Pub Date : 2025-05-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107020

Maëlys De La Rupelle , Christelle Dumas

{"title":"Sterilizations and women health in India","authors":"Maëlys De La Rupelle , Christelle Dumas","doi":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107020","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107020","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Female sterilization is at the core of family planning programs in many developing countries, including India, where 37% of women older than 25 are sterilized. Emphasized advertisement and financial incentives for operations done in poor sanitary conditions have long raised controversies. We contribute to the decade long debate on the health effects of sterilization by analyzing several large scale surveys providing information on 800,000 Indian women. To address self-selection into sterilization, we control for location fixed effects and rely on an instrumental variable strategy. We exploit the fact that Indian households have different beliefs regarding child mortality risk and have a son preference. Sterilization increases when women have a boy first-born, but less so when they live in a historically malarious area, as they fear losing the boy; this situation provides an instrument. We show that sterilization deteriorates gynecological health and has no effect on nutrition indicators. Women with lower education, from scheduled castes, or having access to low-quality health care are more impacted. We also discuss the channels and interpret the effect as mostly driven by the surgery itself.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48463,"journal":{"name":"World Development","volume":"193 ","pages":"Article 107020"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-05-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143931926","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Does the homicide resource curse exist? Evidence in selected countries 凶杀资源诅咒存在吗？选定国家的证据

IF 5.4 1区经济学

World Development Pub Date : 2025-05-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107057

Armand Totouom

{"title":"Does the homicide resource curse exist? Evidence in selected countries","authors":"Armand Totouom","doi":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107057","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107057","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Despite the increasing exploration of the relationship between natural resources and civil wars/interstate conflicts, less is known about their effects on everyday interpersonal violence during peacetime. This study assesses the effect of natural resources on intentional homicides in selected countries. It demonstrates that intentional homicides increase with natural resource dependence, with a greater effect on male homicides compared to female homicides. Men are therefore disproportionately affected by resource-induced homicide. Moreover, the traditional worse effect of point resources compared to diffuse resources is also highlighted by the results. They show that rents from coal, minerals, oil and natural gas have a strong positive effect on homicide rates, while the effect of forest rents is less precise and not significant. Finally, the study establishes that institutions shape the effect of natural resources on homicides. Homicide rates only increase in resource-rent-dependent countries with high levels of corruption and low levels of political stability, democracy and respect for the rule of law. The diversification of the economies to reduce over-dependence on resource rents in countries heavily endowed with point resources and the strengthening of institutional quality are mainly recommended.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48463,"journal":{"name":"World Development","volume":"193 ","pages":"Article 107057"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143924858","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

From Françafrique to Chinafrica? Ecologically unequal exchange, neocolonialism, and environmental conflicts in Africa 从法国到中国？非洲的生态不平等交换、新殖民主义和环境冲突

IF 5.4 1区经济学

World Development Pub Date : 2025-05-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107015

Roberto Cantoni , Marcel Llavero-Pasquina , Elia Apostolopoulou , Julien-François Gerber , Patrick Bond , Joan Martinez-Alier

{"title":"From Françafrique to Chinafrica? Ecologically unequal exchange, neocolonialism, and environmental conflicts in Africa","authors":"Roberto Cantoni , Marcel Llavero-Pasquina , Elia Apostolopoulou , Julien-François Gerber , Patrick Bond , Joan Martinez-Alier","doi":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107015","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107015","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Africa stands out as the continent where the legacies of colonialism and the ongoing dynamics of neo- and post-colonialism are felt most profoundly. In its role as the primary global supplier of raw materials, and with the ongoing technological transition towards the so-called “smart” economy and “green” energy systems, the demand for minerals from Africa is anticipated to increase significantly. European imperialism and its historically embedded extractivist logic are indispensable to understand the conditions that gradually prompted many African states to seek new trading partners. But “coloniality” is not limited to historical colonialism. Over the last two decades China has gradually assumed a prominent role in African trade, becoming Africa’s first trading partner, and leading several scholars to ask whether China is developing a new kind of colonialism. The impact of extractive activities by European, American, and Chinese private and public companies on African resources has been profound, resulting in the shifting of socio-ecological costs from industrialised countries to the African extractive peripheries. In this work, we employ a political ecology approach to examine: i) the claims of lingering French imperialism and Chinese neocolonialism; and ii) the impact of projects implemented by actors from France and China in Africa. We mobilise the theory of ecologically unequal exchange and cases of environmental conflicts involving Chinese and French industries to demonstrate how these projects have resulted in damaging impacts over African territories, leading to land pollution and detrimental effects on community health. We find evidence of ecologically unequal exchange both in the Chinese and French cases, though the dynamics characterising the trading relations of these two countries with the ensemble of African countries is markedly different.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48463,"journal":{"name":"World Development","volume":"193 ","pages":"Article 107015"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4,"publicationDate":"2025-05-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143907840","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0