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Is there really a dictator's dilemma? Information and repression in autocracy 真的存在独裁者的困境吗？专制制度下的信息和镇压
IF 5.6 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2025-02-10 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12952
Scott Gehlbach, Zhaotian Luo, Anton Shirikov, Dmitriy Vorobyev
{"title":"Is there really a dictator's dilemma? Information and repression in autocracy","authors":"Scott Gehlbach,&nbsp;Zhaotian Luo,&nbsp;Anton Shirikov,&nbsp;Dmitriy Vorobyev","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12952","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12952","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In his seminal work on the political economy of dictatorship, Ronald Wintrobe posited the existence of a “dictator's dilemma,” in which repression leaves an autocrat less secure by reducing information about discontent. We explore the nature and resolution of this dilemma with a formalization that builds on recent work in the political economy of nondemocracy. When the regime is sufficiently repressive, and the dictator's popularity correspondingly unclear to opposition as well as autocrat, the ruler faces two unattractive options: He can mobilize the repressive apparatus, even though there may be no threat to his rule, or he can refrain from mobilizing, even though the danger may be real. Semicompetitive elections can ease the dilemma through the controlled revelation of discontent. Paradoxically, the manipulation of information through such non-repressive means can allow for more rather than less repression.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"70 1","pages":"381-395"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-02-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12952","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146139637","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Peers, equals, and jurors: New data and methods on legal equality in Leveller thought 同侪、平等者与陪审员：平等主义思想下法律平等的新数据与新方法
IF 5.6 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2025-02-07 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12946
Melissa Schwartzberg, Arthur Spirling
{"title":"Peers, equals, and jurors: New data and methods on legal equality in Leveller thought","authors":"Melissa Schwartzberg,&nbsp;Arthur Spirling","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12946","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12946","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We consider the Levellers' conception of equality relative to their contemporaries during the Civil War(s) period. We compile a corpus of hundreds of seventeenth−century pamphlets and combine this with novel word embedding techniques trained on millions of Early Modern English documents to make statements about word “meanings.” We focus on understanding of the phrase “peers and equals” (and its variants). We provide quantitative and qualitative evidence, in line with extant literature, that the Levellers—John Lilburne specifically—had a prevailing interest in equality in a way that is different to that expressed by other groups of the time. But contrary to current scholarship, we show that the Levellers and Lilburne were animated primarily by a particular institutional manifestation of legal equality: their interest in parity or the status of peers primarily pertained to the jury.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"69 4","pages":"1505-1518"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-02-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12946","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145335776","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Making the other side mad: How out-group distaste benefits less competent candidates 让对方生气：群体外的厌恶如何使能力较差的候选人受益
IF 5.6 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2025-02-04 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12948
Joshua A. Strayhorn
{"title":"Making the other side mad: How out-group distaste benefits less competent candidates","authors":"Joshua A. Strayhorn","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12948","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12948","url":null,"abstract":"<p>I present a formal model of candidate evaluation in a context where voters within some group or political party learn information about to what extent various in-group candidates (such as a slate of primary candidates) are disliked by an out-group or opposing party. Thus, a voter's candidate evaluation is based in part on how they process information about which of their own candidates provoke particularly strong distaste from the out-group. I show that exposure to information about out-group distaste can cause voters to make misleading inferences about candidate characteristics, causing them to sometimes systematically prefer lower competence candidates. These effects are stronger for certain kinds of low-information voters, and for more ideologically motivated voters. The model can thus explain under what conditions voters will support politicians who particularly aggrieve the opposition. This can also create secondary incentives for politicians to signal incompetence.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"70 1","pages":"334-347"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146139141","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Alienation, equality, and multifaith establishment 异化、平等和多元信仰的建立
IF 5.6 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12950
Andrew Shorten
{"title":"Alienation, equality, and multifaith establishment","authors":"Andrew Shorten","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12950","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12950","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Religious establishment today often takes a multifaith form, whereby multiple religions are supported in different ways and to different degrees. In order to contribute to the development of a normative framework for assessing practices and regimes of multifaith establishment, this article recommends the concept of “social alienation.” Initially, social alienation is defended as a negative normative criterion to determine when specific establishment practices are unacceptable. This criterion is compared favorably with approaches that evaluate establishment practices by reference to an ideal of public reason or according to whether they convey an expressive harm, as well as with similar approaches based on a purely subjective understanding of alienation. Subsequently, it is also argued that addressing social alienation can support a case for multifaith religious establishment regimes that support or recognize minority religions, since it is often unequal establishment practices that socially alienate, not establishment as such.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"70 1","pages":"272-285"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12950","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146139196","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Correction to “Bicameralism and Policy Responsiveness to Public Opinion” 修正“两院制与政策回应民意”
IF 5.6 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2025-01-22 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12947
{"title":"Correction to “Bicameralism and Policy Responsiveness to Public Opinion”","authors":"","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12947","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12947","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Ezrow, Lawrence, Michele Fenzl, and Timothy Hellwig. 2024. “Bicameralism and Policy Responsiveness to Public Opinion.” <i>American Journal of Political Science</i> 68(3): 1089–1105.</p><p>In the section “Policy Responsiveness within Bicameralism,” the text, in the first column before the first full paragraph on page 1098, is incorrect. It reads, “This finding is consistent with the power symmetry hypothesis.” In fact, the finding is consistent with the power asymmetry hypothesis. Accordingly, the text should read: “This finding is consistent with the power asymmetry hypothesis.” We apologize for this error.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"70 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-01-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12947","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146139870","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Partisan temporal selective news avoidance: Evidence from online trace data 党派时间选择性新闻回避：来自在线追踪数据的证据
IF 5.6 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2025-01-02 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12944
Michael Heseltine, Hennes Barnehl, Magdalena Wojcieszak
{"title":"Partisan temporal selective news avoidance: Evidence from online trace data","authors":"Michael Heseltine,&nbsp;Hennes Barnehl,&nbsp;Magdalena Wojcieszak","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12944","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12944","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We assess the phenomenon of partisan temporal selective avoidance, or individuals dynamically altering their news consumption when news is negative toward their in- and out-party. Using nine months of online behavioral data (27,648,770 visits) from 2,462 Americans paired with machine learning classifications, we examine whether changing daily news sentiment toward in- and out-party (macro-level) and exposure to articles negative toward in- or out-party during one's browsing session (micro-level) influence news use. We test if partisans change their consumption of (a) news overall, (b) partisan outlets, (c) hard versus soft news, and (d) individual articles. We find support for partisan temporal selective news avoidance; partisans alter the volume, type, and source of news because of changing news sentiment. On the macro-level, partisan asymmetries emerge, and on the micro-level negative news about either party reduce news browsing length while increasing hard news and negative news visits for both Democrats and Republicans.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"69 4","pages":"1541-1558"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12944","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145335610","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Designing Confucian democracy: A semi-parliamentarian framework 设计儒家民主：一个半议会制框架
IF 5.6 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2024-12-26 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12941
Zhichao Tong
{"title":"Designing Confucian democracy: A semi-parliamentarian framework","authors":"Zhichao Tong","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12941","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12941","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Despite Confucian democrats’ successful attempt in establishing Confucian democracy as a normatively plausible ideal, little has been said regarding its institutional design. However, to the extent that Confucian democracy involves some synthesis between a formally democratic regime and substantively Confucian ends, it has to ask for a more specific choice among various possible democratic institutional frameworks, so as to make sure that the exact form of the former is conducive to the realization of the latter. This article addresses such a question by presenting semi-parliamentarianism as an appropriate institutional framework for designing Confucian democracy. My central claim is that compared with other types of constitutional structure, a semi-parliamentarian bicameral one is more likely to simultaneously advance Confucian democrats’ dual commitments to benevolent government and deep harmony. The article thus contributes to both the “institutional turn” in democratic theory and the “meritocracy versus democracy” debate in contemporary Confucian political theory.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"70 1","pages":"188-201"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146139932","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Xs we share: Context similarity, culture, and the diffusion of populism 我们共有的x：语境相似性、文化和民粹主义的扩散
IF 5.6 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2024-12-23 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12942
Nina Wiesehomeier, Nils Düpont, Saskia P. Ruth-Lovell
{"title":"Xs we share: Context similarity, culture, and the diffusion of populism","authors":"Nina Wiesehomeier,&nbsp;Nils Düpont,&nbsp;Saskia P. Ruth-Lovell","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12942","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12942","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Do populist ideas travel across borders? Anecdotal evidence suggests as much, yet so far we lack a systematic assessment of whether diffusion takes place, and if so under which conditions. We argue that context similarity enables the diffusion of populism among parties as it eases the adaption of populist framing of perceived grievances into the local context. Using a dyadic approach, we analyze diffusion effects among 923 parties in 67 countries from 1970 to 2018. We find that similar levels of political and economic exclusion foster learning from and emulating other parties abroad. We also uncover conditional effects for learning from other parties facing similar levels of income inequality or public sector corruption that hinge on a cultural prescreening. Combined, our results have important implications for a better understanding of diffusion processes in general and the spread of populist ideas around the globe in particular.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"70 1","pages":"256-271"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12942","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146139801","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
How budget trade-offs undermine electoral incentives to build public housing 预算上的权衡如何削弱了建造公共住房的选举激励
IF 5.6 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2024-12-22 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12939
Hanno Hilbig, Andreas Wiedemann
{"title":"How budget trade-offs undermine electoral incentives to build public housing","authors":"Hanno Hilbig,&nbsp;Andreas Wiedemann","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12939","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12939","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Housing shortages and rising rents have increased demands for affordable housing. In this paper, we examine whether electoral constraints can undermine local politicians' incentives to build public housing. Empirically, we draw on the full-count census of all housing built in Germany, data on 19,685 local elections between 1989 and 2011, and an original survey. Using a difference-in-differences design, we demonstrate that incumbents are not rewarded, but rather experience moderate electoral losses after constructing new public housing. We then show that these losses are not primarily driven by homeowner opposition or native–foreigner competition. Instead, electoral punishment is largest in economically disadvantaged municipalities with relatively affordable housing, as voters prioritize spending in other local policy areas that are crowded out by public housing. Survey evidence demonstrates that electoral constraints emerge when voters' short-term spending preferences conflict with municipalities' long-term goals to provide affordable housing.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"70 1","pages":"202-220"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12939","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146139915","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Rethinking the imperative mandate: Toward a better balance between independence and accountability 重新思考势在必行的授权：在独立性和问责制之间实现更好的平衡
IF 5.6 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2024-12-14 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12943
Pierre-Étienne Vandamme
{"title":"Rethinking the imperative mandate: Toward a better balance between independence and accountability","authors":"Pierre-Étienne Vandamme","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12943","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12943","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Two of the founding principles of representative governments—the independence of elected representatives and popular accountability—are notoriously in tension. The more independent representatives are, the less citizens can exercise control over them. This article defends an institutional proposal—semi-directed mandates—aiming to capture the main concerns of both advocates and critics of imperative mandates and to strike a better balance between independence and accountability than the one usually prevailing in contemporary representative governments. The proposal consists of (i) asking candidates or parties to put forward key priorities before the election; (ii) allowing voters to give a more specific mandate to their representatives, and (iii) allowing them to revoke the mandate in case of betrayal of key promises unless they can offer convincing justifications for departing from their mandate. More flexible than the traditional imperative mandate, this proposal also preserves the benefits of a partial division of political labor. It, therefore, seems better suited to the typical circumstances of mass democracies.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"70 1","pages":"76-89"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2024-12-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146139679","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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