发布求助
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献

American Journal of Political Science最新文献

筛选
英文 中文
Great expectations: The effect of unmet labor market expectations after higher education on ideology 美好的期望高等教育后未实现的劳动力市场预期对意识形态的影响
IF 5 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2024-03-10 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12836
Loreto Cox
{"title":"Great expectations: The effect of unmet labor market expectations after higher education on ideology","authors":"Loreto Cox","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12836","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12836","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Higher education has massively expanded around the world, yet we know little about the political consequences of this expansion. Students generally have overly optimistic expectations about the returns to educational investment, and the effects of unmet expectations on graduates’ political behavior have been overlooked. I study this phenomenon in Chile with observational and experimental methods, using unique panel survey data collected from new graduates covering 72% of higher education enrollment. The survey tracks students before and after they enter the labor market and includes an experiment that induces variation in their expectations. The panel data reveals that 65% of students have unmet expectations, and both methods indicate that this induces a shift toward progovernment/proequality ideology. Overall, this study shows that the gap between aspirations and reality upon graduation can be an important driver of political attitudes.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"68 4","pages":"1416-1430"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142429675","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Hierarchy and war 等级制度与战争
IF 5 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2024-03-10 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12855
Maël van Beek, Michael Z. Lopate, Andrew Goodhart, David A. Peterson, Jared Edgerton, Haoming Xiong, Maryum Alam, Leyla Tiglay, Daniel Kent, Bear F. Braumoeller
{"title":"Hierarchy and war","authors":"Maël van Beek,&nbsp;Michael Z. Lopate,&nbsp;Andrew Goodhart,&nbsp;David A. Peterson,&nbsp;Jared Edgerton,&nbsp;Haoming Xiong,&nbsp;Maryum Alam,&nbsp;Leyla Tiglay,&nbsp;Daniel Kent,&nbsp;Bear F. Braumoeller","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12855","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ajps.12855","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Scholars have written extensively about hierarchical international order, on the one hand, and war on the other, but surprisingly little work systematically explores the connection between the two. This disconnect is all the more striking given that empirical studies have found a strong relationship between the two. We provide a generative computational network model that explains hierarchy and war as two elements of a larger recursive process: The threat of war drives the formation of hierarchy, which in turn shapes states' incentives for war. Grounded in canonical theories of hierarchy and war, the model explains an array of known regularities about hierarchical order and conflict. Surprisingly, we also find that many traditional results of the international relations literature—including institutional persistence, balancing behavior, and systemic self-regulation—emerge from the interplay between hierarchy and war.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"69 1","pages":"299-313"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140254856","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Whose critique matters? The effects of critic identity and audience on public opinion 谁的批评重要？评论家身份和受众对舆论的影响
IF 5 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12846
Yehonatan Abramson, Anil Menon, Abir Gitlin
{"title":"Whose critique matters? The effects of critic identity and audience on public opinion","authors":"Yehonatan Abramson,&nbsp;Anil Menon,&nbsp;Abir Gitlin","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12846","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ajps.12846","url":null,"abstract":"<p>When evaluating the impact of naming and shaming on public opinion regarding human rights, existing scholarship focuses on messages coming from ingroup or outgroup critics. Diaspora critics, increasingly vocal and visible in recent years, occupy an in-between identity. What, if any, is the impact of criticism coming from such critics? We address this question by fielding a pre-registered survey experiment in Israel, a country that routinely faces diasporic criticism. We find that exposure to criticism from both diaspora and foreign critics (but not from domestic critics) triggered a backlash response on the criticized issue (human rights) compared to a no-criticism condition. However, diaspora critics have a slight advantage over foreigners—their intentions for criticizing the state are perceived as more positive. Despite limited direct impact on public opinion, our findings suggest that the human rights regime could benefit from involving diasporic and domestic actors in their efforts.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"69 1","pages":"355-370"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12846","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140265148","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Endogenous preferences, credible signaling, and the security dilemma: Bridging the rationalist–constructivist divide
IF 5 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2024-03-02 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12844
Brandon Yoder, Kyle Haynes
{"title":"Endogenous preferences, credible signaling, and the security dilemma: Bridging the rationalist–constructivist divide","authors":"Brandon Yoder,&nbsp;Kyle Haynes","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12844","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12844","url":null,"abstract":"<p>How does the potential for socialization affect states' abilities to reassure each other and mitigate the security dilemma? Rationalist scholarship has identified numerous mechanisms by which states can credibly signal benign intentions. Yet it omits the possibility that states' interactions might endogenously shape their identities and domestic structures, and thus alter their basic preferences for or against cooperative outcomes. We present a formal model of the security dilemma that allows the sender's preferences to change endogenously as a function of the receiver's actions. The model yields several key results. First, the possibility of socialization generates incentives for benign actors to risk initiating cooperation, and even sustain cooperation in response to noncooperative signals in the hope of positively socializing the sender. However, conflict can still occur between mutually benign states through novel mechanisms not captured by standard models. These findings carry important implications for recent debates surrounding the US “engagement” strategy toward China.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"69 1","pages":"268-283"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12844","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143110914","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Shaping states into nations: The effects of ethnic geography on state borders
IF 5 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2024-03-02 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12838
Carl Müller-Crepon, Guy Schvitz, Lars-Erik Cederman
{"title":"Shaping states into nations: The effects of ethnic geography on state borders","authors":"Carl Müller-Crepon,&nbsp;Guy Schvitz,&nbsp;Lars-Erik Cederman","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12838","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12838","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Borders define states, yet little systematic evidence explains where they are drawn. Putting current challenges to state borders into perspective and breaking new methodological ground, this paper analyzes how ethnic geography and nationalism have shaped European borders since the 19<sup>th</sup> century. We argue that nationalism creates pressures to redraw political borders along ethnic lines, ultimately making states more congruent with ethnic groups. We introduce a Probabilistic Spatial Partition Model to test this argument, modeling state territories as partitions of a planar spatial graph. Using new data on Europe's ethnic geography since 1855, we find that ethnic boundaries increase the conditional probability that two locations they separate are, or will become, divided by a state border. Secession is an important mechanism driving this result. Similar dynamics characterize border change in Asia but not in Africa and the Americas. Our results highlight the endogenous formation of nation-states in Europe and beyond.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"69 1","pages":"132-147"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12838","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143110913","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Is authority fungible? Legitimacy, domain congruence, and the limits of power in Africa 权威是可替代的吗？非洲的合法性、领域一致性和权力限制
IF 5 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12837
Kate Baldwin, Kristen Kao, Ellen Lust
{"title":"Is authority fungible? Legitimacy, domain congruence, and the limits of power in Africa","authors":"Kate Baldwin,&nbsp;Kristen Kao,&nbsp;Ellen Lust","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12837","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ajps.12837","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Scholars increasingly recognize the plurality of leaders who exercise de facto authority in governing communities. But what limits different leaders’ power to organize distinct types of collective action beyond the law? We contend that leaders’ influence varies by activity, depending on the degree to which the activity matches the leaders’ geographic scope and field of expertise (“domain congruence”). Employing conjoint endorsement experiments in Kenya, Malawi, and Zambia, we test whether domain congruence predicts citizens’ willingness to comply with leader requests across different activities and examine the mechanisms that explain its importance. We find limits on leaders’ authority, that the concept of domain congruence helps predict the activities over which leaders have the greatest influence, and that leaders’ domain legitimacy may underpin the relationship between domain congruence and authority.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"69 1","pages":"314-329"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12837","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140416418","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Uncertainty in crisis bargaining with multiple policy options 多重政策选择下危机谈判的不确定性
IF 5 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2024-02-19 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12849
Brenton Kenkel, Peter Schram
{"title":"Uncertainty in crisis bargaining with multiple policy options","authors":"Brenton Kenkel,&nbsp;Peter Schram","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12849","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ajps.12849","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Formal models commonly characterize interstate bargaining as dichotomous, ending in either war or peace. But there are many forms of coercion—including supporting rebel groups, sanctions, and cyberattacks. How does the availability of intermediate policy options affect the incidence of war and peace? We present an analysis of crisis bargaining models with intermediate policy options that challenges conventional results about the relationship between private information and negotiation outcomes. In our “flexible-response” modeling framework, unlike in traditional crisis bargaining models, we find that greater private war payoffs may be associated with a lower probability of war or worse settlement values. When intermediate options are available, the relationship between the private efficacy of war and the private efficacy of these other options largely determines equilibrium outcomes. By utilizing the tools of mechanism design, we derive game-form–free results on how private information shapes international conflict, regardless of the precise negotiating protocol.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"69 1","pages":"194-209"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140451641","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Expedience and experimentation: John Maynard Keynes and the politics of time 经验与实验：约翰-梅纳德-凯恩斯与时间政治
IF 5 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2024-02-13 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12839
Stefan Eich
{"title":"Expedience and experimentation: John Maynard Keynes and the politics of time","authors":"Stefan Eich","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12839","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ajps.12839","url":null,"abstract":"<p>John Maynard Keynes is often seen as the quintessential thinker of the short run, calling on us to focus our intellectual and material resources on the present. This poses an intriguing puzzle in light of Keynes's own influential speculations about the future. I use this seeming tension as an opening into Keynes's politics of time, both as a crucial dimension of his political thought and a contribution to debates about political temporality and intertemporal choice. Keynes's insistence on radical uncertainty translated into a skepticism toward intertemporal calculus as not only morally objectionable but also at risk of undermining actual future possibilities. Instead of either myopic presentism or calculated futurity, Keynes advocated bold experimentation in the present to open up new possibilities for an uncertain future. This points to the need to grapple with how to align multiple overlapping time horizons while appreciating the performativity of competing conceptions of the future.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"69 1","pages":"371-382"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139841108","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Losing legitimacy: The challenges of the Dobbs ruling to conventional legitimacy theory 失去合法性：多布斯案的裁决对传统合法性理论的挑战
IF 5 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2024-02-06 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12834
James L. Gibson
{"title":"Losing legitimacy: The challenges of the Dobbs ruling to conventional legitimacy theory","authors":"James L. Gibson","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12834","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ajps.12834","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Extant research has established that displeasure with a Supreme Court ruling typically has negligible consequences for institutional support, largely because, as legitimacy theory's positivity bias explains, judicial decisions are invariably delivered with the accoutrements of legitimizing symbols. The Court's ruling in <i>Dobbs</i>, abrogating a federal constitutional right to abortion services, may challenge legitimacy theory because displeasure with the ruling seems so widespread and intense. This research aims to determine whether the ruling lessened the Court's legitimacy. The general conclusion is that <i>Dobbs</i> produced a sizeable dent in institutional support, perhaps to an unprecedented degree, in part because abortion attitudes for many are infused with moral content and in part owing to the Court's substantial tilt to the right since 2020. Indeed, the Court's legitimacy may be at greater risk today than at any time since Franklin D. Roosevelt's 1930s attack on the institution.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"68 3","pages":"1041-1056"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12834","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139860668","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The people think what I think: False consensus and unelected elite misperception of public opinion 人民想什么，我就想什么：虚假共识和非民选精英对民意的误解
IF 5 1区 社会学
American Journal of Political Science Pub Date : 2024-01-30 DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12833
Alexander C. Furnas, Timothy M. LaPira
{"title":"The people think what I think: False consensus and unelected elite misperception of public opinion","authors":"Alexander C. Furnas,&nbsp;Timothy M. LaPira","doi":"10.1111/ajps.12833","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ajps.12833","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Political elites must know and rely faithfully on the public will to be democratically responsive. Recent work on elite perceptions of public opinion shows that reelection-motivated politicians systematically misperceive the opinions of their constituents to be more conservative than they are. We extend this work to a larger and broader set of unelected political elites such as lobbyists, civil servants, journalists, and the like, and report alternative empirical findings. These unelected elites hold similarly inaccurate perceptions about public opinion, though not in a single ideological direction. We find this elite population exhibits egocentrism bias, rather than partisan confirmation bias, as their perceptions about others' opinions systematically correspond to their own policy preferences. Thus, we document a remarkably consistent false consensus effect among unelected political elites, which holds across subsamples by party, occupation, professional relevance of party affiliation, and trust in party-aligned information sources.</p>","PeriodicalId":48447,"journal":{"name":"American Journal of Political Science","volume":"68 3","pages":"958-971"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ajps.12833","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140485030","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
首页 上一页 下一页 尾页
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整，为了账户安全，请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
相关产品
×
本文献相关产品
联系我们：info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务，方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号：481959085
Book学术官方微信