{"title":"Contestation of International Organizations: Patterns, Drivers, and Responses","authors":"Jonas Tallberg, Stefanie Walter, Michael Zürn","doi":"10.1017/s0020818326101477","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0020818326101477","url":null,"abstract":"The contestation of international organizations (IOs) over past decades has inspired a rich research program. This essay takes stock of progress by reviewing key findings in existing scholarship and identifying critical areas for future study. We propose a typology that distinguishes between internal contestation, which criticizes the institutions or policies of an IO with the aim of reform, and external contestation, which challenges an IO’s foundational principles and very existence. Building on this conceptual distinction, we review the most important findings of existing research on three key themes: patterns of contestation, drivers of contestation, and responses to contestation. We also argue that this conceptualization helps us better understand the changing nature of contestation: while criticism of how IOs function has long been a staple of world politics, it recently appears to have shifted toward a deeper form involving more fundamental questioning of IOs themselves. We conclude by highlighting the need for dynamic theories and improved measurements to explain when and how IO contestation shifts from internal criticism to external rejection, and by outlining a forward-looking research agenda on organizational robustness, hegemonic contestation, and the relationship between IO contestation and the broader contestation of global governance.","PeriodicalId":48388,"journal":{"name":"International Organization","volume":"198 1","pages":"1-34"},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2026-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149123153","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Unrest, Shifting Power, and Death-Watch War","authors":"Jesse C. Johnson, Scott Wolford","doi":"10.1017/s0020818326101490","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0020818326101490","url":null,"abstract":"Domestic unrest often creates problems of both shifting power and shifting preferences. We analyze a model in which a foreign state considers a “death-watch” attack against a domestic state temporarily weakened by unrest in which (1) two polarized factions compete for the power to set policy in the future and (2) the foreign state’s favored faction may support an invasion. Military success allows the foreign state to seize policy control, but defeat may hasten the rise of its disfavored faction when the favored faction links the outcomes of the two conflicts by bandwagoning with the attacker. In equilibrium, decisions to attack and bandwagon depend on the interaction of shifting power and shifting preferences. We show first that temporary weakness causes war, but only when the favored faction is unlikely to survive unrest. Second, increasing factional polarization can encourage or discourage foreign attack and local bandwagoning, conditional on how domestic preferences are shifting. Third, extensions show that (1) death-watch attacks are possible at any distribution of power; (2) the threat of attack may not be sufficient to deter domestic unrest; and (3) attack may be profitable even when alternative options of aiding a favored faction are available. We also use the model to explain why similar episodes of unrest in Ukraine prompted Russian invasion in 2014 but not 2004.","PeriodicalId":48388,"journal":{"name":"International Organization","volume":"50 1","pages":"1-36"},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2026-10-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149123404","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Foreign Aid and the Performance of Bureaucrats","authors":"Maria Nagawa","doi":"10.1017/s0020818326101489","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0020818326101489","url":null,"abstract":"Although much work examines foreign aid’s impact on development outcomes, its effect on bureaucracies—institutions that are key to development and profoundly influenced by aid interventions—remains understudied. I argue that project aid channeled through recipient governments alters financial and social aspects of work over which bureaucrats hold salient preferences, generating trade-offs that drive bureaucrats to redirect effort from routine work toward donor-funded initiatives. Drawing on interviews, surveys, and experiments with more than 600 Ugandan bureaucrats, I find that despite preferring government funding and autonomy, bureaucrats are drawn to better-paid aid projects, thus diverting effort away from regular duties. They also prefer departments with substantial donor funding even if it undermines the equity and teamwork they value. These findings provide micro-level insights into the unintended consequences of external development assistance: the same incentives that boost performance on discrete donor-funded projects divert effort from government programming and erode organizational cohesion.","PeriodicalId":48388,"journal":{"name":"International Organization","volume":"9 1","pages":"1-33"},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2026-09-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149124465","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jeremy Bowles, Gabriel Koehler-Derrick, Michael Olson
{"title":"“To Hell or to Connacht”: Expropriation, Inequality, and Local Legacies of Settler Colonialism","authors":"Jeremy Bowles, Gabriel Koehler-Derrick, Michael Olson","doi":"10.1017/s0020818326101465","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0020818326101465","url":null,"abstract":"Violent upheavals in landownership following conquest often change not only the concentration of land across individuals, but also the inequality of its distribution between groups. We argue that variation in landowners’ group identity has important implications for the provision of local public goods. We test this claim by studying the aftermath of the Cromwellian Settlement in seventeenth-century Ireland. Leveraging the lottery-based allocation of expropriated Catholic land to distinct groups of English Protestants, we find significant local variation in the extent of Protestant landownership. Drawing on rich original data, we find fewer local public goods in the long run in areas with more Protestant elites, with the largest reductions in goods that were either directly elite-funded or disproportionately benefited the Catholic majority. The results illustrate how conquest reshapes not just institutions but also long-run local inequalities, and highlight the distinct consequences of between-group inequality for the provision of public goods.","PeriodicalId":48388,"journal":{"name":"International Organization","volume":"43 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2026-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148860812","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Revolutionizing Time, Reforging Social Orders: State-Building Success and the Enforcement of Symbolic Programs in Revolutionary France","authors":"Megan A. Stewart","doi":"10.1017/s0020818326101453","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0020818326101453","url":null,"abstract":"How do state builders reshape society? While existing work shows they often rely on violence, education, elite co-optation, and institution building, this article underscores the importance of symbolic programs. When intensely enforced, symbolic programs reshape social orders by forging new social bonds and socializing individuals into state builders’ governing principles. I test this argument using subnational variation in the enforcement of the French Republican calendar—a symbolic program that politicized time, labor, and rest, rightfully regulated by the state, rather than sacred duties governed by the Catholic Church—and its association with labor conflicts. In departments where the calendar was more strongly enforced, it fostered political understandings of labor and rest, reduced coordination costs, and increased mobilization potential. Using original data and a difference-in-differences design, I find that more intense enforcement of the calendar is associated with a higher likelihood of labor conflict onset, demonstrating the long-term social effects of symbolic state-building programs.","PeriodicalId":48388,"journal":{"name":"International Organization","volume":"23 1","pages":"457-496"},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2026-08-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148698818","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Protecting at Home or Providing Abroad: Refugee Policy in Civil Conflicts","authors":"Jessica S. Sun","doi":"10.1017/s0020818326101416","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0020818326101416","url":null,"abstract":"When civilians flee conflict, concerned donors adopt policies intended to curb both violence and large refugee flows, viewing these objectives as complementary. Can such policies reduce the flow of refugees while safeguarding civilians? Using a model of refugee flight in civil conflict, I find donors who link aid and migration policies may fail to restrain government violence, risking increases in displacement and repression. Specifically, when donors lack leverage or have inconsistent priorities, their goals are undermined by strategic government violence. Policies aimed at reducing migration, like increasing humanitarian aid or reducing access to asylum, can yield more intense fighting because they leave a larger base of support for rebels. Threats to suspend aid similarly do not deter violence when it is clear donors’ primary concern is migration. I find if donors condition assistance on reducing both migration and violence against civilians, but prioritize curbing repression, they can achieve both goals.","PeriodicalId":48388,"journal":{"name":"International Organization","volume":"19 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2026-07-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148538980","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Collective Deterrence","authors":"Scott Wolford, Joshua Landry, Kevin Galambos","doi":"10.1017/s002081832610143x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s002081832610143x","url":null,"abstract":"We analyze a model of collective deterrence in which (1) one state may challenge a status quo defended by a great power and an arbitrary number of partners and (2) defender war costs are private information. We show first that the great power’s intra-coalition dominance shapes which cooperative failure, free riding, or uncertainty over others’ willingness to fight may weaken deterrence. Second, increasing the great power’s war payoffs increases both deterrence and partner free riding. Third, the extent of great power dominance determines whether a larger or more capable coalition enhances or weakens deterrence and ensures that size and capabilities work in opposite directions. Finally, increasing uncertainty over a great power’s war costs can decrease or increase deterrence, depending on the prior strength of its commitment. We also use the model to illuminate differing responses of American allies in Europe and East Asia to the 2016 election of Donald Trump.","PeriodicalId":48388,"journal":{"name":"International Organization","volume":"24 1","pages":"1-38"},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2026-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148459785","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Santi Foncillas, Erasmus Kersting, Christopher Kilby
{"title":"Dirty Work and the Domestic Politics of Aid","authors":"Santi Foncillas, Erasmus Kersting, Christopher Kilby","doi":"10.1017/s0020818326101404","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0020818326101404","url":null,"abstract":"Historically the United States uses both bilateral aid and influence over multilateral development finance to further its geopolitical objectives. Past studies explain the choice between these two instruments based on either a divided government effect or whether the recipient government is a traditional US ally (the dirty work hypothesis). We advance a theory explaining the bilateral/multilateral choice in terms of the confluence of these factors and test its predictions using United Nations Security Council voting, US bilateral aid flows, and World Bank lending. Results confirm theoretical expectations: higher bilateral aid goes to allies who support the United States in the Security Council but only when the US government is not divided and higher World Bank lending goes to non-allies who support the United States in the Security Council but only when the US government is divided. This detailed understanding of the link between domestic politics and governance in international organizations has important implications as the international order moves beyond a US-dominated system.","PeriodicalId":48388,"journal":{"name":"International Organization","volume":"196 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2026-06-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148335898","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Democracy, Debt, and the Bench: Political Ideology in Sovereign Immunity Cases","authors":"Monica Widmann","doi":"10.1017/s0020818326101398","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0020818326101398","url":null,"abstract":"Following pressure from investors, Congress passed the 1976 Foreign Sovereign Immunities Act (FSIA) to facilitate lawsuits by nonstate commercial actors against sovereign states in US courts. This legislation redefined sovereign debt as a commercial activity, seemingly favoring creditors. Yet case outcomes proved variable. While the FSIA established clear procedural guidelines, judicial discretion remained, raising questions about what factors influence outcomes. How deep is the effect of judges’ partisan leanings? To what extent does a left–right divide exist in this issue area? Although sovereign debt of other countries rarely sparks US political debate, I argue that partisan influence persists in these cases, particularly when defendants are democracies. Republican-nominated judges consistently apply the FSIA’s pro-creditor framework regardless of defendant characteristics, reflecting their party’s historical support for transnational commercial actors and contract enforcement. Democratic-nominated judges, however, exhibit conditional deference: when democracies demonstrate fiscal restraint before defaulting—signaling genuine economic distress—Democratic-nominated judges more readily defer to the sovereign defendant within the FSIA’s constraints. When democracies maintain high government consumption while defaulting, suggesting strategic choice rather than necessity, Democratic-nominated judges enforce more strictly. By contrast, both Democratic- and Republican-nominated judges converge on pro-creditor positions when adjudicating autocratic defaults because the absence of credible fiscal signals eliminates conditions for conditional deference. I test this argument with an original data set of sovereign debt litigation cases brought to the United States from 1977 to 2022.","PeriodicalId":48388,"journal":{"name":"International Organization","volume":"283 1","pages":"1-33"},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2026-06-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148286452","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Brandon J Kinne, Juan F. Tellez, Anya Stewart, Iliyan Iliev, Brandon Derr, Shreya Murthy, Patrick Bernhard
{"title":"Transnational Networks and Interstate Competition: How Support for Nonstate Actors Increases Conflict between States","authors":"Brandon J Kinne, Juan F. Tellez, Anya Stewart, Iliyan Iliev, Brandon Derr, Shreya Murthy, Patrick Bernhard","doi":"10.1017/s0020818326101349","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s0020818326101349","url":null,"abstract":"Scholars and policymakers alike now view competition between states as the primary threat to international security. Yet the nontraditional threats that previously defined the global security landscape, such as terrorism and civil war, continue to flourish. Recent interstate conflicts have featured nonstate armed groups as central actors, and governments rely on these groups to extend their interests. This article examines how government support for foreign nonstate actors affects interstate competition. We conceptualize state–nonstate ties as transnational networks comprised of cooperative relationships between governments and foreign terrorist organizations, rebel groups, militias, and civilian groups. We argue that these transnational networks exacerbate interstate tensions in two ways. First, they increase a state’s capacity relative to adversaries, which emboldens the government, increases its bargaining leverage, and leads to increased aggression toward other states. Second, they increase a government’s liability for the actions of sponsored groups, which leads to unintended confrontations and retaliatory actions by affected targets. To measure interstate competition, we use high-resolution event data on verbal and material conflict between governments. We incorporate these data into network models that allow transnational ties and interstate conflict to co-evolve, such that states form ties to nonstate actors in response to interstate conflict, and those ties in turn influence conflict probability. We find that both the size and structure of governments’ respective transnational networks are associated with an increase in verbal and material conflict. Further, this association is particularly strong for states that lack conventional military strength. These findings suggest that cooperation between governments and nonstate actors is integrally connected to, and often exacerbates, interstate competition.","PeriodicalId":48388,"journal":{"name":"International Organization","volume":"247 1","pages":"281-323"},"PeriodicalIF":7.8,"publicationDate":"2026-05-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148286457","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}