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Whose voices shape Turkey's nuclear discourse? A social media sentiment study of Digital environmental activism 谁的声音影响了土耳其的核话语?数字环境行动主义的社交媒体情绪研究
IF 7.4 2区 经济学
Energy Research & Social Science Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104497
Esra Kahya Özyirmidokuz , Ömer Faruk Aydın , Eduard Alexandru Stoica
{"title":"Whose voices shape Turkey's nuclear discourse? A social media sentiment study of Digital environmental activism","authors":"Esra Kahya Özyirmidokuz ,&nbsp;Ömer Faruk Aydın ,&nbsp;Eduard Alexandru Stoica","doi":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104497","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104497","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines how public perceptions of nuclear energy in Turkey are shaped through digital environmental activism on social media. Addressing a gap in the literature, it offers one of the first empirical analyses explicitly focused on Turkey's nuclear energy debate and the role of hashtag-based activism within it. The empirical dataset consists of 1831 posts from Twitter (now X), including both user-generated content and messages shared by Greenpeace Turkey during key events related to the Akkuyu Nuclear Power Plant. Utilizing natural language processing and supervised machine learning methods, the study employs multilingual sentiment analysis, text classification, and geospatial mapping to examine the dynamics of online discourse.</div><div>The results show that negative and neutral sentiments dominate public reactions, particularly in the Mediterranean region around Mersin, Turkey, where concerns about environmental risks and safety are most prominent. Activist-framed messages receive higher engagement, highlighting the mobilizing effects of environmental justice narratives. Methodologically, the findings demonstrate that translation-based pipelines using English-language models outperform Turkish-only models, revealing persistent resource gaps for under-resourced languages. Overall, the study provides a computational perspective on how social media shapes Turkey's nuclear energy discourse and offers insights for more context-sensitive communication and energy governance strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48384,"journal":{"name":"Energy Research & Social Science","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104497"},"PeriodicalIF":7.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145737184","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Twice upon a home: Energy use, emissions and inequality across primary and second homes 两套住房:第一和第二套住房的能源使用、排放和不平等
IF 7.4 2区 经济学
Energy Research & Social Science Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104491
Anna Strandell , Santtu Karhinen , Kati Pitkänen , Sara-Tuuli Siiskonen , Enni Ruokamo
{"title":"Twice upon a home: Energy use, emissions and inequality across primary and second homes","authors":"Anna Strandell ,&nbsp;Santtu Karhinen ,&nbsp;Kati Pitkänen ,&nbsp;Sara-Tuuli Siiskonen ,&nbsp;Enni Ruokamo","doi":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104491","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104491","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Residential energy consumption plays an essential role in mitigating climate change. An energy transition has the potential to alleviate socioeconomic disparities, although it can also lead to an unfair distribution of costs and benefits. The residential energy transition is already progressing in many countries, yet there remains a research gap regarding the participation of diverse population groups and the contribution of second homes to overall household energy consumption and emissions. We applied a novel approach, integrating multiple data sources, to calculate residential energy consumption and emissions for a sample of Finnish households, including those arising from second homes. Regression analysis was then employed to examine the influence of household and building-specific factors on energy consumption and emissions. Regression models initially indicated a positive association between income and per-capita energy use and emissions. However, after accounting for building characteristics, income was negatively associated with per-capita energy consumption. These findings suggest that middle- and high-income households tend to occupy more energy-efficient dwellings than low-income households. Furthermore, while rural households exhibited higher per-capita energy consumption than urban households, differences in emissions were less pronounced. Second homes significantly increased energy use and emissions. The results indicate that certain population groups and areas may be excluded from the benefits of the residential energy transition, warranting further research into the specific circumstances of diverse groups. Future policies aimed at promoting residential energy transition should prioritize support for low-income households and incorporate measures addressing energy consumption and emissions from second homes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48384,"journal":{"name":"Energy Research & Social Science","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104491"},"PeriodicalIF":7.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145737185","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Integrating energy justice and earth observation to examine the social dimensions of hydroelectric dams 整合能源正义与地球观测,检视水电大坝的社会层面
IF 7.4 2区 经济学
Energy Research & Social Science Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104521
Garima Gupta , Shubham Pawar , Chris Littleboy , Nils Bunnefeld , Jennifer Dickie , Isabel L. Jones
{"title":"Integrating energy justice and earth observation to examine the social dimensions of hydroelectric dams","authors":"Garima Gupta ,&nbsp;Shubham Pawar ,&nbsp;Chris Littleboy ,&nbsp;Nils Bunnefeld ,&nbsp;Jennifer Dickie ,&nbsp;Isabel L. Jones","doi":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104521","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104521","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Hydropower is increasingly promoted as a cornerstone of global low-carbon energy transitions, yet the long-term social consequences of large dams remain inadequately understood. Existing assessments often focus on short-term displacement and overlook evolving socio-spatial harms that persist well beyond construction. This study addresses this gap by applying an interdisciplinary energy justice framework to the Tehri Dam in the Indian Himalaya nearly two decades after its commissioning. Drawing on semi-structured interviews and Earth Observation analysis, we examine how affected communities experience distributional, procedural, recognition, capabilities, and restorative injustices across space and time. The findings reveal that injustices extend far beyond physical relocation. Communities continue to face sustained livelihood loss, reduced access to health and education services, long-term isolation caused by disrupted connectivity, and heightened environmental risks such as land subsidence. These indirect and cumulative harms remain largely invisible in conventional impact assessments. By integrating spatial evidence with lived experiences, the study demonstrates how Earth Observation can uncover hidden and emerging inequalities associated with large-scale energy infrastructure. This research advances energy justice scholarship by foregrounding the spatial and temporal dimensions of hydropower impacts and by illustrating the value of mixed-methods approaches for sustainability research. The findings underscore the need for policy frameworks that recognize both material and non-material losses and support more equitable, community-centred energy transitions in vulnerable regions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48384,"journal":{"name":"Energy Research & Social Science","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104521"},"PeriodicalIF":7.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145840074","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Biofuel bottlenecks and synthetic fuels: Leveraging aviation for global climate action 生物燃料瓶颈和合成燃料:利用航空促进全球气候行动
IF 7.4 2区 经济学
Energy Research & Social Science Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104487
Rasmus Karlsson
{"title":"Biofuel bottlenecks and synthetic fuels: Leveraging aviation for global climate action","authors":"Rasmus Karlsson","doi":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104487","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104487","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Biogenic hydrocarbons occupy a central place in transition narratives across multiple sectors, from transport and energy to chemicals and consumer goods. Yet their inherent scarcity creates unavoidable dilemmas of prioritization. This article examines aviation as a case study of these dilemmas. While the industry has tied its hopes for decarbonization to biofuels, their large-scale use risks crowding out other sectors, undermining both climate and biodiversity goals. To guide policymakers, the article proposes three evaluative principles – global scalability, transformational leverage, and ability-to-pay – arguing that aviation is uniquely positioned to accelerate investment in synthetic electrofuels derived from carbon capture. Such fuels offer compatibility with existing infrastructure while simultaneously commercializing technologies that are essential for achieving net-negative emissions. By situating aviation within wider ethical and political debates, the article suggests that, with democratic steering, the sector could shift from climate villain to driver of globally meaningful climate action.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48384,"journal":{"name":"Energy Research & Social Science","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104487"},"PeriodicalIF":7.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145685444","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
New directions for interconnector research: drawing from social sciences and humanities perspectives to explore the Celtic Interconnector 互联研究的新方向:从社会科学和人文科学的角度探索凯尔特互联
IF 7.4 2区 经济学
Energy Research & Social Science Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104473
Alexandra Revez , Evan Boyle , Anne Goarzin , Edmond Byrne , Jesse D. Peterson , Fionn Rogan , Claire Connolly , Aoife Deane , James Cuffe , Roman Le Goff Latimier , Caitríona Ó Dochartaigh , David Espes , Brian Ó Gallachóir
{"title":"New directions for interconnector research: drawing from social sciences and humanities perspectives to explore the Celtic Interconnector","authors":"Alexandra Revez ,&nbsp;Evan Boyle ,&nbsp;Anne Goarzin ,&nbsp;Edmond Byrne ,&nbsp;Jesse D. Peterson ,&nbsp;Fionn Rogan ,&nbsp;Claire Connolly ,&nbsp;Aoife Deane ,&nbsp;James Cuffe ,&nbsp;Roman Le Goff Latimier ,&nbsp;Caitríona Ó Dochartaigh ,&nbsp;David Espes ,&nbsp;Brian Ó Gallachóir","doi":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104473","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104473","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The current discourse on interconnectors primarily centers on the technical and economic aspects necessary for delivering a stable grid infrastructure powered by renewable sources and for integrating energy markets. This article, therefore, explores opportunities to broaden definitions of energy grid interconnectivity beyond the techno-economic sphere. It considers multidisciplinary perspectives and presents novel exploratory viewpoints from the social sciences and humanities. It examines ideas of interconnection by drawing on the Celtic Interconnector, an Irish-French initiative, to explore the cultural, historical, political, and geographical dimensions of interconnectivity. Insights are derived from two workshops with academics in Ireland and France, encouraging a more contextual understanding of energy interconnections beyond their physical and economic dimensions. The article builds on these insights to set out an agenda for future research and reflect on frames of reference for describing, analysing, and engaging with emerging interconnector processes and the multiple stakeholders involved.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48384,"journal":{"name":"Energy Research & Social Science","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104473"},"PeriodicalIF":7.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145685458","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The contradiction of green extractivism: Analyzing the metals demands for a just energy transition in Europe 绿色开采主义的矛盾:分析欧洲能源转型的金属需求
IF 7.4 2区 经济学
Energy Research & Social Science Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104518
Valenttina Cardozo Useche , Francesca Poggi
{"title":"The contradiction of green extractivism: Analyzing the metals demands for a just energy transition in Europe","authors":"Valenttina Cardozo Useche ,&nbsp;Francesca Poggi","doi":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104518","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104518","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The full decarbonization of Europe's energy matrix presents a contradiction: achieving it demands vast metal extraction, raising serious environmental and geopolitical concerns. This study critically evaluates the feasibility of a Just Energy Transition (JET) by analyzing the quantities and geographic locations of 19 key metals required for Europe's decarbonization across a set of defined scenarios. The methods applied were the generation of a database on the material intensity of renewable energy technologies, the cross-referencing of this database with the existing global mining capacities database of S&amp;P Global, and their subsequent analysis through pluriversality design and redesign principles. The latter is used in this work as an epistemological framework that allows reading the results beyond the technocratic approach. The results reveal four major obstacles that hinder a JET: the preponderance of onshore wind and solar technologies, limited reserves for 10 of the 19 analyzed metals, persistent Global North-South asymmetries, and the concentration of critical deposits in specific vulnerable regions, as well as in commercial terms. These factors risk reinforcing neocolonial extractive patterns. The study concludes that it is necessary to consider the geopolitical and social, cultural and environmental implications of mining required by energy transition technologies to define scenarios aligned with a Just Energy Transition.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48384,"journal":{"name":"Energy Research & Social Science","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104518"},"PeriodicalIF":7.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145840072","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Beyond geopolitics: Social license and supply chain risks of critical minerals 超越地缘政治:关键矿产的社会许可和供应链风险
IF 7.4 2区 经济学
Energy Research & Social Science Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104490
Clement Sefa-Nyarko
{"title":"Beyond geopolitics: Social license and supply chain risks of critical minerals","authors":"Clement Sefa-Nyarko","doi":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104490","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104490","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper interrogates the concept of criticality in critical minerals, particularly as it pertains to the global supply chains essential for renewable energy and clean technologies. It begins by questioning whose interests define mineral criticality, noting that dominant perspectives (i.e., industry, state, and geopolitics) often marginalize sub-national concerns. A fourth dimension, the role of communities and the presence or absence of social license to operate, is widely studied in mining literature but rarely integrated into criticality assessments. Drawing on qualitative data and a case study of Ghana's emerging lithium sector, the paper reframes criticality to include sub-national social dynamics and offers a critical reflection on how social license functions as a risk factor in critical minerals governance. The findings reveal that delays in legal processes, exclusion from decision-making, and inadequate compensation disrupt livelihoods and heighten tensions in lithium-rich communities. These dynamics elevate the risk of social conflict, which in turn increases the cost of conflict for both state and companies. The paper argues that effective risk governance must embed principles of Free, Prior and Informed Consent, equitable beneficiation, and sustained community engagement. Social license to operate is not a static condition but a dynamic process that can be withdrawn, with significant implications for project timelines, reputational risk, investor confidence, and supply chains risks. As global competition intensifies over access to strategic minerals, the governance of mining sites in the Global South becomes important for supply chain assurance. The findings underscore the importance of integrating social dimensions into global criticality frameworks.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48384,"journal":{"name":"Energy Research & Social Science","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104490"},"PeriodicalIF":7.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145737179","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
To build or not to build? Sustainability narratives between growth-oriented ‘eco-markets’ and regulative ‘sufficiency’ in Germany's heat transition 建还是不建?在德国的热转型中,以增长为导向的“生态市场”和监管的“充足性”之间的可持续性叙事
IF 7.4 2区 经济学
Energy Research & Social Science Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104527
Valentin Sagvosdkin , Lukas Bäuerle , Josephine Semb , Barbara Praetorius
{"title":"To build or not to build? Sustainability narratives between growth-oriented ‘eco-markets’ and regulative ‘sufficiency’ in Germany's heat transition","authors":"Valentin Sagvosdkin ,&nbsp;Lukas Bäuerle ,&nbsp;Josephine Semb ,&nbsp;Barbara Praetorius","doi":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104527","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104527","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Narratives play a significant role in shaping sustainability transitions. The amendment to the German Building Energy Act (<em>Gebäudeenergiegesetz</em>) in 2023, aiming at stricter emission regulations for heating appliances, provides a striking example: its original version was weakened following a strong counter-campaign led by conservative and right-wing political actors. In media debates, misinformation and populist narratives of ‘the people’ affected by the GEG and a ‘green elite’ were used to delegitimize the amendment. However, it remains unclear if affected stakeholders share these narratives and what their visions of sustainability in heating and housing transitions entail. We employed semi-structured interviews to gain insights from 23 expert practitioners across 6 key stakeholder groups affected by the GEG. Content and narrative analysis reveal that sustainability as such is not directly questioned. Instead, two distinct narratives emerge: First, a <em>Sustainable Markets Narrative</em>, predominantly promoted by entrepreneurial actors, emphasising the need for new construction, innovation through markets, eco-efficiency, and market-compatible policies. Second, a <em>Sufficiency Narrative</em>, predominantly supported by Non-Governmental Organisations and administrative actors, that relies on policy mixes, considers rethinking ownership structures, and prioritises the conversion of existing buildings over new construction. However, this narrative is much less common and lacks positive, guiding imaginaries. To position policy proposals on a spectrum from weak to strong sufficiency, we referenced the Energy Sufficiency Policy Database. We find consensus across stakeholders regarding weak approaches such as senior-friendly shared housing or energy consultancy. Regulatory policies like rent caps are absent, indicating a notable science-stakeholder gap regarding stronger sufficiency proposals.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48384,"journal":{"name":"Energy Research & Social Science","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104527"},"PeriodicalIF":7.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145925075","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Designing effective demand response: A review of behavioral insights, consumer engagement, and operational strategies in energy systems 设计有效的需求响应:回顾能源系统中的行为洞察、消费者参与和运营策略
IF 7.4 2区 经济学
Energy Research & Social Science Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104474
Duc D. Vu , Akhtar Hussain , Duc-Minh Vu , Xiao Zhang , Van-Hai Bui
{"title":"Designing effective demand response: A review of behavioral insights, consumer engagement, and operational strategies in energy systems","authors":"Duc D. Vu ,&nbsp;Akhtar Hussain ,&nbsp;Duc-Minh Vu ,&nbsp;Xiao Zhang ,&nbsp;Van-Hai Bui","doi":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104474","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104474","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Demand response (DR) programs help electricity systems balance supply and demand by encouraging consumers to adjust their usage in response to price signals or incentives. As population growth, urbanization, and the electrification of transportation and industry continue to increase energy needs, flexible and effective DR programs have become increasingly important. However, consumer participation remains difficult to secure because individuals are influenced by a range of cognitive factors that shape how they perceive and respond to DR incentives. In this paper, we identify five broad categories of cognitive influences that systematically affect consumer decision-making in DR settings. For each category, we provide representative examples from DR programs and review the relevant literature. We then develop a conceptual framework linking consumer engagement, cognitive influences, and socioeconomic factors, and propose unified strategies for integrating behavioral interventions at each stage of the DR engagement process. These strategies aim not only to strengthen consumer participation but also to enhance the overall effectiveness of DR programs. By deepening our understanding of how behavioral factors shape consumer responses, this review offers actionable insights for practitioners, policymakers, and researchers seeking to design DR interventions that improve energy system performance while promoting efficiency and sustainable consumption habits.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48384,"journal":{"name":"Energy Research & Social Science","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104474"},"PeriodicalIF":7.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145685449","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The temporal evolution of resistance strategies during low-carbon transitions: Revealing the industry playbook of US, German, and Japanese automakers in the unfolding electric vehicle transition (1990–2025) 低碳转型中阻力策略的时间演化:揭示美国、德国和日本汽车制造商在电动汽车转型中的行业剧本(1990-2025)
IF 7.4 2区 经济学
Energy Research & Social Science Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2025.104492
Frank W. Geels , Karen Smith Stegen , Gregory Trencher , Peter Wells
{"title":"The temporal evolution of resistance strategies during low-carbon transitions: Revealing the industry playbook of US, German, and Japanese automakers in the unfolding electric vehicle transition (1990–2025)","authors":"Frank W. Geels ,&nbsp;Karen Smith Stegen ,&nbsp;Gregory Trencher ,&nbsp;Peter Wells","doi":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104492","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.erss.2025.104492","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Building on research into the types of resistance strategies employed by incumbent firms (including framing, lobbying, organised pressure, and litigation), this article investigates the temporal development of these strategies during low-carbon transitions. Rather than understanding resistance as a temporary phenomenon in early transition stages, we conceptualise it as a dimension recurring over multiple phases. We develop an ideal-type framework of changes in the type and focus of resistance strategies during five phases of low-carbon reorientation, thereby identifying the industry playbook. We apply this framework to three case studies of incumbent automakers in the United States, Germany, and Japan, which since the 1990s have used multiple resistance strategies while reorienting towards battery electric vehicles (BEVs). We find that US automakers resisted strongly from the early 1990s, that German automakers gradually increased their resistance strategies over time, and that Japanese automakers hardly resisted in early phases (because of their reorientation towards hybrid electric vehicles) but strongly resisted BEVs in later phases. We further find that US automakers used more overt confrontational strategies, while Japanese and German automakers relied on less visible lobbying and consultation tactics. Automakers used resistance strategies throughout the entire case study duration but shifted focus in the last period from opposing the <em>direction</em> of travel towards resisting the <em>speed</em> of change. Although automakers are now significantly reorienting towards BEVs, they continue to use resistance strategies. We explain this paradox by suggesting that automakers play multi-dimensional chess, in which they reorient in some dimensions while resisting in others.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48384,"journal":{"name":"Energy Research & Social Science","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 104492"},"PeriodicalIF":7.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145790346","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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