{"title":"Deferred annuities with gender-neutral pricing: Benefitting most women without adversely affecting too many men","authors":"Sau-Him Paul Lau , Yinan Ying","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104947","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104947","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Many countries emphasize gender equality and ban gender-based annuity pricing, leading to more heterogeneous health characteristics and market inefficiency. Governments may respond by offering deferred annuities when annuitants' health characteristics are more similar at an earlier age. The two combined policies benefit most female annuitants without adversely affecting too many male annuitants, contrasting to the well-known result that imposing gender-neutral pricing benefits all women but adversely affects all men, when only immediate annuities are available. Within each gender group, these two policy interventions benefit annuitants with average health, but may adversely affect those on either end.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":"168 ","pages":"Article 104947"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142129684","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Firm financing and the relative demand for labor and capital","authors":"Khalid ElFayoumi","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104946","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104946","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Using more than one million firm-year observations of small and medium European firms between 2003 and 2019, this paper introduces new stylized facts on how firms' relative demand for labor and capital evolved as their capital structure adjusted to the events of the 2008 crisis. It also provides micro-level evidence that firms substitute capital for labor when financing costs rise. The empirical evidence lends support to the hypothesis that substitution is driven by an incentive to raise holdings of collateralizable capital. Identification of exogenous variations in firm financing costs relies on the heterogeneous effects of ECB monetary policy surprises on financing costs across the firm distribution.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":"168 ","pages":"Article 104946"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142162845","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Corrigendum to “Applications of Markov chain approximation methods to optimal control problems in economics” [Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 143:104437, October 2022]","authors":"Thomas Phelan, Keyvan Eslami","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104933","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104933","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":"168 ","pages":"Article 104933"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165188924001258/pdfft?md5=d34d09a5ee8a5107acdc5cdd15296099&pid=1-s2.0-S0165188924001258-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142083227","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Optimism leads to optimality: Ambiguity in network formation","authors":"Péter Bayer , Ani Guerdjikova","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104944","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104944","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We analyze a model of endogenous two-sided network formation where players are affected by uncertainty about their opponents' decisions. We model this uncertainty using the notion of equilibrium under ambiguity as in <span><span>Eichberger and Kelsey (2014)</span></span>. Unlike the set of Nash equilibria, the set of equilibria under ambiguity does not always include underconnected and thus inefficient networks such as the empty network. On the other hand, it may include networks with unreciprocated, one-way links, which comes with an efficiency loss as linking efforts are costly. We characterize equilibria under ambiguity and provide conditions under which increased player optimism comes with an increase in connectivity and realized benefits in equilibrium. Next, we analyze network realignment under a myopic updating process with optimistic shocks and derive a global stability condition of efficient networks in the sense of <span><span>Kandori et al. (1993)</span></span>. Under this condition, a subset of the Pareto optimal equilibrium networks is reached, specifically, networks that maximize the players' total benefits of connections.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":"168 ","pages":"Article 104944"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142083258","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Long-run economic growth despite population decline","authors":"Holger Strulik","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104943","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104943","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>When economic growth is driven by the discovery of new ideas and physical labor is the input in ideas production, population decline inevitably leads to the stagnation of living standards. Here, I reconsider the problem of declining population when ideas are produced by an educated workforce and show that steady positive growth of ideas and income is a plausible outcome. The reason is that the accumulation of human capital offsets the negative effects of population growth. In a general equilibrium model with diminishing returns to education, I show that households generate the constant education effort needed to sustain high economic growth.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":"168 ","pages":"Article 104943"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165188924001350/pdfft?md5=91a30775dbc66d7626af32305b751086&pid=1-s2.0-S0165188924001350-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142083257","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Corruption and supply-side economics","authors":"Wilbur John Coleman II","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104942","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104942","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper develops a model of the effects of tax rates chosen optimally to promote growth and public welfare in the face of corruption. For a given level of corruption, public spending can promote growth but high tax rates in pursuit of various social goals have potentially significant supply-side economics effects that reduce income. Governments faced with rampant corruption optimally choose low tax rates, thus associating poor countries with low tax rates, and confounding the observed relation between tax rates and income. The model is estimated using cross-country data on income, tax rates, and corruption and is shown to match key features of the data. The chief contribution of this paper is to stress the importance of jointly considering the effects of corruption and taxation in documenting evidence in support of supply-side economics.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":"168 ","pages":"Article 104942"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142041217","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Pairs trading with costly short-selling","authors":"Jing Xu, Peiquan Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104941","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104941","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We study an optimal pairs trading model with costly short-selling. When the investor has logarithm utility function, we derive the solution in closed form, which shows that: the optimal allocation functions are piece-wise linear in the pair's relative price; stock borrowing fees asymmetrically reduce the optimal size of the long/short position; and for risk-hedging purpose, it can be optimal to short sell even when the stock borrowing fees outweigh the expected return earned from short selling. When the investor has power utility function, we propose analytical allocation functions adopting which only causes a small utility loss. When the investor is constrained from borrowing funds, the margin requirement for short selling can significantly affect the trading strategy. Empirically, we demonstrate the importance of incorporating short selling costs when trading pairs in China's stock market and verify the model-implied relation between short selling costs and profitability of pairs trading.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":"168 ","pages":"Article 104941"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142011370","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Financing green entrepreneurs under limited commitment","authors":"Alain Bensoussan , Benoit Chevalier-Roignant , Nam Nguyen , Alejandro Rivera","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104930","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104930","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Risk-averse entrepreneurs interact with financiers to fund their projects. Projects can be operated under green or dirty technologies. We explore the role of limited commitment in determining the adoption of green technologies when governments enact carbon taxes and/or directed investment subsidies. We show that entrepreneurial (respectively, financier) limited commitment makes it more (less) costly for governments to encourage green technology adoption. Because green technologies are still at an early stage, the cash flows they generate are back-loaded. Entrepreneurial limited commitment forces consumption to increase over time, thereby undermining risk-sharing and making dirty technologies more attractive. By contrast, under financier limited commitment, the possibility that front-loaded dirty technologies become obsolete forces consumption to decrease over time, thereby impairing risk-sharing and making green technologies more attractive. We also show that carbon taxes (directed technology subsidies) are more cost-effective when entrepreneurs (financiers) display limited commitment.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":"168 ","pages":"Article 104930"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142095414","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Welfare and economic implications of universal child benefits","authors":"Aleksandra Kolasa","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104932","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104932","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Universal child benefits are an important component of the social protection systems in many developed economies, particularly in Europe. When evaluating their impact, most studies tend to focus primarily on the empirical evidence and short-term effects. However, given their large-scale implementation, such programs can have sizable general equilibrium effects. The aim of this paper is to study the long-run implications of universal child benefits within a theoretical framework that can capture the complexities of household decisions regarding consumption, labor participation, and the timing of children. To this end, I develop an overlapping generations model with idiosyncratic earnings risk, infertility shocks, and endogenous temporal fertility. According to the model simulations, universal child benefits lead to a reduction in the spacing between children and, on average, lower maternal age at childbirth for all births. This, in turn, alleviates some of the negative aggregate effects typically associated with redistributive policies, but has a detrimental impact on the average quality of children. Finally, universal child benefits increase ex-ante welfare by 0.42% of lifetime adult consumption, significantly outperforming broad-based transfer policies not tied to the number of children.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":"167 ","pages":"Article 104932"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165188924001246/pdfft?md5=be2ee5038ded185acf5cd9e7e49510b1&pid=1-s2.0-S0165188924001246-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142006633","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Shikun Wang , Shushang Zhu , Yi Huang , Zhongfei Li
{"title":"Estimation of expected return integrating real-time asset prices implied information and historical data","authors":"Shikun Wang , Shushang Zhu , Yi Huang , Zhongfei Li","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104931","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104931","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this paper, we develop a novel estimation for expected stock returns combining forward-looking information implied by real-time asset prices and backward-looking information implied by historical data. Considering a general heterogeneous market composed of both informed investors and noise investors, we investigate the market equilibrium characterized by the expected returns, risk-neutral moments and market portfolio. To mitigate the negative impact of the market noise on the forward-looking information implied in market equilibrium, we then incorporate historical data and propose the combined estimation for expected return within a Bayesian framework. The combined estimation is adaptive to the market composition and adjustable to changes in market states. Monte Carlo simulations and empirical studies are performed to validate the merits of the proposed approach.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":"167 ","pages":"Article 104931"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142006632","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}