Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control最新文献

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Tax reforms and network effects 税收改革和网络效应
IF 1.9 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control Pub Date : 2024-04-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104862
Bruno R. Delalibera , Pedro Cavalcanti Ferreira , Diego B.P. Gomes , Johann Soares
{"title":"Tax reforms and network effects","authors":"Bruno R. Delalibera ,&nbsp;Pedro Cavalcanti Ferreira ,&nbsp;Diego B.P. Gomes ,&nbsp;Johann Soares","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104862","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104862","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper investigates the effects of a tax reform that eliminates tax rate heterogeneity and cumulative taxation using a general equilibrium model with multiple sectors with market power. Industries are connected through input-output linkages, and changes in taxation are not confined within industries. We calibrate the model to Brazil, a country with a highly distorted tax system. The revenue-neutral tax reform generates gains of 7.9% of GDP and 1.8% of welfare. Just eliminating VAT rate dispersion leads to a 6.0% increase in GDP. Due to propagation effects, in 10 sectors direct taxes increased but output and profits did not fall.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140618970","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Exact simulation of the Hull and White stochastic volatility model 赫尔与怀特随机波动模型的精确模拟
IF 1.9 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104861
Riccardo Brignone , Luca Gonzato
{"title":"Exact simulation of the Hull and White stochastic volatility model","authors":"Riccardo Brignone ,&nbsp;Luca Gonzato","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104861","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104861","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We show how to simulate exactly the asset price and the variance under the Hull and White stochastic volatility model. We derive analytical formulas for the Laplace transform of the time integral of volatility conditional on the variance level at the endpoint of the time interval and the Laplace transform of integrated variance conditional on both integrated volatility and variance. Based on these results, we simulate the model through a nested-conditional factorization approach, where Laplace transforms are inverted through the (conditional) Fourier-cosine (COS) method. Under this model, our approach can be used to generate unbiased estimates for the price of derivatives instruments. We propose some variants of the exact simulation scheme for computing unbiased estimates of option prices and sensitivities, a difficult task in the Hull and White model. These variants also allow for a significant reduction in the Monte Carlo simulation estimator's variance (around 93-98%) and the computing time (around 22%) when pricing options. The performances of the proposed algorithms are compared with various benchmarks. Numerical results demonstrate the faster convergence rate of the error in our method, which achieves an <span><math><mi>O</mi><mo>(</mo><msup><mrow><mi>s</mi></mrow><mrow><mo>−</mo><mn>1</mn><mo>/</mo><mn>2</mn></mrow></msup><mo>)</mo></math></span> convergence rate, where <em>s</em> is the total computational budget, largely outperforming the benchmark.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-04-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165188924000538/pdfft?md5=bb7c8eabfc4735788307c8ca8aaeaf92&pid=1-s2.0-S0165188924000538-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140557997","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Inflation targeting and firm performance in developing countries 发展中国家的通胀目标和公司业绩
IF 1.9 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104854
Bao-We-Wal Bambe , Jean-Louis Combes , Kabinet Kaba , Alexandru Minea
{"title":"Inflation targeting and firm performance in developing countries","authors":"Bao-We-Wal Bambe ,&nbsp;Jean-Louis Combes ,&nbsp;Kabinet Kaba ,&nbsp;Alexandru Minea","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104854","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104854","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Using a panel of 31,027 firms in 47 developing countries over the period 2006-2020, this paper looks at the effects of inflation targeting on firm performance. Estimations performed using entropy balancing to address endogeneity in policy adoption reveal that inflation targeting significantly increases firm performance, mainly measured by sales growth and productivity growth. This effect is robust to a wide range of tests (including alternative models, measures, and samples), and may vary under different macroeconomic and firms' structural characteristics. Lastly, by looking at possible transmission channels, we reveal that these favorable effects seem related with the capacity of the inflation targeting framework to reduce macroeconomic instability.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-04-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140767558","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Using a hyperbolic cross to solve non-linear macroeconomic models 利用双曲交叉求解非线性宏观经济模型
IF 1.9 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control Pub Date : 2024-04-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104860
Richard Dennis
{"title":"Using a hyperbolic cross to solve non-linear macroeconomic models","authors":"Richard Dennis","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104860","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104860","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The paper presents a sparse grid approximation method based on the hyperbolic cross and applies it to solve non-linear macroeconomic models. We show how the standard hyperbolic cross can be extended to give greater control over the approximating grid and we discuss how to implement an anisotropic hyperbolic cross. Applying the approximation method to four macroeconomic models, we establish that it delivers a level of accuracy on par or better than Smolyak's method and that it can produce accurate approximations using fewer points than Smolyak's method.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-04-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165188924000526/pdfft?md5=170c0c1e38593284ec7177120ce81df9&pid=1-s2.0-S0165188924000526-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140551227","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Gender specific distortions, entrepreneurship and misallocation 因性别而异的扭曲、创业和分配不当
IF 1.9 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control Pub Date : 2024-04-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104858
Ashantha Ranasinghe
{"title":"Gender specific distortions, entrepreneurship and misallocation","authors":"Ashantha Ranasinghe","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104858","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104858","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Women account for a small share of all business owners and a small share of the market in India's manufacturing sector. To account for these patterns, I estimate the extent of gender-specific distortions to operating a business using firm-level data. Feeding these estimates that differ across gender into a standard framework of heterogeneous producers replicates key features of the firm size distribution, on aggregate and across gender. While women face high entry barriers into entrepreneurship, they have modest impacts on female market shares when there are sharp differences in distortions across gender along the intensive margin of entrepreneurship. Policies that promote female entrepreneurship are effective, yet have only modest impacts on aggregate productivity. These findings are not unique to India, and apply across a broader set of countries.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165188924000502/pdfft?md5=52d8454e9148dd281bd61a52658dce5f&pid=1-s2.0-S0165188924000502-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140543116","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Pseudospectral methods for continuous-time heterogeneous-agent models 连续时间异质代理模型的伪谱方法
IF 1.9 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104856
Constantin Schesch
{"title":"Pseudospectral methods for continuous-time heterogeneous-agent models","authors":"Constantin Schesch","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104856","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104856","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We propose a pseudospectral method to solve heterogeneous-agent models in continuous time. The solution is approximated as a sum of smooth global basis functions, in our case polynomials represented by their values at Chebyshev nodes. We illustrate the method by applying it to a Krusell-Smith model. It solves the differential equations characterizing the steady-state efficiently and precisely, despite using only very few nodes. System dynamics are then automatically differentiated to simulate a linearized model. The full solution takes a third of a second and only uses standard software. A benchmark against finite differences shows that pseudospectral methods achieve far greater precision for a given number of nodes and for a given runtime. We conclude by discussing the methods' applicability, which is promising for smooth multi-dimensional models.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-04-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140555129","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
On the adaptation of the Lagrange formalism to continuous time stochastic optimal control: A Lagrange-Chow redux 论拉格朗日形式主义对连续时间随机最优控制的适应:拉格朗日-乔的翻版
IF 1.9 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104855
Christian Oliver Ewald , Charles Nolan
{"title":"On the adaptation of the Lagrange formalism to continuous time stochastic optimal control: A Lagrange-Chow redux","authors":"Christian Oliver Ewald ,&nbsp;Charles Nolan","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104855","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104855","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We show how the classical Lagrangian approach to solving constrained optimization problems from standard calculus can be extended to solve continuous time stochastic optimal control problems. Connections to mainstream approaches such as the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation and the stochastic maximum principle are drawn. Our approach is linked to the stochastic maximum principle, but more direct and tied to the classical Lagrangian principle, avoiding the use of backward stochastic differential equations in its formulation. Using infinite dimensional functional analysis, we formalize and extend the approach first outlined in <span>Chow (1992)</span> within a rigorous mathematical setting using infinite dimensional functional analysis. We provide examples that demonstrate the usefulness and effectiveness of our approach in practice. Further, we demonstrate the potential for numerical applications facilitating some of our key equations in combination with Monte Carlo backward simulation and linear regression, therefore illustrating a completely different and new avenue for the numerical application of Chow's methods.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-04-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165188924000472/pdfft?md5=6fe46ccf8bd5aac962492fe7fcb5bbd6&pid=1-s2.0-S0165188924000472-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140539344","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
How clean capital slows down disinvestment of carbon-intensive capital in the low-carbon transition 清洁资本如何在低碳转型中减缓碳密集型资本的撤资速度
IF 1.9 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104857
Wei Jin , Frederick van der Ploeg , Lin Zhang
{"title":"How clean capital slows down disinvestment of carbon-intensive capital in the low-carbon transition","authors":"Wei Jin ,&nbsp;Frederick van der Ploeg ,&nbsp;Lin Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104857","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104857","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper explores a novel mechanism through which transitions to a low-carbon economy can proceed smoothly without excessive disinvestment in carbon-intensive capital. The mechanism is analyzed in a Lucas-Uzawa green growth model with carbon-temperature dynamics. Due to the externalities associated with climate damages and learning by doing, insufficient resources are allocated towards investment in clean capital in the business-as-usual market economy. Without green subsidies to stimulate clean capital investment, pricing emissions to internalize the social cost of carbon causes disinvestment in carbon-intensive capital and increases the costs of low-carbon transitions. Pricing emissions and subsidizing clean investment yield a higher return on clean capital and boost clean capital accumulation. This curbs disinvestment in carbon-intensive capital and limits carbon emissions. This highlights the positive role of clean capital for smoothing low-carbon transitions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140549306","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Heterogeneity in the effects of uncertainty shocks on labor market dynamics and extensive vs. intensive margins of adjustment 不确定性冲击对劳动力市场动态以及广泛调整边际与密集调整边际影响的异质性
IF 1.9 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104859
Sangyup Choi , Davide Furceri , Seung Yong Yoo
{"title":"Heterogeneity in the effects of uncertainty shocks on labor market dynamics and extensive vs. intensive margins of adjustment","authors":"Sangyup Choi ,&nbsp;Davide Furceri ,&nbsp;Seung Yong Yoo","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104859","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104859","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The real option value theory posits that non-convex adjustment costs pertaining to a firm's input are central to comprehending the consequences of increased uncertainty. This paper leverages the diversity observed at both sectoral and country levels in the degree of irreversibility associated with hiring and firing, a critical factor generating what is commonly referred to as “wait-and-see” behavior in times of heightened uncertainty. Our empirical findings reveal two key insights. First, in alignment with the concept of second-moment shocks, uncertainty shocks predominantly influence the labor market through the extensive margin rather than the intensive margin. Second, the effects of uncertainty shocks exhibit pronounced heterogeneity across countries and industries, and the adverse employment effects (extensive margin) are amplified in a country with strict employment protection or in an industry characterized by a higher natural layoff rate, consistent with the real option theory.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140347920","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Artificial neural networks to solve dynamic programming problems: A bias-corrected Monte Carlo operator 人工神经网络解决动态编程问题:偏差校正蒙特卡罗算子
IF 1.9 3区 经济学
Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104853
Julien Pascal
{"title":"Artificial neural networks to solve dynamic programming problems: A bias-corrected Monte Carlo operator","authors":"Julien Pascal","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104853","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2024.104853","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) are powerful tools that can solve dynamic programming problems arising in economics. In this context, estimating ANN parameters involves minimizing a loss function based on the model's stochastic functional equations. In general, the expectations appearing in the loss function admit no closed-form solution, so numerical approximation techniques must be used. In this paper, I analyze a bias-corrected Monte Carlo operator (bc-MC) that approximates expectations by Monte Carlo. I show that the bc-MC operator is a generalization of the all-in-one expectation operator, already proposed in the literature. I demonstrate that, under some conditions on the primitives of the economic model, the bc-MC operator is the unbiased estimator of the loss function with the minimum variance. I propose a method to optimally set the hyperparameters defining the bc-MC operator, and illustrate the findings numerically with well-known economic models. I also demonstrate that the bc-MC operator can scale to high-dimensional models. With just approximately a minute of computing time, I find a global solution to an economic model with a kink in the decision function and more than 100 dimensions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-03-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140347992","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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