European Journal of Political Research最新文献_第6页

From bonus to burden: The cost of ruling from a new(s) perspective 从奖金到负担：从新角度看执政成本

IF 3.6 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12670

GUNNAR THESEN, CHRISTOFFER GREEN-PEDERSEN, PETER MORTENSEN

{"title":"From bonus to burden: The cost of ruling from a new(s) perspective","authors":"GUNNAR THESEN, CHRISTOFFER GREEN-PEDERSEN, PETER MORTENSEN","doi":"10.1111/1475-6765.12670","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1475-6765.12670","url":null,"abstract":"Studies have repeatedly documented the cost of ruling: governing parties generally suffer electoral defeats. We approach this empirical law of political science from the perspective of another empirical law: the incumbency bonus, the fact that incumbents get more media attention than the opposition. Our claim is that the bonus constitutes an electoral liability because it reflects the critical approach of media to government power. News featuring incumbents is therefore associated with a more negative tone than news featuring the opposition. This incumbency burden in turn affects government support negatively. Empirically, we draw on an extensive news corpus covering four European countries over two decades, combined with monthly poll data. Analyses show that the incumbency burden in political news is an empirical reality, and that variations in the burden contribute substantially to predictions of government support. Finally, the negative burden effect is stronger for single-party cabinets, but stable throughout government tenure.","PeriodicalId":48273,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Research","volume":"63 4","pages":"1601-1621"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1475-6765.12670","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140247083","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The backlash against free movement: Does EU-internal migration fuel public concerns about immigration? 对自由流动的反弹：欧盟内部移民是否加剧了公众对移民的担忧？

IF 3.6 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2024-03-07 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12666

LUKAS F. STOETZER, MARTIN KROH, LEONARD DASEY

引用次数: 0

Mainstreaming democratic backsliding: The role of gender stereotypes 民主倒退主流化：性别陈规定型观念的作用

IF 3.6 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2024-03-07 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12667

JULIA ELAD-STRENGER, LIHI BEN-SHITRIT, SIVAN HIRSCH-HOEFLER

{"title":"Mainstreaming democratic backsliding: The role of gender stereotypes","authors":"JULIA ELAD-STRENGER, LIHI BEN-SHITRIT, SIVAN HIRSCH-HOEFLER","doi":"10.1111/1475-6765.12667","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1475-6765.12667","url":null,"abstract":"Radical-right parties have gradually penetrated the political mainstream in many liberal democracies, marking a trend of ‘democratic backsliding’. We propose that women's increasing visibility as representatives of radical-right agendas makes democratic backsliders, their policies and their parties seem more legitimate, and may help explain their growing public acceptance. Our studies provide the first systematic examination of this hypothesis in three countries – Israel, Germany and the United States (N = 7203). In Studies 1a-c, we show that voters perceive democracy-eroding policies through a gendered lens – they attribute gender stereotypes to the parties promoting these policies and to the public supporting these policies. In Studies 2a-c, we experimentally demonstrate the effect of politicians’ gender on public acceptance of democracy-eroding policies, politicians and parties, and demonstrate the role of gender stereotypes in mediating this effect. Finally, we show that the audiences susceptible to the mainstreaming effect of politicians’ gender are precisely those that are often particularly repelled by radical-right agendas and their perceived masculine image: Women and left-wing voters.","PeriodicalId":48273,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Research","volume":"63 4","pages":"1397-1425"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-03-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1475-6765.12667","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140260579","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Did Merkel's 2015 decision attract more migration to Germany? 默克尔 2015 年的决定是否吸引了更多移民前往德国？

IF 3.6 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12669

JASPER TJADEN, TOBIAS HEIDLAND

{"title":"Did Merkel's 2015 decision attract more migration to Germany?","authors":"JASPER TJADEN, TOBIAS HEIDLAND","doi":"10.1111/1475-6765.12669","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1475-6765.12669","url":null,"abstract":"In 2015, German Chancellor Angela Merkel decided to allow over a million asylum seekers to cross the border into Germany. One key concern was that her decision would signal an open-door policy to aspiring migrants worldwide – thus further increasing migration to Germany and making the country permanently more attractive to irregular and humanitarian migrants. This ‘pull-effect’ hypothesis has been a mainstay of policy discussions ever since. With the continued global rise in forced displacement, not appearing welcoming to migrants has become a guiding principle for the asylum policy of many large receiving countries. In this article, we exploit the unique case study that Merkel's 2015 decision provides for answering the fundamental question of whether welcoming migration policies have sustained effects on migration towards destination countries. We analyze an extensive range of data on migration inflows, migration aspirations and online search interest between 2000 and 2020. The results reject the ‘pull effect’ hypothesis while reaffirming states’ capacity to adapt to changing contexts and regulate migration.","PeriodicalId":48273,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Research","volume":"64 1","pages":"389-405"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-03-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1475-6765.12669","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140263213","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Are right-wing populists more likely to justify political violence? 右翼民粹主义者是否更有可能为政治暴力辩护？

IF 3.6 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2024-03-04 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12668

MIKU MATSUNAGA

{"title":"Are right-wing populists more likely to justify political violence?","authors":"MIKU MATSUNAGA","doi":"10.1111/1475-6765.12668","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1475-6765.12668","url":null,"abstract":"Do individuals with right-wing populist ideologies have higher violence-justification attitudes than those supporting different political ideologies? While the literature has confirmed the association between political violence and populism, research on which components of populist ideologies relate to individual attitudes towards political violence is relatively scarce. Based on 18 European democracies, this research note examines whether right-wing populist individuals are more likely to justify political violence to pursue their political goals. The analyses reveal that right-wing populists are generally more likely to justify political violence compared to mainstream voters and non-voters. Additionally, left-wing populist voters also support political violence, although the effect size is comparatively smaller. This indicates that voters’ radicalisation depends on populist ideologies rather than left-right ideological distinctions. The effect among right-wing populists depends on city residence, gender and immigration status. Subsequent analyses suggest that right-wing populists’ attitudes towards violence are not conditional on nativism or anti-immigration perceptions. These findings contribute to the general understanding of the nature and consequences of populism.","PeriodicalId":48273,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Research","volume":"64 1","pages":"374-388"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-03-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1475-6765.12668","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140265792","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Multidimensional and intersectional cultural grievances over gender, sexuality and immigration 对性别、性和移民问题的多层面和交叉性文化不满

IF 3.6 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2024-02-22 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12665

GEFJON OFF

{"title":"Multidimensional and intersectional cultural grievances over gender, sexuality and immigration","authors":"GEFJON OFF","doi":"10.1111/1475-6765.12665","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1475-6765.12665","url":null,"abstract":"In addition to immigration grievances, research shows that radical right voters grieve societal developments regarding gender equality and sexual freedom. Adding to research treating these grievances separately, this article advances a joint understanding of these grievances. I analyse interviews with voters of the German radical right Alternative für Deutschland for perceptions about discrimination and (dis)advantages of natives versus immigrants, men versus women and cis-hetero versus LGBTQI+ people. I find similar argumentations about these social groups: Most interviewees do not perceive existing structural discrimination. They further perceive zero-sum dynamics between advances for outgroups and losses for ingroups. In doing so, they consider different ingroup and outgroup characteristics, resulting in perceptions of different material and symbolic (dis)advantages for different groups and a hitherto under-researched perception of legal (dis)advantages. Additionally, some interviewees jointly refer to various social groups in an expression of ‘multidimensional’ grievances, and some refer to the intersections between several ingroup and outgroup identities in determining a person's (dis)advantages. The parallels in argumentation and the perceptions of multidimensional and intersectional grievances highlight the importance of jointly studying different kinds of cultural grievances.","PeriodicalId":48273,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Research","volume":"63 4","pages":"1351-1373"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-02-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1475-6765.12665","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140438791","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

It's trade, stupid! How changes in trade competitiveness affect incumbents' electoral success 愚蠢的贸易贸易竞争力的变化如何影响现任者的选举成功

IF 3.6 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2024-02-19 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12663

ANDREAS DÜR, ROBERT A. HUBER, YANNICK STILLER

引用次数: 0

For every action a reaction? The polarizing effects of women's rights and refugee immigration: A survey experiment in 27 EU member states 每个行动都会有反应？妇女权利和难民移民的两极分化效应：欧盟 27 个成员国的调查实验

IF 3.6 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12664

AMY ALEXANDER, NICHOLAS CHARRON, GEFJON OFF

{"title":"For every action a reaction? The polarizing effects of women's rights and refugee immigration: A survey experiment in 27 EU member states","authors":"AMY ALEXANDER, NICHOLAS CHARRON, GEFJON OFF","doi":"10.1111/1475-6765.12664","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1475-6765.12664","url":null,"abstract":"Building on research on cultural threat-induced polarization, we investigate the effect of the individual-level salience of cultural threats on polarization between social liberals and conservatives. In a unique survey experiment conducted with 129,000 respondents nested in 208 regions in 27 European Union (EU) member states, we manipulate the presence of two cultural threats, women's rights, and refugee immigration, to test their polarizing effects on social liberals’ and social conservatives’ support for traditional values. We find that priming the threat of refugee immigration polarizes conservatives and liberals equally. Yet, introducing the salience of women's rights leads to lower preferences for traditional values, particularly among more liberal respondents. Our findings demonstrate: 1) the study of backlash should distinguish individuals by their predisposition to backlash, rather than studying the population as a whole; and 2) social conservatives’ backlash should be studied conjointly with social liberals’ counter-reactions to backlash. Future research may investigate why different cultural threats provoke different reactions.","PeriodicalId":48273,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Research","volume":"63 4","pages":"1557-1577"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-02-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1475-6765.12664","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139963352","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Russian aggression and Europeans’ attitudes toward the EU – Evidence from the 2014 annexation of Crimea 俄罗斯的侵略与欧洲人对欧盟的态度--2014 年吞并克里米亚事件的证据

IF 3.6 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2024-02-13 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12662

OSMAN SABRI KIRATLI

引用次数: 0

Political mobilisation and socioeconomic inequality in policy congruence 政策一致性中的政治动员和社会经济不平等

IF 3.6 1区社会学

European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12661

DAVID WEISSTANNER, CARSTEN JENSEN

{"title":"Political mobilisation and socioeconomic inequality in policy congruence","authors":"DAVID WEISSTANNER, CARSTEN JENSEN","doi":"10.1111/1475-6765.12661","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1475-6765.12661","url":null,"abstract":"In recent years, scholars have observed that political parties’ policy positions frequently fit the preferences of well-to-do voters better than those of the less well-to-do; a phenomenon known as policy congruence inequality. While the existence of inequality in policy congruence is well-established, we currently only have a modest understanding of the causes of it. We develop an argument proposing that the political mobilisation of citizens with low socioeconomic status (SES) both in the parliamentary channel, in the form of high turnout, and in the extra-parliamentary channel, in the form of high union density, is pivotal. Both high turnout and union density force parties to pay more attention to the preferences of the disadvantaged, thereby creating lower policy congruence inequality. To test the argument, we have collected and harmonised election surveys and party manifestos covering 90 elections in Australia, Denmark, Germany, Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom and the United States, covering several decades until today, yielding more than 120,000 voter–party dyads. Employing this new dataset, our results confirm that the political mobilisation of citizens with low SES is a strong predictor of policy congruence inequality. This finding nuances the conclusion of extant research by showing that low-SES citizens are not always on the losing side politically. It also implies the important role of maintaining or maybe even increasing turnout and union membership among the disadvantaged in society. Places where either turnout or union density is slipping in these years are likely to witness further increases in policy congruence inequality in the years to come.","PeriodicalId":48273,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Political Research","volume":"63 4","pages":"1540-1556"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139878445","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0