俄罗斯的侵略与欧洲人对欧盟的态度--2014 年吞并克里米亚事件的证据

IF 3.6 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE
OSMAN SABRI KIRATLI
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究报告探讨了欧盟(EU)周边的外部军事危机(战争除外)是否会影响人们对欧盟的态度。具体而言,我探讨了 2014 年俄罗斯对乌克兰的侵略是否提高了欧洲公民对欧盟的信任度和对加深一体化的支持度。在方法论上,我利用了 2014 年 3 月 18 日俄罗斯吞并克里米亚与同年春季进行的欧洲晴雨表调查(81.2)的时间巧合。准实验证据表明,在俄罗斯吞并克里米亚之后接受调查的欧洲公民更加信任欧盟,并表现出进一步融入欧洲的更大意愿,尤其是在欧盟 15 国中。此外,个人的教育水平也对治疗效果产生了强烈的调节作用,干预措施在受教育程度较高的人群中产生的效果最大。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Russian aggression and Europeans’ attitudes toward the EU – Evidence from the 2014 annexation of Crimea

This research note investigates whether external military crises, short of war, in the neighbourhood of the European Union (EU) affects attitudes toward the EU. Specifically, I explore whether the Russian aggression against Ukraine in 2014 fostered higher levels of trust in the EU and support for deeper integration among European citizens. Methodologically, I exploit the coincidental timing of the Russian annexation of Crimea on 18 March, 2014 with the fieldwork of the Eurobarometer survey (81.2) conducted in the spring of that year. The quasi-experimental evidence establishes that European citizens who were surveyed after the Russian annexation became more trusting of the EU and presented a greater willingness for further European integration, particularly so among EU-15 members. Moreover, the treatment effects were strongly moderated by individuals’ education levels, with the intervention exerting its greatest effect among the higher educated.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
10.00
自引率
5.70%
发文量
67
期刊介绍: European Journal of Political Research specialises in articles articulating theoretical and comparative perspectives in political science, and welcomes both quantitative and qualitative approaches. EJPR also publishes short research notes outlining ongoing research in more specific areas of research. The Journal includes the Political Data Yearbook, published as a double issue at the end of each volume.
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