{"title":"Is human capital risk lower in state-owned enterprises? — A textual analysis based on China's listed company annual reports","authors":"Haobo Tang , Huan Zhang , Yuzhen Guan , Hexuan Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102548","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102548","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Based on the annual reports of China's A-share listed companies from 2007 to 2020, this paper constructs a human capital risk index of China's listed companies through the methods of machine learning and explores the impact of state ownership on corporate human capital risk. The results show that compared with non-state-owned enterprises (non-SOEs), state-owned enterprises (SOEs) have lower human capital risk in China. Mechanism tests suggest that SOEs can offer higher compensation and benefits and maintain more stable employment relationships, which reduce human capital risk significantly. Additionally, this effect is more pronounced during periods of high economic policy uncertainty, in regions with weaker talent policies, and in areas with a lower proportion of aging labor force. The study also reveals that SOEs have lower human capital attraction and human capital retention risk than non-SOEs. Furthermore, SOEs have more educated and skilled employees, which contributes to higher human capital. Last, this study finds state ownership enhances innovation output, total factor productivity, and economic value added by mitigating human capital risk.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142423900","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hien Duc Han, Kartick Gupta, Chandrasekhar Krishnamurti
{"title":"Are labor laws and employee welfare complements in determining leverage ratios?","authors":"Hien Duc Han, Kartick Gupta, Chandrasekhar Krishnamurti","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102545","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102545","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Extant literature suggests that employee-friendly firms maintain lower leverage ratios in the US market, consistent with the stakeholder theory of capital structure. We examine the issue in a cross-country setting by using 33,769 firm-year observations from 41 countries. We find the firms that move from the bottom quartile to the top quartile of the Employee Welfare Index (EWI) decrease leverage ratio by approximately 180 basis points. However, country-level labor protection, and labor mobility in flexible labor markets are expected to exert strong influences on firm-level employee-friendly practices and corporate financial leverage. Importantly, we show that the firm-level leverage is relatively higher for employee-friendly firms when the country-level labor rights and protection are strong, suggesting that firms respond strategically to hard-bargaining by labor. In contrast, firm-level leverage is lower for employee-friendly firms in countries with flexible labor markets, implying that firms react in the opposite direction to soft-bargaining by labor.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142423898","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Gender culture and cross-border mergers and acquisitions: The deals with RCEP targets","authors":"Yenn-Ru Chen , Yu-Lin Huang , Ting-Yu Chang","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102544","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102544","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The initiation of RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership) provides a natural experiment to examine the impact of gender culture induced by women's empowerment on cross-border mergers and acquisitions (CBM&As). Using a sample of 2345 CBM&As with targets in RCEP countries from 1995 to 2019, this study finds that acquirers from countries with higher women's empowerment are less likely to target firms in ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) countries than firms in other RCEP countries. Meanwhile, gender culture induced by women's empowerment can only positively affect deal completion for RCEP acquirers. Consistent with the prediction based on women's social preference, acquirers in high-women-empowerment countries experience positive announcement returns but negative returns in the long run, especially when they bid on an ASEAN target. We find that such an effect of gender culture on M&A performance is associated with lower premiums, lower post-merger uncertainty, and higher implicit costs. Although acquirers in high-women-empowerment countries would pay a lower premium and experience less uncertainty for ASEAN acquisitions, their social concern induced by gender culture increases their post-merger operating costs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142423899","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Corporate governance and financial distress in China a multi-dimensional nonlinear study based on machine learning","authors":"Qingbin Meng , Xinxing Zheng , Solomon Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102549","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102549","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Promoting governance efficiency is crucial for preventing corporate financial distress. However, previous research has been constrained by limited dimensions of governance predictors and insufficient linear estimations to predict financial distress. To address this issue, this study gathers 37 corporate governance indicators of Chinese publicly listed firms from 2009 to 2022 in the dimensions of ownership structure, board features and executive traits. The LightGBM machine learning approach is then used to compare the predicting power of these individual indicators, as well as the predicting power of the dimensions. The SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) method is further adopted to conduct an in-depth interpretability analysis upon the established prediction. Our approach identifies the nonlinear effects of important corporate governance indicators on financial distress and prioritizes those indicators based on their impact levels. Our results show that the most influential indicator is institutional ownership, followed by managerial ownership and executive compensation disparity. In addition, the dimension of ownership structure has the highest predicting power among the three. Overall, our study provides new insights into how firms can optimize their corporate governance mechanisms to prevent financial distress.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142423904","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Salience, psychological anchors, and stock return predictability","authors":"Mei-Chen Lin","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102543","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102543","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines whether salience theory predicts the effect of a 52-week high (WH) on stocks in the Taiwanese stock market. The evidence indicates enhanced profits for WH when stocks with extremely salient payoffs are excluded. Salience-induced overvaluation mitigates investors' underreaction to good news when prices are near the WH, thus leading to non-significant positive returns for stocks with salient upsides. In contrast, salient downsides exacerbate investors' underreactions to good news when prices are close to their WHs, leading to greater positive returns. These findings do not result from short-term return reversals or investor attention. This effect is more pronounced for the stocks with higher arbitrage limits. The overestimation of the salient upsides dominates the underreaction to the WH when investors experience capital losses, high-sentiment, and upward market states.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142423902","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Xiaotong Yue , Xiaoran Kong , Qiuyun Zhao , Kung-Cheng Ho
{"title":"Impact of climate change risks on equity capital: Evidence-based on Chinese markets","authors":"Xiaotong Yue , Xiaoran Kong , Qiuyun Zhao , Kung-Cheng Ho","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102541","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102541","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The economic consequences of climate change at the enterprise level have received considerable attention. This study examines the positive effects of climate change risk on equity capital costs, which are realized through firms' operational risk, financial constraints, and the government's service environment. A higher corporate ESG rating enhances the positive effect of climate change risk on equity capital costs. We also find that the Paris Agreement has a benign policy effect on equity capital costs. Finally, expanding upon this groundwork, a thorough heterogeneity analysis has been conducted, encompassing three distinct dimensions—enterprise risk system, industry environmental attributes, and operational ecosystem.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142357127","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Does digital credit alleviate household income vulnerability?","authors":"Haijun Wang, Xiance Du, Chen Ge, Wanting Wu","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102542","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102542","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As a result of various internal and external risks and unstable expectations, the income vulnerability of households in various countries has come to the forefront, weakening the microfoundation of a stable macroeconomy. However, the booming development of digital credit may create favorable conditions for mitigating household income vulnerability and improving household economic resilience. Using data from the 2014–2020 China Family Panel Studies (CFPS), this paper explores the mechanism of the role of digital credit on household income vulnerability. Firstly, digital credit can help the household sector manage risks, effectively alleviate the credit constraints of the household sector, and mitigate household income vulnerability. Secondly, the development of digital credit mitigates household income vulnerability by promoting the breadth and depth of financial services. Thirdly, the heterogeneity analysis shows that the marginal utility of digital credit is higher for the income vulnerability of self-employed households, low-income disadvantaged households, and households in underdeveloped regions. Fourthly, the shock of the COVID-19 pandemic and the implementation of entrepreneurship assistance policies weakened digital credit's alleviation of household income vulnerability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142357040","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Does continuous disclosure affect the market reaction to mergers and acquisitions announcements?","authors":"Syed Shams , Sudipta Bose , Abeyratna Gunasekarage , Eswaran Velayutham","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102540","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102540","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We examine the association between the degree of continuous disclosure by bidders and the market reaction to the announcement of 3512 mergers and acquisitions (M&As) by Australian bidders during the period 2000–2017. Using four proxies for continuous disclosure (total number of disclosures, total number of sensitive disclosures, total number of pages, and total number of sensitive pages), we find a positive association between the market reaction to M&A announcements and the level of continuous disclosure made by bidders. These findings imply that investors, when assessing M&A deals, find bidders' disclosures to be informative and value relevant. Further analyses reveal that this positive association is more pronounced for private target acquisitions, stock-financed acquisitions, and unrelated acquisitions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142423895","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Capital infusions and Bank risk-taking behaviour","authors":"Vijaya B. Marisetty , Md Shoeb","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102539","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102539","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Despite theoretical predictions on the ill effects associated with capital infusions, the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) brought them into mainstream banking around the world. Empirical evidence on capital infusions during GFC supports the existence of moral hazard problem. However, what is not clear is whether the increase in bank risk post-capital infusions is due to an increase in bank risk-taking behaviour (moral hazard) or simply reflects an increase in the average firm-level risk due to poor economic conditions. We try to disentangle this issue by using capital infusion data in the Indian banking industry, where government capital infusions in public sector banks happen in all economic conditions and hence allow us to control for a non-crisis environment. Our results strongly support the moral hazard problem in banks, surrounded by no apparent economic crisis. The results are also independent of the bank's propensity to take risks and its financial health. One major implication of our findings is that repeated capital infusions to protect banks can be detrimental as it increases the fiscal risk of the country.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142312592","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Is there an intraday reversal effect in commodity futures and options? Evidence from the Chinese market","authors":"Luyuan Zheng , Xingguo Luo","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102534","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102534","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Based on the high-frequency data of China's commodity futures and options markets from 2017 to 2022, this article examines the intraday effect of China's commodity futures and options. The research of this article found that China's commodity futures and options have significant intraday reversal effects, and the overnight opening factor and intraday momentum factor are more significant. In addition, this article tests the cross-predictive ability of futures and options. The tests found that futures have a strong cross-predictive ability for options, while the cross-predictive ability of options to futures is weak. In response to this phenomenon, several tests are conducted. We consider the market makers' Gamma Hedge behavior, Vega Hedge behavior, and liquidity as factors. Our novel evidence indicates that all these aforementioned are related to the intraday reversal effect in the Chinese market.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142327885","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}