North American Journal of Economics and Finance最新文献

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Modeling mispricing risk of defined contribution pension plan with a mean–variance criteria 用均值方差标准模拟固定缴费养老金计划的错误定价风险
IF 3.8 3区 经济学
North American Journal of Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102237
Peiguang Wang , Zihui Wang , Wenli Wang
{"title":"Modeling mispricing risk of defined contribution pension plan with a mean–variance criteria","authors":"Peiguang Wang ,&nbsp;Zihui Wang ,&nbsp;Wenli Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.najef.2024.102237","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2024.102237","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This manuscript addresses modeling mispricing risk of defined contribution pension plan (DCPP) with a mean–variance criterion to obtain the optimal investment strategy. Provides a way for the sustainability of pensions by investing in the financial market. The pension manager’s objective is to maximize the expected terminal wealth while simultaneously minimizing the associated risk. We employ the stochastic dynamic programming principle (SDPP) and the Lagrange dual theorem to derive the efficient frontier and strategy, then two special cases are examined. Last, we conduct a numerical analysis to show how different parameters influence the efficient frontier and strategy. This analysis sheds light on the economic implications of our findings.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47831,"journal":{"name":"North American Journal of Economics and Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-07-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141583408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Closed-form approximations for basket option pricing under normal tempered stable Lévy model 正常节制稳定莱维模型下篮子期权定价的闭式近似值
IF 3.8 3区 经济学
North American Journal of Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102233
Dongdong Hu , Hasanjan Sayit , Jing Yao , Qifeng Zhong
{"title":"Closed-form approximations for basket option pricing under normal tempered stable Lévy model","authors":"Dongdong Hu ,&nbsp;Hasanjan Sayit ,&nbsp;Jing Yao ,&nbsp;Qifeng Zhong","doi":"10.1016/j.najef.2024.102233","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2024.102233","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this paper, we study the pricing problems of basket options and spread options under the Normal Tempered Stable Lévy model, which is a general model for financial assets and covers many well-known models as special cases such as the Variance Gamma model, Normal Inverse Gaussian model etc. Our approach draws inspiration from the lower bound approximation strategy used in Gaussian models in Bjerksund and Stensland (2014). The approximation formula we derived involves some one-dimensional integrations. We calculate these integrals using the generalized Gauss–Laguerre quadrature rule and Taylor expansion methods. In particular, we derive an analytical approximation formula under the Variance Gamma model for some exchange options. Moreover, we extend the approximation formulas proposed by Kirk (1995) and Carmona and Durrleman (2003b) to the Normal Tempered Stable Lévy model. Numerical tests show that our approximation formulas are highly accurate. Furthermore, we show that our approximation formulas outperform the Fourier inversion method introduced by Caldana et al. (2016) in accuracy, especially for low prices cases.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47831,"journal":{"name":"North American Journal of Economics and Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-07-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141583407","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Geopolitical risk hedging or timing: Evidence from hedge fund strategies 地缘政治风险对冲或时机选择:对冲基金策略的证据
IF 3.8 3区 经济学
North American Journal of Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102240
{"title":"Geopolitical risk hedging or timing: Evidence from hedge fund strategies","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.najef.2024.102240","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.najef.2024.102240","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>An increasing number of investors are concerned about how they can diversify risks and profits amid surging geopolitical uncertainties. Using a geopolitical risk timing/hedging model, we investigate whether hedge fund managers can effectively hedge or time geopolitical risks by adopting different trading strategies. We find that excluding those in the global macro category, hedge funds with higher minimum investments and management fees exhibit greater success in hedging geopolitical risks. Meanwhile, global macro hedge funds, which have longer lockup periods, are more adept at timing geopolitical risks by increasing their market exposures. Furthermore, hedge funds which are the top geopolitical risk hedgers and timers demonstrate higher economic value than those in the bottom group over the subsequent one and three months. Our findings provide valuable insights into private investors’ selection of hedge funds during periods of heightened geopolitical risk.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47831,"journal":{"name":"North American Journal of Economics and Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141637718","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Health burden, environmental decentralization and associated political achievements in China 中国的健康负担、环境权力下放及相关政治成就
IF 3.8 3区 经济学
North American Journal of Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102242
{"title":"Health burden, environmental decentralization and associated political achievements in China","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.najef.2024.102242","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.najef.2024.102242","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Environmental pollution has had a negative impact on the population’s well-being, impeding the pursuit of a better standard of living. This study seeks to investigate the impact of environmental decentralization in China on the health burden, thereby expanding research on environmental federalism, health, and welfare. Using panel data from 30 Chinese provinces, the empirical findings show that good environmental performance and moderate economic development significantly reduce the environmental health burden. Notably, as environmental decentralization increases, the impact of environmental performance becomes more pronounced, particularly in terms of environmental administration and monitoring. The effect of environmental performance in reducing health burdens is more visible in the northern and western regions with relatively severe pollution, as well as in the subsample with higher health burdens. Overall, this paper emphasizes the importance of political institutional factors in reducing the health burden.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47831,"journal":{"name":"North American Journal of Economics and Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141695808","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Stock market extreme risk prediction based on machine learning: Evidence from the American market 基于机器学习的股市极端风险预测:来自美国市场的证据
IF 3.8 3区 经济学
North American Journal of Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102241
Tingting Ren , Shaofang Li , Siying Zhang
{"title":"Stock market extreme risk prediction based on machine learning: Evidence from the American market","authors":"Tingting Ren ,&nbsp;Shaofang Li ,&nbsp;Siying Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.najef.2024.102241","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2024.102241","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Extreme risk in stock markets poses significant challenges, necessitating greater attention in related research. This study presents an effective machine-learning model for forecasting extreme risks in the American stock market. Specifically, to address the issues of imbalanced data distribution and concept drift, we introduced class weight and time weight parameters to enhance the AdaBoost algorithm. Moreover, we improved the active learning framework by transitioning from manual to algorithmic annotation. Experiments on the S&amp;P 500 index from 2005 to 2022 revealed that our optimal model significantly enhanced the classification performance, particularly for risk instances. Additionally, we validated the efficacy of customized sample weight values, the significance of the density-weight strategy, and the robustness of the overall framework under different risk definition criteria and feature lag periods. Our research is significant for the adoption of appropriate macroeconomic policies to mitigate downside risks and provides a valuable tool for achieving financial stability.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47831,"journal":{"name":"North American Journal of Economics and Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141606628","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Does liquidity connectedness affect stock price crash risk? Evidence from China 流动性关联性会影响股价暴跌风险吗?来自中国的证据
IF 3.8 3区 经济学
North American Journal of Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102238
Xin Yang , Xuan Ao , Jie Cao , Chuangxia Huang
{"title":"Does liquidity connectedness affect stock price crash risk? Evidence from China","authors":"Xin Yang ,&nbsp;Xuan Ao ,&nbsp;Jie Cao ,&nbsp;Chuangxia Huang","doi":"10.1016/j.najef.2024.102238","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2024.102238","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Using a sample of CSI300 over the 2006–2021 period to establish liquidity spillover networks, we find a significantly negative relationship between liquidity connectedness and stock price crash risk. Further analysis shows that liquidity connectedness depresses stock price crash risk through two potential channels: increased conditional conservatism and decreased stock price synchronicity. Moreover, this effect is more prominent for firms with effective external monitoring, firms with lower risk-taking, and state-owned enterprises (SOEs). Overall, our paper shows that liquidity connectedness is an important factor influencing crash risk and provides useful guidance for corporate management and investor decision-making.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47831,"journal":{"name":"North American Journal of Economics and Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141539317","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Banking market structure and corporate investment efficiency 银行市场结构与企业投资效率
IF 3.8 3区 经济学
North American Journal of Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102236
Japan Huynh
{"title":"Banking market structure and corporate investment efficiency","authors":"Japan Huynh","doi":"10.1016/j.najef.2024.102236","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2024.102236","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The study examines the link between bank competition and firms’ capital investment efficiency. Utilizing a unique dataset comprising Vietnamese listed firms from 2007 to 2022, we suggest that heightened bank competition, as reflected by lower values of concentration ratios, the Lerner index, and the Boone indicator, raises firms’ investment efficiency. Further analysis reveals that bank competition increases investment efficiency specifically in the form of mitigating the underinvestment issue. The validity of the result holds through numerous robustness tests, especially with careful consideration of endogeneity concerns. Through mechanism tests, our study reveals that increased bank competition elevates corporate investment efficiency by mitigating firms’ financing constraints, offering more bank credit, and reducing financing costs. In cross-sectional analysis, we document that the relationship between bank competition and capital investment efficiency is stronger for firms with closer bank-firm ties, greater investment opportunities, and weaker financial positions (captured by firm size, state ownership, and listing location). Further, we observe that the influence of bank competition is attenuated during macroeconomic shocks, as exemplified by the financial crisis and the coronavirus pandemic.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47831,"journal":{"name":"North American Journal of Economics and Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141539854","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Macro topology structure and evolution of Chinese Public Funds’ Co-holding Network 中国公募基金共同持有网络的宏观拓扑结构与演变
IF 3.8 3区 经济学
North American Journal of Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102234
Xiaoping Guo , Ningyuan Fan , Zhenchun Liu , Jianwei Wang
{"title":"Macro topology structure and evolution of Chinese Public Funds’ Co-holding Network","authors":"Xiaoping Guo ,&nbsp;Ningyuan Fan ,&nbsp;Zhenchun Liu ,&nbsp;Jianwei Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.najef.2024.102234","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2024.102234","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The behavior of institutional investors such as public offering funds and investor networks play an important role in information transmission and risk contagion in the capital market. Less attention has been paid to the macro topological structure characteristics and the fund group behavior of the co-holding network indirectly formed by the common holding among funds. Based on the complex network analysis method, this paper firstly uses three methods to define the co-holding behavior of funds and construct the co-holding networks between large funds and small funds and between large funds, and then conducts a comparative study on the Macro topology structure and evolution characteristics of the Chinese Public Funds’ Co-holding network. The results show that: (1) Although the three networks are large sparse networks, the co-holding behavior among funds still widely exists; (2) Both networks have the characteristics of small-world and scale-free, but there are significant differences in the degree of specificity; (3)There are significant differences in the evolution of “small-world and scale-free” between the three networks; (4) When the large funds and small funds are considered comprehensively, the “small world” and “scale-free” of the fund co-holding network and the stock market show a relationship of mutual influence and mutual restriction.This study provides a reference for understanding the influence of mutual shareholding among funds, and for regulators to manage stock market risk and institutional investor governance.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47831,"journal":{"name":"North American Journal of Economics and Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141539907","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A measure of quantile-on-quantile connectedness for the US treasury yield curve spread, the US Dollar, and gold price 美国国债收益率曲线利差、美元和黄金价格的量子对量子关联度测量方法
IF 3.8 3区 经济学
North American Journal of Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102232
Mei-Chih Wang , Tsangyao Chang , Alexey Mikhaylov , Jia Linyu
{"title":"A measure of quantile-on-quantile connectedness for the US treasury yield curve spread, the US Dollar, and gold price","authors":"Mei-Chih Wang ,&nbsp;Tsangyao Chang ,&nbsp;Alexey Mikhaylov ,&nbsp;Jia Linyu","doi":"10.1016/j.najef.2024.102232","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2024.102232","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study applies the Quantile-on-Quantile Connectedness approach to analyze quantile spillovers between the US yield curve spread (10-year vs. 2-year Treasury yields), the US dollar, and gold price from 2 January 2000 to 31 July 2023, covering the COVID-19 pandemic. Our results show that inversely related quantiles demonstrate significantly higher average total connectedness than directly related quantiles among these variables. Additionally, we found that this quantile-based connectedness fluctuates over time, suggesting a dynamic and varied relationship between the US yield spread, the US dollar, and gold prices throughout the period studied.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47831,"journal":{"name":"North American Journal of Economics and Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141487185","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Copula-MIDAS-TRV model for risk spillover analysis − Evidence from the Chinese stock market 用于风险溢出分析的 Copula-MIDAS-TRV 模型--来自中国股市的证据
IF 3.8 3区 经济学
North American Journal of Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102230
Qin Wang, Xianhua Li
{"title":"Copula-MIDAS-TRV model for risk spillover analysis − Evidence from the Chinese stock market","authors":"Qin Wang,&nbsp;Xianhua Li","doi":"10.1016/j.najef.2024.102230","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2024.102230","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this study, a Copula-MIDAS-TRV model with high-frequency realized volatility as the threshold variable is developed for the first time to fit the joint distribution of returns, which takes into account the impact of the leverage effect of volatility on the time-varying interdependence structure among financial markets. Based on this model, we empirically analyze the risk spillover effects between the CSI 300 index and the SSE Composite Index in the Chinese market and test the validity of the model in risk spillover measurement. The empirical findings demonstrate how well the Copula-MIDAS-TRV model, which is the focus of this work, can assess risk spillover effects and analyze the time-varying interdependence between these two indices.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47831,"journal":{"name":"North American Journal of Economics and Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2024-06-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141539853","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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