{"title":"Birth order effects on education: New evidence from China","authors":"Ruyi Shi","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2026.102141","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2026.102141","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper provides rich new evidence on China’s evolving birth order effects on education. We use family-by-wave fixed effects to explore within-family variations in birth order across siblings. A positive birth order effect on education is observed among older generations (born before 1967), while the birth order effect reverses to negative among younger generations (born after 1978). For the positive effect, school dropout among older siblings is the primary driver, whereas child labour laws and resource dilution are the key factors for the negative effect. Brothers have consistently attained higher levels of education than sisters, but this gap has narrowed over time. Our results offer a comprehensive understanding of the relationship between birth order, human capital investment, and intergenerational dynamics in the face of China’s rapid economic transition.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"103 ","pages":"Article 102141"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147421555","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Xiang Deng , Hongming Zhang , Yiling Gao , Chunlin Wan
{"title":"Digitization of education and the urban-rural education gap: Evidence from the Chinese household income project data","authors":"Xiang Deng , Hongming Zhang , Yiling Gao , Chunlin Wan","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2026.102127","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2026.102127","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using data from the 2018 Chinese Household Income Project, this study evaluates the impact of China's Modern Distance Education Project for Rural Primary and Secondary Schools (MDEP) on urban-rural education gap by employing a cohort-based DID for cross-sectional data approach. The results demonstrate that the MDEP significantly narrowed the education gap, with particularly strong effects observed among rural female students and children from lower-income households. In terms of the mechanism of action, the digitization of education through three paths: improving learning conditions, improving academic performance, and expanding knowledge horizons. Our analysis further reveals that the MDEP contributes to raising income floors for rural households. Crucially, the MDEP effectiveness in boosting incomes depends on beneficiaries' capacity to translate their enhanced educational human capital into tangible economic gains. This study provides robust empirical evidence evaluating how digital education initiatives reduce urban-rural education gap, demonstrating that targeted technological interventions can effectively bridge equity gaps in compulsory education systems.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"103 ","pages":"Article 102127"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145980350","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Changes in poverty of the rural elderly in China, 2002–2018","authors":"Shi Li , Mengbing Zhu","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102110","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102110","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using data from the China Household Income Project (CHIP) for the years 2002, 2013 and 2018, we analyze changes in both absolute and relative poverty among the elderly population in rural China since the beginning of the century. Our analysis indicates that absolute poverty rates-measured based on the official poverty line-declined markedly from 31.19 % in 2002–2.69 % in 2018. In contrast, the incidence of relative poverty within this demographic demonstrated a pronounced upward trend over the same period. Notably, we provide evidence showing that poverty rates among the rural elderly, especially relative poverty rates, are much higher when healthcare expenditures are deducted from their income. Further investigation into the determinants of relative poverty reveals that social security programs, such as the New Rural Cooperative Medicare (NRCM) and the New Rural Pension Scheme (NRPS), have played a important role in alleviating relative poverty among the rural elderly, and remittances from out-migrants are important in lifting rural elderly people out of poverty.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"103 ","pages":"Article 102110"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145928682","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Study on the effect of extreme weather on bank credit risk","authors":"Kaifeng Li, Tong Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2026.102132","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2026.102132","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines how extreme weather affects credit risk in A-share listed banks and its role in financial stability. By integrating bank financial data, meteorological records, and macroeconomic indicators, the research shows that extremely low-temperature days increase bank credit risk. State-owned banks are more resilient than local commercial banks. Regional bank competition also moderates the impact of extreme weather on bank risk. This study provides insights for improving bank risk management and shaping regulatory policies to address challenges posed by extreme weather and maintain financial stability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"103 ","pages":"Article 102132"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146038376","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Institutional governance and energy security: Unveiling the drivers of global value chain participation in Asian economies","authors":"Wajid Ali , Seema Saini , Devi Prasad Dash","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102108","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102108","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The study highlights the impact of energy security on global value chain participation (GVCs) in 48 Asian economies from 1990 to 2022, with a major focus on interaction effect of governance indicators. Utilising long run estimation approach our findings indicates, (1)Energy import and usage significantly enhances GVCs participation demonstrating the access to reliable and affordable energy supports; (2) Moderation effect of governance indicators such as political stability, rule of law, government effectiveness, regulatory quality, voice and accountability, and control of corruption indicates the positive and significant impact on GVCs participation, fostering greater industrialization and economic integration; (3) Political globalisation and inbound tourism have a positive impact on GVC participation, indicating strengthen international cooperation, enhanced international mobility and governance through effective regulations and economic policies; (4) Carbon emission also indicates positive influence on GVCs participation, signaling higher levels of industrialization, often associated with increased carbon output, are linked to greater integration into global value chains. Overall, promotion of energy security compliance along with robust institutional governance suggests that energy imports could be an attractive and effective approach in promoting global connectivity with enhanced industrial capacity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"103 ","pages":"Article 102108"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145979780","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A study on the impact of Regional Trade Agreement digital trade rules on global innovation network","authors":"Na Li , Ruobing Li","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2026.102144","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2026.102144","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the impact of Regional Trade Agreement (RTA) digital trade rules on global innovation networks from 2000 to 2023, with a focus on knowledge spillovers, technology transfer, and the institutional environment. Using social network analysis, difference-in-differences (DID) methods, fixed-effects models, and multiple testing strategies, it confirms that: (1) RTA digital trade rules enhance member countries' positions in the global innovation network; (2) Developing countries and high-digitalization countries benefit more significantly, with data-dedicated, intellectual property, and e-commerce provisions playing crucial roles, though new data economy provisions do not; (3) The effect shows an inverted U-shaped nonlinearity. These findings highlight that the effectiveness of RTA digital rules in strengthening the positions of members in the global innovation network, especially for developing countries, is highly dependent on the types of provisions. However, the current level of global digital development has not yet reached the tipping point to have a disruptive impact on the structure of global innovation networks. The study provides new insights into the relationship between digital trade regulations and global innovation network, suggesting ways for nations to strengthen their network positions through RTA negotiations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"103 ","pages":"Article 102144"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147421548","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The impact of industrial robots on firm labor productivity: Evidence from China","authors":"Jing Zhang , Yong Ye","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2026.102138","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2026.102138","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The technological upgrade of intelligent manufacturing, represented by industrial robots, is reshaping enterprises' production methods and factor allocation structures. This paper systematically examines the impact of exposure to industrial robot diffusion on labor productivity and its underlying mechanisms, based on a sample of Chinese A-share listed manufacturing companies from 2011 to 2019. Empirical results indicate that industrial robot adoption significantly enhances labor productivity, a conclusion that remains robust across multiple tests. Mechanism analysis reveals that industrial robots boost labor productivity by promoting capital deepening and optimizing the human resource structure within enterprises. Further heterogeneity analysis indicates that financing constraints shape the extent to which workforce restructuring accompanies automation exposure, leading to heterogeneous productivity outcomes across firms. Additionally, the productivity-enhancing effects of robot adoption are more pronounced for non-state-owned enterprises, non-high-tech enterprises, and small-to-medium-sized enterprises. This study reveals the transmission channels through which industrial robots influence labor productivity at the micro-firm level. It provides empirical evidence for understanding the mechanisms of production efficiency enhancement in the context of smart manufacturing and offers valuable insights for formulating relevant industrial policies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"103 ","pages":"Article 102138"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147421553","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jianqiang Li , Zhiyi Ge , Jingyi Yu , Jiatong Yao , Yan Xu
{"title":"Impact of pension contribution rate reduction policies on labor productivity: Evidence from China","authors":"Jianqiang Li , Zhiyi Ge , Jingyi Yu , Jiatong Yao , Yan Xu","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102098","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102098","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Our study investigates how provincial pension contribution rate reduction policies affect labor productivity of listed Chinese firms. Using a staggered difference-in-differences (DiD) framework, we find that these policies exert a significant negative impact on firms’ labor productivity. The results remain robust to multiple checks, including tests for parallel trends, dynamic average treatment effect (ATT) estimation, instrumental variable (IV) estimation, and the PSM-DiD approach. Mechanism analyses indicate that lower pension contributions reduce employees’ total compensation, which in turn affects firm productivity through three channels: declining workforce quality, a lower capital–labor ratio, and weakened innovation capacity. Heterogeneity analyses show that the adverse effects are more pronounced among firms operating in regions with higher unemployment, greater capital intensity, more educated employees, and lower profitability. Overall, our findings provide empirical support for both Efficiency Wage Theory and Capital-Labor Substitution Theory, highlighting the unintended incentive distortions that may arise from cost-reduction-oriented social security policies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"102 ","pages":"Article 102098"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145840065","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Can pilot free trade zones promote the agglomeration of talent in cities: Evidence from China","authors":"Zhui Liu, Kuiran Yuan , Huiru Wei","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102107","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102107","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As a pivotal platform for institutional openness, Pilot Free Trade Zones (PFTZs) are increasingly serving as key policy instruments for promoting regional economic agglomeration and cross-border talent mobility worldwide. Grounded in agglomeration economics theory, this study employs panel data from 284 prefecture-level cities in China and adopts a staggered difference-in-differences (DID) model to empirically assess the effect of PFTZ establishment on urban talent agglomeration. The findings indicate that the establishment of PFTZs significantly enhances regional talent agglomeration. Mechanism analysis reveals that PFTZs promote talent agglomeration primarily through enhancing entrepreneurial vitality, optimizing the innovation environment, and attracting foreign investment inflows. Spatial effect analysis reveals a shadow suppression zone within 50 kilometers of the PFTZs, while a notable positive spillover effect exists in the 50–150 kilometers range. However, these effects diminish significantly beyond 200 kilometers. Moreover, the impact of PFTZs on talent agglomeration exhibits significant heterogeneity across pilot batches, geographic locations, and educational levels. These findings enrich the theoretical understanding of how institutional policies influence talent flows and provide practical insights for local governments aiming to optimize talent allocation through PFTZ initiatives.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"102 ","pages":"Article 102107"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145884279","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Unravelling the factors behind Indonesia's international exchange reserves","authors":"Sanjiv Kumar , K.P. Prabheesh , Iman Gunadi","doi":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102105","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102105","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the motives underlying Indonesia’s demand for international reserves. Using quarterly data for 2001Q1–2024Q4, we estimate a regression model for reserves-to-GDP and complement it with long-run cointegration techniques and quantile regressions. The baseline and cointegration results show that variables capturing precautionary and capital-account motives, most notably short-term external debt, the interest rate differential, and exchange-rate volatility, are the most robust determinants of reserve holdings. By contrast, current-account variables play a limited role. The undervaluation indicator is generally insignificant across specifications, providing little support for a strong mercantilist motive in Indonesia’s reserve accumulation strategy. Quantile regressions reveal important heterogeneity: the impact of short-term external debt is strongest in low-reserve regimes, while exchange-rate volatility becomes more relevant at the median and upper quantiles of the reserves distribution. Overall, the evidence suggests that Indonesia’s reserve policy has been guided primarily by precautionary and capital-account risk management rather than by persistent undervaluation aimed at export-led growth.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47583,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Asian Economics","volume":"102 ","pages":"Article 102105"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145884280","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}