Growth and Change最新文献

The Places We'll Go: Who Moves to Rural Canada? 我们将去的地方：谁会搬到加拿大农村？

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-07-18 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70041

Lindsay Finlay, Michael Haan

{"title":"The Places We'll Go: Who Moves to Rural Canada?","authors":"Lindsay Finlay, Michael Haan","doi":"10.1111/grow.70041","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70041","url":null,"abstract":"<p>As Canada increases immigration rates, there is a greater need for geographic dispersion to counteract issues of population ageing and economic disparities. Historically, Canada's main Census Metropolitan Areas (CMAs) have experienced the most significant gains in terms of new arrivals. The problem, however, is that this leaves rural regions falling behind in terms of both population increases and overall development. As such, understanding the characteristics of rural movers is of utmost importance, especially regarding potential policy initiatives aimed at ensuring newcomers to Canada are evenly distributed across the country. This study adds to the growing body of literature looking at the urban-rural divide by investigating the characteristics of individuals who engage in rural migration, including secondary migrants, by looking at those who lived in urban Canada in 2020 but, as of 2021, have moved into rural locations through the use of the 2021 Canadian Census. Overall, individuals making migratory decisions are often white, married, with children, and non-immigrants, thereby necessitating updated initiatives as a means of drawing in a more diverse newcomer population to rural destinations.</p>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-07-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/grow.70041","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144657579","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Economic Growth and Grassland Recovery: The Case of the Inverted EKC From China 经济增长与草原恢复：来自中国的反向EKC案例

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-07-09 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70040

Chang Xu, Wanying Yu, Liang Zhao, Baodong Cheng, Dandan Yu

{"title":"Economic Growth and Grassland Recovery: The Case of the Inverted EKC From China","authors":"Chang Xu, Wanying Yu, Liang Zhao, Baodong Cheng, Dandan Yu","doi":"10.1111/grow.70040","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70040","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis has been widely debated in pollution studies, and its applicability to grassland ecosystems remains fragmented, particularly regarding the mechanisms driving inflection point shifts. This study presents the Grassland Environmental Kuznets Curve (GEKC) framework, using high-resolution county-level panel data (2000–2022) from China's pastoral regions to model grassland degradation and recovery dynamics. With System GMM estimation for endogeneity, a robust U-shaped GEKC is found: economic growth first degrades grasslands but shifts to restoration beyond a threshold. Notably, the GEKC inflection point arrives earlier in economically developed regions and temperate continental climate zones, suggesting regional heterogeneity in grassland responses to economic development. Four key pathways influencing the GEKC inflection point shift are identified: the grassland scarcity pathway reducing resource competition through land use optimization and efficient livestock practices; the grassland governance pathway enhancing ecological stewardship via policy interventions; the land intensification pathway boosting productivity with technological advancements; and the livelihood transition pathway lessening anthropogenic pressures through income diversification. These findings challenge the conventional EKC paradigm by demonstrating that strategic policy sequencing—prioritizing governance in early developmental stages and market mechanisms post-inflection—can decouple economic growth from grassland degradation.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-07-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144582328","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Driving Bargaining Power Through Landlocked to Land-Linked Economy: The Case of Kazakhstan and Belt and Road Initiative 从内陆经济到陆联经济的议价能力提升：以哈萨克斯坦和“一带一路”倡议为例

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-07-07 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70039

Andrei Panibratov, Alexey Kalinin, Liana Rysakova, Anastasia Lazariva

{"title":"Driving Bargaining Power Through Landlocked to Land-Linked Economy: The Case of Kazakhstan and Belt and Road Initiative","authors":"Andrei Panibratov, Alexey Kalinin, Liana Rysakova, Anastasia Lazariva","doi":"10.1111/grow.70039","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70039","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Regional economic disparities and unbalanced economic growth have led to a lack of essential capabilities and cohesion among individual economies. The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) serves as a driver for host countries' leadership to align their national development programs with the Chinese initiative. This paper applies the China-Kazakhstan context, which is particularly interesting to explore due to Kazakhstan's central position as the main hub of the BRI economic corridors. Building on the theoretical perspectives of legitimacy and bargaining power, the research shows how geopolitics influence the bargaining power of China and the host country at the country, firm, and SEZ levels, creating spillover effects for third countries involved. The BRI has become an important enabler for government and institutional initiatives, such as the supranational cross-border development of Special Economic Zones (SEZs), inter-organizational cooperative projects, and others, improving Kazakhstan's relative position in the region, attracting foreign direct investment (FDI), and transforming the country into a strong regional player. Based on a cross-level analysis of the BRI and Kazakhstan's economic growth, the research develops a conceptual framework supported by a set of propositions. The study proposes that Chinese investments have had a considerable impact on Kazakhstan's development, even though there are some challenges, particularly those linked to the negative public perception of the BRI.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-07-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144573865","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

How Pharmaceutical Innovation Benefits From Spatial Aggregation: A Perspective Based on R&D Cooperation Networks 医药创新的空间集聚效应：基于研发合作网络的视角

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-06-19 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70038

Fusen Zhao, Jianting Fan

{"title":"How Pharmaceutical Innovation Benefits From Spatial Aggregation: A Perspective Based on R&D Cooperation Networks","authors":"Fusen Zhao, Jianting Fan","doi":"10.1111/grow.70038","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70038","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This paper empirically analyzes the relationship between pharmaceutical industry agglomeration and enterprise innovation based on drug registration application data and pharmaceutical enterprise data in China, and explores the mechanism of the role of agglomeration in influencing innovation from a perspective of research and development (R&D) cooperation networks. It was found that the spatial agglomeration of pharmaceutical firms significantly enhanced innovation and that agglomeration contributed to innovation through three transmission pathways of R&D cooperation networks, which were whether firms were in the network, their location in the network, and the diversity of their partners in the network. The further discussion shows that there is significant regional heterogeneity in the transmission mechanism of pharmaceutical industry agglomeration through R&D cooperation networks and thus affects innovation. The results of the study provide useful insights into how to take advantage of agglomeration and further understand the relationship between agglomeration and innovation.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-06-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144323434","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Effect of Agglomeration Externalities of Adjacent Retail Areas on Commercial Business Continuity in Seoul, Korea 首尔邻近零售区域集聚外部性对商业经营连续性的影响

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-06-10 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70037

Dongjun Kim, Changhyo Yi, Seungil Lee

{"title":"Effect of Agglomeration Externalities of Adjacent Retail Areas on Commercial Business Continuity in Seoul, Korea","authors":"Dongjun Kim, Changhyo Yi, Seungil Lee","doi":"10.1111/grow.70037","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70037","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This study investigates the relationship between commercial business continuity and regional characteristics, specifically, agglomeration externalities, in Seoul, South Korea, while accounting for random effects. Key findings reveal that, first, specialized retail areas experience lower closure probabilities. Second, increased related diversity increases closure probabilities, whereas higher unrelated diversity reduces them, illustrating the impact of diversity on continuity. Third, when comparing the agglomeration externalities of retail areas and their surroundings, higher unrelated diversity in the surrounding areas increases the probability of closure. Fourth, commercial development in surrounding areas, rather than within retail areas, enhances overall functionality and reduces closure probability. These results examine the positive and negative effects of agglomeration externalities on commercial businesses in Seoul, South Korea, presenting findings that specifically reflect the characteristics of the surrounding areas. In the context of future sustainable urban management, retail area management should be based on a macroscopic perspective that includes surrounding areas.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-06-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144256451","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Trade Ties and Economic Divides: Trade and Income Inequality in the Regions of Europe 贸易联系与经济鸿沟：欧洲地区的贸易与收入不平等

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-05-19 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70036

Martina Pardy, Andrés Rodríguez-Pose

{"title":"Trade Ties and Economic Divides: Trade and Income Inequality in the Regions of Europe","authors":"Martina Pardy, Andrés Rodríguez-Pose","doi":"10.1111/grow.70036","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70036","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper analyses how trade influences intra-regional income inequality across Europe's NUTS-2 regions. Drawing on newly compiled datasets capturing both inter-regional trade and local-level inequality for all EU member states plus the UK, we employ an econometric framework—complete with Instrumental Variable estimations and robust sensitivity analyses—to gauge the impact of trade on regional interpersonal inequality. In addition to examining aggregate trade, we distinguish between various trade channels, including exchanges within the EU versus those with the rest of the world, links to neighbouring regions versus non-neighbours and domestic versus international flows. Our findings reveal that higher levels of trade are positively associated with changes in regional income inequality, as measured by the Gini coefficient. Crucially, this link depends on trading partners: trade within a single country, within the EU and with non-neighbouring regions correlates with rising inequality, whereas international trade, trade with non-EU partners or trade with neighbouring regions shows no statistically significant effect. These conclusions withstand a battery of robustness checks, including new control variables and a population-weighted approach, further underscoring the role that particular types of trade play in shaping regional income disparities.</p>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/grow.70036","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144085101","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Exploring the Role of Digital Economy in Reducing Natural Resource Dependence: An Empirical Study From Resource-Based Cities in China 探索数字经济对降低自然资源依赖的作用——基于中国资源型城市的实证研究

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-04-29 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70034

Yuanqiao Yang, Jianlong Wang, Yong Liu

{"title":"Exploring the Role of Digital Economy in Reducing Natural Resource Dependence: An Empirical Study From Resource-Based Cities in China","authors":"Yuanqiao Yang, Jianlong Wang, Yong Liu","doi":"10.1111/grow.70034","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70034","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The potential of the digital economy to mitigate resource dependence by affecting industrial structure is a topic of great significance for the transformation of resource-based cities. This paper presents a digital economy development index and employs data sourced from 102 Chinese resource-based cities from 2011 to 2019 to investigate the impact of the digital economy on resource dependence in resource-based cities. The findings of this study can be summarized as follows: (1) The digital economy has an inhibitory effect on resource dependence. (2) By decomposing industrial structure upgrading into industrial structure rationalization and industrial structure advancement, it becomes evident that the digital economy reduces resource dependence by facilitating industrial structure advancement. (3) The digital economy exerts a more pronounced negative influence in the eastern and central regions, thereby substantiating the presence of regional heterogeneity. This study elucidates the extent to which the digital economy mitigates resource dependence and offers invaluable insights for guiding the transformation of resource-based cities.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143883842","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Shift-Share Analysis and Multifactor Partitioning: What do Aggregated Data Hide? 偏移-份额分析和多因素分区：聚合数据隐藏了什么？

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-04-29 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70035

Claudia V. Montanía, Geoffrey J. D. Hewings, D. Michael Ray

{"title":"Shift-Share Analysis and Multifactor Partitioning: What do Aggregated Data Hide?","authors":"Claudia V. Montanía, Geoffrey J. D. Hewings, D. Michael Ray","doi":"10.1111/grow.70035","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70035","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Shift-share analysis (SSA) is a widely used tool for studying economic changes, particularly in employment, due to its simplicity and minimal data requirements. However, its reliance on crude growth rates and issues associated with aggregation can lead to biases, such as Simpson's Paradox, that may hide regional and industry-specific insights. Multifactor Partitioning (MFP) addresses these limitations by standardizing growth rates in a way that disentangles industry and regional effects. This paper compares SSA and MFP using employment data from 10 U.S. states between 2005 and 2019. The analysis incorporates three levels of disaggregation: (1) aggregate employment and time, (2) disaggregated employment with aggregated time, and (3) both sectoral and temporal disaggregation. Results show that while SSA and MFP yield similar conclusions at an aggregate level, discrepancies emerge in disaggregated analyses, particularly in high-growth regions. These findings highlight the importance of data disaggregation and MFP's capacity to provide nuanced insights for policymakers and researchers.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143883907","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Playing by the Rules: Is Business Formality Driving Economic Growth? Evidence From Colombia's Capital Cities 按规则办事：商务礼节推动经济增长吗？来自哥伦比亚首都的证据

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-04-18 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70033

Adolfo Maza, José Alfonso Sáenz-Zapata

{"title":"Playing by the Rules: Is Business Formality Driving Economic Growth? Evidence From Colombia's Capital Cities","authors":"Adolfo Maza, José Alfonso Sáenz-Zapata","doi":"10.1111/grow.70033","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70033","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This paper contributes to the literature on the effects of institutions on economic growth by addressing a topic that has been little explored. Specifically, it uses Colombia's capital cities as a case study for the period 2007–2020 to examine the impact of business formality on local economic performance. To do so, an ad hoc variable is constructed to be incorporated into a beta convergence growth approach. The model, estimated using GLS and GMM techniques, yields quite robust results, indicating that increased formality has significantly raised per capita income. Additionally, the findings show a reduction in disparities among urban centers in Colombia, with a convergence speed that is by no means negligible. Finally, a spatial GMM framework is proposed to capture the potential influence of neighboring cities. This new approach confirms, on one hand, the role of formalization in stimulating productive activity, and on the other hand, underscores that the convergence process is driven not only by city-specific factors but also by inter-city relationships, particularly spillover effects from wealthier urban areas.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143845970","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Does Foreign Direct Investment Exacerbate or Alleviate Income Inequality in Vietnam? Empirical Evidence in Vietnam Provinces 外国直接投资是加剧还是缓解越南的收入不平等？越南各省的经验证据

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-04-18 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70032

Huynh Ngoc Chuong, Nguyen Hoang Khanh Linh, Le Thi Kieu Vy

{"title":"Does Foreign Direct Investment Exacerbate or Alleviate Income Inequality in Vietnam? Empirical Evidence in Vietnam Provinces","authors":"Huynh Ngoc Chuong, Nguyen Hoang Khanh Linh, Le Thi Kieu Vy","doi":"10.1111/grow.70032","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70032","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This paper aims to examine the Foreign direct investment (FDI) effect on household income equality in Vietnam. The authors applied the panel data regressions including fixed effect model and quantile model for all provinces of Vietnam from 2010 to 2022. The empirical results show that foreign direct investment can have both positive and negative effects on income inequality. Foreign direct investment may not have a direct impact on each specific income group, but it can alleviate income inequality between groups in the short term. Moreover, foreign direct investment reduces income inequality in high-income groups, but increases income inequality between groups. The authors find that ensuring social equity in general and reducing income inequality in particular play an important role in stabilizing society, leading to sustainable development, especially for developing countries like Vietnam. Therefore, this paper suggests that foreign direct investment attraction and utilization policies need to be linked to social security policies that reduce income inequality.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143845971","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0