Growth and Change最新文献

A Social Approach to Environmental Sustainability: The Nexus Well-Being, Tourism, Digitalization and Renewable Energy in Scandinavian Countries 环境可持续发展的社会途径：斯堪的纳维亚国家的幸福、旅游、数字化和可再生能源的联系

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-10-03 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70062

Cem Işık, Serdar Ongan, Buket Aydın, Rahman Aydın, İlyas Kays İmamoğlu

{"title":"A Social Approach to Environmental Sustainability: The Nexus Well-Being, Tourism, Digitalization and Renewable Energy in Scandinavian Countries","authors":"Cem Işık, Serdar Ongan, Buket Aydın, Rahman Aydın, İlyas Kays İmamoğlu","doi":"10.1111/grow.70062","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70062","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This research explores the impact of subjective well-being (SWB) on CO2 emissions in Scandinavian countries based on the need to analyze the effects of social indicators shaping environmental sustainability. The study aims to introduce the <i>Welfare-Based SWB</i> approach to the literature by expanding the classical Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis with the social welfare dimension. SWB is considered in this study to be a social reflection and indirect measure of economic growth, which is the core determinant in the classical EKC hypothesis. The second-generation cointegration test, the Durbin-Hausman, and AMG long-term forecasting methods were used in this context. According to the empirical findings, SWB and digitalization increase carbon emissions, while tourism revenues and renewable energy consumption reduce emissions. The findings indicate that the classical EKC hypothesis is not confirmed and, similarly, an increase in social welfare (SWB) does not automatically lead to environmental improvement. Therefore, policymakers should develop social policies that will increase environmental sensitivity along with an increase in welfare.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2025-10-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145223841","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Is Seoul the Pound-for-Pound Champion of Information and Communication Service Growth?: A New Size-Free Shift-Share Approach 首尔是名副其实的信息通信服务增长冠军吗？：一种新的无规模转移分享方法

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-10-02 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70059

WooPyeong Yi

引用次数: 0

How the Digital Economy Reshaped the Economic Geography: Evidence From 284 Cities in China 数字经济如何重塑经济地理：来自中国284个城市的证据

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-09-30 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70061

Bianjiang Ma, Qing Wang, Zhangqi Zhong

引用次数: 0

Local Government Proliferation and Fiscal Efficiency: Evidence From Ghana 地方政府扩张与财政效率：来自加纳的证据

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-09-29 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70058

Zurikanen Iddrisu, Abdul-Salam Jahanfo Abdulai, Erfan Kefayat, Mandela Gadri

{"title":"Local Government Proliferation and Fiscal Efficiency: Evidence From Ghana","authors":"Zurikanen Iddrisu, Abdul-Salam Jahanfo Abdulai, Erfan Kefayat, Mandela Gadri","doi":"10.1111/grow.70058","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70058","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In many active decentralized nations in the developing world, the number of sub-national administrative units has continued to increase over the past few decades. In most cases, this churning of more decentralized units does not go without contestation, with critics arguing that they are not done in the true spirit of decentralization but rather a political gesture to palliate constituents and increase popularity among seemingly under-represented groups. Even though studies have attempted to study the impacts of proliferation, we observe a huge swing toward the newly created administrative units, with few studies dedicated to the impacts of proliferation on the parent unit from which the split occurred. In this study, we look at the impact of splitting of districts on the Internal Revenue Generation performance of the parent district (split from) in Ghana. Using year-on-year inflation-adjusted Internally Generated Fund (IGF) for the period 2014–2022, we employed a Difference-in-Differences (DiD) research design, which was operationalized as an Ordinary Least Squares model with robust standard errors. The results show that holding other factors constant, the splitting of the districts in 2018 resulted in an increase in internal revenue generation performance (<i>p</i> < 0.05). We argue that the desire to meet pre-split revenue targets is among the key driving factors. Our results challenge existing notions that administrative unit proliferation is an entirely political activity with no positive recourse to the fiscal potential of the parent unit. Given that this study is only the first in the Ghanaian context, we believe deeply contextual studies are further needed to enhance understanding of the factors that could underline revenue improvements.</p>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2025-09-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/grow.70058","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145224158","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Regional Economic Resilience: The Cases of Brazil, Chile and Colombia 区域经济弹性：巴西、智利和哥伦比亚的案例

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-09-29 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70060

Cristian Delgado-Bello, Andres Maroto, Miguel Atienza

引用次数: 0

Land Use Transition and City Desirability: Case Study of Cache County Over Two Decades 土地利用转型与城市宜居性——以Cache县20多年为例

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-09-25 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70057

Megh Bahadur KC

引用次数: 0

‘Left Behind Places’: Examining the Evolution of a Concept With an Application to the Canadian Regional Development Context “落后的地方”：审视一个概念的演变及其在加拿大区域发展背景下的应用

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-09-24 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70055

Morgan Sleeth, Mylène Riva, Kevin Manaugh, Sébastien Breau

{"title":"‘Left Behind Places’: Examining the Evolution of a Concept With an Application to the Canadian Regional Development Context","authors":"Morgan Sleeth, Mylène Riva, Kevin Manaugh, Sébastien Breau","doi":"10.1111/grow.70055","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70055","url":null,"abstract":"<p>‘Left-behind places’ (LBPs) are generally defined as places experiencing economic stagnation and decline, typically reflected in post-industrial regions and rural areas. In recent years, the concept has gained increased popularity within urban and regional studies in the United Kingdom (UK) and other European countries. Research on the topic in the Canadian context, however, remains limited, with few studies specifically discussing how LBPs are defined in Canada, and even fewer attempting to empirically assess where they may be located across the country. The paper's objectives are twofold: (i) it examines the evolution of the concept of LBPs through an extensive literature review and (ii) explores its application to Canada. The paper employs Statistics Canada's 2021 Canadian Index of Multiple Deprivation (CIMD) dataset as a proxy for identifying LBPs across the country and examines their spatial dynamics at the census subdivision (CSD) level using local indicators of spatial association (LISA) statistics. A multinomial logistic regression model is also developed to explore regional factors. The analysis finds high clustering of CSDs with high levels of deprivation in rural, northern, and remote areas of Canada, as well as high clustering of CSDs with high levels of economic dependency in and around major Canadian cities.</p>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2025-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/grow.70055","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145146376","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Urban Growth Predictions: Optimization of Urbanization Strategy for Risk Mitigation in Medium-Sized Cities 城市增长预测：面向中等城市风险缓解的城市化战略优化

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-09-24 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70054

Dilşah Erkek, Ceren Yağci, Fatih İşcan

{"title":"Urban Growth Predictions: Optimization of Urbanization Strategy for Risk Mitigation in Medium-Sized Cities","authors":"Dilşah Erkek, Ceren Yağci, Fatih İşcan","doi":"10.1111/grow.70054","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70054","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The study aims to forecast future urban growth and comprehend potential risks, with a particular focus on the dynamic nature of urban growth in medium-sized cities. By identifying factors affecting growth in urban areas, the SLEUTH model was utilized to analyze patterns of urban growth and associated changes in land use. Four scenarios were developed to anticipate urban development in Osmaniye, a medium-sized Turkish city, using the SLEUTH model for the year 2039. Scenarios S.1 and S.4 focus on the impacts of public investment on urban growth, while S.2 and S.3 examine the effects of urbanization on rural areas. Scenario S.3 also explores diverting urban development from high-risk seismic zones. S.1 poses the highest risk to agriculture (51% urbanization), while S.3 is the least threatening (37%). For forests, S.2 presents the highest risk (31%), but S.3 is the safest (25%). Overall, Scenario 3 provides the most effective approach for urbanization strategy, particularly for rural areas, protecting them from urbanization pressures and preserving geologically hazardous locations in Osmaniye. The study highlights how the SLEUTH model demonstrates the interaction between urban growth and spatial limitations, emphasizing the importance of understanding the consequences of urban growth for implementing effective zoning regulations.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2025-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145146375","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Intelligent Pathway: Artificial Intelligence and the Path to Energy Sustainability 智能路径：人工智能与能源可持续发展之路

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-09-13 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70050

Zhiyuan Gao, Mengwen Hua, Ziying Jia, Lianqing Li, Yu Hao

{"title":"Intelligent Pathway: Artificial Intelligence and the Path to Energy Sustainability","authors":"Zhiyuan Gao, Mengwen Hua, Ziying Jia, Lianqing Li, Yu Hao","doi":"10.1111/grow.70050","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70050","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>As artificial intelligence (AI) becomes increasingly integrated into economic and societal domains, it emerges as a pivotal force driving the shift toward low-carbon energy systems. This study examines how AI impacts the transformation of urban energy systems by utilizing a panel dataset comprising 278 Chinese spanning the years 2010–2019. The findings confirm that AI significantly enhances energy transition performance in urban settings. By precisely optimizing the integration and consumption of renewable energy, driving the energy efficiency revolution, and breaking the dependence on high-carbon energy development models, as well as enhancing grid resilience and ensuring energy supply security to overcome the vulnerabilities of the energy transition, AI also strengthens the innovation capacity of energy transition through accelerating technological breakthroughs and incubating new business models. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that AI better facilitates energy transition in those cities that are small and medium in size, cities with a solid industrial base, cities with a high level of economic clustering, and cities located in central and eastern China. Mechanism tests show that during AI-enabled transition processes, green technology innovation, human–machine compatibility, and energy efficiency play significant roles. Further analysis using a threshold model reveals that as electronic commerce, human capital, and business growth increase, AI's marginal effects on energy transition exhibit an incremental trend. This implies that improving digital infrastructure, raising human capital levels, and boosting economic growth are pathways to realizing the transformative effects of AI. This study assesses AI technology's effectiveness in promoting energy sustainability and high-quality development goals.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2025-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145038359","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Is There a Solow Productivity Paradox in China’s Manufacturing Industry: Threshold Effect of Factor Expansion Constraint 中国制造业是否存在索洛生产率悖论：要素扩张约束的门槛效应

IF 2.1 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-09-11 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70052

Xuehong Zhu, Yu Dong, Qiong Xu

{"title":"Is There a Solow Productivity Paradox in China’s Manufacturing Industry: Threshold Effect of Factor Expansion Constraint","authors":"Xuehong Zhu, Yu Dong, Qiong Xu","doi":"10.1111/grow.70052","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70052","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Despite the integration of China’s manufacturing industry with Information and Communication Technology (ICT) continuing to deepen, total factor productivity (TFP) of the manufacturing industry has not increased significantly as expected. Based on panel data from 28 manufacturing sub-sectors from 2002 to 2020, this study investigates whether the Solow productivity paradox exists. Considering that both the decline of factor expansion constraints and the rise of TFP can promote output growth, this study further discusses the role of factor expansion constraints in shaping the relationship between ICT and TFP. Empirical results indicate that the Solow paradox persists in manufacturing, particularly in sub-sectors heavily dependent on factor inputs. Moreover, the threshold model reveals that only when factor expansion constraints exceed the threshold, the promotion effect of ICT on TFP appears. Further research indicates that ICT can alleviate factor expansion constraints, but this effect has a crowding out effect on its role in improving TFP. This study emphasizes that the impact of ICT on TFP depends not only on external conditions, but also on the application direction of ICT, which provides theoretical support for formulating industrial policies that leverage ICT to enhance TFP.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2025-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145037776","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0