Growth and Change最新文献

Exploring the Role of Digital Economy in Reducing Natural Resource Dependence: An Empirical Study From Resource-Based Cities in China 探索数字经济对降低自然资源依赖的作用——基于中国资源型城市的实证研究

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-04-29 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70034

Yuanqiao Yang, Jianlong Wang, Yong Liu

{"title":"Exploring the Role of Digital Economy in Reducing Natural Resource Dependence: An Empirical Study From Resource-Based Cities in China","authors":"Yuanqiao Yang, Jianlong Wang, Yong Liu","doi":"10.1111/grow.70034","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70034","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The potential of the digital economy to mitigate resource dependence by affecting industrial structure is a topic of great significance for the transformation of resource-based cities. This paper presents a digital economy development index and employs data sourced from 102 Chinese resource-based cities from 2011 to 2019 to investigate the impact of the digital economy on resource dependence in resource-based cities. The findings of this study can be summarized as follows: (1) The digital economy has an inhibitory effect on resource dependence. (2) By decomposing industrial structure upgrading into industrial structure rationalization and industrial structure advancement, it becomes evident that the digital economy reduces resource dependence by facilitating industrial structure advancement. (3) The digital economy exerts a more pronounced negative influence in the eastern and central regions, thereby substantiating the presence of regional heterogeneity. This study elucidates the extent to which the digital economy mitigates resource dependence and offers invaluable insights for guiding the transformation of resource-based cities.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143883842","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Shift-Share Analysis and Multifactor Partitioning: What do Aggregated Data Hide? 偏移-份额分析和多因素分区：聚合数据隐藏了什么？

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-04-29 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70035

Claudia V. Montanía, Geoffrey J. D. Hewings, D. Michael Ray

{"title":"Shift-Share Analysis and Multifactor Partitioning: What do Aggregated Data Hide?","authors":"Claudia V. Montanía, Geoffrey J. D. Hewings, D. Michael Ray","doi":"10.1111/grow.70035","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70035","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Shift-share analysis (SSA) is a widely used tool for studying economic changes, particularly in employment, due to its simplicity and minimal data requirements. However, its reliance on crude growth rates and issues associated with aggregation can lead to biases, such as Simpson's Paradox, that may hide regional and industry-specific insights. Multifactor Partitioning (MFP) addresses these limitations by standardizing growth rates in a way that disentangles industry and regional effects. This paper compares SSA and MFP using employment data from 10 U.S. states between 2005 and 2019. The analysis incorporates three levels of disaggregation: (1) aggregate employment and time, (2) disaggregated employment with aggregated time, and (3) both sectoral and temporal disaggregation. Results show that while SSA and MFP yield similar conclusions at an aggregate level, discrepancies emerge in disaggregated analyses, particularly in high-growth regions. These findings highlight the importance of data disaggregation and MFP's capacity to provide nuanced insights for policymakers and researchers.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143883907","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Playing by the Rules: Is Business Formality Driving Economic Growth? Evidence From Colombia's Capital Cities 按规则办事：商务礼节推动经济增长吗？来自哥伦比亚首都的证据

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-04-18 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70033

Adolfo Maza, José Alfonso Sáenz-Zapata

{"title":"Playing by the Rules: Is Business Formality Driving Economic Growth? Evidence From Colombia's Capital Cities","authors":"Adolfo Maza, José Alfonso Sáenz-Zapata","doi":"10.1111/grow.70033","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70033","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This paper contributes to the literature on the effects of institutions on economic growth by addressing a topic that has been little explored. Specifically, it uses Colombia's capital cities as a case study for the period 2007–2020 to examine the impact of business formality on local economic performance. To do so, an ad hoc variable is constructed to be incorporated into a beta convergence growth approach. The model, estimated using GLS and GMM techniques, yields quite robust results, indicating that increased formality has significantly raised per capita income. Additionally, the findings show a reduction in disparities among urban centers in Colombia, with a convergence speed that is by no means negligible. Finally, a spatial GMM framework is proposed to capture the potential influence of neighboring cities. This new approach confirms, on one hand, the role of formalization in stimulating productive activity, and on the other hand, underscores that the convergence process is driven not only by city-specific factors but also by inter-city relationships, particularly spillover effects from wealthier urban areas.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143845970","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Does Foreign Direct Investment Exacerbate or Alleviate Income Inequality in Vietnam? Empirical Evidence in Vietnam Provinces 外国直接投资是加剧还是缓解越南的收入不平等？越南各省的经验证据

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-04-18 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70032

Huynh Ngoc Chuong, Nguyen Hoang Khanh Linh, Le Thi Kieu Vy

{"title":"Does Foreign Direct Investment Exacerbate or Alleviate Income Inequality in Vietnam? Empirical Evidence in Vietnam Provinces","authors":"Huynh Ngoc Chuong, Nguyen Hoang Khanh Linh, Le Thi Kieu Vy","doi":"10.1111/grow.70032","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70032","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This paper aims to examine the Foreign direct investment (FDI) effect on household income equality in Vietnam. The authors applied the panel data regressions including fixed effect model and quantile model for all provinces of Vietnam from 2010 to 2022. The empirical results show that foreign direct investment can have both positive and negative effects on income inequality. Foreign direct investment may not have a direct impact on each specific income group, but it can alleviate income inequality between groups in the short term. Moreover, foreign direct investment reduces income inequality in high-income groups, but increases income inequality between groups. The authors find that ensuring social equity in general and reducing income inequality in particular play an important role in stabilizing society, leading to sustainable development, especially for developing countries like Vietnam. Therefore, this paper suggests that foreign direct investment attraction and utilization policies need to be linked to social security policies that reduce income inequality.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143845971","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The Future of European Regional Inequalities: Box-Cox Transformed ARMA Process Trend Smoothing (BATS) Forecasting 欧洲地区不平等的未来：Box-Cox转换的ARMA过程趋势平滑（BATS）预测

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-03-20 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70031

Hasan Engin Duran, Zeynep Elburz, Burcu Değerli Çifçi

{"title":"The Future of European Regional Inequalities: Box-Cox Transformed ARMA Process Trend Smoothing (BATS) Forecasting","authors":"Hasan Engin Duran, Zeynep Elburz, Burcu Değerli Çifçi","doi":"10.1111/grow.70031","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70031","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The vast majority of the empirical studies on regional economic inequalities has analyzed the past evolutions, while the future trajectories are often ignored. Despite, no methods exist to predict the future precisely, it is worthwhile to shed light on the prospective tendencies in order to plan and formulate the policies at the present time. The current study addresses the following questions; <i>Will regional convergence continue in Europe? Which regions will become more prosperous? What are the future determinants of regional growth?</i> Our dataset covers 236 NUTS-2 regions belonging to the 28 European Countries for the period 2000–2022. In terms of methodology, we use a nonlinear forecasting technique <b>BATS (“Box-Cox Transformation, ARMA errors, Trend and Seasonal Components</b>”) model and <b>Spatial Durbin Regressions</b> along with explorative maps and descriptive statistics. As an outcome of the analyses, we obtained several remarkable results. First, regional inequalities are expected to widen by 2050 indicating the evidence of regional divergence. Second, spatial poles of prosperity are likely to change substantially. Most of the regions belonging to the countries in the “Mediterranean Basin” are predicted to remain relatively backward while many Eastern European regions are expected to rise in prosperity. Northern and Central European regions are likely to keep their prosperous position. Third, several crucial determinants of future growth patterns are detected. It appeared that younger demographic profile, industrialization and cohesion policies (particularly for CEE regions) have become key factors of future growth performance.</p>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/grow.70031","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143689263","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Disentangling Regional Diversification: Identifying Theoretical and Empirical Challenges Through Complex Networks 解开区域多样化：通过复杂网络识别理论和实证挑战

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-03-15 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70024

Henrry Morales, Miguel Atienza, Marcelo Lufin, Markus Grillitsch

引用次数: 0

Refugees' Settlement in Greece: Employment in Agriculture as a Criterion for an Alternative Dispersal Plan 希腊难民安置：农业就业作为另一种分散计划的标准

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-03-11 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70030

Anastasia Blouchoutzi, Georgios Tsaples, Dimitra Manou, Jason Papathanasiou

{"title":"Refugees' Settlement in Greece: Employment in Agriculture as a Criterion for an Alternative Dispersal Plan","authors":"Anastasia Blouchoutzi, Georgios Tsaples, Dimitra Manou, Jason Papathanasiou","doi":"10.1111/grow.70030","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70030","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper examines the settlement of refugees in Greece from the perspective of employment in the agricultural sector and suggests an allocation scheme that could contribute to rural revitalization in the country. Since the demographic challenge and rural depopulation are long-term issues to be addressed by the Greek state, the authors argue that fast track vocational training and job matching between refugees and farmers could benefit the refugee population and secure the sustainability of agriculture in Greece. The empirical model offers an alternative approach to the allocation of refugees in Greek mainland, considering for their willingness to work in agriculture and the reactions of the natives toward them. The results confirm that the rich regions with migrant networks and agricultural production can absorb a large share of refugees in periods of crisis. The paper extends the literature on the agriculture-migration nexus in the EUMed with a case of refugee allocation under the lens of labor market integration and rural revitalization.</p>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/grow.70030","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143594898","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The Administrative Mechanism Behind Sustainable Waste Disposal Practices: Evidence From State-Level Specific Authorities in Nigeria 可持续废物处理实践背后的管理机制：来自尼日利亚州级具体当局的证据

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-03-08 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70029

Dafeng Xu, Adler (Zheqi) Kang

{"title":"The Administrative Mechanism Behind Sustainable Waste Disposal Practices: Evidence From State-Level Specific Authorities in Nigeria","authors":"Dafeng Xu, Adler (Zheqi) Kang","doi":"10.1111/grow.70029","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70029","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Indiscriminate waste disposal practices—such as dumping waste in public spaces and burning waste at home—pose severe environmental threats. Yet, they are prevalent in Africa. In this paper, we study factors affecting household waste disposal in Nigeria using national survey data, focusing on the administrative mechanism, through which specific waste management authorities (rather than general environmental agencies) effectively promote the use of waste bins for sustainable disposal practices. This paper's statistical analysis presents four major conclusions: First, baseline estimates show correlational evidence that state-level specific waste management authorities are positively associated with sustainable waste disposal practices, conditional on household socioeconomic status. Second, this positive association between waste management authorities and sustainable waste disposal is largely absorbed after controlling for regional GDP or GDP per capita. Third, conditional on GDP (or GDP per capita), waste management authorities play a significant role in influencing waste disposal practices only in states with relatively low levels of GDP (or GDP per capita). Fourth, one important function of these specific waste management authorities is to lower the waste collection fee, so that households in some, although not all, states would be more able and willing to dispose of waste sustainably.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143571378","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Regional Specializations in Green Incumbents and Green Start-ups in the German Transport Sector 德国交通部门绿色企业和绿色初创企业的区域专业化

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-02-20 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70025

Hendrik Hansmeier, Sebastian Losacker, Johannes Bersch, Henning Kroll

引用次数: 0

Understanding the Catch-Up Innovation in China: A Perspective of Local Government Competition 理解中国的赶超型创新：一个地方政府竞争的视角

IF 2.9 3区经济学

Growth and Change Pub Date : 2025-02-14 DOI: 10.1111/grow.70026

Jin Guo, Zhi Wei, Yingzhi Xu

{"title":"Understanding the Catch-Up Innovation in China: A Perspective of Local Government Competition","authors":"Jin Guo, Zhi Wei, Yingzhi Xu","doi":"10.1111/grow.70026","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.70026","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This paper delves into the phenomenon of catch-up innovation in China, examining it through the institutional framework of local government innovation competition. Our theoretical modeling indicates that in order to perform well in performance appraisals and obtain a greater probability of promotion, local governments tend to implement excessive policy incentives, ultimately sparking an intense competition for innovation among regions in China. Empirical analyses corroborate the effectiveness of supportive policies in fostering local innovation. Nonetheless, excessive policy intervention has exhibited a propensity to stifle local innovation performance. In the spatial dimension, regional innovation competition demonstrates notable positive spatial effects, while the potential negative spatial effects of excessive competition have yet to emerge. By scrutinizing the influence of regional innovation competition on patent knowledge width and patent types, we conclude that regional innovation competition is unlikely to alleviate the issue of low-quality innovation in China. Consequently, this paper advocates for the urgent enhancement of the official evaluation system by incorporating indicators pertaining to innovation quality, thereby amplifying the positive impact of regional innovation competition on patent quality. Simultaneously, the official evaluation system should remain vigilant against the detrimental effects of excessive competition and facilitate the transition from regional innovation competition to regional innovation cooperation through the optimization of local government behavior.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47545,"journal":{"name":"Growth and Change","volume":"56 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143404431","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0