{"title":"CentralBank-BERT: Machine learning evidence on central bank digital currency discourse","authors":"Muhammad Bilal Zafar","doi":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2026.106300","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2026.106300","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper quantifies CBDC communication in BIS-posted speeches using a domain-adapted BERT architecture. From 19,609 speeches, 5376 CBDC sentences are identified in 588 speeches delivered by 157 authors across 57 countries, spanning 2016–2024. Sentence-level classifiers assign labels for Type (Retail, Wholesale, General/Unspecified), Stance (Pro, Wait-and-See, Anti), Sentiment (positive, neutral, negative), and Discourse (Feature, Risk-Benefit, Process). Comparable indicators, dispersion metrics (entropy, HHI), and cross-task dependence (Cramér’s V, mutual information) are constructed. Three facts emerge: (i) communication is retail-oriented and procedural. Retail is the modal type and Process the modal discourse, consistent with rulebooks, intermediated distribution, holding limits, privacy models, and offline use; (ii) tone is predominantly neutral while stance is supportive or cautious, with tight stance–sentiment alignment; (iii) activity surges from 2020, peaks in 2022, and remains elevated, reflecting a compositional pivot toward retail design and program management rather than a simple scale-up of generic statements. Geography is concentrated in the Eurosystem, with meaningful contributions from the US, UK, and Asia-Pacific. Methodologically, a reusable, replication-grade measurement layer for policy communication is provided. Substantively, the evidence indicates a shift in official narratives from whether to how, consistent with managed institutional experimentation that advances operational readiness while preserving policy flexibility.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47522,"journal":{"name":"JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS","volume":"139 ","pages":"Article 106300"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147826809","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The impact of strict regulation and supervision on OECD bank instability and the role of financial soundness","authors":"Chris Magnis","doi":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2026.106299","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2026.106299","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the impact of banks' financial soundness on their financial instability, in light of the tightness of regulatory and supervisory frameworks. Using a comprehensive sample of banks from OECD countries over the period 2005–2023, I provide empirical evidence demonstrating that greater financial strength is associated with lower volatility, while strict regulation and robust supervisory protocols enhance the stability of the banking sector. It is also noteworthy that the square specifications reveal non-monotonic threshold effects. More specifically, capital regulation and monitoring show an inverted U-relationship with bank volatility, while activity constraints and supervisory authority are U-shaped, indicating that excessive intervention mechanisms are likely to lead to counterproductive outcomes. The interplay between financial soundness and regulatory and supervisory strictness suggests that sound banks depict greater stability benefits from tight supervision, while less sound banks may experience enhanced instability. The findings are resistant to alternative measures of bank instability (Z-score, volatility of stock returns, and NPL ratio), COVID-19 period exclusion, and endogenous diagnostics tests (GMM and 2SLS). The results have direct implications for the calibration of macroprudential policy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47522,"journal":{"name":"JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS","volume":"139 ","pages":"Article 106299"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147826812","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Production over protection: How tax incentives reshape firms’ investment and emissions","authors":"Xiaodong Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2026.106297","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2026.106297","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the unintended environmental consequences of non-environmental tax incentives by examining China’s 2004 value-added tax (VAT) reform. The policy reduces the cost of fixed asset investment for firms, encouraging capital expansion. Using firm-level panel data from 2000 to 2006 and a difference-in-differences (DID) approach, we find that the reform increases firms’ fixed asset ratio by 5.4 % and sulfur dioxide (SO<sub>2</sub>) emission intensity by 13 %. While firms expand production capacity, they neglect environmental protection: abatement equipment intensity falls by 17.6 %, and SO<sub>2</sub> removal efficiency declines by 8 %. The negative environmental impact is more pronounced among financially constrained firms and in cities with higher levels of government intervention as well as following mayoral turnover. Robustness checks using propensity score matching (PSM) and triple-difference (DDD) models confirm our findings. This study contributes to the literature by revealing that tax incentives, even when unrelated to the environment, can adversely affect firms’ environmental performance by shifting investment priorities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47522,"journal":{"name":"JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS","volume":"139 ","pages":"Article 106297"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147826813","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Sana Ben Abdallah , Dhafer Saidane , Amaury Goguel
{"title":"The legal system in the nexus between ESG and banking risk","authors":"Sana Ben Abdallah , Dhafer Saidane , Amaury Goguel","doi":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2026.106298","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2026.106298","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The article examines the implications of the legal context in the relationship between ESG and the financial risk of 461 banks operating in common-law economies and 120 banks operating in civil-law economies between 2010 and 2024. Using a system-generalized method of moments (GMM), the results show that ESG performance and its components each impact bank stability differently across financial systems. In common-law (market-based) economies, environmental initiatives reduce stability and market value, while governance and social efforts have mixed effects. In civil-law (bank-based) economies, ESG—especially environmental and governance practices—enhances stability and reduces credit and liquidity risks. These results suggest that ESG integration has a stronger and more direct impact on financial performance in bank-based systems compared to market-based systems. Because ESG affects bank stability differently in common‑law and civil‑law systems, regulators should tailor sustainable‑finance rules to their legal context: in civil‑law (bank‑based) systems, policies can confidently strengthen mandatory ESG integration to reduce credit and liquidity risks, whereas in common‑law (market‑based) systems, policymakers should focus on incentivizing governance and social practices while designing environmental requirements carefully to avoid short‑term destabilizing effects.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47522,"journal":{"name":"JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS","volume":"139 ","pages":"Article 106298"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147826814","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Institutional quality effects on bank ESG performance: A European outlook","authors":"Valerio Pesic , Federico Tsipas","doi":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2026.106301","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2026.106301","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>While numerous studies have examined the influence of bank-specific variables on ESG performance, the role of country-specific institutional factors has received comparatively little attention. Drawing on legitimacy theory, this study examines how government effectiveness, political stability, and regulatory quality shape the ESG performance of 71 European banks across 20 countries from 2010 to 2023. Using fixed-effects panel regression with robust clustered standard errors, we find that banks in weaker institutional environments exhibit higher ESG performance, consistent with the use of ESG as a legitimacy-enhancing mechanism. This result holds under a range of robustness checks and after addressing potential endogeneity concerns. When disaggregating ESG into its three pillars, we observe a similar effect for the environmental and social dimensions, while the governance pillar shows no significant relationship with institutional quality. By uncovering ESG’s role as a substitute for institutional credibility, this study offers critical insights for regulators aiming to ensure ESG practices remain substantive rather than symbolic.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47522,"journal":{"name":"JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS","volume":"139 ","pages":"Article 106301"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147826815","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Rudra P. Pradhan , SMRK Samarakoon , SMNN Sarathkumara
{"title":"Gender representation in Indian corporate reports: A textual analytics approach","authors":"Rudra P. Pradhan , SMRK Samarakoon , SMNN Sarathkumara","doi":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2025.106271","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2025.106271","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study delves into gender-related disclosures within annual reports of listed non-financial Indian companies from 2007 to 2022. It examines the determinants of these disclosures, their impact on firm value, and their subsequent influence on performance, based on an analysis of 9210 firm-year observations. Key findings reveal that intrinsic firm attributes, including size, age, and board composition, significantly shape gender-centric narratives. A positive association emerges between gender-inclusive language—particularly that which highlights female identities—and firm value. In contrast, male-dominated narratives tend to diminish firm value. Firms that emphasize gender balance, rather than adopting a male-centric tone, exhibit stronger performance outcomes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47522,"journal":{"name":"JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS","volume":"138 ","pages":"Article 106271"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146116597","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ana Abras , Bennett Bullock , Joyce Maia , Bruno de Paula Rocha
{"title":"Lakes and deserts: Understanding bank presence in Brazil","authors":"Ana Abras , Bennett Bullock , Joyce Maia , Bruno de Paula Rocha","doi":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2025.106260","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2025.106260","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Banking deserts are localities that lack the physical presence of financial intermediaries. Our study sheds new light on the characteristics of banking deserts in Brazil. We apply machine learning techniques and a classification model to uncover the bank’s strategy of offering products in different local markets. Our results suggest that banks employ a product differentiation strategy, offering a small-scale infrastructure of service posts and ATMs in less developed areas. In areas with higher profitability prospects, banks use a physical network of branches. Among the features most predictive of branch presence and service post markets are population density, educational levels, job formality, GDP per capita, and local measures of infrastructure.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47522,"journal":{"name":"JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS","volume":"138 ","pages":"Article 106260"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146116596","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Unveiling the impact of sustainability reporting on banking performance: Role of country-specific determinants","authors":"Mayank Gupta","doi":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2025.106246","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2025.106246","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study empirically investigates the impact of sustainability reporting on the future financial performance of banking firms. Using a panel regression approach, the study examines 381 listed banking firms from 15 major countries. Contrary to the existing notion, the findings assert a negative influence of sustainability disclosures on bank performance<span><span><span>. A detailed analysis suggests that environmental and social disclosures drive this negative effect. Furthermore, additional investigations contemplate that several country-specific factors such as economic development, creditor rights, investor protection, and private monitoring by investors significantly moderate the relationship between </span>ESG disclosures and </span>bank performance. The results are robust to various sensitivity checks. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study that unveils the moderating role of country-specific factors in sustainability reporting and bank performance nexus. These findings have crucial implications for all the stakeholders, who indulge in sustainability monitoring and reporting.</span></div></div>","PeriodicalId":47522,"journal":{"name":"JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS","volume":"138 ","pages":"Article 106246"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146116598","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Post-bankruptcy performance: A systematic literature review on the performance of U.S. firms after emerging from Chapter 11 bankruptcy","authors":"Wolfgang Breuer, Simon Haas, Katharina Mersmann","doi":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2025.106290","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2025.106290","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The Chapter 11 process enables bankrupt firms to reorganize their business to return to profitability. This paper critically evaluates the literature on post-bankruptcy performance of U.S. firms that have emerged from Chapter 11. Analyzing 25 studies, we provide a comprehensive overview of the various post-bankruptcy performance metrics, the influencing factors, and the research methodologies. Post-bankruptcy performance varies significantly across firms, with average refiling rates in these studies between 7 % and 39.3 % decreasing over time, financial performance remaining below industry benchmarks, but stock market performance frequently meeting or exceeding market expectations. Key success factors include firm size, leverage re-duction, industry conditions, and investor involvement, while factors such as CEO turnover and bankruptcy duration show mixed effects. Several research gaps remain, particularly regarding corporate governance, the effects of legal reforms, the use of modern analytical techniques such as machine learning, and potential interacting effects.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47522,"journal":{"name":"JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS","volume":"138 ","pages":"Article 106290"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146116594","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The impact of industrial land reform on corporate innovation input: Evidence from a natural experiment in China","authors":"Lin Zhu , Wenjiao Zang","doi":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2025.106289","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeconbus.2025.106289","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the impact of industrial land reform on corporate innovation input. To establish causality, we utilize China’s industrial land reform as an exogenous shock to land use efficiency. Using a difference-in-differences approach, we find that the reform significantly facilitates corporate innovation input. Mechanism analyses reveal two primary channels driving this effect: an increase in internal capital through higher average yield per acre and a greater willingness to innovate due to intensified market competition. Further tests show that the positive relationship between industrial land reform and corporate innovation input is more pronounced in regions with a government land supervision agency, higher levels of land misallocation, and among non-high-tech firms. Additionally, the reform enhances the quantity, quality, and efficiency of innovation outputs. The main results hold for various tests, including parallel trend tests, alternative measures, robust checks with an alternative regression model, and the exclusion of other policies. Taken together, our findings provide insights into the micro-level effects of market-oriented land reforms and the determinants shaping corporate innovation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47522,"journal":{"name":"JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS","volume":"138 ","pages":"Article 106289"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146116595","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}