{"title":"The central bank as safe haven: Flight-to-safety, democratization, and credit contraction in the Spanish Second Republic","authors":"Enrique Jorge-Sotelo","doi":"10.1016/j.eeh.2026.101789","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eeh.2026.101789","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In the past, central banks were also retail institutions, directly accepting deposits from the public. This article studies a historical episode of flight-to-safety during a banking crisis in which large depositors withdrew their deposits from banks, moving them not only abroad or into cash, but also into the central bank. I ask how this safe-haven channel shaped the financial backdrop of democratization in interwar Spain. The 1931 proclamation of the Second Republic turned long-repressed demands for redistribution into a credible, if uncertain, redistributive threat to large depositors, triggering a run on bank deposits and capital flight, to which authorities responded by restricting capital mobility. Because opening and using a <em>Banco de España</em> (BdE) retail account required a very high initial deposit and subsequent contributions, access was formally open but effectively restricted to large bank depositors. Using new branch-level balance-sheet data, I document a stronger flight-to-safety to BdE deposits in cities where banks lost more deposits, show that this inflow was persistent, and find that the BdE did not use it to expand credit or replace banks’ lost intermediation due to the run on their deposits. Flight-to-safety into central bank liabilities thus let large depositors preserve the nominal value of their wealth, but without an offsetting expansion of public (central bank) money, the resulting fall in private money went uncompensated — contributing to the credit contraction that marked the democratic Republic’s first months.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47413,"journal":{"name":"Explorations in Economic History","volume":"102 ","pages":"Article 101789"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2026-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149093417","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A practitioner’s guide to using large language models and generative AI in economic history","authors":"Andreas Ferrara","doi":"10.1016/j.eeh.2026.101790","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eeh.2026.101790","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Large language models (LLMs) are lowering the barriers to entry for working with previously hard-to-use data sources that once required strong data science skills, such as handwritten ledgers, text, images, or sound recordings. This guide provides an introduction for researchers who are new to LLMs. It sets out a step-by-step workflow for turning a research idea into working code, data, theoretical models, or replication packages. It then works through the decisions a practitioner faces in sequence, beginning with whether an LLM is the right tool and whether the data are allowed to be sent to one, then how to select models, write prompts, manage context limits, and control costs, and finally how to validate, reproduce, document, and correct LLM-generated measures in regression settings. A review of recent research shows how these tools already extract, link, harmonize, and classify historical data at scale. Four worked examples with replication files illustrate the use of LLMs. They classify emotions in paintings, link census records without names, measure newspaper salience and sentiment around the 1882 Chinese Exclusion Act, and score the emotional delivery of Franklin D. Roosevelt’s wartime speeches. The guide also condenses the workflow, best-practice recommendations, and preparation of replication packages into summary tables and checklists to aid applied economists.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47413,"journal":{"name":"Explorations in Economic History","volume":"102 ","pages":"Article 101790"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2026-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149210780","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Guillermo Esteban-Oliver,Eduard J. Alvarez-Palau,Jordi Martí-Henneberg
{"title":"Building a National Market: Transport and Economic Integration in Nineteenth-Century Spain","authors":"Guillermo Esteban-Oliver,Eduard J. Alvarez-Palau,Jordi Martí-Henneberg","doi":"10.1016/j.eeh.2026.101791","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eeh.2026.101791","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47413,"journal":{"name":"Explorations in Economic History","volume":"9 1","pages":"101791"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2026-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149151718","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Locked in the past: Old housing and the adoption of electric heating","authors":"Yi Jie Gwee, Hui Ren Tan","doi":"10.1016/j.eeh.2026.101771","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eeh.2026.101771","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Can history explain some of the variation in electric heating usage across American homes today? Assembling a new county panel, we find that areas with more dwellings built before WWII are slower at adopting electric heating in later decades. This is due to old buildings being retrofitted more slowly and new buildings being less likely to have electric heating. We propose two ways to distinguish between persistence and path dependence as mechanisms, and show that our results largely reflect the latter. We document how various factors like natural disasters and government intervention can weaken the hold of history.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47413,"journal":{"name":"Explorations in Economic History","volume":"101 ","pages":"Article 101771"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2026-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148311448","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Arsenic and fertility: Evidence from the 1900 English beer-poisoning epidemic","authors":"Jonathan James","doi":"10.1016/j.eeh.2026.101772","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eeh.2026.101772","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In 1900, thousands of people in England were poisoned by arsenic. The source was beer contaminated by tainted sugar. This paper examines how the poisoning affected birth rates in the affected areas, using an event study difference-in-difference design. The results show that the arsenic-in-beer epidemic caused a 10% drop in births in 1901, but the effect was short-lived. After about 28 weeks, birth rates returned to pre-epidemic levels. Evidence from the timing of the effect and a range of alternative mechanisms is most consistent with the epidemic reducing conceptions or early pregnancies, rather than operating through economic disruption or later gestational harm.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47413,"journal":{"name":"Explorations in Economic History","volume":"101 ","pages":"Article 101772"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2026-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148357337","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The effect of a woman-friendly occupation on employment: U.S. postmasters before World War II","authors":"Sophie Li","doi":"10.1016/j.eeh.2026.101775","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eeh.2026.101775","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper studies U.S. postmasters in the early twentieth century, a rare woman-friendly occupation at a time when women’s employment opportunities were highly constrained. Using a novel dataset linking postmaster appointments to census records, I show that these well-paid, flexible positions attracted educated and qualified White women into the labor force. However, exploiting exogenous variation in reappointment probabilities through an RD design, I find that many women exited the labor force once their appointments ended. Few transitioned into other skilled occupations, accounting for only one-third of the 24 pp. employment loss. The results are consistent with a reservation-wage mechanism: women who secured alternative full-time skilled jobs with wages comparable to postmasters remained employed, while others stopped working. The scarcity of jobs similar to postmasters likely limited the long-term gains of this otherwise advantageous occupation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47413,"journal":{"name":"Explorations in Economic History","volume":"101 ","pages":"Article 101775"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2026-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148402724","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Country banks and the Panic of 1825","authors":"Jane Olmstead-Rumsey, Giorgio Ravalli","doi":"10.1016/j.eeh.2026.101774","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eeh.2026.101774","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The Panic of 1825 was a significant crisis in British financial history. We document how this crisis spread from London banks to England’s real economy. England’s correspondent banking network propagated trouble in sovereign debt markets to small banks outside of London and ultimately to non-financial firms. Using exogenous variation in district-level exposure to the crisis, we show that bank failures led to a substantial number of bankruptcies among non-financial firms. We discuss two potential mechanisms by which the financial system affected the real economy: a fall in aggregate demand and a credit supply shock.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47413,"journal":{"name":"Explorations in Economic History","volume":"101 ","pages":"Article 101774"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2026-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148539293","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Born in Smog: Immediate and persistent health consequences of acute air pollution exposure in historical London, 1892–1919","authors":"Eric B. Schneider","doi":"10.1016/j.eeh.2026.101773","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eeh.2026.101773","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines how acute pollution exposure in historical London (1892–1919) affected child health. I proxy acute, extreme pollution exposure using daily data on fog events, which reflect meteorological conditions where pollution emitted in the city was not dispersed across space leading to a sharp spike in pollution. I also use rich individual-level data on child health drawn from the Queen Charlotte Hospital, a maternity hospital, and the Foundling Hospital, an orphanage. I find no effect of pollution exposure at birth on birth or growth outcomes or on upper respiratory morbidity. However, exposure on the day of birth had persistent effects on health, increasing mortality risk in childhood and adolescence from respiratory diseases and raising incidence, prevalence and sickness duration of influenza and measles. There was no persistent effect of in utero and postnatal pollution exposures. These mixed results show that extreme pollution at birth had lasting impacts on specific, but also limited, dimensions of child health.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47413,"journal":{"name":"Explorations in Economic History","volume":"101 ","pages":"Article 101773"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2026-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148539360","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Persistent specialization and growth: The Italian land reform","authors":"Riccardo Bianchi-Vimercati , Giampaolo Lecce , Matteo Magnaricotte","doi":"10.1016/j.eeh.2025.101739","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eeh.2025.101739","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The impact of land redistribution on structural transformation is ambiguous. While large landowners may hinder industrialization by restricting access to education, larger farm scale can facilitate mechanization and productivity growth. This study uses novel fine-grained data to examine the long-term effects of the 1950 Italian land reform, which redistributed land from large landowners to landless farmers. Employing two difference-in-differences strategies, we find that the reform significantly slowed industrialization in affected municipalities, which, fifty years after the reform, exhibited an agricultural employment share approximately 70% higher than the estimated counterfactual scenario. Reductions in agglomeration and occupational mobility emerge as key mechanisms, while education seemingly played a limited role. Finally, we show that the reform significantly hindered the overall economic growth of affected municipalities between 1970 and 2000.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47413,"journal":{"name":"Explorations in Economic History","volume":"100 ","pages":"Article 101739"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145961804","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Economic consequences of the 1933 Soviet famine","authors":"Natalya Naumenko","doi":"10.1016/j.eeh.2025.101738","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eeh.2025.101738","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This article studies the changes in the Soviet population and the urbanization patterns after the 1933 famine. It documents several new facts. (1) Although most of the direct victims lived in rural areas, the famine is associated with persistent differences in the urban population. Comparing more affected areas to less affected ones, in the long run, there are no differences in the rural population, but urban settlements in more affected areas are comparatively smaller. (2) Consistent with this pattern, in the long run, there are no differences in grain production and sown area, but electricity production is relatively smaller in more affected areas. (3) These differences were not planned in the First Five-Year Plan (1928–1933), but subsequent plans may have incorporated and exacerbated the differences in urbanization that occurred during the years of rural crisis. The paper argues that labor shortages during the crucial years of rapid industrialization hindered the development of cities in famine-stricken areas. Thus, the timing of the shock to the population is important. While established urban networks tend to recover from large temporary negative shocks, labor shortages during construction and rapid growth might have a permanent negative impact.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47413,"journal":{"name":"Explorations in Economic History","volume":"100 ","pages":"Article 101738"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145897360","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"历史学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}