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Political Science Research and Methods最新文献

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When do different systems of government lead to similar power-sharing? The case of government formation 不同的政府体系何时会导致类似的权力分享？政府组建案例
IF 3.9 2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2022-05-27 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2022.20
Thiago N. Silva
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引用次数: 0
Belief in territorial indivisibility and public preferences for dispute resolution 相信领土不可分割和公众对争端解决的偏好
IF 3.9 2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2022-05-02 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2022.19
Songying Fang, Xiaojun Li, Atsushi Tago, Daina Chiba
{"title":"Belief in territorial indivisibility and public preferences for dispute resolution","authors":"Songying Fang, Xiaojun Li, Atsushi Tago, Daina Chiba","doi":"10.1017/psrm.2022.19","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2022.19","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This study investigates how individuals may develop more or less strong beliefs in the indivisibility of a disputed territory and how such beliefs may influence their policy preferences toward resolving the dispute. Using a survey experiment in Japan, we find that historical ownership strengthens respondents’ beliefs in territorial indivisibility. Furthermore, those who hold the strongest belief in territorial indivisibility are much less likely to support bilateral negotiation and more likely to support contentious policies, including but not limited to military actions. Finally, we explore external validity of the findings by analyzing respondents who had a real dispute in mind during the survey with China, South Korea, and Russia, respectively.","PeriodicalId":47311,"journal":{"name":"Political Science Research and Methods","volume":"10 1","pages":"759 - 775"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2022-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48713937","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Computing quantities of interest and their uncertainty using Bayesian simulation 利用贝叶斯模拟计算兴趣量及其不确定性
IF 3.9 2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2022-04-26 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2022.18
A. Murr, Richard Traunmüller, J. Gill
{"title":"Computing quantities of interest and their uncertainty using Bayesian simulation","authors":"A. Murr, Richard Traunmüller, J. Gill","doi":"10.1017/psrm.2022.18","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2022.18","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 When analyzing data, researchers are often less interested in the parameters of statistical models than in functions of these parameters such as predicted values. Here we show that Bayesian simulation with Markov-Chain Monte Carlo tools makes it easy to compute these quantities of interest with their uncertainty. We illustrate how to produce customary and relatively new quantities of interest such as variable importance ranking, posterior predictive data, difficult marginal effects, and model comparison statistics to allow researchers to report more informative results.","PeriodicalId":47311,"journal":{"name":"Political Science Research and Methods","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2022-04-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47018188","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Experience, institutions, and candidate emergence: the political career returns to state legislative service 经验、制度和候选人的出现:政治生涯回归到州立法服务
IF 3.9 2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2022-04-22 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2022.16
Joshua McCrain, Stephen D. O'Connell
{"title":"Experience, institutions, and candidate emergence: the political career returns to state legislative service","authors":"Joshua McCrain, Stephen D. O'Connell","doi":"10.1017/psrm.2022.16","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2022.16","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 More than half of the current members of the US Congress served in their state legislature prior to holding federal office. We quantify the relationship between state legislative service and career progression to Congress. Using close elections for exogenous assignment of political experience across otherwise similar candidates, we show that serving in the state legislature more than doubles an individual's probability of eventually contesting a Congressional seat relative to a similar candidate who lost in a comparable election; it also doubles the individual politician's probability of eventually winning a Congressional seat. State legislatures thus create national politicians out of otherwise marginal political entrants. We then show that the effect of state legislative service on career progression is larger in more professionalized legislatures, highlighting the role of institutions in facilitating political career progression. Our results hold important implications for representation and accountability, and confirm that prevailing institutions can affect political selection via career progression.","PeriodicalId":47311,"journal":{"name":"Political Science Research and Methods","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2022-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43319808","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
RAM volume 10 issue 2 Cover and Front matter RAM第10卷第2期封面和封面
IF 3.9 2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2022.14
{"title":"RAM volume 10 issue 2 Cover and Front matter","authors":"","doi":"10.1017/psrm.2022.14","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2022.14","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47311,"journal":{"name":"Political Science Research and Methods","volume":" ","pages":"f1 - f2"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2022-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49568835","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
RAM volume 10 issue 2 Cover and Back matter RAM第10卷第2期封面和封底
IF 3.9 2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2022.15
{"title":"RAM volume 10 issue 2 Cover and Back matter","authors":"","doi":"10.1017/psrm.2022.15","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2022.15","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47311,"journal":{"name":"Political Science Research and Methods","volume":"10 1","pages":"b1 - b2"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2022-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41929805","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Spatial modeling of dyadic geopolitical interactions between moving actors 运动参与者之间二元地缘政治相互作用的空间建模
IF 3.9 2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2022-03-30 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2022.6
Sangyeon Kim, Howard Liu, B. Desmarais
{"title":"Spatial modeling of dyadic geopolitical interactions between moving actors","authors":"Sangyeon Kim, Howard Liu, B. Desmarais","doi":"10.1017/psrm.2022.6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2022.6","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Political actors often interact spatially, and move around. However, with a few exceptions, existing political research has analyzed spatial dependence among actors with fixed geographic locations. Focusing on fixated geographic units prevents us from probing dependencies in spatial interaction between spatially dynamic actors, which are common in some areas of political science, such as sub-national conflict studies. In this note, we propose a method to account for spatial dependence in dyadic interactions between moving actors. Our method uses the spatiotemporal histories of dyadic interactions to project locations of future interactions—projected actor locations (PALs). PALs can, in turn, be used to model the likelihood of future dyadic interactions. In a replication and extension of a recent study of subnational conflict, we find that using PALs improves the predictive performance of the model and indicates that there is a clear relationship between actors’ past conflict locations and the likelihood of future conflicts.","PeriodicalId":47311,"journal":{"name":"Political Science Research and Methods","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2022-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43943734","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Does accommodation work? Mainstream party strategies and the success of radical right parties 住宿有效吗?主流政党战略与极右翼政党的成功
IF 3.9 2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2022-03-25 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2022.8
Werner Krause, D. Cohen, Tarik Abou-Chadi
{"title":"Does accommodation work? Mainstream party strategies and the success of radical right parties","authors":"Werner Krause, D. Cohen, Tarik Abou-Chadi","doi":"10.1017/psrm.2022.8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2022.8","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 This research note investigates how mainstream party strategies affect the success of radical right parties (RRPs). It is a widespread view that mainstream party accommodation of radical right core issue positions would reduce the radical right's success. Empirical evidence for this claim, however, remains inconclusive. Using party level data as well as micro-level voter transitions between mainstream and RRPs, we re-evaluate the effectiveness of accommodative strategies and also test whether they work contingent on specific conditions, e.g., the newness of radical right challengers or the existence of a cordon sanitaire. We do not find any evidence that accommodative strategies reduce radical right support. If anything, our results suggest that they lead to more voters defecting to the radical right. Our findings have important implications for the study of multi-party competition as they challenge what has become a core assumption of this literature: that accommodative strategies reduce niche party success.","PeriodicalId":47311,"journal":{"name":"Political Science Research and Methods","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2022-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45707800","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 18
K Street on main: legislative turnover and multi-client lobbying K街：立法更替和多客户游说
IF 3.9 2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2022-03-25 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2022.7
James M. Strickland, Jesse M. Crosson
{"title":"K Street on main: legislative turnover and multi-client lobbying","authors":"James M. Strickland, Jesse M. Crosson","doi":"10.1017/psrm.2022.7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2022.7","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 This study explores the consequences of legislative turnover for the hiring of lobbyists and influence of interest groups. We argue that lobbyists develop durable relationships with lawmakers in assemblies with low turnover. Such relationships allow lobbyists to attract clients. We use a new, state-level measure of multi-client lobbying to show that legislative turnover and multi-client lobbying are inversely related: decreases in turnover are correlated with more multi-client lobbying. In a second set of analyses, we find that legislative term limits are associated with less multi-client lobbying. Since multi-client lobbying poses risks to the representation of individual interests and magnifies the effects of resource differences between interests, our results suggest that turnover may help more diverse interests to achieve political influence.","PeriodicalId":47311,"journal":{"name":"Political Science Research and Methods","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2022-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47579497","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Asymmetric flooding as a tool for foreign influence on social media 非对称泛滥作为外国影响社交媒体的工具
IF 3.9 2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2022-03-25 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2022.9
Alexandra E. Cirone, William R. Hobbs
{"title":"Asymmetric flooding as a tool for foreign influence on social media","authors":"Alexandra E. Cirone, William R. Hobbs","doi":"10.1017/psrm.2022.9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2022.9","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Research on Russian troll activity during the 2016 US presidential campaign largely focused on divisive partisan messaging. Here, we document the use of apolitical content—content that could counteract mobilization efforts and escape detection in future campaigns. We argue this resembled techniques used by autocratic regimes domestically, in “flooding” social media with entertainment content to distract from and displace mobilizing messaging. Using automated text analysis and hand coding to construct a timeline of IRA messaging on Twitter, we find left-leaning trolls posted large volumes of entertainment content in their artificial liberal community and shifted away from political content late in the campaign. Simultaneously, conservative trolls were targeting their community with increases in political content. This suggests the use of apolitical content might be an overlooked strategy to selectively manipulate levels of attention to politics.","PeriodicalId":47311,"journal":{"name":"Political Science Research and Methods","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2022-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46786952","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
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