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Political Science Research and Methods最新文献

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Partisan communication in two-stage elections: the effect of primaries on intra-campaign positional shifts in congressional elections 两阶段选举中的党派沟通：初选对国会选举中竞选内部立场转变的影响
IF 3.9 2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2024-01-10 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2023.62
Mike Cowburn, Marius Sältzer
{"title":"Partisan communication in two-stage elections: the effect of primaries on intra-campaign positional shifts in congressional elections","authors":"Mike Cowburn, Marius Sältzer","doi":"10.1017/psrm.2023.62","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2023.62","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 The influence of congressional primary elections on candidate positioning remains disputed and poorly understood. We test whether candidates communicate artificially “extreme” positions during the nomination, as revealed by moderation following a primary defeat. We apply a scaling method based on candidates language on Twitter to estimate positions of 988 candidates in contested US House of Representatives primaries in 2020 over time, demonstrating validity against NOMINATE (r > 0.93) where possible. Losing Democratic candidates moderated significantly after their primary defeat, indicating strategic position-taking for perceived electoral benefit, where the nomination contest induced artificially “extreme” communication. We find no such effect among Republicans. These findings have implications for candidate strategy in two-stage elections and provide further evidence of elite partisan asymmetry.","PeriodicalId":47311,"journal":{"name":"Political Science Research and Methods","volume":"19 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139439056","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Election symbols and vote choice: evidence from India 选举标志与选票选择：印度的证据
IF 3.9 2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2024-01-04 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2023.58
Alexander Lee, Weihong Qi
{"title":"Election symbols and vote choice: evidence from India","authors":"Alexander Lee, Weihong Qi","doi":"10.1017/psrm.2023.58","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2023.58","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 A large literature has shown that ballot order and ballot structure can influence vote choice. We focus on another behavioral cue for voting, the symbols that are assigned to candidates in many democracies. We take advantage of a naturally occurring experiment in India, where independent candidates can choose from a list of free symbols and conflicting choices are resolved by a drawing of lots. We find that winning the draw has a substantial positive effect on vote share. We also find some evidence that candidates attempt to choose their symbols strategically, for instance choosing household goods common in their constituencies.","PeriodicalId":47311,"journal":{"name":"Political Science Research and Methods","volume":"37 5","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-01-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139384862","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Local elections do not increase local news demand 地方选举不会增加地方新闻需求
IF 3.9 2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2023.59
Joshua McCrain, Erik Peterson
{"title":"Local elections do not increase local news demand","authors":"Joshua McCrain, Erik Peterson","doi":"10.1017/psrm.2023.59","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2023.59","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Anemic demand for local news has contributed to an industry crisis. We consider whether local elections, which highlight the ability of local television stations and newspapers to provide information that is unavailable from national news outlets, increase local media use. While we show these elections are a time of increased attention to local politics in the news and among the public, we also find local media outlets do not benefit from this when considering behavioral news use measures. Relative to news outlets in cities without an election, local television remains substantively unchanged during local elections. Newspaper website traffic is largely stable, although it falls slightly the month after an election. In both cases these differences are small, even when considering close races and those happening off the federal election cycle. This shows limits on the ability of salient local political events to motivate local news use.","PeriodicalId":47311,"journal":{"name":"Political Science Research and Methods","volume":"114 36","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2023-12-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138958442","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The (in)effectiveness of populist rhetoric: a conjoint experiment of campaign messaging 民粹主义言论的（无效）效果：竞选信息的联合实验
IF 3.9 2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2023-11-23 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2023.55
Yaoyao Dai, A. Kustov
{"title":"The (in)effectiveness of populist rhetoric: a conjoint experiment of campaign messaging","authors":"Yaoyao Dai, A. Kustov","doi":"10.1017/psrm.2023.55","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2023.55","url":null,"abstract":"Is populism electorally effective and, if so, why? Scholars agree that populism is a set of people-centric, anti-pluralist, and anti-elitist ideas that can be combined with various ideological positions. It is difficult, yet important, to disentangle populism from its hosting ideology in evaluating populism's effectiveness and its potential conditional effects on the hosting ideology. We conduct a novel US conjoint experiment asking respondents to evaluate pairs of realistic campaign messages with varying populism-related messages and hosting policy positions given by hypothetical primary candidates. Although party-congruent policy positions are expectedly much more popular, we find that none of the populist features have an independent or combined effect on candidate choice.","PeriodicalId":47311,"journal":{"name":"Political Science Research and Methods","volume":"11 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2023-11-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139243693","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The American public's attitudes over how judges use legal principles to make decisions 美国公众对法官如何利用法律原则做出判决的态度
IF 3.9 2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2023-11-17 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2023.53
Albert H. Rivero, Andrew R. Stone
{"title":"The American public's attitudes over how judges use legal principles to make decisions","authors":"Albert H. Rivero, Andrew R. Stone","doi":"10.1017/psrm.2023.53","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2023.53","url":null,"abstract":"We investigate the American public's attitudes over an integral component of judicial behavior: the legal principles judges employ when making decisions. Our theoretical perspective argues that political preferences shape individuals’ attitudes over how judges apply legal principles, mirroring ideological divisions expressed by political elites and judges. Using an original battery of questions, we find high support across all Americans for the use of certain, well-established legal principles, but stark differences in how liberals and conservatives evaluate the use of more controversial principles. In a survey experiment, we find that agreement (disagreement) between an individual's attitudes over the use of legal principles and the reasoning contained in a Supreme Court opinion is associated with increased (decreased) support for the Court decision.","PeriodicalId":47311,"journal":{"name":"Political Science Research and Methods","volume":"74 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2023-11-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139266125","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluating methods for examining the relative persuasiveness of policy arguments 评估审查政策论据相对说服力的方法
IF 3.9 2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2023-11-17 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2023.54
Jared McDonald, M. Hanmer
{"title":"Evaluating methods for examining the relative persuasiveness of policy arguments","authors":"Jared McDonald, M. Hanmer","doi":"10.1017/psrm.2023.54","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2023.54","url":null,"abstract":"Survey researchers testing the effectiveness of arguments for or against policies traditionally employ between-subjects designs. In doing so, they lose statistical power and the ability to precisely estimate public attitudes. We explore the efficacy of an approach often used to address these limitations: the repeated measures within-subjects (RMWS) design. This study tests the competing hypotheses that (1) the RMWS will yield smaller effects due to respondents' desire to maintain consistency (the “opinion anchor” hypothesis), and (2) the RMWS will yield larger effects because the researcher provides respondents with the opportunity to update their attitudes (the “opportunity to revise” hypothesis). Using two survey experiments, we find evidence for the opportunity to revise hypothesis, and discuss the implications for future survey research.","PeriodicalId":47311,"journal":{"name":"Political Science Research and Methods","volume":"43 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2023-11-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139265467","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The bureaucratic politics of authoritarian repression: intra-agency reform and surveillance capacity in communist Poland 专制镇压的官僚政治:共产主义波兰的机构内部改革和监督能力
2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2023-11-09 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2023.41
Henry Thomson
{"title":"The bureaucratic politics of authoritarian repression: intra-agency reform and surveillance capacity in communist Poland","authors":"Henry Thomson","doi":"10.1017/psrm.2023.41","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2023.41","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Coercive institutions' internal structures remain poorly understood. Bureaucratic reorganizations within security institutions cause significant variation in their behavior, however. Intra-agency reforms interact with officers' careerist incentives to cause changes in coercive capacity or repression. In this paper, I test the effects of intra-agency reforms on surveillance capacity. I exploit a rare source of exogenous variation in the structure of the secret police in communist Poland. Difference-in-differences models find that when security headquarters were duplicated through an administrative reform, the proliferation of higher-level posts within the service caused a large and statistically significant increase in the number of informants it employed. Intra-agency reform substantially altered the agency's coercive capacity. Previously overlooked dynamics within coercive institutions have important effects on authoritarian repression.","PeriodicalId":47311,"journal":{"name":"Political Science Research and Methods","volume":" 22","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135244518","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Traditional institutions in Africa: past and present 非洲的传统制度:过去和现在
2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2023-11-06 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2023.50
Clara Neupert-Wentz, Carl Müller-Crepon
{"title":"Traditional institutions in Africa: past and present","authors":"Clara Neupert-Wentz, Carl Müller-Crepon","doi":"10.1017/psrm.2023.50","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2023.50","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract To what degree and why are traditional institutions persistent? Following up the literature on the long-term effects of precolonial institutions in Africa, we investigate whether and where today's traditional institutions mirror their precolonial predecessors. We do so by linking data on contemporary traditional institutions of African ethnic groups with Murdock's historical Ethnographic Atlas. We find a robust association between past and present levels of institutional complexity, differentiating between institutions’ political centralization and functional differentiation. However, this persistence originates almost exclusively from former British colonies governed with more reliance on precolonial institutions than other colonies, in particular French ones. These findings contribute to research on the development and effects of traditional institutions, highlighting the need to account for varying persistence of traditional institutions.","PeriodicalId":47311,"journal":{"name":"Political Science Research and Methods","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135633988","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Persistence of voice pitch bias against policy differences 持续存在对政策差异的音高偏见
2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2023-10-31 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2023.51
Asli Ceren Cinar, Özgür Kıbrıs
{"title":"Persistence of voice pitch bias against policy differences","authors":"Asli Ceren Cinar, Özgür Kıbrıs","doi":"10.1017/psrm.2023.51","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2023.51","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract We use an online experiment to study the relative effect on voter behavior of a candidate’s voice pitch and policy stance. We demonstrate a strong voice-pitch bias: between candidates who are identical in every other aspect, voters are more likely to choose the one with the lower voice-pitch, and more so in elections between men than women candidates. We then introduce a novel phenomenon: persistence of voice-pitch bias is the amount of policy difference needed to compensate for voice-pitch bias. While persistence is also gender-dependent, the effect is now reversed: voice-pitch bias is more persistent in elections between women than men candidates. As a possible mechanism, we show that voters perceive candidates with lower voice-pitch as more competent and trustworthy.","PeriodicalId":47311,"journal":{"name":"Political Science Research and Methods","volume":"66 17-18","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135863386","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Complaints about police misconduct have adverse effects for Black civilians 对警察不当行为的投诉对黑人平民产生了不利影响
2区 社会学
Political Science Research and Methods Pub Date : 2023-10-30 DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2023.49
Patrick W. Kraft, Benjamin J. Newman
{"title":"Complaints about police misconduct have adverse effects for Black civilians","authors":"Patrick W. Kraft, Benjamin J. Newman","doi":"10.1017/psrm.2023.49","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2023.49","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Existing literature examines the effectiveness of civilian oversight in reducing police misconduct. However, little-to-no quantitative research explores possible adverse consequences of this accountability mechanism. Utilizing time series analysis of administrative data on aggregate monthly civilian complaints and police behavior in the largest American city, this article offers evidence of racial inequality in police response to civilian complaints. For White civilians, complaint against the police abates subsequent police stops. For Black civilians, complaint is associated with subsequent intensification of police stops. This intensification only follows complaints against White officers, is conditional upon officer knowledge of the complaint, is confined to stops involving greater officer discretion to perform the stop, and is only observed in police precincts with large Black populations.","PeriodicalId":47311,"journal":{"name":"Political Science Research and Methods","volume":"101 3","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136019159","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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