Journal of Public Affairs最新文献

{"title":"Impact of the Carbon Tax on the Transport Sector on the Moroccan Economy: Insights From a Dynamic CGEM","authors":"Saïd Aït Faraji,&nbsp;Ilyes Boumahdi,&nbsp;Nouzha Zaoujal","doi":"10.1002/pa.70107","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.70107","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Morocco is committed to a policy of decarbonization in the various sectors whose production is intensive in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, such as transportation. The impact of this policy on this sector is very significant, given its cross-cutting nature in relation to all other sectors. This article assesses the socio-economic and environmental impact of a carbon tax on the Moroccan transport sector, using a computable general equilibrium model (CGEM) and considering two scenarios. The first earmarks all additional tax revenues for the state budget. The second earmarks 25% of these revenues to support carriers' production costs. Carbon taxation would negatively affect the transport sector, which is strongly connected to other sectors of the economy. But the support measure would transform the environmental challenge into an economic opportunity. In fact, GHG emissions will be significantly reduced, and the volume of transport service consumption will fall in the first scenario, fading out until it becomes slightly positive thanks to the reallocation of resources. The sector's value added would deteriorate without support, but would improve with reallocation, and employment would fall, although reallocation would boost it. Lastly, the impact on GDP would be positive in both scenarios and would be slightly greater thanks to the support measure.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145887656","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The Influence of Work Ethics on Public Servants' Performance: Investigating the Mediating Role of Intrinsic Motivation","authors":"Mahadih Kyambade,&nbsp;Afulah Namatovu,&nbsp;Luke Sewante","doi":"10.1002/pa.70095","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.70095","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This study aims to examine the association between work ethics and employee performance among public servants, with intrinsic motivation as a potential mediator. A total of 366 responses were collected from public servants in Uganda. The data were analyzed using exploratory factor analysis (EFA) in SPSS, followed by confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) and structural equation modeling (SEM) using AMOS version 23. The results indicate a significant positive association between work ethics and employee performance. Work ethics and intrinsic motivation are positively correlated, as well as intrinsic motivation and employee performance. Lastly, intrinsic motivation mediates the relationship between work ethics and employee performance, demonstrating its crucial role in enhancing performance outcomes. The study highlights the importance of fostering strong work ethics and promoting intrinsic motivation within public service institutions to enhance employee performance. Public service managers should focus on creating environments that encourage integrity, accountability, and punctuality while also nurturing employees' intrinsic motivation through autonomy, job satisfaction, and a sense of purpose. These findings not only inform policy and managerial practices in Uganda but also offer valuable insights for other developing countries facing similar human resource and performance challenges in their public sectors.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145824885","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Economic Outcomes of Digitalization and Financial Development: Insights From 125 Economies","authors":"Noureen Ayaz,&nbsp;Mudeer Ahmed Khattak","doi":"10.1002/pa.70102","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.70102","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Digitalization is argued to be transformative, where digital platforms are becoming increasingly popular to the point that governments have included digitalization in their blueprints. Regardless of the buzz, it is unclear if digitalization enhances economic growth and lowers volatility. This further becomes more important with the development divide among the economies. We explore whether digitalization enhances economic growth and volatility in global settings. We do this by taking 125 economies as a sample for 2011–2021. We employ the system generalized method of moments estimator for potential omitted variable bias, endogeneity, and simultaneity concerns. It is found that digitalization enhances overall economic growth with no significant impact on volatility. Furthermore, it is found that digitalization slows economic growth and increases volatility in developing economies. For developed economies, the impact of digitalization on economic growth and volatility is precisely the opposite, which is interesting because developed economies are capitalizing on transformative opportunities, and developing economies are yet to explore the potential of digitalization. Moreover, it has been found that economies with more financial development experience extra benefits of digitalization, have higher economic growth, and have lower volatility. These findings are robust to alternative proxies for digitalization, country-year fixed effects, and different econometric estimators. This study carries vital policy implications for governments, policymakers, and digital platforms.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145824651","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Structural Analysis of Public Trust and the Mediating Role of Government Image in Typhoon-Induced Disaster Response","authors":"Reciel Ann Cullano,&nbsp;Ann Myril Tiu,&nbsp;Purity Mata,&nbsp;Kafferine Yamagishi,&nbsp;Gamaliel Gonzales,&nbsp;Fatima Maturan,&nbsp;Samantha Shane Evangelista,&nbsp;Angelo Burdeos,&nbsp;Lanndon Ocampo","doi":"10.1002/pa.70103","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.70103","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Recent reports modeled the quality of government disaster response via service quality, public trust, perceived justice, and government image in disaster situations. This study explores the mediating role of government image in the relationships between service quality, perceived justice, and public trust, thereby addressing the existing gaps in understanding these complex interactions. Using a cross-sectional survey with non-probability sampling, 860 valid responses were analyzed to test the hypothesized direct and mediating effects related to Typhoon Rai, which hit the Philippines in December 2021. The case was chosen for its significant disaster event, which caused broad spatial and temporal impacts, and the Philippines' frequent exposure to about 20 typhoons annually. Results from Partial Least Squares-Structural Equation Modeling generate insights from the proposed model's five hypothesized paths and two mediation effects. We uncover salient results to serve as inputs for disaster risk reduction and management. All of the main hypothesized structural paths are statistically supported, except for the path from service quality to public trust, whose significance changed after the Gaussian copula analysis was performed to remove possible endogeneity problems. Thus, public trust is developed when there is quality information and fairness in the delivery of services. The government image fully mediates the overall relationship between service quality and public trust, while a partial mediating effect was found between perceived justice and public trust. We discussed insights in light of findings and systematically connected the results to the emerging discussions in the field.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145750908","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Do Environmental Regulatory Interventions Help Highly Polluting Firms Become Sustainable? Evidence From Quasi-Natural Experiment-Based Indian Manufacturing Firms","authors":"Anu Antony","doi":"10.1002/pa.70101","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.70101","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The study investigated how environmental regulation, specifically India's National Action Plan on Climate Change (NAPCC) and the subsequent Paris Agreement, affects the environmental and financial performance of Indian manufacturing firms. Employing a quasi-natural experiment approach, the analysis evaluates how these regulations influence compliance costs, access to external financing, and market valuation for highly polluting firms. The results demonstrate that stringent environmental regulations can incentivize firms to adopt sustainable practices through efficiency-oriented compliance strategies such as process upgradation, leading to reduced abatement expenses and improved access to finance at lower costs. These outcomes provide empirical evidence supporting the weak form of the Porter Hypothesis, showing that well-designed regulations can stimulate innovation and efficiency gains, even when formal research and development (R&amp;D)–led innovation remains limited. The findings further show that the Paris Agreement amplified these effects, facilitating long-term value creation and enhancing market legitimacy. Overall, the study contributes to environmental finance and policy discourse by highlighting how national and global environmental frameworks jointly influence firm adaptation, sustainability, and financial resilience.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145750705","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Socioeconomic Impacts of India's Rural Job Guarantee Program: Evidence From MGNREGA","authors":"Muhammed Rafi,&nbsp;Salu Prasad,&nbsp;Mohemmad Naseef","doi":"10.1002/pa.70100","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.70100","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>As the world's largest employment guarantee scheme, the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA) serves as a crucial policy experiment in addressing rural poverty and unemployment. While studies have examined its varied impacts on asset creation, financial inclusion, and women's empowerment, a comprehensive understanding of its socioeconomic effects at the household and community levels remains crucial for evaluating such large-scale public employment programs. This study aims to evaluate the socioeconomic impact of the MGNREGA, a large-scale government-sponsored job guarantee scheme. Specifically, we examine the effectiveness of the MGNREGA in alleviating poverty, enhancing consumption, and reducing income inequality. This study utilizes nationally representative longitudinal data from the Indian Human Development Survey (IHDS) to conduct the empirical analysis. We employ logit estimations with district fixed effects to examine the socioeconomic impact of the MGNREGA. The results of the study demonstrate that MGNREGA participation has a significant effect on poverty alleviation and improving household consumption. Furthermore, the results suggest that MGNREGA participation contributes to reducing income inequality at the community level. This study contributes empirical evidence to the broader discourse on government-sponsored large-scale job guarantee schemes as policy tools for addressing socioeconomic challenges at both the household and community levels. This is among the first studies that analyze the impact of MGNREGA at the community level using a dataset comprising over 1400 villages across 29 states in India.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145750586","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Does Financial Stability Withstand Economic Policy Uncertainty? Insights From Linear and Nonlinear Patterns","authors":"Muhammad Nadir Shabbir,&nbsp;Kainat Iftikhar,&nbsp;Tanveer Bagh,&nbsp;Mirza Muhammad Naseer","doi":"10.1002/pa.70098","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.70098","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This study examines the impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) on Financial Stability (FS) in developed and emerging economies from 2003 to 2022. Using a balanced panel dataset and multiple statistical methods, the results reveal a nonlinear association between EPU and FS. At low to moderate levels, EPU reduces financial stability, but beyond a certain point, higher EPU improves FS. The findings suggest that rising EPU prompts regulators and institutions to respond in order to protect FS. Sub-sample analysis shows that this nonlinear effect becomes more pronounced in emerging economies, where financial systems remain more vulnerable and sensitive to shocks. Additional tests reveal that emerging markets respond more sharply to changes in uncertainty, while developed markets exhibit a weaker response, reflecting the strength of their financial systems. The study findings remain robust across a range of alternative measures and advanced estimators, including the generalized method of moments, spline regression, and panel-corrected standard errors. The study offers crucial policy insights by highlighting the need for tailored regulatory frameworks to mitigate the harmful effects of EPU on FS. By distinguishing between developed and emerging economies, this research enhances our understanding of financial resilience in the face of economic uncertainty and contributes to ongoing debates on macroeconomic stability.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145750611","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Critical Competencies for Government Affairs Managers: Insights From a Delphi Study","authors":"Sanghyun Lee,&nbsp;Sounman Hong","doi":"10.1002/pa.70091","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.70091","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Technology firms increasingly operate where public and private sectors intersect, heightening the importance of government affairs professionals who navigate complex regulations and relationships. This study uses a three-phase Delphi method, drawing on a final panel of 25 expert panelists from leading technology companies, to identify essential knowledge, skills, and abilities (KSAs) for senior government affairs managers. High-consensus KSAs include Stakeholder Management, Ethics and Integrity, Political Acumen, and Networking and Diplomacy, underscoring the strategic nature of these roles. The resulting framework can guide professional development, recruitment, and training. It also highlights ethical responsibilities, emphasizing trust-building with regulators and society. Future work could explore how these KSAs vary by region or organizational context. Overall, the study offers a practical resource to support effective public-private collaboration and addresses a growing demand for more structured competency models in government relations.</p>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/pa.70091","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145686389","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Digital Transformation as a Moderator of Institutional Quality, Economic Development, and Social Factors in Renewable Energy Adoption: Evidence From Major Economies (1999–2023)","authors":"Saqib Munir","doi":"10.1002/pa.70097","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.70097","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>A limited understanding of the role of digital transformation as a moderator in the interaction of institutional quality, economic development, and renewable energy adoption in major economies has significantly held back the progress of sustainable energy transitions. This research focuses on the direct and moderated effects of institutional quality, economic development, urbanization, energy imports dependency, and environmental policy stringency on renewable energy adoption, theoretically grounded in the extension of institutional theory and the resource-based view. The study utilizes Pooled Mean Group Autoregressive Distributed Lag (PMG-ARDL) and Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) techniques on a balanced panel of 15 major economies (1999–2023), with data drawn from the World Development Indicators and Worldwide Governance Indicators. The results reveal that institutional quality is a major factor in the increase of renewable energy adoption (<i>β</i> = 12.678, <i>p</i> &lt; 0.001), and the relationship between them is moderated positively by digital transformation (<i>β</i> = 0.150, <i>p</i> &lt; 0.001). In addition, economic development (<i>β</i> = 2.434, <i>p</i> = 0.005) and urbanization (<i>β</i> = 1.473, <i>p</i> &lt; 0.001) are also responsible for the increase in adoption; however, the short-run urban effects are negative. Moreover, energy imports dependency (<i>β</i> = 0.077, <i>p</i> &lt; 0.001) and environmental policy stringency (<i>β</i> = 0.617, <i>p</i> = 0.006) are the factors that lead to a further advancement of the transitions, while digital tools are the enablers of these effects. The results depict that digital infrastructure enables the effectiveness of governance and economic capacity. Such findings can be applied to theoretical frameworks that explain the role of digital transformation as a strategic enabler and enable purposeful policy focus. The scope of generalizability is hindered by data limitations including the heterogeneity of the region. Future research could contemplate analyzing the subnational processes or AI possibilities in energy systems.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145686209","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The Spillover Effect of US-China Tension on India's Medium-High-Tech Manufacturing Exports: Exploring the Role of Export Market Diversification","authors":"Himanshu Sekhar Panda,&nbsp;Mantu Kumar Mahalik","doi":"10.1002/pa.70096","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.70096","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Rising US-China tensions can significantly reshape the worldwide trade dynamics by disrupting established supply chains. Addressing this, this study explores the impact of US-China tension on India's medium-high-tech manufacturing exports by obtaining time series data from India spanning 1997 to 2022. This study also examines the behavior of export market diversification on medium-high-tech manufacturing exports, in the presence of US-China tension. To measure these relationships, the Dynamic Autoregressive Distributed Lag (DARDL) method is employed. The findings reveal that the US-China tension exerts a positive impact on India's MHM exports, while export market diversification deteriorates it. Interestingly, this study discovers that export market diversification exerts a beneficial impact on India's medium-high-tech manufacturing exports in presence of the US-China tension. Additionally, this study shows a beneficial role of domestic bank credit, economic growth, total export demand, government effectiveness, and currency depreciation on India's medium-high-tech manufacturing exports. These findings are consistent with the results from Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS). The marginal plot and heatmap analysis provide robustness of the interaction effect. Results from the CUSUM and the CUSUM Square confirm the estimated model stability. These findings offer policy recommendations for Indian policymakers to maximize the MHM exports.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145646457","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}