Ray Saadaoui Mallek, Mohamed Albaity, Ahmed Mohiy-Aldin, Ijaz Ur Rehman
{"title":"From Disruption to Opportunity: The Role of Non-Linear Global Innovation and Uncertainty in Bank Performance","authors":"Ray Saadaoui Mallek, Mohamed Albaity, Ahmed Mohiy-Aldin, Ijaz Ur Rehman","doi":"10.1002/pa.70123","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.70123","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This study investigates the non-linear impact of the Global Innovation Index (GII) on the performance of banks in the MENA region from 2010 to 2023. Focusing on three key performance metrics—Return on Equity (ROE), Tobin's Q (TQ), and Stock Market Returns no (SR)—the analysis reveals that while innovation initially boosts performance, excessive levels of innovation may lead to diminishing returns, particularly for Tobin's Q and Stock Market Returns. The non-linear relationship between innovation and ROE shows a U-shaped pattern, where performance first declines before improving at higher levels of innovation. Further analysis reveals that larger banks and those in high-GII countries derive stronger benefits from innovation, though these advantages vary across performance measures. Our findings underscore the need for balanced innovation strategies and stable policy environments to maximize bank performance in the MENA region. Policymakers should prioritize reducing uncertainty, while banks must tailor innovation investments to their specific contexts to avoid overexposure to diminishing returns.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147566702","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Impact of Financial Advice on Investment Consistency: Evidence From ESG and Cryptocurrency Investors","authors":"Vikesh Kumar, Khalid Ahmed","doi":"10.1002/pa.70126","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.70126","url":null,"abstract":"<p>As individual investors increasingly flock toward cryptocurrency and Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) products, understanding the drivers behind these choices is critical for market stability. This study utilizes nationally representative data from the 2021 and 2024 National Financial Capability Study (NFCS) Investor Surveys to examine the “ESG-crypto paradox,” a phenomenon where ESG-oriented retail investors are more likely to hold digital assets despite their known environmental footprint. Applying Probit and Instrumental Variable (IV) Probit estimations, the results reveal a significant positive association between high ESG preferences and ownership of crypto assets. Interestingly, while financial advice generally has a negative standalone impact on crypto investment due to the risk-mitigating role of fiduciaries, it acts as a positive moderator for ESG-conscious clients. The analysis further identifies an “illusion of knowing,” where high subjective confidence masks a lack of objective literacy, often fueled by social media narratives. These findings provide crucial insights for policymakers and researchers on the necessity of standardized risk labeling and targeted financial education to help investors navigate the discrepancies between innovative digital assets and sustainable investment values in the U.S. market.</p>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/pa.70126","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147566671","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Role of Liberal Democracy and Policy Uncertainty in Shaping Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis","authors":"Jadhav Chakradhar, Prashant Kumar Choudhary, Arun Kumar Bairwa","doi":"10.1002/pa.70125","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.70125","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The world is witnessing a decline in democratic quality alongside a rise in economic policy uncertainty (EPU). This trend is significant because democratic institutions are shaped not only by political conditions but also by the economic and policy environment in which they operate. Although the literature has extensively examined the democracy–growth and uncertainty–growth relationships separately, limited empirical evidence exists on their joint impact on economic growth. This study addresses this gap by examining the combined effects of liberal democracy and EPU on economic growth across 21 countries from 1997 to 2021. The empirical results confirm a stable long-run relationship among the variables. GDP is positively associated with the Liberal Democracy Index (LDI) and negatively associated with EPU, after controlling for foreign direct investment (FDI), trade openness, and the consumer price index (CPI). In addition, the interaction term (LDI × EPU) has a positive and significant effect on GDP, suggesting that stronger liberal democratic institutions enhance economic resilience under conditions of elevated uncertainty. Panel causality results further reveal bidirectional causality between LDI and GDP, along with a unidirectional causal effect from LDI × EPU to GDP. Our findings underscore the centrality of a robust democratic framework in fostering sustainable economic growth, while highlighting the necessity of policy interventions that mitigate economic uncertainty.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147566697","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Charles Shaaba Saba, Ariane Ephemia Ndzignat Mouteyica, Nicholas Ngepah
{"title":"Does Knowledge Empower Climate Action? The Moderating Role of Governance in the Education–Carbon Neutrality Nexus","authors":"Charles Shaaba Saba, Ariane Ephemia Ndzignat Mouteyica, Nicholas Ngepah","doi":"10.1002/pa.70121","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.70121","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study explores how governance quality moderates the impact of education on carbon emissions in 119 developing countries from 2003 to 2021. Using a two-step System GMM approach, it examines the roles of primary, secondary, and tertiary education alongside six governance indicators. Results show that strong governance—especially regulatory quality and rule of law—amplifies the emissions-reducing effects of primary and tertiary education. Secondary education yields mixed outcomes. While political stability promotes economic growth, it does not consistently support sustainability goals. Public accountability and regulatory effectiveness are more influential in aligning education with environmental outcomes. The study recommends enhancing governance structures and fostering civic engagement in environmental policymaking to leverage education's role in reducing emissions and promoting sustainable development.</p>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/pa.70121","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147653376","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Configuration Analysis of Resource Allocation Efficiency Based on DEA and fsQCA: Evidence From China's Defense Science and Technology","authors":"Zilong Wang, Bingyang Zhou, Hechang Cai, Zhiwen Zhang","doi":"10.1002/pa.70119","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.70119","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This study evaluates the resource allocation efficiency of national defense enterprises and identifies key factors for improvement. An improved two-stage data envelopment analysis (DEA) model was used to assess the efficiency of 58 listed national defense enterprises from 2014 to 2020, while fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) was employed to explore the pathways that enhance efficiency. The findings reveal that resource allocation efficiency in the R&D stage is low, with technological R&D being crucial for improving overall efficiency, whereas industrialization efficiency often constrains it. Both overall and industrialization efficiencies followed a pattern of initial growth followed by decline. Key determinants of efficiency include economic development, infrastructure, industrial policy, and enterprise structure. The combination of DEA and fsQCA provides a comprehensive framework for understanding efficiency levels and the complex pathways that drive them.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147653262","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Bashir Ahmad Fida, Ahmed Alhayky, Muhammad Zakaria, Fatima Sohail, Hamid Mahmood
{"title":"Food Security in South Asia: Assessing the Role of Energy Availability","authors":"Bashir Ahmad Fida, Ahmed Alhayky, Muhammad Zakaria, Fatima Sohail, Hamid Mahmood","doi":"10.1002/pa.70114","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.70114","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Energy poverty poses a threat to food security in South Asian countries. The study intends to evaluate the influence of energy availability on food security in South Asia using panel data for the period 2000 to 2022. The study has constructed an energy availability index as a proxy for energy availability to gauge its influence on food security. Other variables included in the analysis are agriculture labor, agriculture capital, military expenditure, remittances, income growth, and financial development. The model is estimated by using panel cointegration, fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) and dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) techniques. The estimated results demonstrate that energy availability significantly and positively affects food security in South Asia. Agriculture capital, remittances, income growth, and financial development improve food security, while agriculture labor and military expenditure deteriorate food security in the region. Governments need to increase energy availability mainly through renewable energy sources to ensure food security in the region.</p>\u0000 <p><b>JEL Classifications:</b> C23, O13, Q43</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147653155","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Industrial Investment Behaviour in India: Regional Level Analysis","authors":"Ashwani, Sweety Garg","doi":"10.1002/pa.70124","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.70124","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Balanced regional development has remained a central policy agenda across economies, wherein policymakers have underscored the role of productivity-led economic growth. In this regard, Indian states are actively pursuing their growth-oriented strategies, especially in enhancing productive capital, as reflected in investment. Despite the policy push, India's investment has remained cyclical in the past two decades. With this background, the study aims to understand the trends and patterns of industrial investment across Indian states and to identify the crucial factors affecting regional investment variability, thereby serving as a basis of policy lessons for states experiencing weak investment rates. The study performs the dynamic panel ARDL approach through MG and PMG estimations over the panel data set of 16 regions of India during 1991–2023. The empirical results find that state-level growth prospects, industrial productivity and financial liquidity create a positive impact on the investment, whereas the widening state fiscal deficit, skewed bank credit and poor infrastructure facilities appear to be weakening the investment. States, especially Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Kerala and West Bengal, can manage these investment drivers for attaining the productivity-led growth.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147653290","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Determinants of Nontax Revenue Buoyancy in Middle-Income Countries: The Role of Money Supply and Corporate Profitability","authors":"Engy Raouf","doi":"10.1002/pa.70120","DOIUrl":"10.1002/pa.70120","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Growing fiscal deficits in middle-income countries make enhanced domestic revenue mobilization essential for achieving the sustainable development goals. This paper explores nontax revenue buoyancy in 26 middle-income countries over the period from 2005 to 2020, focusing on the roles of money supply and corporate profitability. The Generalized Method of Moments approach, along with a novel application of panel quantile regression, is used to address endogeneity issues and capture the heterogeneous effects of these determinants across different levels of NTR buoyancy. NTR is found to be nonbuoyant in most countries, except for resource-rich nations such as Angola and Azerbaijan. Corporate profitability and money supply show the strongest negative effect on NTR buoyancy. The quantile regression results reveal substantial variation: at low NTR levels (10th percentile), profitability and money supply positively influence buoyancy, whereas GDP growth has negative effects. This pattern reverses at high NTR levels (90th percentile). These findings highlight the importance of personalized fiscal policies and emphasize the key roles of money supply and corporate profitability in achieving fiscal sustainability. Countries should prioritize reforms in state-owned enterprises, coordinate fiscal and monetary policies prudently, and adopt context-specific strategies based on their NTR performance levels to enhance fiscal sustainability and advance progress toward the sustainable development goals.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147653242","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Sodiq Arogundade, Biyase Mduduzi, Olajide O. Oyadeyi, Sibusiso Khoza
{"title":"Institutional Governance and Global FDI Convergence: Examining the Impact of Institutional Quality on Investment Flows","authors":"Sodiq Arogundade, Biyase Mduduzi, Olajide O. Oyadeyi, Sibusiso Khoza","doi":"10.1002/pa.70116","DOIUrl":"10.1002/pa.70116","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The global investment landscape presents challenges as subdued growth prospects, geopolitical tensions, and economic disintegration reshape international investment. Increasing tensions are making globalization more exorbitant and uncertain. Increasing trade barriers, intensified scrutiny of investments, and reputational risks are shaping foreign direct investment (FDI) strategies, prompting a shift in focus from efficiency to navigating geopolitical risks and opportunities. This research examines the convergence traits of FDI inflows among 179 nations, utilizing the Phillips and Sul club grouping method and the log <i>t</i> regression analysis covering the years from 1999 to 2022. Our research results denote a divergence in FDI inflow across the sample. However, the study identified three convergence clubs after applying the club clustering technique. The regional analysis results reveal provisional convergence across the regions—Latin America, Africa, Europe, North America, and the Caribbean. Discoveries by the ordered logit and probit models emphasized the crucial role of institutional governance on club membership in FDI convergence. The study recommends that policymakers prioritize maintaining macroeconomic stability, fostering a predictable investment climate, and ensuring transparency and accountability within these groups. Also, regional blocs should support policy harmonization and cooperation within regions to promote FDI convergence, considering the unique characteristics of each region.</p>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/pa.70116","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147653243","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Do Public-Private Partnership Investments Influence Poverty in Southern African Economies? A Panel VAR Approach","authors":"Mduduzi Biyase, Charles Shaaba Saba","doi":"10.1002/pa.70117","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/pa.70117","url":null,"abstract":"<p>As Southern African economies continue to struggle with achieving Sustainable Development Goal 1 (eradicating poverty), there is an increasing need for strong collaboration between public and private sectors to accomplish this goal, as the public sector cannot achieve it alone. Based on this, this study examines the influence of public-private partnership investments (PPPI) on poverty and its severity in Southern African economies from 2000 to 2019. We employed the Panel Vector Autoregressive (PVAR) model approach. The PPPI was categorized into investments in energy and transport. We find that the contributions of PPPI in energy and transport to the reduction of poverty and its severity are extremely small, suggesting that PPPI in these sectors has a negligible immediate effect on poverty and its severity. The study recommends long-term PPPI strategies in energy and transport to reduce poverty and its severity by enhancing accessible and affordable infrastructures in these sectors and beyond. Theoretically, this work pioneers the systematic application of the Panel Vector Autoregressive (PVAR) model to sectoral Public-Private Partnership Investments (PPPI) and confirms that poverty persistence in the region is consistent with Poverty Trap theories; politically, it provides crucial evidence compelling Southern African governments to adopt long-term, integrated strategies that address structural inequalities and policy coherence beyond short-term infrastructure investments.</p>","PeriodicalId":47153,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Affairs","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-02-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/pa.70117","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147320804","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}