Global Finance JournalPub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2026-01-03DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2026.101233
Tom Aabo , Viktor Raaby Jensen
{"title":"Only attractive women are welcome: Board bias and CEO selection","authors":"Tom Aabo , Viktor Raaby Jensen","doi":"10.1016/j.gfj.2026.101233","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gfj.2026.101233","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>CEOs matter, and beauty matters. Based on social identity theory, we argue that women and men are likely to be held to different beauty standards by the boards of directors when these boards select the new CEO. Our empirical results support our arguments. Specifically, we investigate 959 CEO turnovers in non-financial S&P 1500 firms in the period from 2008 to 2022. We find that newly appointed female CEOs are significantly more attractive than their male peers. Thus, the median female CEO is more attractive than a male CEO at the 75th percentile level. We find no indication of an economic rationale for such a biased beauty preference. When investors are informed of the new CEO, they value CEO beauty equally across the two genders (i.e., no gender bias). The discrimination by the boards of directors seems to be related to women's minority status (i.e., we get similar results for non-white candidates) rather than the sexualization of women although we cannot rule out that both may coincide. Our findings are robust and economically significant. Thus, they are important in understanding the lack of gender equality and the avenues through which women face (beauty) discrimination in the upper echelons.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46907,"journal":{"name":"Global Finance Journal","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101233"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145977096","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global Finance JournalPub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2026-05-08DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2026.101285
Eliane Badaoui , Etienne Harb , Ibrahim Jamali
{"title":"Banking, environmental, digitalization, and gender challenges in the MENA region","authors":"Eliane Badaoui , Etienne Harb , Ibrahim Jamali","doi":"10.1016/j.gfj.2026.101285","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gfj.2026.101285","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46907,"journal":{"name":"Global Finance Journal","volume":"71 ","pages":"Article 101285"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148185448","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global Finance JournalPub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2026-05-18DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2026.101291
Baibing Huang , Shaohua Tian , Endong Yang , Yang Zhang
{"title":"Responsible investors and green innovation","authors":"Baibing Huang , Shaohua Tian , Endong Yang , Yang Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.gfj.2026.101291","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gfj.2026.101291","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the relationship between responsible investors and corporate green innovation using a sample of U.S.-listed firms. We present novel evidence of a positive association between responsible institutional ownership and firm-level green innovation, a finding that remains robust after addressing potential endogeneity concerns. Importantly, we demonstrate that identifying responsible investors based on their actual portfolio ESG footprints yields substantially different inferences from relying on self-identification through UNPRI signatories. This distinction reveals heterogeneous mechanisms through which responsible investors influence corporate environmental outcomes and offers new insights into the theoretical frameworks linking ESG preferences to real economic activity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46907,"journal":{"name":"Global Finance Journal","volume":"71 ","pages":"Article 101291"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148185447","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global Finance JournalPub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2026-01-17DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2026.101237
Solmaz Batebi, Ahmed Elnahas
{"title":"Are machines better predictors of insider trading?","authors":"Solmaz Batebi, Ahmed Elnahas","doi":"10.1016/j.gfj.2026.101237","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gfj.2026.101237","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines whether machine learning (ML) techniques can improve the prediction of insider trading behaviour compared with traditional linear approaches. Using a comprehensive sample of U.S. insider trading data from 2000 to 2022, we compare ensemble learning methods—random forest and extreme gradient boosting—to logistic regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). We implement Bayesian hyperparameter optimisation to improve model tuning and employ Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) values to maintain interpretability and identify the principal economic determinants of insider trading decisions. Additionally, we apply Gaussian Thompson sampling to evaluate competing hypotheses about insiders' market-timing motives. The results demonstrate that ML methods substantially outperform linear models in predicting both the likelihood and magnitude of insider sales, with predictive gains particularly pronounced among female insiders. SHAP analysis indicates that incentive structures play a stronger role for male insiders, whereas female trading behaviour appears more closely associated with private information about future firm performance.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46907,"journal":{"name":"Global Finance Journal","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101237"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146023061","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global Finance JournalPub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2026-01-03DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2026.101234
Guangrui Liu , Ying Fang , Jiani Yan , Ming Zhou , Zixin He
{"title":"Information concealment effects or signaling effect of industrial policy: Evidence from stock price crash risk","authors":"Guangrui Liu , Ying Fang , Jiani Yan , Ming Zhou , Zixin He","doi":"10.1016/j.gfj.2026.101234","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gfj.2026.101234","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Industrial policies generate both positive and negative information effects. Existing research largely emphasizes their signaling benefits while overlooking potential adverse impacts. Using the <em>High-Tech Enterprise Identification Policy</em> (HTEP) as a quasi-natural experiment, this study applies a staggered difference-in-differences model to examine how industrial policy influences stock price crash risk. The findings reveal that HTEP produces an information concealment effect that heightens crash risk. This effect is most pronounced among nonstate-owned and pseudo high-tech enterprises, where controlling shareholders conceal negative information for tax arbitrage and equity transfer, further increasing risk. Channel analysis indicates that HTEP intensifies information asymmetry among external investors, amplifying market instability. Grounded in Type II agency theory, the study identifies research and development information manipulation as a new mechanism linking industrial policy to crash risk, thereby expanding the theoretical framework of stock price dynamics. These results provide empirical evidence on the information effects of industrial policy and offer policy insights to improve the design and execution of innovation-driven industrial strategies worldwide.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46907,"journal":{"name":"Global Finance Journal","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101234"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145925163","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global Finance JournalPub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2025-11-24DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101222
Jonas Freibauer , Silja Grawert
{"title":"Prolonged Neobroker usage: Analyzing investment behavior and its impact on trading specific financial products","authors":"Jonas Freibauer , Silja Grawert","doi":"10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101222","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101222","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study the impact of prolonged trading app usage on the investment behavior of Neobroker users. Therefore, we use representative data for German Neobroker users and general investors from a panel survey conducted three times over a period of 14 months. We show that the financial literacy of Neobroker users increases with the prolonged trading app use but still remains rather low. The annual (non-risk adjusted) return of Neobroker users is generally positively affected by owning derivatives and frequent trading. In addition, we investigate which determinants impact Neobroker users to trade special ETFs, cryptocurrencies, derivatives, and ETCs. We found an impact of risk tolerance, risk assessment of respective financial products, and trading frequency on Neobroker users to hold specific financial products. Surprisingly, the investment information source also influences Neobroker users regarding the trading of all four products.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46907,"journal":{"name":"Global Finance Journal","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101222"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145600357","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"From corporate responsibility to corporate sustainability: A study of how ESG mitigates corporate default risk using serial mediation analysis","authors":"Naresh Chandra Sahu, Abhisek Mahanta, Nihar Ranjan Jena","doi":"10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101225","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101225","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates how Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) performance is linked to the corporate default risk. Using listed Indian firms from 2016 to 2024, this study finds that ESG performance and its individual dimensions are negatively related to default risk via improved Altman <em>Z</em>-score. The advanced serial mediation analysis using the PROCESS model 6 suggests that ESG information is transmitted to lower default risk via enhanced corporate efficiency (CEF), improved financial performance indicated by return on assets (ROA), and lowered the cost of borrowing indicated by the cost of debt (COD). Applying the Propensity Score Matching (PSM) and Difference-in-Difference (DID) technique, this study also documents that firms that are part of the NIFTY100ESG index have significantly better financial resilience than companies not part of the index after the COVID-19 crisis. Through ex-post analysis in the case of defaulted firms, this study finds that ESG performance can predict corporate default events if combined with other parameters effectively. The findings supported by the legitimacy theory indicate that firms can increase corporate sustainability and legitimacy not only through improvements in corporate efficiency and profitability but also through external perceptions, responsibility, and ethical practices, which function as an ‘insurance effect’. Thus, policymakers should encourage lenders to integrate ESG factors into business models and promote sustainable business practices to reduce financial risks. This will accelerate the firms' adoption of cleaner technologies, enhance governance standards, and strengthen overall financial stability and corporate sustainability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46907,"journal":{"name":"Global Finance Journal","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101225"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145617100","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global Finance JournalPub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2025-12-30DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101231
Haneen Abedalqader , Shao-Chi Chang
{"title":"Trade policy uncertainty and stock price crash risk: The role of geographic segment disclosure","authors":"Haneen Abedalqader , Shao-Chi Chang","doi":"10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101231","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101231","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper aims to examine how trade policy uncertainty (TPU) affects firm-specific stock price crash risk and the extent to which corporate disclosures and governance can mitigate this vulnerability. Using a global panel database of publicly listed firms from 17 countries over the period 2010–2023, we find a positive and significant relationship between TPU and stock price crash risk, suggesting that firms exposed to trade policy shocks are more vulnerable to sudden negative price movements. As a result of opacity, firms with less transparent geographical segment disclosure tend to hoard bad news, suggesting that opacity compounds this tendency. Furthermore, we investigate how segment reporting complexity, supply chain concentration, and governance mechanisms serve as moderating factors. We find that high segment reporting complexity and supply chain concentration exacerbate the TPU-crash risk relationship by increasing operational and informational opacity. The TPU-induced crash risk decreases with strong institutional ownership and enhanced analyst coverage, but increases with high information asymmetry. In light of rising global trade policy uncertainty, geographical segment disclosure, operational structure, and governance are crucial to moderating firm-level financial fragility.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46907,"journal":{"name":"Global Finance Journal","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101231"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145884277","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Managerial overconfidence and corporate environmental, social, and governance performance: International evidence","authors":"Ayobolawole Adewale Ogundipe , Dan Daugaard , Faisal Khan , Jing Jia","doi":"10.1016/j.gfj.2026.101242","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gfj.2026.101242","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the impact of managerial overconfidence on corporate environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance. We argue that strong ESG performance mitigates firm risk by functioning as moral capital during adverse events—an insurance-like buffer that protects firms during adverse events and controversies. Overconfident managers, however, tend to hold overly optimistic expectations about firm outcomes and may therefore discount this moral insurance effect, undervaluing ESG initiatives and ultimately exhibiting weaker ESG performance. Using a comprehensive sample of firms from 51 countries over the period 2009–2018, we find a robust negative association between managerial overconfidence and ESG performance. Firms led by overconfident CEOs exhibit weaker environmental policies, poorer social outcomes, and a higher likelihood of governance-related controversies. Our findings remain stable across multiple endogeneity checks, including propensity score matching, generalized method of moments, two-stage least squares, alternative variable constructions, and subsample analyses across institutional and economic groupings. This study contributes to the growing literature at the intersection of behavioral finance and corporate ESG by highlighting the role of managerial psychology—an often-overlooked factor—in shaping nonfinancial performance. Additional analyses indicate that heightened corporate risk-taking serves as a key transmission mechanism through which managerial overconfidence undermines ESG performance. Overall, the study provides novel and policy-relevant insights into the behavioral foundations of corporate sustainability, demonstrating that executive psychology is a critical—yet often overlooked—determinant of firms' ESG outcomes in global settings.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46907,"journal":{"name":"Global Finance Journal","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101242"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146173100","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global Finance JournalPub Date : 2026-06-01Epub Date: 2025-11-24DOI: 10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101221
Lance Malone, Lee A. Smales, Zhangxin (Frank) Liu (Frank)
{"title":"Predicting serial credit rating downgrades","authors":"Lance Malone, Lee A. Smales, Zhangxin (Frank) Liu (Frank)","doi":"10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101221","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gfj.2025.101221","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the predictability and implications of sequential credit rating downgrades under the through-the-cycle rating methodology. Using 28,847 firm-year observations for North American corporates, we show that firms partway through downgrade sequences exhibit weaker fundamentals than non-downgraded peers with the same rating, implying interim ratings misstate credit risk. Predictive models of future downgrades achieve up to 75 % accuracy, with out-of-sample tests and feature-importance measures confirming robustness. A simple portfolio exercise illustrates economic significance. Our findings extend the literature on rating inertia and highlight the usefulness of credit-quality signals for anticipating rating actions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46907,"journal":{"name":"Global Finance Journal","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101221"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145685544","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}