Ethnopolitics最新文献_第9页

Explaining a State Status Quo and Non-State Revisionist Dynamic: The Case of the Conflict Between Hamas and Israel 2007–2019 解释国家现状和非国家修正主义动态:2007-2019年哈马斯与以色列冲突的案例

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Ethnopolitics Pub Date : 2021-12-14 DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2021.2008670

G. Hitman, Chen Kertcher

引用次数: 1

Ripeness in Negotiating with Proscribed Terrorist Groups 与被禁止的恐怖组织谈判的成熟度

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Ethnopolitics Pub Date : 2021-12-11 DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2022.2004778

I. E. Matesan

{"title":"Ripeness in Negotiating with Proscribed Terrorist Groups","authors":"I. E. Matesan","doi":"10.1080/17449057.2022.2004778","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17449057.2022.2004778","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Since the original formulation of ripeness theory, a growing number of conflicts have involved armed groups designated as terrorist organizations. Can conflicts involving terrorist groups also become ripe for negotiations? This article addresses this question by examining how proscription affects the two key mechanisms that can make a conflict ripe for the onset of negotiations: mutually hurting stalemates and the willingness to look for a way out. This article proposes that proscription expands the power asymmetry between states and non-state actors and empowers hardliners, reducing the likelihood that both sides perceive a mutually hurting stalemate. Proscription can also hinder the ability to look for a way out by placing legal constraints on engagement, reducing trust, polarizing inter-group relations and interfering with the ability of third parties to create incentives for negotiations. This article briefly considers these dynamics within the context of the Israeli–Palestinian conflict, showing how a terrorism focus has increased the power asymmetry between Hamas and the Israeli state, has reinforced military responses over diplomatic solutions and has undermined both the perception of a mutually hurting stalemate and the belief of the two sides that a way out is possible through negotiations.","PeriodicalId":46452,"journal":{"name":"Ethnopolitics","volume":"21 1","pages":"178 - 189"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2021-12-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41926594","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 2

Muscular Mediation and Ripeness Theory 肌肉调节和成熟理论

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Ethnopolitics Pub Date : 2021-12-07 DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2022.2004777

A. Kuperman

引用次数: 6

Expanding Ripeness Beyond Push and Pull: The Relevance of Mutually Enticing Opportunities (MEOs) 超越推拉的成熟:相互吸引的机会(MEOs)的相关性

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Ethnopolitics Pub Date : 2021-12-06 DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2022.2004780

S. Vuković

{"title":"Expanding Ripeness Beyond Push and Pull: The Relevance of Mutually Enticing Opportunities (MEOs)","authors":"S. Vuković","doi":"10.1080/17449057.2022.2004780","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17449057.2022.2004780","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract\u0000 Building on the existing notions of ‘push and pull’ in ripeness theory—the perceptions of a Mutually Hurting Stalemate (MHS) and of a Way Out (WO)—this article aims to explore a less scrutinized third element which proves to be essential for ripeness to achieve its full potential: the perception of Mutually Enticing Opportunities (MEO). While the MHS has the capacity to disincentivize the conflicting parties from further pursuing confrontational strategies, and the WO may embolden them to explore negotiations as a viable alternative, neither one guarantees that what is negotiated will be sufficiently attractive for the parties to truly commit to the peacemaking process and see the negotiated agreement come through and make it endure in time. This article will provide conceptual clarity about the MEOs, by surveying four essential characteristics that need to exist for an opportunity to be truly mutually enticing: mutuality, exclusivity, interdependency, and cooperation. Furthermore, building on Zartman’s earlier work on MEOs, the article will expound procedural and substantive elements that ‘lock-in’ the parties into the peacemaking process, by having their needs, interests and demands fulfilled by newly formulated solutions.","PeriodicalId":46452,"journal":{"name":"Ethnopolitics","volume":"21 1","pages":"190 - 201"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2021-12-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46197085","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 8

Healing Stalemates: The Role of Ceasefires in Ripening Conflict 弥合僵局：停火在冲突成熟中的作用

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Ethnopolitics Pub Date : 2021-12-06 DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2022.2004776

V. Sticher

{"title":"Healing Stalemates: The Role of Ceasefires in Ripening Conflict","authors":"V. Sticher","doi":"10.1080/17449057.2022.2004776","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17449057.2022.2004776","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Ceasefires are often associated with inhibiting conflict ripeness because they remove the immediate costs of conflict and the pressure on conflicting parties to negotiate. Yet, in many intrastate conflicts, ceasefires have proven instrumental in reviving or enabling peace talks. This article provides an analytical framework to systematically assess the impact of ceasefires on conflict ripeness and identify key factors that condition their effects. Enriching ripeness theory with insights from the related bargaining theory of war and ceasefire research, this article identifies three key milestones in the transition from war to negotiated settlement—ripeness for negotiations, for concessions and for settlement—and the conditions that help conflicting parties reach these milestones. It demonstrates how and why ceasefires have the potential to foster ripeness at all three stages, whereas ceasefire violations threaten to undermine the ripening process, particularly after the onset of negotiations. The analysis suggests that temporal limits to ceasefires in the first two ripeness stages increase the probability that ceasefires contribute to ripening, while in the third stage, it is better that parties agree on an indefinite ceasefire or link it to the progress of negotiations in order to enable movement towards settlement. External enforcement of a ceasefire can pose a significant impediment to conflict ripeness.","PeriodicalId":46452,"journal":{"name":"Ethnopolitics","volume":"21 1","pages":"149 - 162"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2021-12-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46665459","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 8

Historical Ethnic Conflicts and the Rise of Islamophobia in Modern China 历史上的民族冲突与近代中国伊斯兰恐惧症的兴起

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Ethnopolitics Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2021.2001954

Jingyuan Qian

引用次数: 2

The Fear of Ethnic Domination: Explaining the Persistence of Natural Resource Conflicts in Nigeria 对种族统治的恐惧:解释尼日利亚自然资源冲突的持续

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Ethnopolitics Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2021.2006521

Promise Frank Ejiofor

{"title":"The Fear of Ethnic Domination: Explaining the Persistence of Natural Resource Conflicts in Nigeria","authors":"Promise Frank Ejiofor","doi":"10.1080/17449057.2021.2006521","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17449057.2021.2006521","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT Peasant-pastoralist conflicts are prevalent in postcolonial Africa—especially in the Sahel. Typically confined to rural areas, these conflicts have taken on ethnic, religious, and regional dimensions, engendering food and human insecurity as well as paralysing economic development in weak African states with fragile democratic experiments. Whilst volumes explaining the causes and consequences of the conflicts through environmental security and political ecology theoretical frameworks are not uncommon, the reasons for the conflicts’ intractability are largely underexplored. This article draws on the ontological security theoretical framework and Nigerian experiences to contend that peasant-pastoralist conflicts’ persistence owes not so much to environmental security or political ecology but to ethnic fears and historically accumulated prejudices which portend ethnic groups as existential threats. With the case of the Rural Grazing Area (RUGA) policy which—despite its intention to ensure food security, enhance employment opportunities, and integrate the belligerent parties—was abruptly suspended, I contend that the policy failure was due in large measure to the ontological insecurity amongst ethnic groups that derives from the warring parties’ complex historical interactions. For ethnic groups in the Middle Belt and southern geopolitical zones comprehend pastoralists’ mobility as a hidden strategy to dominate the territories, and change the identities, of other ethno-religious groups. The consequence of these suspicions is the rejection of governmental policy initiatives geared toward resolving the conflicts. Ultimately, I argue that negotiations which break down inflexible attachments to demonising narratives and support mutual security-seeking amongst various groups are requisite for bridging ontological insecurities between pastoralists and peasants in Nigeria.","PeriodicalId":46452,"journal":{"name":"Ethnopolitics","volume":"22 1","pages":"1 - 21"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2021-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41521164","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 4

A Rationalist Explanation for Violence and Peace in the Chittagong Hill Tracts of Bangladesh 孟加拉国吉大港山区暴力与和平的理性主义解释

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Ethnopolitics Pub Date : 2021-11-30 DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2021.2000110

Zahidul Arefin Choudhury, Khairul Chowdhury

引用次数: 0

Ethnic Bias after Ethnic Conflict: Preferential Voting and the Serb Minority in Croatian Elections. 种族冲突后的种族偏见:克罗地亚选举中的优先投票和塞尔维亚少数民族。

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Ethnopolitics Pub Date : 2021-11-17 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1080/17449057.2021.1997440

Josip Glaurdić, Michal Mochtak, Christophe Lesschaeve