超越推拉的成熟:相互吸引的机会(MEOs)的相关性

IF 1.2 Q3 ETHNIC STUDIES
S. Vuković
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引用次数: 8

摘要

基于成熟度理论中现有的“推拉”概念——相互伤害的僵局(MHS)和出路(WO)——本文旨在探索被证明对成熟度充分发挥其潜力至关重要的第三个因素:相互吸引的机会(MEO)的感知。虽然卫生部有能力阻止冲突各方进一步采取对抗战略,世界卫生组织可能鼓励他们探索谈判作为一种可行的替代方案,但两者都不能保证谈判的内容足以吸引各方真正致力于建立和平进程,并看到谈判达成的协议获得通过,并使其及时维持下去。本文将通过调查机会真正相互吸引所需存在的四个基本特征:互补性、排他性、相互依赖性和合作性,来明确meo的概念。此外,在Zartman早期关于meo的工作的基础上,本文将阐述程序性和实质性因素,通过新制定的解决方案满足各方的需要、利益和要求,将各方“锁定”在建立和平进程中。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Expanding Ripeness Beyond Push and Pull: The Relevance of Mutually Enticing Opportunities (MEOs)
Abstract Building on the existing notions of ‘push and pull’ in ripeness theory—the perceptions of a Mutually Hurting Stalemate (MHS) and of a Way Out (WO)—this article aims to explore a less scrutinized third element which proves to be essential for ripeness to achieve its full potential: the perception of Mutually Enticing Opportunities (MEO). While the MHS has the capacity to disincentivize the conflicting parties from further pursuing confrontational strategies, and the WO may embolden them to explore negotiations as a viable alternative, neither one guarantees that what is negotiated will be sufficiently attractive for the parties to truly commit to the peacemaking process and see the negotiated agreement come through and make it endure in time. This article will provide conceptual clarity about the MEOs, by surveying four essential characteristics that need to exist for an opportunity to be truly mutually enticing: mutuality, exclusivity, interdependency, and cooperation. Furthermore, building on Zartman’s earlier work on MEOs, the article will expound procedural and substantive elements that ‘lock-in’ the parties into the peacemaking process, by having their needs, interests and demands fulfilled by newly formulated solutions.
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来源期刊
Ethnopolitics
Ethnopolitics POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
12.50%
发文量
37
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